Andrei Martyanov – World and Ukraine on March 5, 2022 20961 Views March 06, 2022 Guest Analyses The Saker Andrei Martyanov’s site is http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/ The Essential Saker IV: Messianic Narcissism's Agony by a Thousand Cuts Order Now The Essential Saker III: Chronicling The Tragedy, Farce And Collapse of the Empire in the Era of Mr MAGA Order Now Tagged Andrei Martyanov
President Putin and Mr Martyanov are beacons of credibility. They say the truth as far as human ability to say it , operates. You folks were raised right. Hats off to your parents.
I agree. They also have my respect, among other things, for speaking the truth. This also requires courage and they also have this. We also live in a cowardly age with much false bravado, but when push comes to shove the same people who publicly play the part of the hard ass do the equivalent of hiding under their beds.
All but forgotten…..
Russia deployed a very large naval force to the Western Approaches just before the Republics were
recognized. As I recall, it consists of every seaworthy bottom in the North, Baltic, and Far East Fleets…
To date, nothing has been reported about it. Since it’s deployment at least 2 major winter storms have gone
through the “Exercise Area” ~ 200 nm SW of Ireland
For more about the Western Approaches…..
It ranges from Dorsey Head on the extreme west of Ireland, to Lands End on the extreme west of Britain, and south to Pointe Du Raz on the extreme west of Brittany, thence west 500 nm into the Atlantic ocean.
It’s import is that it funnels all trans atlantic shipping into the English Channel and ports east ward.
In this case, a fleet located 200 nm SW of Dorsey Head, is out of NATO fighter/bomber range , has a clear field of view for it’s AAS systems to interdict any hostiles, but is close enough to both Britain and France for missile strikes on either or both from the western direction. This gives Russia a cross fire capability covering Britain, France, Netherlands, Spain, Belgium, Germany, Norway, Iceland.
Most probably, that is it’s purpose, ie: to make it impossible for NATO to escape utter destruction should it
choose war with Russia. Because this fleet carries > 10,000 missiles…
Andrey, should he choose to do so, is welcome to elaborate.
BTW, I served in the USN in wartime. My rank is LT. I spent 30 years at sea….
Most reasonable assumption, excellent logic.
Every move Russia makes is tactical. The West appear to throw shit at the fan to see where it lands.
Obviously that’s a lot of missile based firepower! Whilst I’m fairly sure that Russian surface ships don’t carry strategic nuclear weapons (that being the role of their submarine service), I wonder if any of those missiles might have tactical nuclear warheads, especially since many Russian ship-launched cruise missiles, typically the 3M-54 (Kalibr) were designed with such a capability.
I only found two Corvette ships with support ships, from where did you get this?
western media represents the interests of the western ruling class – .period. they are a massive monopoly, run from the top down and coordinate all of their agenda with the other divisions of western capitalist power. they are stenographers for the organs of capitalist state power whether on the bourgeois “left” or the right..finance dominates every sector of western capital and owns, effectively,, media and government..its main monkey business – outside of financial speculation – is energy and mineral resource exploitation. defense( so called ) and real estate speculation globally. western media are merely another of its monopoly properties
Linda, energy and mineral exploitation are tiny parts of the western economy. Technology is the focus…not natural resources. Look at the market caps of listed companies … tech is far far larger than energy or mining. Like about 1000X. Most everything else you write, I agree with.
Perhaps the reason for tech’s dominance is because of the opportunities for influence and control that it makes available…….
Excellent presentation, and as said, neither we nor “The West” have any real idea of Russia’s capabilities. What we DO know from historical fact is that Russian military use of IT infrastructure seems to be well in advance of the West’s capabilities, along with a far more flexible and dynamic approach to warfare.
On a lighter note -ukraine-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant-under-russian-orders/
6 x VVER-1000 PWR systems – designed and built by Russia, so I have no doubt the plant is in safer hands than being under Ukraine’s “control”, especially in view of the crazies attempting to run that Asylum!
There used to be a useful Wikipedia page on this plant, but don’t go there now – unless you are a fan of the West’s rabid “anti-Russian” hysteria.
I would love an interview or conference via stream Between Mr. Martyanov – The Saker – And Pepe Escobar.
I would certainly second that excellent proposal!
Thank you .You help us see better what is going on . In Fogs of War we need good guidance .
I can’t wait for the literary historians of the west to pen their way through this steaming pile of military ineptness This is Churchill’s Gallipoli on steroids.
Regarding the US-NATO pathogen bio-labs dotted all over Eastern Ukraine, were those moderate pathogens promoting freedom and democracy and Russia just by chance happened to share a border, or, in conjunction with Zelensky’s/NATO’s nuclear ambitions, was there an evil plan?
The US must be held accountable and heavily sanctioned if found guilty.
That’s what I’m saying, we need to take to the streets and go on a man hunt looking for all these criminals to take them to trial for their vile crimes against humanity!!
Thank you, Andrei for your faithful reporting of the truth. The truth against all odds. It is a war of nerves on the West’s side – it’s all they have. I used to love my country, but it is not recognizable anymore. I read somewhere that a world without Russia is not a world. This is akin to Israel’s approach – when led by loyal leaders – The Masada approach. The ultimate Patriots. God Bless You and your continued from your heart support of the truth.
Rogozin announced the appearance in the Russian arsenal of a missile (the last test launch and transfer to a series – A.N.) with an unlimited range (i.e., it can hit any target on Earth along any trajectory – A.N.))
[ 09/06/2021 Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation S. Tsoigu:
Flight tests of the new Russian intercontinental ballistic missile “Sarmat” … should be completed in 2022, the missile should also begin to arrive in the Strategic Missile Forces (RVSN) in 2022.
The RS-28 “Sarmat” ICBM will replace the world’s most powerful silo-based strategic missile RS-20V “Voevoda” (according to NATO classification – SS-18 “Satan”) in the Uzhur (Krasnoyarsk Territory) and Dombarovsk (Orenburg Region) divisions of the Strategic Missile Forces .]
The Sarmat missile system has a number of characteristics that have not been seen before in any intercontinental ballistic missiles.
“This year we will replenish the arsenals of strategic nuclear forces with another Sarmat intercontinental ballistic complex, which will give us guarantees of a safe life for 35-40 years ahead, just as the Voevoda complex gave us.
… This is very important for the strategic balance in the world, since this is the only type of fifth-generation ICBM that is close to being put on combat duty.
It differs sharply in its capabilities from its predecessor, Voyevoda (R-36).
First, the Sarmat is heavier, over 200 tons, and has new rocket engines. Like Voyevoda, they run on heptyl (fuel, C2H8N2) and dinitrogen tetroxide (oxidizer, N2O4). However, the new engines (the name after the modification is RS-99) are more powerful, and therefore allow the rocket to be accelerated to the required speeds in a shorter period of time. This dramatically reduces the segment of the trajectory when it can be shot down after takeoff, that is, the probability of intercepting a new missile is reduced from this.
Another distinguishing feature: this is a suborbital rocket capable of reaching the United States, as, indeed, any other part of the world, along any trajectory. Its range in relation to targets on our planet is not limited, and it is assumed that it will be able to reach its targets from the south pole. From the south, Western countries do not have any deployed missile defense systems.
The third important feature of the Sarmat is the possibility of equipping it with Avangard warheads actively maneuvering in hypersound (previously tested). Due to their movement at the boundary of the dense layers of the atmosphere, they move in a plasma cloud. Although this created noticeable difficulties for the developers, the warheads themselves on such a trajectory are very difficult to shoot down. Existing missile defense systems are not capable of this. If equipped with such blocks, the rocket will be able to carry three of them. When equipped with conventional thermonuclear warheads, without the possibility of active maneuvering – 10-15 pieces.
Demonstration video showing the capabilities of an actively maneuvering warhead / © Ministry of Defense
In order to increase the stability of missile silos for Sarmats, it is planned to equip them with Mozyr active protection systems. This is a package of many artillery pieces that shoot a cloud of balls at a point above the missile silo, where the enemy’s thermonuclear warhead falls. Encountering such protection, the enemy warhead is mechanically destroyed before it approaches the missile silo at a distance sufficient to undermine it. A conventional air fusion explosion cannot disable a missile silo (it is exceptionally strong). Requires “contact”, ground detonation, but in the presence of “Mozyr” it is not realizable.
With all the advantages of “Sarmat”, he also has some ambiguous sides. It is alleged that its Avangard warheads may exist in a non-nuclear version. This is logical, since at a speed of several kilometers per second, when hitting the surface, the warhead will produce an explosion greater than that which would give a similar weight of TNT. Due to the unlimited range of the Vanguard, it will be possible to strike anywhere in the world for about half an hour.
But if Russia does use such weapons in a conventional war, it is not clear how US missile warning systems will be able to distinguish between launches of “non-nuclear” Sarmats from those of Sarmats with a thermonuclear warhead. Probably, the Russian leadership planned to somehow use this moment in the negotiations on new START-type treaties, but due to the fact that the States are not interested in such treaties, this problem remains unresolved now.
An interesting feature of the Sarmat is that, due to the large weight and significant speeds launched into space, it can be used with virtually no alterations to launch satellites on orbit. The Voevoda was used in a similar way: after the end of the service, a satellite was placed in its head and launched. Considering that the capabilities of the Sarmat are greater, it will be able to deliver satellites of almost any realistic size into space. However, this will not happen soon: the service life of such systems is measured in tens of years.
Recently, the Russian side has been actively demonstrating the adoption and use of such types of weapons, about which not much was previously known. For example, today the Ministry of Defense showed the use of Kh-31PM missiles in Ukraine. This is the latest anti-radar missile with a range of destruction of air defense systems of 260 kilometers (according to other sources, up to 280 kilometers). This exceeds the range of any air defense systems in other countries of the world.
Just thoughts> Never before have I heard my friend Andrei in such an agitated state. Considering the substance of what he says, and the contextual geopolitical realities, it seems that he might expect a real war, nukes and all. Well, I suppose the Russian Strategists down at the bunker feel the same way…what with those ships enduring the western approaches…that’s really rough sea..hasta be a very good reason… Honestly, I am not surprised…this mater has civizational and geographic and custom – racial and philosophical and resource and economic and emotional inputs…many of which are “backs to the sea”. A Civilizational Conflict, a Change in era and in ways of knowing… MacKinder, with nazis and more. Like Chekhov’s “gun on the wall”, the bomb is always with us. Interesting that the biolabs got busted…I suppose that fubared the nazi plans…
I always expected the gadgets to go off.https://youtu.be/frAEmhqdLFs (Tom Lehrer – We Will All Go Together When We Go)
Check out what Marco Rubio has been tweeting lately. Collect it all. He needs to be held criminally liable for his disgusting slander when it’s all over he has lost his mind
Uncle, who is Marco Rubio? And why should we check what he’s tweeting?
Germany has been led by the nose ring onto the slaughter house killing floor like a cow to be processed. Stripped to the bones of everything can be eating. End game.
So where is the pro Russia 5th column of Ukraine? Haven’t seen so far millions of Ukrainians with their white flags.
Very true. Just like last time the Russians dealt with Nazis forcefully, there were similar unfounded beliefs to the effect that the Germans would capitulate the very moment the USSR invaded their national territory. Stalin and his generals had a far better grasp of the situation. This kind of fanaticized dregs has to suffer tremendous, monumental defeat right in the vicinity of the seats of enemy power. This lesson hasn’t been lost on presentday Russia. Continental US should be the ultimate goal.
They’re the ones avoiding a hole in the back of the head at this precise moment in time. That’ll change with the demise of the Nazis & handlers.
They don’t want to end up like Kireev.
Several explanations possible :
1) many russian-friendly Ukrainians already emigrated since 2014 (2+ million refugees in Russia)
2) Russian-friendly people who stayed in Ukraine are waiting to see if Russia really intends to stay. Many people in Slavyansk and other places were disappointed when the separatists left in 2014, the SBU cleaned up after that
3) simple fear of getting shot by the extremists. Check out the pictures of Germany in 1945 with all the people hung by the SS on the lamp posts. It is estimated that 40.000 executions took place in the last months of the war.
Many Ukrainians are probably hostages of the Azov and fanatic types, hunker down, and pray silently for this nightmare to end. The romantic vision of a general uprising cannot happen in the context of a modern war.
They have been under the real threat of political violence for 8 years. What did you expect? Do you imagine Zelensky handed them rifles?
I don’t know how many guns were handed out, but I know who got them. Insane little old facist ladies, and their grandsons. “Normalnie” people are right to be afraid. That’s why Zelensky did (or merely announced) this.
As Andrei mentioned, the collective West has certainly gone into hyperdrive where anti-Russian propaganda is concerned. YouTube (well, what do we really expect) is full of “supposedly well-researched” presentations that are either blatant, or not quite so blatant “Russian Military is stupid / disillusioned / about to mutiny” propaganda, for example –
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4wRdoWpw0w – “The Failed Logistics of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine”
Maybe Wendover Productions needs to realise that Russia knows the exact location of everywhere in Ukraine, there is no resupply problem (seeing as Ukraine’s on Russia’s border, AND Russia enjoys fully uncontested air superiority, so air resupply is simple). The underlying thesis seems to be as mentioned by Andrei – since Russian forces are not advancing as quickly as “The West” might expect, then this is a clear indicator that they have a logistics problem. No. Russian forces are advancing at a speed that suits THEM, not “The West”, and there is NO logistical problem. Russia is not following the US / NATO “Kill everything that moves” policy (dating back to the Vietnam war), rather a careful policing policy where as many non-combatants as possible will be spared. This necessitates a slower approach, nevertheless the amount of land area already under direct Russian control is very impressive, and eventually The West will have to accept that there’s a new order, and they are just a small part of it.
The following is rather long, but fairly comprehensive on the modern history of war; go back 1,000 years and it is also fairly consistent although your mileage will vary: all by Ron Unz. IMO and from that which I have read and considered, he is absolutely correct.
Please note why the US entered WWII – intentionally. Please also note Hitler’s economic abilities and competence. Please note the mention of “2%” – its significant in terms of science.
IMO WWIII will happen and as Lavrov says, it will be nuclear and the US “elite leadership” is not only desperate and totally incompetent, but also corrupt to its very core.
I trust that Putin, being in my opinion, the only competent leader on the World stage, and his team understands, nay comprehends, that now he has no choice but paranoia.
Appreciation for all contributions here.
I think that the great danger that faces us all with these sanctions and embargoes on Russia is the complete collapse of civilization.
Dollar hegemony was its highest in 2000, around 90%. Since then reduced to around 60%. And when it goes far below 50% it’s the milestone of the end of American single polar system. We are steadily going to that multipolar ecosystem because wise man do not put all eggs to same basket.
hmmm..New York Times days USA and Nato have delivered to Poland for use in Ukraine 27000 anti tank weapons in just one week .. so how can they be prevented from onward delivery ….plus of course the implication USA and Nato are confirming themselves as active participants and as actual targets…is now implicit.
The United States and its allies have pumped over $3 billion in arms into Ukraine since the 2014 Maidan coup, and committed to send over $850 million more in military aid late last month after Russia began a military operation in the country aimed at “demilitarizing” the regime in Kiev.
Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mark Milley made an unannounced visit to an undisclosed airfield near the border with Ukraine last week, a senior Pentagon official has told CNN.
The airfield was said to have been turned into a major hub for the shipment of NATO weaponry into Ukraine, with Milley said to have toured the facility, acquainted himself with the weapons transfer operation and met with troops. The country where the base is situated was not specified.
The outlet’s source said the shipments have not yet been targeted by the Russian military upon entering Ukraine, but expressed fears that this may happen in future.
US European Command (EUCOM) is responsible for coordinating the weapons transfers, and is working with other countries including the UK “to ensure that we are using our resources to maximum efficiency to support the Ukrainians in an organized way,” a second source said.
The Biden administration has already delivered about $240 million of its promised $350 million in additional military equipment to Ukraine, with the rest expected to arrive in the coming days or weeks at the latest. The European Union promised to commit nearly 500 million euros for its own military aid package.
In all, 14 countries have now sent or committed to send arms to the Eastern European country.