Back in the USSR, the Turkish government once protested against the Socialist republic of Armenia for having Mount Ararat on its flag. The government of Turkey protested because they claimed Mount Ararat wasn’t a part of the Armenian SSR. The People’s Commissar for Foreign Affairs, Georgy Vasilyevich Chicherin, responded: ” the Turkish flag depicts a moon, however the moon is not a part of the territory of Turkey.”
Since my previous Armenia SITREP, this conflict has already been dubbed by Western pundits as the “Four Day War.” They had all been disappointed, since they expected a much longer “war,” but Russia put a fast damper on this fire.
A few things have happened recently, and I don’t want you to miss them. So, put on your favorite bebop jazz tune and get comfortable.
First, it’s been reported that since the start of 2015, about 50 oil and gas producers in the US have gone bankrupt, owing more than $17 billion, according to the law firm Haynes & Boone LLP. [source]
The US oil and gas companies defaults is mostly interesting because every time it happens it adds they add another several hundred million in restructured liabilities to total junk bond defaults, over $14 billion as of April. It means yet another step closer to the systemic bank failure in the US and Europe. Even with the central banks buying all of the securities on the market, they won’t be able to prevent debt collapse, because “global” money has suddenly stopped working.
How is this relevant to the armed conflict that “suddenly” flared up in Nagorno-Karabakh and was extinguished very fast?
Here is an image that depicts an undercurrent situation. Imagine an island. On one side of this island live old men who have many bags stuffed with paper money. The other side of the island is populated with young healthy strong men, who don’t have those paper money, but have weapons. For a very long time, for centuries actually, old men would tell to young men that they had to fight each other in order to get some of those money. Young men would start fighting and killing each other while old men were watching and making bets between themselves on the outcome. Most of the times, those young men who would came out “winners” were getting very little, or even nothing, and they would lose what they had before the fight. The trick was, the next generation of young men wouldn’t know all these because old men owned not just money, but information also.
However, something went terribly wrong for old men sitting on bags of money. They lost control over information. First, the brightest and the best amongst young men, and then the rest started realizing that they have been fighting and killing each other for enrichment and entertainment of the old men, and that they have brought death and ruin on their own families and homes for an illusion, a lie.
And just like that, the spell has been broken, and bags of paper money just lost their power. Old men are still sitting on their bags stuffed with paper, screaming for “Moooo Waar!” but no one listens to them.
All this is taking place because a group of people led by pure faith in God and love for their great northern country has decided to put the end to this bloody spectacle.
— Scott's Humor (@ScottsHumor) May 3, 2016
On March 30, Azeri President Ilham Aliyev traveled to the United States for discussions with American officials over a range of issues, including Nagorno-Karabakh. The United States Department of State noted that Secretary of State John Kerry “emphasized [American] commitment to working with the sides to reach a comprehensive settlement based on the principles of international law, the UN Charter, and the Helsinki Final Act.”
On March 30, 2016 Kerry met with the president of Azerbaijan Aliev and called for an ‘ultimate resolution’ of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
On April 2, 2016 at night “the third forces,” by the Russia’s government expression, attacked positions of both and Azerbaijan and Nagorno-Karabakh border troops simultaneously.
On April 6th, the Armenian and Azeri chiefs of General Staff signed a ceasefire in Moscow.
Talking points for this instant “conflict”:
- Armenia and Azerbaijan are the Russia’s Empire territories that were occupied by the West and thus alienated from Russia;
- Russia still sees Armenian and Azerbaijan population as its own people’
- Millions of Armenians and Azerbaijanis reside in Russia;
- Armenia is a member of CIS and is a Russian ally with a defense treaty;
- Russian military base and armed forces are based in Armenia;
- Russian oil companies have major hold in Azeri oil industry and distribution;
- Azerbaijan is under constant threat of Wahabi/Salafi influence and ISIS terrorists;
- Russia sells arms to both nations;
- The peace if this region is also of interest to China and Iran. See, North-South Corridor from Russia to India to compete with Suez Canal. A new transport project under development between Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran and on to India will shorten shipping times and costs by cutting out sea routes and the Suez Canal.
On May 2nd, 2015 Armenia and Azerbaijan reported on ceasefire violations in Karabakh. Both parties to the conflict accuse each other of violating truce. Since our initial reaction might be to say that “one of them is not telling the truth” let’s just assume that both sides are sincere, and it’s someone else who come in the middle of the night like a month ago and kills troops on both side to trig hostilities. Previously, a ceasefire on the contact line was announced as of 12:00 (11:00 Moscow Time) on April 5th. Ever since, the parties occasionally report brief exchanges of fire along the contact line.
As a response to hostilities and seeming unwillingness of Azerbaijan government just to accept the status quo and to start acting as a good neighbor, on May 5th Armenian government will decide on the issue of recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh be a part of Armenia.
This drastic actions were precipitated by not just the armed skirmishes on the border, but also a terrorists’ attack in the capital of Armenia.
Following the memorial day commemorating Armenian genocide a bus explosion in Yerevan killed three and injured seven.
The terror attack on civilians took place at the time of Erdogan’s travel to Baku
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan will arrived on April 25th for a state visit to Azerbaijan. The reason for the visit is to participate in the Summit of the Global Forum of the UN Alliance of Civilizations.
Ankara is interested in the energy resources of Azerbaijan as a transit country through which it can gain access to Central Asia.
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: Portrait of a Backstabbing Neoliberal Pasha
- Erdogan’s Reign continued
- New Armenian-Azerbaijani war: Cui bono?
- Turkey tries to play Azerbaijani card
Turkish president says Nagorno-Karabakh will be part of Azerbaijan someday
I can respond to Turkish president and to his unapologetic meddling in other countries’ affairs: Someday Azerbaijan and Armenia will be part of Russia, as they were for many centuries. Then and only then Nagorno-Karabakh will stop being a point of contention.
Lavrov immediately responded on April 22 saying that Turkey’s statements on Karabakh are calls for war.
Earlier Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has criticized the work of the Minsk Group (Russia, France and the US) on Nagorno-Karabakh, accusing it of “inaction”
News in brief
- At least three Armenian tanks were bombed by drones
- Azerbaijan has an Israeli made weaponized drones and it used them against personnel, by bombing a bus with volunteers, and against tanks and buildings.
- Three drones of Azerbaijan army were shot down. All of them made in Israel.
- Armenian soldiers collect bodies of Azerbaijan soldiers
- Classified maps and flight schedules found on the bodies of dead Azerbaijani pilots indicating that Azerbaijan had planned attacks on N-K
- «Armenian-Azerbaijani clashes» | Every hour | April 2016 Video maps
All of these made Russia’s parliament to make the following decision.
Agreement on procedures for formation and use of joint rapid response groups to quickly respond to border security threats at external CIS borders submitted to State Duma for ratification
Russian diplomatic intervention in an area of strategic importance to Moscow is likely to prevent escalation.
I expect the Russians explained to the Armenians and Azeris (and no doubt the NK people too) what is really going on here: the USA trying to fish in troubled waters. “Do you really want your countries to wind up like Iraq, Libya and Syria?” they would have asked. “Or shall we talk this over like adults and negotiate a reasonable settlement (and tell the Yanks to go pound sand)?”
- Nagorno-Karabakh: Suicide Drones, Ceasefire Holding, $4 Billion in Russian Arms for Azerbaijan
- Russian clout over Azerbaijan is really to the benefit of Armenia
Karabakh – Only old men go to battle
In trenches of Info-War FYI
ATTeNTION: web sites that spread disinformation about military conflicts around Russia including this new conflict
IP Address 22.214.171.124 hosted on this server in Netherlands – Flevoland – Dronten – Www.fornex.com Fornex Hosting S.l. ASN Netherlands AS44066 DE-FIRSTCOLO First Colo GmbH (registered Nov 13, 2007)
Against Armenia and Russia site haqqin.az/ http://whois.domaintools.com/haqqin.az IP Address 126.96.36.199 hosted in United States – Arizona – Phoenix – Cloudflare Inc.
http://whois.domaintools.com/middleeasteye.net IP Address 188.8.131.52 is hosted on a dedicated server in United Kingdom – England – Manchester – Ukfastnet Ltd. Registration Private
As you can see haqqin.az uses a first as its symbol. Symbols of “fists” are the symbols for the “color revolutionaries” financed by the Great Parasite. More “fists” here:
— Остин (@semargll) April 2, 2016