Guest Analyses

The Waves of Time

by Jimmie Moglia for The Saker Blog That all the world is a stage and all men and women merely players is a familiar and generally accepted proposition. But many, prompted by curiosity and helped by new information previously unknown or uneasily available, would like to know more about the play they are the unwitting players thereof. Which transforms the frame of mind of the curious into that of a

Talk of Western intervention in the Black Sea is pure fantasy

by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with The Asia Times by special agreement with the author) Crimea is essential to Russia strategically and economically, but speculation over Ankara helping to boost the US presence in the Black Sea is far-fetched given Turkey’s energy deals with Moscow. A power struggle over the Black Sea between Russia and the US plus NATO has the potential to develop as a seminal plot of the 21st

What happens when the Yellow Vests meet European Debt Crisis II?

by Ramin Mazaheri for The Saker Blog There is a lot of talk about which economic bubble will burst first and burst the worst (sounds like a gangsta rap song, no?) The stock market, real estate, luxury goods, corporate debt and government bond bubbles, and other lesser bubbles, all jockey for the titles. It’s the “Everything Bubble” for good reason. The “good reason” is: the 1% owns everything of high

War Essay- The consequences of nuclear war on US society

by Phillyguy for The Saker Blog Summary The US emerged from WWII as the world’s leading economic and military power. Since that time US hegemony has been predicated on: 1) unrivaled military strength, 2) control of world’s energy reserves and 3) primacy of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. All of the pillars supporting US global dominance are now being threatened by continuing US economic decline coupled with

Why Israel’s Airstrikes in Syria Are a Sign of Weakness, Not Strength

By Ollie Richardson for The Saker Blog Why does Russia behave the way it does in relation to Israeli airstrikes in Syria? I will proceed from what seems to be an established fact (SANA confirmed) that on the night of January 11th Israel hit one depot at Damascus international airport. I.e., material damage. 12 projectiles were fired in total. Syrian air defences worked, and by all accounts they were as

American Foreign Policy Aka Thy-Will-Be-Done

by Denis A. Conroy for The Saker Blog “It’s not a choice between war and peace. It’s a choice between war and endless war. It’s not appeasement. I think it’s better even to call it American self-interest”. Michael Scheuer (commenting on American Foreign Policy). “For the state by its nature claims sovereignty, the right to an unlimited development of power, determined only by self-interest. It is by nature anarchistic”. “No

Is this a Yellow Vest Spring, a Eurozone Spring, or just holiday-related stress relief?

by Ramin Mazaheri for The Saker Blog Let’s predict the likely trajectory of France’s Yellow Vest movement: What seems certain is that the only-on-Saturday protests will soon change into massive, permanent encampments in Paris, along the Champs-Elysées and Eiffel Tower. Other camps will be set up around the country, also at symbols of state power: the local city halls and tourist/historic attractions. This will make international news, because they will

Mass Psychosis and The Church of Humanitarian Interventionism

by David Penner for The Saker Blog Ask any American liberal aged sixty-five and older what they think about Franco, Mussolini, or Hitler and they will vehemently denounce these men as tyrants, murderers, and despots. Ask them what they think about the Vietnam War and they will say it was a tragedy, not only for the Vietnamese, but for the poor American soldiers who were drafted and used as cannon

A two part Pepe Escobar report on the China, Pakistan and the new Great Game

by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with The Asia Times – here and here – by special agreement with the author) The new Great Game on the Roof of the World On top of the graceful Baltit Fort, overlooking the Hunza Valley’s Shangri-La-style splendor, it’s impossible not to feel dizzy at the view: an overwhelming collision of millennia of geology and centuries of history. We are at the heart of Gilgit-Baltistan, in

The “gilets jaunes” movement as seen by the French-language Saker Blog

by Le Saker Francophone for The Saker Blog The genesis of the yellow vests Back to French presidential election in 2002, second round, Chirac won against Le Pen (father) 82% vs 18%, same scenario in 2017, second round, Macron won against Le Pen (daughter) 55% versus 34% Just after the presidential election comes the choice for the legislative assembly. In 2002, after Chirac’s victory, his political party, UMP, won 356

What Can Follow America’s Withdrawal From Syria

by Ghassan Kadi for The Saker Blog Just before Trump announced that American troops are to leave Syria “immediately”, many compatriots, friends and analysts were wondering what could be the next event that might change the course of future events in northern and eastern Syria. The first reaction to the news of Trump ordering his troops to leave Syria took many by surprise. That said, we have to wait and

Russia, Ukraine and the Minsk agreement fiction (Exclusive!)

by Pepe Escobar exclusive for The Saker Blog Rostislav Ishchenko is arguably the leading international analyst focused on the extraordinarily turbulent Russia-Ukraine relations. He posts regularly on Ukraina.ru, with frequent English translations here. In contrast to the 24/7 “Russian aggression” demonization campaign effective on all corners of the Beltway and spreading towards selected European capitals, Ishchenko’s analysis, for instance of the information war deployed on all fronts of the Russia-Ukraine

The Elusive Middle East Peace

by Ghassan Kadi for The Saker Blog Subtle news sources coming on the grapevine allude to impending Middle East fresh peace talks. The end of the “War on Syria” will bring serious and realistic opportunities for Russian-sponsored peace talks, and there are direct and indirect hints and leaks made by certain officials here and there, hints and leaks which will become overt and obvious in the near future, culminating into

Skripal vs Khashoggi: Some countries are more equal than others

by John Freeman for The Saker Blog International politics and hypocrisy have always gone together like sewers and stink, but the contrast between the recent media and government reactions to the Skripal poisoning, on the one hand, and the assassination of Jamal Khashoggi, on the other, reflects a new high water mark for duplicity and deceit by the New World Order and its satraps. The blizzard of newsfeed and groupthink

A historical journey into Crimea

Washington insists sanctions will remain until Russia returns the peninsula to Ukraine, but this will never happen. For Moscow, Crimea is back to where it belongs, and this is a region that has seen conquerors come and go for centuries by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with The Asia Times by special agreement with the author) We are at the remains of Panticapaeum, the capital of the Kingdom of Bosphorus, founded in

Interpretations marinated in bias (pre-tense as bias)

by Denis A. Conroy for the Saker blog “The cause of laughter is simply the sudden perception of the incongruity between a concept and the real project”. Arthur Schopenhauer. The concept of Founding Fathers as distinct from Founding Mothers is a prime example of thought that might do more than merely titillate the collective funny bone. The tribal jocks in the West have a long history of averring the role

Ankara stalls the Sochi agreement while Washington builds new military bases in Syria: some thoughts on the recent developments

by Aram Mirzaei for The Saker Blog Three months have passed since the Sochi agreement on the so called Idlib demilitarized zone. The terms of the deal were that all jihadist rebels labelled as terrorists by all parties to the deal were to be evacuated out of the area. This responsibility would lie with Turkey due to Ankara’s clout among the jihadists. But so far there are no signs of

How the New Silk Roads are merging into Greater Eurasia

Russia is keen to push economic integration with parts of Asia and this fits in with China’s Belt and Road Initiative by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with The Asia Times by special agreement with the author) The concept of Greater Eurasia has been discussed at the highest levels of Russian academia and policy-making for some time. This week the policy was presented at the Council of Ministers and looks set to

Bellingcat’s Kerch Gaff -Kurt Volker bought Ukraine’s Lie

by GH Eliason for The Saker Blog For 5 years Ukraine has bamboozled supporters by using” independent” researchers like Bellingcat that work with Ukraine’s Intel to fabricate its innocence. On November 25th, the Kerch incident happened, worsening the West’s relationship with Russia ahead of the G-20 Meeting in Argentina. Seemingly right on cue, Russian planners couldn’t find anything better to do than cause another major international incident right in front

“Maidan” in France, or a national uprising?

By Ollie Richardson for The Saker Blog Before diving into the topic of this article I would like to pay a special tribute to the late William Blum. For those who are unaware why, he passed away on December 9th at the age of 85 due to illness. For those who don’t really know who he is, I recommended reading his books – especially “Killing Hope”. It is an encyclopaedia

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