I think that three weeks into this special military operation we can take a few moments to pause and think about where we are and where we go from here.
My first observation is this: there are, roughly, two main groups of people out there, those who “get it” and those who don’t. In practical terms, this is what this means for me: when I write I am either “preaching to the choir” or I am trying to reach folks who are “unreachable” (being polite here).
For the past three weeks, I have tried to debunk the US PSYOP narrative, alongside folks like Andrei Martyanov at Reminiscences of the Future and Bernhard at Moon of Alabama. My health does not allow me to sustain such a crazy tempo and I need to enter something of a “temporary rest mode” if I want to avoid being forced into rest by my body.
Yet I still get a daily deluge of questions from those who did not “get it” and, frankly, I am exhausted trying to debunk the same stuff over and over and over again.
So, one last time:
In purely military terms, the picture we see now is simple: the Ukie military as a strategic instrument basically died in the first 24 hours. Then the Russians used a small force to bypass and block main cities. With some very notable exceptions (Mariupol) they did not try to enter them. Why? For 3 crucial reasons:
- they did not have the manpower needed (in Mariupol the force correlation is about 1:1 when it should really be 3-5:1 in favor of the attacker)
- they wanted to kill as few Ukrainians as possible and
- they did not want to flatten cities only to have to pay for their reconstruction.
So where are the rest of the Russian forces and what are they doing?
They are mostly in their permanent deployment bases and they are ready for a war against the US+NATO.
And if you are the type of believes that “the Russians are running out of manpower” ask yourself why the Black Sea Fleet did not use its elite Naval Infantry, amphibious landing capability or its firepower (I remind you that all the huge damage done to the NATO base in western Ukraine was just a single salvo from one single small vessel (what the Russians call a “small missile ship”), probably with one (land or air based) Iskander to add some specific “punch” where needed. If the Russians were running out of manpower, would she not use the Black Sea Fleet to the max? Instead, she is keeping it near Odessa, ready to strike if/when needed, not only at the Ukraine, but at NATO too (ditto for the group of Russian ships in the eastern Mediterranean).
This is why Putin refers to this operation as a “special military operation” and not as a “war” or a “combined arms operation”.
Again, you either “get it” or you don’t. It’s that simple, really.
So here is roughly where we are today (yesterday’s Readovka map):
So we are likely to end up with something looking like this:
And I don’t see the point of reporting how we will go from the top map to the projection above blow by blow, town by town.
The real question that comes to my mind looking at the projection above is not “how do we get there?” but “where do we go from there once we make it?”. Right now this decision time is still probably a couple of weeks into the future.
Whatever may be the case, I have decided to stop posting updates every day (sometimes several times a day) and, instead, alternate analyses days and open thread days.
So from now on, expect analyses only every 2nd day (unless big events happen).
Next, I don’t see any other way to stop the US+UK+PL to intervene other than by means of a Iskander/Kalibr strike not “just” upon any target in the Ukraine, but also strikes on whatever NATO facility is central to the current war preparations by NATO, including locations in Poland , Romania or anywhere else in Europe.
I hope that I am wrong and that the US+UK+PL are not as terminally blinded by their hatred of Russia as to risk an actual full scale war in Europe.
But I have to admit that this hope is small and getting smaller by the day.
It is therefore quite possible, maybe even likely, that in the not too distant future we will see US and Russian military personnel meeting in combat. If that happens, not only will the risks of a fullscale nuclear war go sharply up, but it would place me personally in an impossible situation: I would be a guest of the USA (“Green Card” – I only have a Swiss Passport) while my country of ethnic origin would be at war with the USA.
I have therefore taken the following decision: if there is a war in Europe, I will continue to cover it until 1) Russian and US soldiers meet in battle and/or 2) a nuclear strike happens anywhere. If we reach either of these points, then this will not only prove that the Saker blog failed in its main mission (avoid war) but it will also place me personally in an impossible situation.
If either of the two events happen, I will then “freeze” the blog until the war stops.
I don’t like to have to take the two decisions above, in fact I very much regret them both, but things are quickly getting out of hand and I need to prepare, both the blog and my personal life.
Question: remember the Israeli war against Hezbollah in 2006?
Hezbollah won this war by a humongous margin, and the US+Israel had to surrender to Hezbollah terms. Not only that, but this war made Hezbollah much, much stronger than it was before. Yet it began by a miscalculation which Hassan Nasrallah himself admitted: Hezbollah never expected the Israelis to go so far overboard and basically hammer Lebanon with everything they had for over a month.
I see a parallel here.
No, I do not think that the Russian military operation has run into any major issues, by and large what happened in these three weeks must be pretty much what the Russians expected.
In economic terms, there is this big debate now about the Russian gold and foreign currency reserves which I am not capable of commenting upon since I am not an economist. I will let much smarter people than I deal with that.
I also think that the Russians knew in advance what kind of sanctions the West would introduce sooner or later, but I think that the Kremlin was taken by surprise at the speed and scope of the sanctions. How much of a problem is that? Well, I generally favor Western sanctions against Russia because they force Russia to build a sovereign economy and because they de-couple Russia from the institutions controlled by the Empire of Lies.
Here, again, time will tell and much smarter people then I can offer their insights into this.
However, I think that most people in Russia are stunned by what is a full-scale “hate war” on Russia which we can call the “Cancel Russia war“. In essence, the West did throw everything it had at Russia short of a overt military aggression and knowing the geniuses in power in the US+UK+PL I would not even put it past them to try to fight Russia directly.
So what began as a special military operation to denazify and disarm Banderastan in a preemptive war turned into a global “Cancel Russia” world war.
How could I blame folks in Russia for not being able to imagine the utter suicidal depravity of the Western ruling classes when I, who was born in the heart of Europe and lived all my life in the West could not imagine these ruling classes to be so absolutely out of touch with reality?
Again, to be clear, Russians were not “naive” to “trust” the West about anything, but they indeed assumed that the ruling class of the USA would not decide to blow up the planet economically and even possibly militarily because it would hurt the interests of the US ruling class. So if anybody is “dumbshit stupid” it is hardly the Russians, but rather the folks who rule over the USA (and, therefore, over the EU too).
There is also this Russian expression: “you should count your chicks in the Fall”. Let’s see by year’s end who was really dumbshit stupid and who will have prevailed.
Now I think that it is time for all of us, myself included, to let go of the thought “no, they can’t possibly by THAT delusional” and assume that yes, they are really THAT delusional.
I also see another parallel: remember how the USA forced Japan into a war and then wrapped itself in the mantle of an innocent victim and declared “this day shall live in infamy”?
That is exactly what the USA just pulled off in Europe. And the consequences might be just as immense.
But there is a big difference here: Japan could not meaningfully strike at the continental USA. Russia very much can, with both nuclear and conventional weapons.
Here I will only repeat the quote by Putin which I mentioned the day before the Russian special military operation: “if a fight is inevitable you should strike first“. In plain English this means that if the Russians come to the conclusion that the US is engaged in a “Desert Shield” type of operation (claim to be only defensive while preparing for months for a full-scale ground invasion) then you can be sure that Russia will strike EU airports, seaports or any other facility used to prepare an attack on Russia.
In fact, if the US/NATO do decide to attack Russia, this will be the final, nuclear, end for the Western civilization as such. After 1000 years of genocidal imperialism, one could be forgiven for thinking that this could be a fitting, just, end” in the “chicken coming home to roost” kind of karmic justice.
Now it is in the hands of the US ruling elites.
Frankly, there is very little Andrei, Bernhard of myself can do about that. I sure have said all I have to say on this topic and, again, some see it, others don’t – and there is nothing more I can do to affect this ratio.
The future of our planet now depends on whether the traditional Western hatred for all things Russian is bigger or smaller than the self-preservation instincts of US ruling class (the Eurolemmings are hopeless).
Only time will tell. All we can do now is pray and place our trust and lives into God’s hands.
Okay, these are the things I wanted to communicate to you all, my friends and readers. I still hope for the best, but I have to prepare for the worst, and I want to be fully candid with all of you.
Sorry for the link, but at least internally I believe this video can be useful.
I miss a piece, that is what Russia planned to do after reaching the stage of map 2: Continue to the West borders? Leave Ze in charge, although in the reduced Ukraine? Why not try to install a new government for the whole country? In Ukraine there is not even a tiny political elite to do so? These are not small details, which will determine the future of the world, but we will see.
For the rest, agree on most things, as I said many times, we are in the hands of God, let us pray He is not going to clap.
At one point Putin was hinting that Russia would let each region decide. Who knows if Odessa would want to stay or want to go? There were certainly regions beyond the LDNR who didn’t seem overjoyed about being ruled from Kiev, but nazi’s using death said that they stayed.
The old western liberal idea of every people having the freedom of self-determination says that they should be asked. And, those who fled the Nazis during the last decade’s first refugee wave towards Russia should be given a vote in that referendum, and from their current homes in Russia. Let them see how the vote goes before having to decide whether to relocate (again).
So, give Kharkiv, Odessa and the other regions in the east and south who might want to join Russia a Crimea-style, democratic vote on self-determination. Maybe its just what I wanted to hear, but I seem to recall Mr. Putin referring to this in his early statements on the special operation.
The Authoritarians in DC and on Wall Street will hate this sort of act of democracy.
If i thought it was probable that Russia’s military operation in Ukraine would lead to nuclear war, I would agree with Paul Craig Roberts that Russia should have done :shock and awe”. The premise being that such a strong showing of military might would deter the USA from doing something stupid.
If, in fact, the USA goes nuclear, it won’t be just because they want to destroy Russia; it will, also, be because they want destroy their own population. We are their main enemy.
The rulers/ owners of USA have extreme self hatred. Some seriously Bad Vibes.
They want your attention; don’t give it to them!
I’m becoming convinced that the U.S. ruling class — the world ruling class, actually — was seriously stung by the American people electing Trump over their vehement objections, and are now wreaking revenge on us by deliberately crashing our economy and currency.
There is serious talk now among NATO members of sending a “peacekeeping” force into Ukraine. If this happens nothing good can come of it.
Hello Andrei….I take some strange solace from these words,
for it has always been this way…
“If there is no struggle, there is no progress. Those who profess to favor freedom, and yet depreciate agitation, are men who want crops without plowing up the ground. They want rain without thunder and lightning. They want the ocean without the awful roar of its many waters. This struggle may be a moral one; or it may be a physical one; or it may be both moral and physical; but it must be a struggle. Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never did and it never will.”
― Frederick Douglass, Frederick Douglass: Selected Speeches and Writings
The U.S. is addicted to wars because they are fought outside the U.S. and others pay the price of death and destruction. This will not change until war is brought home to Americans when they are faced with the same death and destruction their reckless gov’t has callously inflicted on the world for so long.
The billionaire elite have bunkers they can retreat to and live in indefinitely. They fully support depopulation and are masters at leveraging chaos and corruption. They fully support the destruction of the West, and in that regard they are using Putin, with or without his consent.
The billionaire class are deluded, terminally. Bunkers are nothing more than extremely overpriced rat traps. They might keep us out, but they also serve as useful places to keep their inhabitants in while they desicate.
I think these creatures have technology far beyond what we are aware of. If their plans are successful, we die slow deaths from poisoning, whereas they can leave this shithole if necessary. Cybernetics is a reality. What is seen on the surface is a tiny part of what is going on here. Mostly this is a spiritual war, which is why cognitive warfare has been employed. Dehumanization to the point that spirituality is subverted, and people are reduced to soulless husks.
We must take this to heart and see that we aren’t subverted.
Ukraine is nothing compared to the war that realy matters: The elemination of the Petro Dollar.
Russia, China and India plus lots of other nations just have enough of US domination and bullying.
Islamic nations must recognize the culture of wokistan (formerly known as USA) to be a threat to their traditionalist societies.
China, Russia and India are speeding up the construction of a new financial system where New York and London have litttle to say.
China, India and Egypt have to stage a cultural war to get back all their art robbed by the British pirates.
Visita di Assad negli emirati!
The US elites are themselves controlled by the City of London. For example, the House of Morgan was funded by the City of London as were many other US Financial houses. Who owns the US Federal Reserve, well the US government certainly doesn’t as Edward G Griffin and Professor Antony C Sutton have written about in their various books eg The Creature From Jekyll Island concerning the 1913 Federal Reserve act or Sutton’s many books about Wall Street. The myriad of groups controlled by the City of London eg The Council on Foreign Relations, The Trilaterals, Chatham House, The Pilgrim group, Le Cercle, The Club of Rome, The Bildeberg group plus the World Economic Forum have neither the interests of the US nor any other nation but only a Global vision of a one world society. It’s time to stop using terms such as the US elites but consider the plans of the real pullers of power !
Thank you Andrei for your insight
I can clearly understand your frustration and exhaustion, Andrei.
Almost 7 years ago, I started what I thought to be an adventure of edifying folks who simply never had the chance to learn about the real world on government, religion, politics and culture. No, it wasn’t my wisdom I wanted to dispense, but rather to collect the wisdom of others and make it easily available for others to research – assuming they had the intellectual curiosity to do do.
Here’s what I learned, it was an assumption based on delusion! The vast majority has zero interest in learning truth, and I can now show you some evidence – https://crushlimbraw.blogspot.com/2022/03/rhetoric-dialecticand-reality.html?m=0 – that is a post I put up a couple of days ago entitled Rhetoric, Dialectic….and Reality!
Vox Day’s short summary in that collection concludes that we are informing no more than 5 percent of the population…and from that group no more than 2 out of 5 will actually check and prove it to themselves.
Talk about ‘broad is the way to destruction…’!
But do keep in mind, God always has His remnant to enact His plan into eternity – a pattern clearly seen in the Bible for those with eyes to see.
This operation will expand to poland antimisile systems, romania antimisile systems, italy nuclear base and ramstein nuclear base.
I see this just unavoidable because the “west” is lost and manipulated from the global elites thru their demented clowns named polititians.
We all will see this happening very soon.
After those first misile attacks, there will be a moment, very very short to think about all nuclear or negotitation table..
Good luck for all ..
My dear Saker,
I am so sad to read your lines right now.
If we reach the point of war between USA and Russia and/ or nuclear strike your blog has not failed.
Your blog has not failed because you have been with us all these years, educating us, providing us with such great insights, analyses. It is so true what they say about the truth setting you free.
I am devastated to read that you will stop writing, if it comes to the worst, because that would be when we would most need you. I do, however, understand your perspective and personal reasons for making this decision.
It has been such a joy to be here at your blog, exchanging information with you & the Sakerites.
I feel so much sadness and anxiety for the future. I can only pray that things will calm down. If not, and if the worst comes, then I will pray for good to defeat evil.
Lots of love to you Andrei.
What are the current war preparations by NATO the Saker talks about?
“… I still get a daily deluge of questions from those who did not “get it” and, frankly, I am exhausted trying to debunk the same stuff over and over and over again.”
May I suggest you add Xavier Moreau to your list of those you recommend as being knowledgeable and professional enough to explain to people who do not yet get it what Russia is doing in Ukraine, as well as where things stand?
The material is presented in French yet English subtitles are available. Hope you and readers here find it enlightening, hence useful.
A heartfelt thank you for your tremendous gift to us – your community – and to the world. Your efforts for the sake of peace have truly been an inspiration.
In spite of the deep hatred toward Russia from the leaders of the US, I firmly believe that President Putin and his team will continue to do the right thing at the right time. By the grace of God that will be sufficient and we will move on from these perilous times.
Take some time off with your family among the dunes and the breeze coming off the water.
You are one for the ages!
From experience I can advise you to only write what you want only when you feel so inclined and don’t read the replies. Getting emotionally involved with your commenters thoughts, questions etc. will drain you to the point of exhaustion or even burnout, which ultimately helps no one. Sharing your knowledge and experience is already a gift from heaven. It is enough for us to chew on!!!! Take good care of yourself!!! 😘
You raise a good point. The sanction package came so quickly and in such a well coordinated fashion that it looks like it was pre-planned as well as the propaganda blitz.
What do people think of the likely outcome of the current talks in Belarus? Can Putin expect the Ukrainian side will implement any agreement, if any is achieved?
You can’t denazify unless you go all the way to the Polilsh border. If Putin leaves the western Ukraine (the Bandera heartland) as a surviving political entity, it will just cause more of the same problems, just deffered to some time down the road.
“All we can do now is pray and place our trust and lives into God’s hands.”
Then we are doomed. Imaginary beings can’t help anybody.
Imaginary beings decide how we think and how we behave.
Haven’t you noticed?
This is clearly a battle between imaginary beings.
Let’s call one of them God.
(I thought a little injection of humor might be good here.)
Extra! Extra! Read all about it! This is incredible, wonderful news!
Officials push Nobel Committee to change procedure for Zelensky
Eurocrats are trying to nominate Ukraine’s President for a Nobel Peace Prize
(For those of you unfortunates who cannot access RT, below the full article about the Great Man.)
“36 former and incumbent EU officials, including deputies and ministers, have asked the Nobel Committee to extend the nomination deadline for the Nobel Peace Prize until the end of March so that they can nominate the President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, giving him a chance to receive the award for his efforts in “resisting the forces of authoritarianism.”
“We believe that now is the time to show the people of Ukraine that the world is on their side. We therefore humbly call upon you, the Committee, to consider: Extending and thereby re-opening the nomination procedure for the Nobel Peace Prize until March 31, 2022 to allow for a Nobel Peace Prize nomination for President Zelensky and the people of Ukraine,” says an open letter recently published by EU officials.
According to the signatories, Russia launching its military operation in late February constitutes a “historically unprecedented event,” in which “brave Ukrainian men and women are fighting to preserve democracy and self-government.” The EU officials urged the global community to show their support for Ukraine in the face of “this war waged upon them by the Russian Federation.”
Nominating President Zelensky for the Nobel Peace Prize now would signify a break with procedure since the deadline for the nomination has passed. “In order for a nomination to be valid, it must be submitted no later than January 31,” explains the Committee’s website. Currently, 343 candidates have been nominated for the 2022 Nobel Peace Prize, out of which 251 are individuals and 92 are organizations.
Volodymyr Zelensky was elected the President of Ukraine in 2019. His electoral platform was based on two pillars: fighting corruption and ending the conflict in the Donbass region.
According to the Russian President Vladimir Putin, Kiev not only refused to negotiate with the breakaway republics, but prepared for open war against them and against Russia, continuing to bomb civilians, while sending saboteurs and terrorists into Crimea – the peninsula that voted to join Russia after the 2014 US-backed coup in Ukraine.
Moscow attacked its neighbor in late February, following a seven-year standoff over disagreements about the implementation of the terms of the Minsk agreements and Russia’s eventual recognition of the Donbass republics in Donetsk and Lugansk. The German- and French-brokered protocols had been designed to regularize the status of those regions within the Ukrainian state.
Russia has now demanded that Ukraine officially declare itself a neutral country that will never join the US-led NATO military bloc. Kiev insists the Russian offensive was completely unprovoked and has denied claims it was planning to retake the two republics by force.”
Well, they gave one to the Obama clown, so why not Zelensky,
Saker, you need to take some time out. Clear your head. We’ll still be here when you are ready to return.
I don’t share in the idea that nuclear war is inevitable. Infact, I consider it unlikely.
Full scale financial war, yes. Continued support and arming of their Ukrainian proxy, yes. That will remain the extent of it. Just like Georgia. Just like Syria.
We all need to consider that the U.S population opposes direct confrontation with Russia. You can be sure that the Pentagon understands what is at stake and won’t allow that sort of escalation. Remember, these people have families too. Let’s also consider that the Germans have explicitly stated that sending troops to Ukraine is a red line. I’ll bet that level of self preservation extends to allowing Germany to be used as a NATO staging ground. China has also made it’s position clear, as has Iran. Full scale war simply isn’t a viable option for the west. They’ll lose.
What we are seeing in the west right now are theatrics. Politicking. Never let a good crisis go to waste.
I agree, you either ‘get it’ or you do not
I think I ‘get it’ in large part because of ‘The vineyard …’
The ‘ruling class’ are making zillions trading in war stocks and will know how to squirrel their wealth away for the future ….. they are not at all stupid, there will be a future, just not with a lot of us, the great unwashed, in it.
They will pick over the bones of ‘western civilization’ buying when there is ‘blood in the streets’ …. it is handy when you know when the blood will flow.
Their children and family will survive.
…. and from the ashes, another epoch of exploitation of the great unwashed will begin.
Hope I am wrong for my children’s and grandchildren’s sake …. I do not tell them what I think in the hope I am wrong and also because there is no way to prepare.
Finally, I read where the first three rules of warfare were: ‘do not march on Moscow’
I am sure the ‘ruling class’ know that so perhaps this is the ‘great reset’ but not as we imagined it.
Hope to still be reading ‘The Saker’ un-interrupted for many years to come.
How does Russia make sure that everything outside the projected second map does not become a NATO staging ground without occupying the entire country?
oh …. and by ‘ruling class’ I did not mean the witless politicians, I meant those we never see who are the real ‘ruling class’
Oh, just seal the damn border, load nuclear and announce that. Watch the west simpy collapse.
Mind you, don’t actually Do Anything. Just, you get nothing and shit yourselves. The powers that be completely lose all control.
Then, maybe you would like to talk some. Rationally.
1. You are not an officer of the Russian army – you are civillian like most of the journalists.
3. Russian army knows very well about how and why. They are telling us 5% of what’s going on the terrain and rightfully so.
5. This is basically an anti-terrorist operation not a war.
6. Ofc there will be casualties. This is not a cartoon.
6. At the end Ukraine will be reorganized. Ukro government and the ukro criminal army will be punished hard.
At the end of the day we are all just stupid civillians so don’t be a pessimist.
I am already seeing in some western publications how the Ukrainians appear to be “winning” this conflict. This means that the spinmeisters probably know the jig is up and it is time to start spinning another major defeat for the west.
Some western reporting is also saying that Russian demands are being “moderated” so that a path to peace can be concentrated on.
Following President Putin and developments in the Russian Armed Forces as well as their foreign policy decisions for years, I simply don’t see the Russians simply looking for a way out for peace. They cane into this with certain strategic goals and I am quite cvertain they aim to achieve them despite whatever the West’s pundits come up with.
You are not the only military analyst I have read who has reported on the basic destruction of the Ukrainian Army within a short time. My understanding now is that it is basically the Right-Winged Thug Battalions that are still doing most of the hard fighting and yet practically all of them are now isolated from their supply lines with the exception of some openings left around Mariupol.
I am one of the very few it appears that has been supporting the Russian side for quite a while. Its not that I wanted Russia to attack Ukraine but I completely understand why they did.
Many Westerners do not seem to understand that when all the talk is done and there is still no resolution to such crucial and vital national interests that Russia has legitimately claimed, what is she left with? A last resort, which the attack on Ukraine was.
One thing I do believe will happen in the United States as a result of all this, is that the federal government will fall. Between the god-awful and bone-headed dumb Republicans and the more than stupid Democrats, there is nothing left for American voters to vote for.
We desperately need a new system of governance in our country and given that the last place one could hope to find any sense of realism, the US Pentagon, in that they currently refuse to allow US Forces to engage with Russian Forces or support any type of nuclear strike, I am hopeful that at some point they will do a soft-coup and install people who have some brains in terms of national leadership.
If the crap we have now is our only hope we are then truly done…
There is a simple fact overlooked in all analyses about special operations in Ukraine. If speedy conclusion was the Russian intention they would storm the city-state of Київ. They obviously do not wish matters to be brought to speedy conclusion.
Here is what time buys. First and foremost, new southern border. Xерсонский has been “officially” secured. Николаев – its eastern half – will be secured next and will take as much time. Днепропетро́вск will be next and will be taken from both sides. So now we are into summer months now. Oдесса is left as an invitation to Ukrainian military forces and will not be molested for some time.
Second, chaos in the west. This is not definitive, but it is the source of western european anger. Their politics and societies will change for a few generations now, and they will no longer enjoy the theatre of acting as a great power.
Third, political changes in the USA. These won’t occur until next year, and may not appear favorable to Russia for quite some time.
There is a north american model for what is happening in Ukraine and I would encourage all readers to examine it. It is the independence of the american state of Tejas – whose size is compared to Ukraine in American media – from Mejico and its ultimate incorporation into the United States. This process took a decade and the details are quite instructive as what can be expected with Ukraine.
Andrei, you should take care of yourself and your family.
War will happen, or it won’t. It’s not something that we mortal men can predict. We have no power to decide such grand things.
I can only pray to God that war doesn’t begin this year.
Doing anything else is even more useless. Even commenting here with you all is just a coping mechanism of mine. I am not a military strategist, I’m just a dude who played RTS and turn-based games in one period of my life. Trying to make a sense of this new reality, using any “experience” that I got from there.
Stay safe and live a happy life. We might not have much time left.
Andrei My Orthodox Brother,
Whatever happens God be with you and your family and thank you for what you have done and what you continue to do which is to be a beacon of truth in a sea of lies. Our Lord Jesus Christ said, “And Ye Shall Know The Truth and the Truth Shall Set You Free”. Thank you Andrei.
You and I and everyone who believes in the Holy Trinity, Our Lord Jesus Christ and the Resurrection have nothing to fear. We are all on God’s time. Only the Father knows the hour when this all comes to an end and we know this life on earth is not an end unto itself. Pray for my family Andrei that my wife and children would be baptized and Chrismated into the Holy Orthodox Faith.
Andrei as you said it is the Western Ruling Class Elites who have the power to prevent a US/UK/NATO-RUSSIA war. These Elites (I believe) are largely godless, unbelievers for whom this world, this planet is all they got. I think it would be prudent for Russia to somehow remind these Elites of their own mortality, that they cannot and will not survive a war with Russia. It might require Russia setting off a nuclear warhead on an uninhabited island somewhere in the middle of the ocean, but these Elites need a solid reminder that war with Russia is suicide for them and most of the Planet.
Thank you for being “fully candid with all of” us, Saker. That is why after all those years I have so much unconditional respect for you and for what you have accomplished.
Please take care, and for granted that we fully understand and support you all the way, in these extremely trying times.
Now let me repeat for the nth time:
This is the latest translation I read on Russian reports, but doesn’t make since to me as they claim losses on a base near Lvov amounted to “at least 267,200”. I don’t know if that is people or pieces of equipment or a combination. If they killed 267,200 most mercenaries/soldiers, it seems like it would really shut things down in the west:
According to radio interception, losses among foreign mercenaries and special forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine as a result of a strike on a base near Lvov have already amounted to at least 267,200. The wounded are still being taken out – about 450,300 have been evacuated to Poland. Many have burns to their faces and bodies, and some have their limbs torn off. The number of missing people, who are under the rubble of the corps, in which there were American, Romanian and Polish volunteers, is not yet finally known. Arms deliveries worth $400 million have been completely destroyed. Among the dead are a large number of officers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and former NATO officers.
The authorities of Ukraine and the United States carefully hide the real scale of the losses, secretly raking up the consequences of a successful attack by the Russian Armed Forces.
Jojo, provide a link, maybe another Russian speaker can give the number translation a try, seems high……but, for every fully kitted soldier in the field, there are approx ten support staff in the rear echilon. Counting the dead is for the Reaper, standard fog of war says add a zero to any number the enemy gives out for KIA.
MOD: It is probably a translation problem.Remember a “200” is the Russian military way of saying “dead”. .And “300” means wounded. So taken like that it would mean,267 dead and 450 wounded.
200 = mortos, dead.
300 = feridos.
Códigos, o número antes, corpos contados.
200 = dead, dead .
300 = wounded.
Codes, the number before, bodies counted.
Thank you for all you’ve done and for this incredible website and resource. The derangement of the ruling class is startling to behold and the crisis in Ukraine has made it crystal clear. I often wonder about these elites…clearly they have forgotten they’re only human. I hear of these various “underground towns” and so on that they can access in the event of a nuclear holocaust. But what if someone needs, say, a heart surgeon? Only shout one out of every 80,000 citizens has the talent and skill to become a heart surgeon. Even if they have a couple of heart surgeons on board, who will train the next heart surgeons? There will be no more heart surgeons, you need an entire society for that. Not just an underground town for God’s sake.
I realize I’m rambling here, but it illustrates the point: the western elites are completely unmoored from reality. Nuclear war is, more than ever, entirely possible and likely to happen. Wasn’t the antichrist supposed to be a man of peace? We’re supposed to have 3 1/2 years of world peace first, right? Then 3 1/2 years of what’s essentially world war, if I’m remembering correctly. Just trying to buy us a little extra time here;-).
I don’t think there will be an atomic war, Andrei.
I DO think that the US expects — and will prod — Russia to bomb supply threats from Poland and Romania (at least). But the motive of this is not to escalate. It is to “gild the lily” on “reminding” Europe how dangerous Russia is to NATO members.
The US fight in Ukraine from the outset was just what Biden said: to stop Nord Stream 2, and to block the EU from increasing trade and investment with Russia. The fantasy was the this would weaken Russia, perhaps leading to regime change, and make it easier to take on China.
that was a crazy dream.
In 1950, when Stalin feared a US attack from Europe in the West, he urged Mao — who at first resisted — to support Kim in North Korea so as to distract U.S. forces. So China has a role to play here once again, I bet.
But the US isn’t going to send an army anywhere. That’s why I’m staying right here in New York.
Hey Michael, good to see you here, thanks for the comment. Andrei’s commentary is one of few I take dead seriously, so some balance here is reassuring.
If I were younger, I’d want to move to Russia. Andrei, Russia is the center of the future, if we’re going to have one. (I don’t know if this is actually true, I’m not a geopolitical/economic expert). But it seems that Russia is involved in all the cooperative alliances and organizations on the planet, where everyone profits. This is unlike the US, which takes from others, for a zero sum of the transactions. I hope you and family are looking into moving to Russia, but i expect that there may be other countries that would be safer in the event of a nuclear war, for example in the southern hemisphere. And you probably shouldn’t announce where you’re going, for obvious reasons.
Where do we go from here? I’m in agreement with what you think needs to be done. Meet the threat to her existence, where ever the threat is. I trust the Putin team to figure all that out. Probably they already have.
Remove the missile launchers in Romania and Poland, of course. If US starts moving equipment to Europe, yes take out the airports, sea ports that are being used. Take out NATO C/C centers throughout Europe. I suspect that Russia will do this using conventional weapons. If a US nuke is launched, then take out US C/C centers and disable the country’s military infrastructure. If there are any survivors on either side after that, then put boots on the ground in the US to round up the war criminals here.
I’ve come to appreciate the social structure of Russia by reading your three Essential Saker books. I hope you can find a safe place to write again, if you freeze the Vineyard.
If it comes to nuclear war, at least The Great Satan will surely expire (I like Iran’s term for the US. It’s quite appropriate.) It will be profoundly sad, as well. Maybe our Lord Jesus Christ will return before the nukes kill everyone. I think He said something to that effect. I do have faith that He is watching and will provide for us. Maybe He will allow the US terrorist leadership to come to their senses when they see that Russia will not back down, and that whatever they try blows up in a fireball.
My pea brain can’t figure out what He will do, but I know He loves humanity. We’re His creation after all.
The WSJ published a report on how the US worked the sanctions. The Biden administration started planning for it in Nov 2021 at about the same time they invited Ukraine to join NATO knowing full well that would not be acceptable to Russia. Thus, you should conclude the USA instigated the war between Russia & the Ukraine which also explains why Zelinski is not willing to quickly negotiate terms for peace – Biden will not allow it.
The American media is in lockstep with Biden on promoting the propaganda narrative carried on all “news” networks.
The question I have is why did Biden want the war?
Thank you Andrei.
I wouldn’t call this thing a “special operation”: I’d call it a “Rescue Mission”, as in Russian forces attempting to rescue the people of a bandit kingdom from their own stupidity and brainwashed condition. Shutting down the biowar labs, the gigantic money-laundering operations, child trafficking and sundry other forms of gangsterism are side benefits…
Interesting. Mr. Saker uses the description of the Kalliber strike on the merc base as an argument about whether ‘Russia is running out of manpower’. That was very accurate, but in a way that I’m not sure that Mr. Saker meant.
Modern warfare is not about manpower. Its about that ability to ‘reach out and touch someone’. Yes, once upon a time that was closely related to ‘manpower’. Nations formed large groups of people, armed them with swords, then pikes, then muskets, then rifles. The range of the fighting was what you could see. Those masses of people marched around, and used their power on a battlefield. How much ‘manpower’ you had, or people power in more revolutionary settings, was directly related to how much power you had. And you could only express that power in the place where those people were.
In modern war, a nation can easily use its power hundreds of miles away. And in terms of manpower, that missile crew is not very large.
This is what’s wrong with the ‘lines on the map move from side to side’ viewpoint on war that we see, especially on the capitalist propaganda services. It used to be true. Now, you really need to draw circles with radii of hundreds of miles around those lines on the map because that’s what they can reach out and touch from there.
For example, that’s what’s wrong with all of the morons in my country calling for a ‘no-fly zone’. They don’t realize that the circles of what an S-400 battery can cover mean that NATO aircraft will find a ‘no-go zone’ in the area where they are supposed to be enforcing a ‘no fly zone’. The only way around that is to attack the S-400 battery, which is why the few people with IQ’s above room temperature say that a ‘no-fly zone’ is the same thing as saying ‘world war III.’
My advice for these times …. give money to a local food bank or homeless shelter. They almost certainly need it in this era of the poor getting poorer and poorer.
I say this for two reasons. One, is a reminder of what Jesus said about ‘rich people’ getting into heaven. The second is, if we are all going to soon be in a line of 7 billion souls waiting an eternity to see St. Peter, then having a donation to a food bank as a recent entry on your permanent record can’t be a bad thing. And, you might want to die with a song in your heart. It will help pass the time in line. Because there’s going to be quite a rush, and St. Peter was only human.
The alternative would appear to be to effect a complete change in the power structures of the western capitalist world. Since I can’t accomplish that, I’m working on my singing and giving money to people who need it. :)
May God bless and keep you, your health and your family. Do take care of yourself.
Please know that, whatever happens with your blog, I have learned a great deal from you over the last few years. I will continue to try talking sense into my friends (a definite challenge), telling them in simple terms, “…Russia succeeds in Ukraine or we get WW III. The choice is ours.” I’ll write my Congress critters for any good it might do.
A blog can’t prevent a nuclear strike and less a war, not even an excellent one, as Saker. IF something happens, and I hope will not, in the new “Stone Age” will be no blogs…
The treasonous fake newsreaders/ teleprompter jockeys of the western Mockingbird media continue their psychopathic, warmongering gibberish in North America. The C.B.C. aka (Canadian Bolshevik Collaborators) in Canada makes the old Pravda disinformation look quaint. A population with the attention span of a gnat, dumbed down for decades and conditioned by the Empire of Lies can not st. War is a Racket by Smedley Butler explains how thing really work in the good ‘old U.S.A. really works. Godspeed Russia.
“How could I blame folks in Russia for not being able to imagine the utter suicidal depravity of the western ruling classes when I, who was born in the heart of Europe and lived all my life in the West could not imagine these ruling classes to be so absolutely out of touch with reality?”
Interesting …. because, I keep thinking that this is where I came into this surreal theater of the absurd.
I was born in America, coming of age during the Vietnam War. Which means, I saw this sort of depravity around me as I grew up. I grew up around people telling me that Lt. Calley was a hero for killing all of those civilians at My Lai. Maybe it wasn’t exactly the same as today, but I can certainly see a straight line connecting the dots from then to now. Almost all of the seeds of the current American madness can be seen on display in those times that I saw while learning how to pop pimples and comb my hair.
I was also told very directly that my country had no trouble at all with drafting me and sending me off to the jungles of Vietnam. What I wanted to do with my life, whether I wanted to live or die, that was of zero importance to the government of the USA. Just like being old in a country that sees more profit in making covid endemic.
And, all of this death, destruction, murder and mayhem was explained with a straight face by ‘The Domino Theory’ which said that if we let those godless commies take Vietnam, then Los Angeles would be next. Funny how Saigon fell, but the corporations took over Hollywood instead.
Maybe its because I was born here. Maybe its because I grew up with Ku Klux Klan cross burnings in the next county over. But, there is nothing about this current exercise of American mass hatred and leadership depravity that surprises me in the least. Picture Hubert Humphrey and Richard Nixon and listen to Joan Baez singing “Drugstore Truckdriving Man”, and this all just seems sadly familiar.
And if you think American military leadership has declined in my lifetime, go listen newsreel films of Gen. Westmoreland explaining “The Light in the Tunnel”.
“O, let America be America again—
The land that never has been yet—
And yet must be—the land where every man is free.
The land that’s mine—the poor man’s, Indian’s, Negro’s, ME—
Who made America,
Whose sweat and blood, whose faith and pain,
Whose hand at the foundry, whose plow in the rain,
Must bring back our mighty dream again.
Sure, call me any ugly name you choose—
The steel of freedom does not stain.
From those who live like leeches on the people’s lives,
We must take back our land again,
— an excerpt of “Let America be America Again, by Langston Hughes (1901-1967)
And, to Mr. Saker …. stay safe. And thanks for all the fish. :)
Escape to Bolivia.
If the war ends in a few months,(most likely), return to the US.
If nukes start flying, there’s no better place to be.
Let the Anglo shills and their myriad of European poodle nationals receive their divine justice.
Don’t waste time. Get off your butt, pack the wife and kids and head for safety. We, as Readers, are deeply grateful for your contribution and that of Bernhard et al. We too must place our trust in God. But we are not deceived and will not be deceived. Your service to us is near to over so do the Readers a favour and don’t jeopardize your safety.
We have long prayed, in the past, over all these matters and men. Mr Putin can be relied upon for good sense at all times. So also the leadership generally.
Those who threaten our, and your life, are in the gunsights of the Boss. He is alert to every action they take. Modern kings and rulers have no scriptural authority (some foolishly claim it is given them by Romans 13, Peter, etc). He is NOT using them for the governance of society – keeping it from anarchy??!!
He does know each elite family and each word or act they engage in.
When the Boss is angry the punters will feel His wrath and He is now pretty angry.
Regards, and we will see you again when we do.
“A nuclear strike happens anywhere. If we reach either of these points, then this will not only prove that the Saker blog failed in its main mission (avoid war) but it will also place me personally in an impossible situation.”
The upcoming war is a mostly certain, when? That’s the guess. But since the saker is himself christian, he knows just like other christians, jews and muslims that there is no way we can avoid the 3rd world war (and being in europe i’m pretty sure we will obliterated)
Conclusion : Eschatology speaking, it’s a matter of time
“Azov” began to desert from Mariupol. The terrorists, dressed in civilian clothes, are trying to get out of the city limits.
According to the head of the National Defense Control Center of the Russian Federation, Colonel-General Mikhail Mizintsev, the military managed to eliminate 93 Ukrainian militants who deserted from Mariupol in civilian clothes.
“Tonight, 93 of them have been liquidated, the locations of the rest have been determined by the bearing of radio communications. The question of their destruction is a matter of a short time,” Mizintsev said at a briefing.
Over the past two days, part of the militants numbering from 150 to 200 people, using humanitarian corridors, dressed in civilian clothes, deserted from the city and in scattered groups of 10-15 people move in the direction of Zaporozhye along country roads.
L’analyse est présentée dans un discours limpide, accessible, mais nous paraît d’autant plus plausible que vos hypothèses grosso modo celles auxquelles nous-mêmes pensons. Ceci, parce que contrairement aux clichés occidentaux, dépeigant le Président V. Poutine, président de la Fédération de Russie comme étant une personne de peu de foi, nous pensons qu’il avait déjà parlé de ce qui arrive aujourd’hui en Ukraine depuis 2007, à Berlin croyons-nous. À cette rencontre de l’élite européenne pour débattre de la sécurité globale en Europe, il stigmatisait déjà les dérives de l’OTAN. Il s’en suit que, de tous les présidents des puissances Euro-Atlantistes, il est le plus pensant, le plus rationnel, en terme de préservation des intérêts des uns et des autres dans un esprit de saine émulation et non prendre de force ce qui n’est pas à soi. Nous apprécions vos analyses d’une si grande simplicité, mais incroyablement justes !
I was interested in what you said, and sadly, my hillbilly American education did not include French. So, I went to yandex ….
“The analysis is presented in a clear, accessible speech, but seems to us all the more plausible that your assumptions roughly those to which we ourselves think. This, because contrary to Western clichés, portraying President V. Putin, President of the Russian Federation as a person of little faith, we believe that he had already spoken about what is happening in Ukraine today since 2007, in Berlin, we believe. At this meeting of the European elite to discuss global security in Europe, he was already stigmatizing the excesses of NATO. It follows that, of all the presidents of the Euro-Atlanticist powers, he is the most thinking, the most rational, in terms of preserving the interests of each other in a spirit of healthy emulation and not forcibly taking what is not his own. We appreciate your analyses of such great simplicity, but incredibly accurate!”
I’ll just add my hillbilly “Amen” to that. :)
That was a pretty heavy post Saker. And I agree that WW3 started a while ago. But why would anyone think that WMD are not already deployed? And not just the ones that go bang. Because there aren’t mass casualties in the news or mushroom clouds? I believe Zone A has one last card to play against Zone B when – not if – sanctions fail. Food crop destruction to make certain nations more accommodating to demands; the step before it goes nuclear. And honestly, it’d be surprising if this route wasn’t used in tandem with sanctions. Guess everyone will find out at harvest.
I refer you to:
Scientific American Magazine, Biological Warfare against Crops, June 1999
The Age, ‘Burnet’s solution: The plan to poison S-E Asia’, March 10 2022
‘Note on War from a Biological Angle’, Sir Macfarlane Burnet (good luck getting a copy )
In the articles IIRC, it relates that Australia developed a pathogen to target rice with the intention of causing the starvation death of several hundred Millions Chinese. With the add-on effect of depopulating the rest of East Asia of several hundred million more. After China joined the nuclear club, the plan was not surprisingly shelved.
And now we have – if the reports are accurate – US funded biological labs researching pathogens that target specific ethnic groups. The question is, given the advances in genetics that could target specific strains of food crops and plausible deniability, why wouldn’t zone A employ it? Keep in mind that there’s definitely a messianic mob dynamic going on in US government where fundamental norms are no more. It really is a war in all but name.
Some would say that Russia – via Ukraine – now controls about 30% of the world supply of wheat. Well, U.S. policy might very well dictate that Zone B has to be brought down to Zone A’s level – even if it means famine for their own populations. One can’t help but feel that Zone A view their population like WW1 generals viewed the conscripts ( Battle of Somme,1916 ). The lock downs greatly reinforced that view.
If it were me, I’d be on the alert for waves of mysterious illnesses and agriculture failures in the BRIC’s. Just enough to cause color revolutions, but not enough to prove conclusively where it originated and suspiciously timed. Example:China’s 2019 swine flu outbreak during the trade war. But you never know, events might stumble straight to nuclear. I hope not.
“Russia Delivers NATO Dire Warning With Polish Border Base Devastation — Strategic Culture” https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2022/03/17/russia-delivers-nato-dire-warning-with-polish-border-base-devastation/
Something seems to be missing from the various nuclear war scenarios I’ve seen discussed here. Consider this:
Since 2017, Russia has been expanding the naval port in Tartus, Syria. The agreement allows up to eleven capital ships including submarines to be stationed there, any of which may be armed with nuclear missiles. Distance to Israel is only 250-350 km, even less for a ship at sea, which means a flight time of only minutes with no possible chance of interception.
If the tail truly does wag the dog, then what happens, even in a “limited exchange” scenario as some analysts have put forth, if the tail is immediately cut off?
I leave it to the experts to judge the likelihood of this scenario, I’m just mentioning it as I haven’t seen it talked about anywhere. Does seem like a stalemate though, no?
I highly doubt the Apartheid State has anything to fear from Russian ships stationed in Syria. NATO fleets floating around in the Med Lake on the other hand, different story.
Russia can basically reach out and touch any enemy or enemy force on home turf. That was just classically demonstrated.
Canada’s defence minister admits Canada has no wrapons left, all resources wete sent to Ukraine. CBC News
John1, Canada could still send their up armoured fleet of Doreys. Canada’s version of the fast attack boat. They were recently refitted at the Irving shipyard in Halifax with the NATO classified FOOLS system.
Opps, sorry, FOOLS….Forward Operating Oar Launching System…..I have heard the splinters are really nasty.
Timbits! Timbits for all our brave Ukrainian friends!!!!
ZERO truth lives here in the Empire of Lies in the ” west.” Not everyone here is equal under the law. Special interests rule here, not the majority.
” If the people knew what we have done, they’d be chasing us down the streets and hanging us from the lamposts.” George H.W. Bush
Canada is divided by a Clown Car Show of a government, led by an imbecile who dresses up on occasion as Sinbad the sailor, including wearing blackface. I kid you not, he’s been reelected 3 times. He’s despised by many here. Our Deputy P.M. is no better, of Ukrainian heritage and her grandfather rumored to have collaborated with the nazis during W.W. 2. Our owned media are collaborators with the Empire of Lies. God help us.
“Our Deputy P.M. is no better, of Ukrainian heritage and her grandfather rumored to have collaborated with the nazis during W.W. 2.”
Not rumoured, confirmed. He ran a newspaper for them.
Looks like these things run in families:
Stupid Canadians don’t even know what that banner means. The news has reached comic proportions here in Canada and would be funny if it weren’t so pathetic. Just now on CBC they were talking about constant Russian shelling of civilians in Mariupol. Right. Russians shelling fellow Russians. Obviously the firing is coming from Azov positions that are trapped, but no mention of that anywhere in our media, and I’ve been monitoring them since this whole thing began. Also stories of constant shelling in Kiev, which you can see is not true just by tuning into their live cams.
Just now saw a CBC anchor trying to gin up hysteria on a live connection to a French reporter in Lviv over the missile strike on the aircraft facilities. Reporter said no panic, nothing in the city was hit, strike was expected as they were warned so nobody there, and it was, after all, a military target. Just straight reporting but you could see the talking head’s frustration at not getting anything but the facts.
These Canadian so-called journalists and anchors are a disgrace to the nation and to the memory of brave Canadians who died fighting Nazis in Europe not that long ago. They all belong in prison for treason.
“Doom Constellated? WW. III. 3. – Are There Enough Just on Earth?”
“where do we go from there once we make it?”
First you secure the area so the farmers can get the crop in.
You allow all refugees to return. You encourage it with 50% discount on gas to “occupied territories”.
They hold elections that are fair and democratic in the “occupied territories” and they vote to become East Ukraine. They abandon any idea of being part of a country with Galacia which will hold its own elections claiming to represent all of Ukraine.
They hold a referendum on a new constitution that validates neutrality, defensive arms and most importantly Russian peace keepers.
Why not just vote to join Russia? Russia might ask them not to. It is not in their interest to absorb that much that quick but you never know. A prosperous East Ukraine is in Russia’s best interest. That and the West Ukraine can look at it as they languish in Euro Purgatory LMAO.
Start rowing your boat towards Mexico Andrei, remember Japanese Internment camps? You are enemy of the U.S. now.
Your concern and tiredness is perceived. I know how you feel because we all feel that way. As a humanist I have never felt Spanish. I have not had a nation for a long time, my feelings have always been very close to Russia. I don’t know why but that’s the way it is. This shows me that a nation is chosen internally. Many times throughout the day I feel that this is the end of the world, or at least I feel that it is for many people.
Now I want to get a little more composed: this will work out. When we get into the problem we don’t see the way out, but little by little it will clear up, with a lot of patience, seeing also that we made mistakes. Anyway, I send you a hug. Sometimes you have to take some distance to see with perspective.
You do a great and impossible job, thank you. On most issues I usually agree with you, I may not be a military expert, or have any experience many others have, bit I still have my thirst for knowledge and my compulsive need for freedom of thought and critical thinking. I read The Saker and it is nice to feel my ego bloat sometimes because like you say, I get to be preached my own conclusions by people more prepared and knowledgeable than myself, But that is not the reason I read The Saker. Ego in the end can be very taxing for me.
I do not believe for one second that Westerners, specially those with the mentality of “exceptionalism” and that includes Zionist’s, are not utterly delusional, on the contrary, I’ve seen supposed great minds in complete denial of self obtained empirical evidence because what is clear, presents for them a total blow to their delusions and ego. But I also have seen how the elites act, they are like Chihuahuas, barking and barking and running towards a bigger dog but always stopping just short of an actual bite. This Chihuahuas are deluded in to believing that they are bigger and better than they actually are, but at their very core know that if they get bitten even once they will die, so they always back away. I believe this elites are the same, they dread loosing their creature conforts, more than their ego, they can’t live without their depravity, for them it is more important than oxygen, and they know a nuclear war with Russia will be an end to that.
They have to know that Russia is willing to end all, and Putin has to make surethey understand this, that he will not back away. Maybe Russia has to start being more confrontational, it is about existing not perception, and no one would care if the world was destroyed, that Russia behaved like a gentlemen till the very end. They have to know there is no bluff, so yes destroying NATO infrastructure when NATO crosses a redline, from my perspective, is a must.
They say RUSSIA is the aggressor? Ok then, let them have it. History won’t judge if there is no one left to judge, and if all of it averted, then history will judge Russia correct.
The last thing I want is for Russia to show them or
Put them in their place, as nice as that might appear to be, at the expense of catastrophe, but I do want it if it will avert such catastrophe.
Put your pen down. Go outside. For a walk. With your family. Spring is arriving where you are so feel the warmth of the sun on your skin that you haven’t noticed in months. Let the breeze fill your lungs with good air. Maybe the trees are in bud, new blossom. Perhaps there are birds returning from their winter refuges. Empty your mind of daily cares and just be in God’s creation for a while. Notice how beautiful it is? This will be good for you and make you feel better. Oh, and if you meet a bear along the way, don’t worry. Just let it be and don’t disturb it. They are harmless if left to live their lives in peace. Best wishes.
Look after yourself and family Andrei (and this applies to all who help on The Saker – and on MoA). Your analysis has been superb and, living in the West as I do, a breath of fresh, truthful air. You deserve a break. I hope you do not have to relocate but in any event wish you all the very best for the (uncertain) future. Oh and another great result for me…thanks for the introduction to Andrey Martyanov’s blog!
Could you take a vacation in Switzerland or get a Russian passport and go there to keep operating?
I don’t know what else can be done or said either Saker.
The campaign you have run has been extraordinary.
Your site has been one of few sources of information for me and many many others.
A lighthouse in a turbulent sea of ignorance.
I also see what could be if the insane elites in the west attempt to amass troops near Russia.
So perhaps it is time for good soldiers to rest a bit and repair for what is to come…
Peace upon you, the readers of this site and the outstanding commenters who have not only illumined my mind but also touched my heart.
Either would suffice.
Fire and Ice
By Robert Frost
Some say the world will end in fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I’ve tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
I read on some Serbian (western financed) news outlets that Slovakia agreed to give S300 to Ukraine, and in exchange, they will get Patriot systems from Germany and Netherlands. In fact, I remember a couple days ago there was a news item that Germany is transferring some air defense systems to strengthen Slovakia.
During a couple of weeks many (fake) news appeared about sending Mig 29s from Poland, Romania and/or Bulgaria to Ukraine. Their governments reasonably decided not to engage in such risky endeavor. It is interesting to observe how western countries are trying to push eastern, Slavic nations against Russia (as they did with Ukraine). Just speculation without deep evidence, but I have feeling that again it is anti-Slavic rascism that acts from the depths of EU/Reichs elites.
I do not know if this thing about Slovakia is true. If true, then we might soon see a next turning point in this situation. If Russia decided to go to Ukraine because it was clear that supporting Donbas only would not be effective, then why would not Russian forces strike S300s and other supporting infrastructure at their current locations? Maybe to destroy some more infrastructure, in other countries as well, to prevent other attempts?
If the news about Slovakian involvement is not true, then we will probably observe more additional attempts from western masters to expand this conflict and provoke large scale war. They do not stop so easily.
Some videos for today.
POV footage of Russian helicopter live-fire combat:
Russian drone strikes destroy Kiev regime’s military equipment and warehouses:
If you’re still around what’s your take on this from RWA on Twitter:
More details coming in from the Russian strike against a military base near Nikolayev, including extremely graphic photos that I won’t post. Sources are saying 50+ dead.
Actually Southfront just posted about it. Looks like over 200 killed. Very nasty. War is hell:
Ah ok thanks, I saw this after my post. This comes after many people suggested Russia’s recent slight withdrawal/retreat in Nikolayev was in fact to “bait” the Ukies out in the open who were chomping at the bit to advance. It seems perhaps those theories might have had validity as Russia “retreated” slightly towards Kherson, allowed a day for Ukie forces to build themselves up in one big barracks, and then leveled the area with missiles. I guess so much for that counter attack.
I stumbled upon this Telegraph channel ANNA-NEWS which seems to be the source for much of what everyone else is posting:
Go to page 1 and find my post in response to user named “grr” I just posted the photos. It is real and the dead are more like 200-400. Control+F to “find” my name on page 1 and find the post, it should go up soon as I just submitted it a minute ago.
Very sorry to learn that your health is getting worse, brother. I’ve been reading your insights for years and hope to learn a lot more in the years to come. Love
No need to worry. Revelation 20 and I Corinthians 15 are clear that there will be people alive on earth when Jesus returns. However, it doesn’t specify whether or not a nuclear war will be imminent when that takes place. So, you might want to become a little more fervent in prayer.
And if that doesn’t work, God helps those who help themselves, and sometimes no one else.
I’ll just add this:
A sincere thank you for carrying some of the loads for Peace for as long as you have – should the worst happen.
It’s not inevitable, but ‘divine intervention’ – or dumb luck – sure would help matters. Let’s hope that this is the
first World War that fizzles out into a regional conflict.
As you give the example of Hezbollah during 2006 war with Israel & and US actually the war was with the Empire of Lies and they surrendered to Hezbollah terms l believe they will do the same to Russia because Russian are ready to secrefis for their cause and their land by blood which is not applicable for the ather side .
So I believe Russia will prevail .
As for the narrative of the MSM about ” cancel Russia” by the empire of lies you know it came to my mind what pharaoh said to people.
The almighty said
Pharaoh said ” I do not show you except what I see and I do not guide you except to the path of righteousness”
In the meantime…Crimea celebrates unification with Russia.
Take a look at that stadium.
More than 203,000 people came to the Luzhniki concert in honor of the reunification of Crimea with the Russian Federation
Law enforcement officers ensure the protection of public order and the safety of citizens at the stadium
MOSCOW, March 18. /tass/. More than 203 thousand people are taking part in a festive concert in Luzhniki Stadium in honor of the Day of Crimea’s Reunification with Russia. This was reported to journalists on Friday in the press service of the metropolitan police headquarters.
Police officers, in cooperation with colleagues from other law enforcement agencies, ensure the protection of public order and the safety of citizens at the stadium. “There are more than 100 thousand people on the territory adjacent to the stadium, and more than 95 thousand citizens directly at the stadium itself,” the press service said.
The Moscow Department of Transport in its Telegram channel noted a record number of passengers who came to the Luzhniki Sports Complex by metro, MCC and ground urban transport-almost 200 thousand people.
“Over the past five years, such a huge number of people have not visited the stadium, even during the 2018 FIFA World Cup. We are fully in control of the situation, for the convenience of passengers, we have launched a minimum interval of train movement at the MCC, opened turnstiles in the metro for quick and comfortable exit, ” Maxim Liksutov, Deputy Mayor of Moscow for Transport, is quoted in the message. Moscow transport is operating normally….
Yep and a huge media black out of the event. In fact the one or two tiny attempts at a ‘report’ I’ve seen from any western source, they allegedly interviewed a women who claimed that she was “bussed in” with other people from somewhere else and wasn’t even told where she was going, i.e. in support of the narrative that the only reason the crowd was so large was because Putin just bussed thousands of people into the stadium from all over and paid them off. Complete joke
On Telegram there are more and more videos of Nazis being taken alive, either surrendering or being caught trying to sneak out of Mariupol disguised as civilians (all those glorious social media posts with heroic photos suddenly don’t seem to have been a good idea). Apparently suddenly fighting to the last has lost its appeal.
I know what you mean about health. I’ve been suffering from stress induced incessant stomach cramps for over a week now. However I think you’re wrong about the EUNATO scum actually beginning direct hostilities. Bidet may be a brainless blob but the Wall Street moneybags behind him won’t be eager to have their bank accounts and market shares reduced to nuclear slag.