by Ghassan Kadi
In an article published in the Lebanese daily Assafir on 12th of March 2016 under the title of “Saudi Arabia paves the way for an Israelis war on Lebanon”, (1) the political editor sarcastically and mockingly made a comment to the effect that after the Arab League declared Hezbollah a terrorist organisation, it may formally ask Israel to engage in a war against it.
As a matter of fact, this is not a far-fetched possibility and more so, is increasingly becoming a geo-political “necessity”.
In December 2013, prominent analyst Sharmine Narwani, predicted that a “Security Arc” was on the rise (2). Taking all other outstanding articles that she has written into account, this one possibly stands out as her masterpiece thus far. I was privileged that I was asked by the author to translate it into Arabic. In that article, Sharmine predicted that the empire and its allies will sooner or later face a rising new alliance to counter their conspiracies in the region. She predicted that Iran, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon (as represented by Hezbollah and allied forces) were going to eventually form a military alliance that will stand against terrorism, jihadi fundamentalism and the American/Israeli roadmap. Clearly, we can see this prediction coming to fruition. What Sharmine perhaps did not foresee was the Russian intervention in the manner and extent that we see today. In hindsight and in fairness, the magnitude of the Russian intervention was highly unforeseeable.
A lot has changed since the term “Security Arc” was coined, and the head of the serpent has already taken a jump and a skip.
Ever since ISIS took over Mosul and self-financed, it became clear to myself and many other analysts that we were seeing a major shift in the course of events. Whilst many others continue to promote the idea that ISIS is totally and entirely an American pawn that answers to American masters, the events on the ground clearly show that there has been at least a partial American–Jihadi divorce akin to the previous Bin Laden–American divorce. This time however, America seems to be wiping its hands clean and walking right out of this quagmire.
In his recent interview with Jeffrey Goldberg (3), President Obama made a scathing attack on his Saudi allies and other “free loaders” who want to drag America into regional wars that it is not at all interested in, in order for them to settle their own scores. Obama went further and bragged his decision not to attack Syria after all the bravado that followed the East Ghouta chemical attack of August 2013 and which was framed onto the Syrian Army. In reading in between the lines Obama is saying it for the first time to his Middle Eastern allies; when it comes to your sectarian vendettas, you’re on your own.
Certainly the issue of Israeli security will always be a soft spot for American foreign policy makers. At this stage however, the security of Israel per se is not an issue and any decisions made around it will be made independently.
As I have been reiterating for quite some time now, the “Anti-Syrian Cocktail” is a group of nations and organisations that were united only by their hatred for Syria and its President. Apart from that they had very diverse interests and goals. Given that America was unable to achieve its objective of toppling President Assad, it has no interest left in that war when it sees that the major players there have their own agendas. Also given that America clearly sees that the warring factions have scores that are centuries old and each party wishing to settle them on his own terms, America is literally walking out on many of its regional allies. The Iran nuclear deal was a part, a huge part, of this new understanding and revelation. It was not surprising then that soon after the Iran nuclear deal, Saudi Arabia pulled its own sleeves and went into Yemen; albeit to get bogged in. Obama must be gleefully saying thank God we didn’t get involved in that one as well.
In all of the above, Turkey was not mentioned.
Even though Turkey is a NATO member it was not allowed to free load and use its NATO-based clout to settle its scores with either the Kurds or what is sees as its Shia rivals.
Where does this leave Saudi Arabia, Turkey and to a lesser extent Qatar and the UAE? Without the direct support of America and NATO, those states that are run by Sunni zealots are going to find themselves out in the cold and hung out to dry. They will be in a desperate need to assert their military and regional geo-political superiority against the “Security Arc”. With America pulling out of the scene, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Turkey will have to, sooner or later, find a way to fill the void and forge a new alliance with a new partner, and there is none that fits the bill other than Israel. Only Israel shares their concerns and fears about the same regional opponent.
Saudi Arabia has been systemically talking about a forthcoming Shiite threat. Its involvement in the “War On Syria” is in essence instigated by this vision, and so is its more recent war against Yemen. For at least a decade now Saudi and Qatari funds have been flooding Sunni power bases and different media with anti-Shiite and anti-Hezbollah propaganda. From a popularity high after the July War of 2006 when Hezbollah banners were flown in major Sunni cities all over the Middle East, something that was seen as a serious threat by the Saudi royals back then, the Saudi royals have been able to brainwash and sway the minds of a significant percentage of the Sunni street.
In unprecedented speed and determination, the Arab nations have finally blacklisted Hezbollah. First, during an Arab Foreign Minister’s meeting in Jeddah in February 2016, followed by Arab Interior Minister’s meeting in Tunis in March 2016 and then last but not least, an Arab League Meeting that has formally declared Hezbollah as a terror organisation.
As mentioned in a previous article, the Palestinian Authority has endorsed the first two decisions, and since then has endorsed the third.
It is highly likely that the PA will finally receive its consolation prize and be given token statehood over a very tiny fraction of Palestine, thereby selling out Palestine, the Palestinian people and the right of return, in part of a bigger deal that will make Saudi Arabia appear to be the liberator of Jerusalem and the leader of the Sunni world in the hope that this will bolster its leadership and guise it with grandeur and might.
The Saudi camp Arabs have finally reached common ground with Israel.
The fundamentalist Sunni mind that Saudi and Gulf money has forged is one that sees Iran and Hezbollah as a bigger regional threat than Israel. The ground is becoming more fertile for a fundamentalist Sunni-Israeli alliance. The strategic “need” is already overwhelming, and the support of the masses is not very far away. Jihadi preachers will not find the task of providing “evidence” that Jews are closer to Sunnis than Shia a hard task to achieve. The fundamentalist Sunni street is quite ready for such a push. The formalisation of this alliance is only a question of time before it is overtly announced and before officials from both sides of the Abrahamic divide exchange visits, gifts, kisses and Ambassadors and before their armies fight together in the same trenches. In reality, however, this alliance is already in existence.
It is not good news. An alliance between Israel, Turkey, KSA and Qatar will not bring any positive things to the world. They are all the four terrorist states much more dangerous than the Hezbollah.
I note also that the PA and the Hamas have been corrupted and are actually under the control of that alliance. They are in fact not working in behalf of the Palestinians. The Palestinian people have been betrayed. Let us hope that KSA will become bankrupted before they have time to add to the nightmare.
You write an interesting thesis, but then interpose some concepts that are highly questionable.
You treat ‘Israel’ as an eternal reality. To do that is to surrender Palestine to the land thieves.
Jews belong along Kings Highway – in Brooklyn, or several other locations in Queens, Nassau & Suffolk. Perhaps, even a portion of Germany is due them. Palestine belongs to the Palestinians, by Right, by Truth, by Justice, by every other way, other than Military Victory (which eludes them), because – as long as the Zionists control the American Government, victory by the Palestinians will be very difficult.
You continue: “Even though Turkey is a NATO member it was not allowed to free load and use its NATO-based clout to settle its scores with either the Kurds or what is sees as its Shia rivals.” Are you hallucinating? The Turkish Oligarchs have shut down their own political opposition, politicians and press, downed a Russian bomber, have killed thousands of Kurds, dislocated hundreds of thousands more Kurds, and millions of Syrians, continue to aid the Obomber-Americans and Zionists – to supply their terrorist army, (ISIS-MOSSAD-CIA-Haganah-US-Zionist Armed Forces), in their murderous war against the Syrian People and their Nation.
The Terrorists have not been shut down, and the -Anointed One- is due to take the helm for the Rothschilds.
“President Obama made a scathing attack on his Saudi allies…” Scathing? Scathing? I’ll show you “scathing” but the Saker will not print it. Hollywood actor Obomber makes no decisions on his own. The American people have not heard any sort of ‘scathing’ attack on Zionist owned America’s Puppets.
The Huffington Post has many attacks on Russian President Vladimir Putin, Headlining him as a “Thug.” The NY Times, the major Zionist propaganda organ, has repeatedly slandered Putin, and the elected Russian government. They use “scathing,” No such ‘scathing has been used against Zionist America’s puppets.
Your intimation of a “Sunni-Jewish Convergence,” gives too much credit to the Sunnis. They are, as with the American people, brainwashed accomplices in the terror of the Rothschild & fellow Oligarchs New World order.
You conclude with “The Saudi camp Arabs have finally reached common ground with Israel.”
That is not a new fact. The Zionists and Saudis and Americans, and European puppets, and Japan, have been serving the Rothschild devils for more than a century.
In America, we need to regain our Sovereignty, through the Restoration of our Democratic Republic – so brutally murdered, along with our martyred Constitutional warriors, the Kennedys, ML King, Malcolm X, Fred Hampton, and hundreds more.
For the Democratic Republics! Here and There!
your comment is why people think american sense of ‘war’ is a joke.
Turkey has killed a few 1,00,000 (lakh) at most & is not even on a war footing economy.
No chemical-biological weapons, no carpet bombing air raids etc.
In short, no this is what skirmishes look like not actual total war.
It’s only a threat of russia attacking from the rear, that stops them from doing this in the south btw.
and whom do the Rothschild & fellow Oligarchs of the New World order serve ?
“… and the -Anointed One- is due to take the helm for the Rothschilds.”
Could you elaborate on who the “anointed one” might be. Thanks.
Anonymous: Could you elaborate on who you are? – Just joking!!
The Anointed One – is Hilary Clinton. She has been chosen since (at least) 2012, to follow Hollywood Obomber as the next Treasonous Unconstitutional pretend President of the US of A.
Yes, President Obama has expressed intentions to quit the ME nightmare.
And, it is also true that, Jihadi terrorism and Wahabi militarism owned by Saudi-Turkey-Qatari clans is aided and abated by Israel.
However, the commentator is entirely wrong to expect that the AngloZionist clique who controls complete power in USA/Europe/Israel will want to quit from ME … They are and will be there as the Hegemon (in the background).
Good point. The Middle East is pivotal for US power: political, geo-strategic, military and economic. The ME is a cash-cow and control of the oil trade is the mainstay of the otherwise valueless dollar. Besides they have their bases there (and building more) for the very purpose of supporting their attack dogs: Saudis, Zionists, ISIS, etc.
Good article on Lebanon although simplified a bit much–the Lebanese army is not going to let the Sunni-Shia manufactured divide ruin the country. And Christian and Druze Lebanese? Where are they going to weigh in? No one benefits from chaos in Lebanon and everyone there has lived that lesson. As for Jerusalem? No, the Israelis are not going to give one inch of that to anyone for anything much less let the Saudi family parade their as its
Lebanese army can’t stop the demographic decline, which began a century ago. Back then, Lebanon was a 80%+ christian maronite country, today you know the situation.
Also in re: to my previous comment, there is also no real power but Iran to save palestine & if it turns into an arab v persian brawl, they’ll stop caring.
Palestine proves, you can cry about morals all you want but military power is above morality on the battlefield.
A very prescient article. It is interesting to watch as power ebbs from Saudi, Quatar and Israel.
Middle east : Jewish supremacism + sunni supremacism = True.
West : Jewish supremacism+black supremacism+hispanic supremacism VS white supremacism = True.
The world long term : Jewish supremacism VS all = True.
What is not true about it? Articulate.
West : Jewish supremacism + white supremacism vs all = True.
Pretty sure if that was true then Europeans in the west saying negative things about immigration would be imprisoned by the state for “Hate” and Europeans wouldnt be minorities in their own capitals like English in London nor would the European states give racial privileges to anyone born non-white such as affirmative action.
Jewish supremacism + white supremacism would be the most massive power on earth.. But there is a reason it doesnt exists, white supremacism would be a lot a lot more powerful then jewish supremacism, the reasons Jewish supremacism so easily teams up with hispanic supremacism, sunni supremacism, black supremacism, is because these are all much weaker then jewish supremacism, while white supremacism would be far more powerful then jewish supremacism, I have also never seen a strain of white supremacism that is tolerant of jewish supremacism, infact white supremacism might be the least tolerant of jewish supremacism of all the types of supermacism that exists.
A few naturally sun tanned folks staying in the West doesn’t detract from the fact that the West is white and white supremacy inclined. And the West has been the most massive power on earth for the last say 500 years.
Middle east : Jewish supremacism + sunni supremacism = True
West : Jewish supremacism + white supremacism vs all = True
The world long term : Jewish supremacism VS all = True
And Russia, throughout the ages, and at present, has being keen on being accepted by the West as a fellow white brother. So Russia wants to join the West as defined above, wants to be accepted as a brother by the AngloZionist alliance.
Interesting that the English have always referred to the Germans as the Huns, then there is the English quote from Winston Churchill I believe it was who said ‘scratch the Russian and you scratch the Tatar’.
I fear there is no inclination towards white supremacy in the west. You will find no population on this earth more castrated and domesticated than native Europeans. A hundreds thousand african and arabs into Japan and it would be called an invasion, in Sweden that is just called another year of normal immigration.
Will native Europeans ever regain their spirit? And could they ever become supremacists again and begin to compete with jewish supremacists and black supremacists alike? Doubtful, even in Greece, that is in full economic collapse, at the very front of Turkey that floods Europe with ISIS supporters, the “Greek supremacists” party Golden Dawn is still not a majority, infact it is not even at 10%. So we know that even if Europe was faced with a total economic collapse, they wont stand up.
Black and hispanic supremacism probably is out, the world stands between Asian and Jewish supreamcism now.
The age of European is most likely over, and soon they will be gone or at least permanently marginalised.. After a few hundred years, what type of supremacism will take white supremacism places? Jewish? Sunni? Perhaps it is Chinese turn now, an age of asian supremacism.
i think it’s high time that the “Sunni v. Shia” meme be put to rest. It encourages a simplistic and obfuscating view of the conflicts. The more correct term would be “Wahabi V. Shia”. Saudi V. Shia would also serve. I’m dismayed that otherwise well intentioned writers persist in reinforcing the Washington narrative by using its terminology.
Another “analyst” who actually believes what Obama says. That says it all. Anyone who doesn’t realize that Obama is a serial liar, who has no views of his own and merely obeys his white (and Jewish) Chicago masters, is not fit to publish “analysis”.
That there may be a convergence between Israeli and Saudi interests is no surprise. But that the US and NATO ruling elites are not calling the shots behind the scenes is naive in the extreme.
Sure enuf, here’s news about ISIL warring in east Lebanon
Sun Mar 13, 2016 1:35
ISIL Enraged after Suffering Heavy Losses to Hezbollah in East Lebanon
TEHRAN (FNA)- The ISIL terrorist group has posted a video on the Internet, promising to avenge their losses at the hands of Hezbollah and the Lebanese Armed Forces in the Baalbek Highlands this weekend.
According to the video footage released by ISIL, the terrorist group stated that sooner or later they will get their revenge against the Lebanese Armed Forces, Hezbollah, and the Lebanese political elite that are attempting to eliminate their presence in Lebanon, Al-Masdar reported.
The idea that Israel can forge an alliance with Islam might come as a shock only for the deluded American “Christian-Zionists”. TheAmerican Right (and Left as well) imagine that Judaism is united to the West culturally and has good will toward the U.S. in particular. They stobbornly refuse to know that in traditional Orthodox Judaism, Western civilization is both malkhut zadon (the empire of insolence) and “kochi ve’otzem yadi of Edom,” (the wicked progeny of Esau). In that respect, they share with Islam the same loathing and hatred of Christianity (and all Gentiles). History offers innumerable examples of collusion and collaboration between Jews and Muslims for the defeat and subsequent exploitation of Christians.
These facts were fully understood from the very beginning of rampage of Islam throughout the World. The Armenian historian Ghewond (7th-8th Century) wrote in his ‘History’ which covers the period from ca. 632 to 788 and includes descriptions of the Arab invasions of Armenia in the mid 7th century, the wars fought by the caliphate against Byzantium and the Khazars, the settlement of Arab tribes in Asia Minor and the Caucasus, and the overthrow of the Umayyads, as well as information on Arab tax policies, the status of the Armenian Church, and the Armenian and Arab nobilities:
“Once Heraclius’ son [Constantine III, 613-641] had come to rule in his father’s stead, the Lord awakened the spirits of malevolent men so that through them the blood of Christians would be shed in vengeance, because we had sinned before the Lord God. [The Arabs] began to form brigades and mass troops against Constantine’s realm, against Judaea and Asorestan, having for support the command of their law-giver, that sower of darnel, to “Go against the countries and put them under your rule, for the plenty of the world has been given to us for our enjoyment. Eat the meat of the select ones of the countries, and drink the blood of the mighty.” The Jews were their supporters and leaders, having gone to the camp at Madiam and told them: “God promised Abraham that He would deliver up the inhabitants of the world in service [to him]; and we are his heirs and sons of the patriarch. Because of our wickedness, God became disgusted with us and lifted the scepter of kingship from us, subjecting us to the servitude of slavery. But you, too, are children of Abraham and sons of the patriarch. Arise with us and save us from service to the emperor of the Byzantines, and together we shall hold our realm.” [The Arabs] were encouraged further hearing this, and went against Judaea.”
You won’t be surprised that “latest research regarding the construction of the Dome of the Rock – the magnificent structure that stands atop the site of the Holy of Holies – shows that it was originally built not for Muslims at all. Rather, it was built for the Jewish People!…The Al-Aksa Mosque [at the southern end of the Mount, opposite the Dome of the Rock – HF] was built as a Muslim house of prayer outside the boundaries of the original Temple Mount, and therefore it points southward towards Mecca. And at the request of the Jews, Omar built the Dome of the Rock sanctuary to serve as a house of prayer for the Jews. This was after the Jews showed him the site where the Holy Temple had stood – and it does not point to Mecca….the Byzantine historian Theophanes wrote a Greek work entitled ‘Chronographia’:
“In this year [635 C.E.], Omar began to restore the Temple at Jerusalem, for the building, in truth, no longer then stood firmly founded, but had fallen to ruin. Now when Omar inquired the cause, the Jews answered saying, ‘Unless thou throw down the Cross, which stands on the Mt. of Olives, the building of the Temple will never be firmly founded.’ Thereupon Omar threw down the Cross at that place, in order that the building (of the Temple) might be made firm…” This is what the “Arutz Sheva. Israelinternationalnews.com” found necessary to remind us on 11/19/2014!
Indeed, “Jihadi preachers will not find the task of providing “evidence” that Jews are closer to Sunnis than Shia a hard task to achieve. The fundamentalist Sunni street is quite ready for such a push. They will easily find that the same hill on which the Dome of the Rock stands is the traditional site of Abraham’s sacrificial altar for Isaac, the threshing floor or Araunah, and the site of the First and the Second Temple. The formalisation of this alliance is only a question of time before it is overtly announced and before officials from both sides of the Abrahamic divide exchange visits, gifts, kisses and Ambassadors and before their armies fight together in the same trenches. In reality, however, this alliance is already in existence”. The Rabbis and the Mullahs will easily find that the same hill on which the Dome of the Rock stands is the traditional site of Abraham’s sacrificial altar for Isaac, the threshing floor or Araunah, and the site of the First and the Second Temple. They will not pull down the Dome of the Rock, they will transform it in the Third Temple. From the Muslim point of view the Dome of the Rock was an answer to and a denial of the attractions of Christianity and its Scriptures, providing the “faithful” with arguments to be used against Christian theology. The inscriptions are seven hundred and thirty-four feet long in all, amongst the lengthiest inscriptions in the world. This is what the Third Temple is supposed to be!
But it worth remembering what happened to the attempt to rebuild the Temple under the reign of Emperor Julian the Apostate!
“History offers innumerable examples of collusion and collaboration between Jews and Muslims for the defeat and subsequent exploitation of Christians.”
The invasion of Christian Iberia by Islamic forces in 711AD was greatly supported by the Jews who acted as a 5th column and became the enforcers of Islamic rule against the Christians, who did not forget it. Later there was a pay-back.
@Later there was a pay-back.
And all Sephards fled to Turkey where quickly became the bankers of the Sultans, enjoying “great prosperity” (on the backs of the Ghiaur whom they fleeced with the same enthusiasm as did to the Goys in Spain) and contributing financially to the glorious aggrandisement of the Jihadist Ottoman Empire!
It amazes me that the brainwashed Christian Zionists rail against Islamism, and then point their fingers at the wrong enemy – Iran. Though as an atheist I oppose Sharia law in any form, it’s hard to argue that Iran is worse than Saudi Arabia — in fact, the Iranians seem to be less fanatical and more reasonable in just about every way. Therefore, why do so many American conservatives shriek about the Iranian nuclear deal, when this is exactly what we needed to do to confront the real source of 90% of the world’s Islamic terrorism — Saudi Arabia?
“Therefore, why do so many American conservatives shriek about the Iranian nuclear deal, when this is exactly what we needed to do to confront the real source of 90% of the world’s Islamic terrorism — Saudi Arabia?”
First of all when it comes to Zionists there is not much difference between US conservatives, liberals, independents, whatever.
Saudi Arabia is in their pocket, it now functions as a vassal state for the Zionists.
Iran attempts to have an independent policy, and this is unacceptable in the long run.
Sooner or later Iran must be brought down to her knees (at least this is their goal).
“Whilst many others continue to promote the idea that ISIS is totally and entirely an American pawn that answers to American masters, the events on the ground clearly show that there has been at least a partial American–Jihadi divorce akin to the previous Bin Laden–American divorce.”
Yes, America “divorced” its terror asset, Usama Bin Laden.
The 9-11 attack was masterminded and executed by Bin Laden and some dudes in a cave in Afghanistan.
And Weapons of Mass Destruction really were found in Iraq.
” Fundamentalism on the rise”
Fundamentalism is the politically correct term for Fascism.
Fascism itself is the politically correct term for Nihilism.
Nihilism – in its many flimsy disguises such as Bolshevism, Naziism, Zionism, Wahhabism, Neoconism, etc. – has been ‘on the rise’ for the last three millennia, at least.
The Psychopaths & Parasites don’t know better. Lacking creativity they resort to destructiveness (called Chutzpah when so-called Jews are involved).
It works fantastically. Forests burned down, fountains poisoned, cities destroyed, world domination achieved. And yet, something seems missing…
This partnership between Israel and Suni Monarchies has been visible for decades.
Opponents of Israel have been Baathists in Iraq, Syria, then Muamar Gaddafi and Egypt=>secular regimes.
To me this is nothing new.
Very interesting historical document from the year 1930. It looks like history repeat itself
… Sunni-Zionist, perhaps?
The Truth is always scarier than belief. I stopped attending the Friday Prays when support for Jihad in Syria was at pitch levels. I got my wife to understand with simplistic but logical facts. We are Sunni of course. I’m not at all persuaded by Shi thought either rather I am more fearful and alert of the schisms. I am determine not to join sides but I am also convinced that Justice do urges sides.The truth hurts too, How it is that these insignificant (non-Thinking) bigots manage a hold on us. Thank God I loved & learned History not as it were taught from the text books-not that I am correct all of the times. What I am sure convinced of is that What the Northern Atlantic Tribes have created or tolerate are what’s affecting our communities societies and humanity. They wrote the Books-they were the victors and failures of their own wars and makings. It is from this I survive the popular insanity of today