Okay, now that we have all celebrated the beautiful Greek “NO!” to the EU plutocracy, we need to get real again and look at the Empire’s options.  Or, in fact, at the Empire’s option (with no ‘s’ at the end).

The Empire is extremely predictable.  The example of Greece is a textbook case of how the Empire uses banks to strangle a country with debt, creates a comprador ruling class, turns the national media into an instrument of imperial propaganda and tries to completely halt any democratic process by dealing only with the ruling class.  By some quasi miracle this last phase has failed in the case of Greece.

I might be mistaken, but my feeling is that the Empire never took Syriza very seriously or, if it did, it did so way too late.  As for Tsipras and Varoufakis, they probably were as suprized as the rest of us when they suddenly were “upgraded” for the leadership of a 5% party to the leaders of the entire Greek nation.  I also get the feeling that neither Tsirpas nor Varoufakis fully expected the tsunami which they unleashed with this referendum.  But whatever may be the case, was is done is done and, to the absolute horror of the Eurobureaucrats, the Greek people have spoken and right now the Empire has only one option: to either co-opt or overthrow the Greek government, which ever works best.

My strictly personal feeling is that it is too late co-opt the government.  Besides, both Tsipras and Varoufakis have become such hated figures amongst the Eurobureaucrats that overthrow is probably the preferred option.

Apparently, this process is already under way.  Varoufakis who has late has yesterday was saying “you are stuck with me” to a reporter, has now already resigned.  As for Tsipras, he appears to be begging for negotiations.  I hope that I am wrong, but I am underwhelmed by what I have seen so far.

Yet another color revolution next?

The example of Gaddafi clearly shows that a national leader can totally roll over and submit to the AngloZionists and *still* be overthrown.  My guess is that no amount of concessions from Tripras will be enough to keep him in power.  He has humiliated the Eurobureaucrats and they will not forgive him.  The only logical solution for the Empire now is to make an example of Greece.

No matter what, Greece will face extremely difficult times, both politically and economically.  We have recently seen how a country – in this case Armenia – can be easily “punished” for daring to disobey the imperial diktats.  I think that Greece right now is a much weaker and fragile country than Armenia.  For one thing, the Germans and Americans more or less run, and even own, the place.  Second, a good solid third of the country was willing to accept the terms of the ultimatum of the transnational plutocracy.  Third, Greece is surrounded by NATO and instability on all sides.  Fourth, the country’s entire media is owned by the AngloZionists.  Fifth, Greece lacks natural resources or a good market outside the EU.

Unlike others, I do not fear the Greek military too much.  Yes, it is generally on the side of the comprador elites but the last thing the EU wants is yet another Fascist military junta in power in an EU country.  Also, the reaction of the Greek people to an overt coup might be very unpredictable.

I think that the most likely scenario is that the next thing that will happen is a Greek Maidan, followed by accusations of police brutality and all the rest of the typical color revolution scenario.  At the end of the day, what will happen will largely depend on the stance which Tsipras and his party will take: if they seek to appease the Eurobureaucrats, if they offer infinite concessions and if they act like loyal “EU patriots” they will be crushed.  But if they appeal directly to the Greek people and explain to them that this is a struggle for national-liberation and that they need the people’s support, help and protection, then they might well prevail, especially if they chose to break free from the Eurozone and turn to the Eurasian Economic Union and China for support.  I hope that I am wrong, but I don’t see Tsipras daring to do something that dramatic.  This is why I predict a color revolution next.

We shall all know soon enough.

The Saker

The Essential Saker: from the trenches of the emerging multipolar world