Kazakhstan and Russia (Andrei Martyanov) 19170 Views January 05, 2022 Guest Analyses The Saker A short update by Andrei Martyanov. The Essential Saker IV: Messianic Narcissism's Agony by a Thousand Cuts Order Now The Essential Saker III: Chronicling The Tragedy, Farce And Collapse of the Empire in the Era of Mr MAGA Order Now Tagged Andrei MartyanovKazakhstan
But Andrei – we do like you!
Many thanks for rising from your sick bed to inform us about these worrying events so far away, in places many of us benighted Westerners have barely heard of.
Best wishes for a rapid return to your usual rude health!
We love you man! You are one of my favorite geopolitucal analyst!
This coup will be another failure for U. S Empire.
Bem… Eu não sei ouvir m inglês, mas acho que é hora de China ( e o Irã, etc, etc ) serem mais incisivos agora. A zona A está dobrando as apostas… A Rússia não pode seguir sozinha…
É a hora da verdade.
Well… I can’t hear English, but I think it’s time for China (and Iran, etc, etc) to be more incisive now. Zone A is doubling the stakes… Russia cannot go it alone…
It’s the moment of truth.
You can get subtitles in any of many languages. Go to the Settings lower right of YouTube video, click on subtitles, auto-translate, pick your language from the list and you can read what is said.
Fortunately, the Russians pulled 10,000 troops from the Ukrainian border. So, maybe the logistics will not be as difficult as first thought! The empire is certainly pressing hard on Russia’s borders.
This is child’s play for the Russian military.
They move 150,000 with all their vehicles from one side of the nation to the other in 24 hours.
They have been doing massive exercises for years with 300,000 men.
To move 3000 is like you loading your car trunk with 2 suitcases and driving off.
No one is pressing hard at Russia’s borders. They don’t dare come within range of TOS MLRSs or even TORs or Iskanders.
The danger is missile launchers within a few minutes flight time of cruise missiles. Like what is in Romania and coming into Poland.
The US wants a military base in Kazakhstan for peaceful purposes, democracy building and to help repatriate their resources. God’s work!
Want stability, security and prosperity?
All these Stans should return as republics and get on with a better future.
They should look at Chechnya as an example.
No way, republics would mean Russia foots the bill for these leeches.
That’s precisely why Russia should not invade Ukraine.
If they want Russia, its exclusive, no military dialogue with the west, no double deals and backdoors.
They need to give Russia preference, as in no rent for baikonur space port.
How do you even go into talks with the US after this?
They’re even saying it’s not them, yeah it was a ghost, cus it definitely wasnt the chinese.
Yet the protestors are using same tactics as HK , Hungary, Czech, Navalny, and Belarus soros funded protestors.
If the shoe fits…
Where do you suppose the EAEU is going? It’s a large Union State, eventually.
“All these Stans should return as republics and get on with a better future.”
All these “Stans” sold their “republic” status for western shiney trinkets and lullabies. Russia learned from mistakes the hard way. The best “Stans” can hope is status similar to South American banana republics. At least for the lifetime of generations that betrayed those who liberated them from colonial slavery.
So basically, your wish is that Greater Eurasia shouldn’t become a reality.
Wrong. The past three decades have shown that the C. Asian countries can’t exist on their own without Russia’s protection.
Besides, they’ve allowed the Western corporations to plunder their countries at their will. It wouldn’t happen anymore if they join the Russian Federation.
“So basically, your wish is that Greater Eurasia shouldn’t become a reality.”
I do not remember rubbing the magic lantern.
There will be united Eurasia for sure. Just Russians won’t sacrifice anymore their own sovereignty to the large number of needy minor nations.
“Allowing” west to rush in and plunder is not major sin, as noone had a choice. But alliance with West to attack Russian interests is.
Luckily, West works only with corrupted individuals, while completely ignores common people. After dealing with such individuals, Russia will be able to form FAIR relationship with former USSR republics, as friendly neighbours should have.
Excellent video – honest straight to the point!
I didn’t know much about the Soviet Union or the Russian empire before it and this was very insightful
Dear Andrei, get well soon – and thank you for the excellent report.
Dear Andrei, I wish you speedy recovery and good health.
The part about the US ‘getting its taste of radical islam on 9-11’ kinda jaded me on what he has to say. I wish him a speedy and complete recovery.
In the West, what they are saying is that the people of Kazakhstan have revolted because of rising fuel prices. Of course, how the people can attack the police, the army, the parliament, the airports, take up arms and all this in less than 10 days, is a question. If this is the case, then in Greece, where the electricity, water, oil, rents we pay for the PCR COVID 50 euros have increased, the people should have already taken power!
KILLERS of the American people.
I hope you get well soon, thank you for the video I share in my country.
Why would Russia offer America a way out of the problem with unpolluted faces? For the Masonic handshake of Putin and Trump’s America? After all, what has America done to her? Isn’t this masochistic? If you say ….10 minute…… that Russia can do what it wants, but will not, while wants to be part of the world solution, what is the world than to explain? Astana? Hasn’t Russia so far participated in the world of the international community, which is actually made up of the Western majority? Or are Russia’s interests subordinated to the business interests of individuals, and this is all bragging without substantiated facts on the ground? Russia needs to turn the crises in Ukraine and Kazakhstan to its advantage, in order to form its borders. The borders of the Russian world. It is the sequel to the Golden Horde, no one else. It is the heiress of Ivan tzarevina and Peter’s empire. Soviet. Take what you need, pacify the rest. Without the influence of Turkey or the Anglo-Americans or the French and the Chinese. What the angloamerican service is doing can only benefit you, if you are smart. And if you have ba…lls. Stop talking, being reactive and start working proactively. Compare what the Tsar or Stalin managed to do in twenty years timeframe with what Putin did. There is no land on your border where no enemy has put a knife to your throat. Is that the face of power?
So sad, all these ex-Soviet countries want to be independent, but they cannot survive on their own and then the West just destabilises them, attempts coups against them as well, and then the people in these ex-Soviet countries suffer.
Russia just has to maintain law and order on its peripheries until the US collapses, not long to wait. Meanwhile determine who the problematic people on its peripheries are and deal with them, and that includes the NGO types.
This applies to most countries worldwide, not just former soviet states (FSS). Local small-minded deluded elites brainwashed by Hollywood, other propaganda and their own lusts, everywhere sacrifice their future and stability of their peoples for pipe dreams. And do not learn a single thing from countless coups all around the world by the same forces seducing them!
Why should Russia or any other jump in to save them from themselves? They must first demonstrate basic intelligence and survival instinct, which for FSS neighbors means avoiding Russophobia, maintaining neighborly relations, eliminating extremism, and not acting as a proxy for Empire.. Otherwise divided you will hang separately.
This issue supersedes Anglo-Zionist shenanigans, which mere focus the hatreds and irrationality.
I suspect if CSTO stabilization mechanisms and brief interventions are not sufficient, Russia may abandon these crazy comprador elites of the West, like Ukraine, and simply wall them off. Russia has the depth of its own terrain and Northern Sea Route and Pacific and willing partners elsewhere. You cannot force reason on loons. Central Asia and South Asia and West Asia are currently laregly ruled by ideologic lunatics. Let them live in the Meta if they want. Sometimes they have to burn down to regain sense. And the West will oblige them merrily. Once that occurs, one can deal with the next regimes.
But in meantime, one senses a world of hurt of retribution is coming the West’s way for organizing all this..
In a way, this is the West’s counter-ultimatum, mob-style.
There will be blood.
Our hypothesis on a major conflict between the former and the current president of Kazakhstan has been confirmed. Only the former president bets on the West, and his adversary-successor bets on his neighbors and allies of the EAEU and the CSTO. Apparently, the meeting in St. Petersburg at the informal summit of presidents of the CIS countries ultimately failed to point the i’s out and the parties began to fight. An important point – according to our inside information, Russian President Vladimir Putin drove in a car one-on-one with Kasym-Zhomart Tokayev, and not with Nursultan Abishevich, with whom he is much more familiar.
The following pattern of events is now emerging. The events in Mangistau oblast, where people went to rallies to demand a drop in gas prices, were sanctioned by Elbasy’s entourage, so the security forces were inactive, because completely subordinate to the “aksakal”. It is not for nothing that 14 cities of Kazakhstan have risen almost simultaneously, it is impossible without strong support within the authorities themselves. It turns out that the leaders of the “protesting” groups received money in advance on their bank cards. And this in a country where there is one of the strictest forms of control over the money of the population in the post-Soviet space.
The struggle of the summits resulted in the resignation of the government and, more importantly, the removal of those close to N. Nazarbayev from power in the power structures. Therefore, for a long time, employees of law enforcement, the army and other departments were at a crossroads, not knowing who to serve. It was not until the evening of January 5 that the painting became complete. In a way, K-Zh.Tokayev even “jumped above the ceiling”, appointing himself as the head of the Security Council, as this post was given for life to the ex-president of the N. Nazarbayev country.
The masks have now fallen. The head of state replaced by his decrees the head of the National Security Committee (KNB), the head of his own security. Representatives of the army of the Republic of Kazakhstan expressed their support for the current president of the country. The authorities were already able to achieve local victories in Pavlodar and would not allow them to defeat the center of the capital of Nour-Sultan. When images of looting and atrocities spread around the world, with the deaths of security officials at the hands of “peaceful protesters,” Tokayev attacked, declaring the latter terrorists and giving the order to conduct an anti-terrorist operation.
In addition, Tokayev appealed to the CSTO partners asking them to help restore order.
“In early 2019 the Pentagon financed think tank RAND published an extensive plan for soft attacks on Russia. The 200-page long report recommended certain steps to be taken by the U.S. to contain Russia… Since the report came out the first four of the six ‘geopolitical measures’ listed in chapter 4 of the report have been implemented.
The U.S. delivered lethal weapons to Ukraine, it increased its support for ‘rebels’ in Syria. It attempted a regime change in Belarus and instigated a war between Azerbaijan and Armenia. The U.S. is now implementing measure 5 which aims to ‘reduce Russia’s influence in Central Asia'”
An analysis here
Both you and Andrei (who’s discourse and YouTube videos I love) are wrong here. The Stans fiercely clung on to their republic status and were opposed the dissolution on the Soviet Union to the very end. To circumvent this Boris Yeltsin while drunk signed the Belovezh Accords with Ukraine and Belarus, without addressing the issue of Krutchev while drunk annexing the Crimea to Ukraine in breach of the Soviet Constitution.
Russia needs the Stans and other ex Soviet republics to resist the Empire. This requires a partnership, led by Russia but still a partnership. Also Andrei is wrong that Kazakshan is poor, it is as rich as Russia, with cutting edge high tech industries and actually its PPP GDP per capita slightly exceeds Russia’s.
Thanks for helping to educate the uneducated western masses me one of them lol, how to keep up with the world is the question… grief – their cities, mountains, culture….
“Kazakhstan is the most dominant nation of Central Asia economically and politically, generating 60% of the region’s GDP, primarily through its oil and gas industry. It also has vast mineral resources, and is officially a democratic, secular, unitary, constitutional republic with a diverse cultural heritage. Kazakhstan is a member of the United Nations (UN), WTO, CIS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasian Economic Union, CSTO, OSCE, OIC, CCTS, and TURKSO” Wikipedia
So, Washington is feeling pushed on Russia’s western borders. How to relieve that push? Too easy! Create their own push/distraction on Russia’s southern border. So obvious. I wonder if it will work. It could – perhaps it is already. It sounds like there is plenty of dry fuel (social discontent) heaped up awaiting a spark to ignite it in that particular ‘stan, and those boys with their Zippo lighters do love their little fires.
not southern border alone . Poland plans to vastly increase its military to 300000 personel….budget will cost 30+ billion yearly….buying USA equipment ….
I wish you didn’t use ”radical islam” since it is western creation…there is no such thing as radical islam, there is only islam. Everyone trying to fight muslims is using this term. I am sure you already know….thats why you should never have used it period.
boil ginger in water and drink it, it will help with the cold
Great presentation. Flawless, despite being under the weather. And such valuable insight with respect to Kazakhstan.
Andrei points to religious extremism as an ever-present danger in this part of the world. That voice of extremism finds many willing converts among the impoverished who are always ready to embrace a hopeful future – as are we all. See Afghanistan for a recent example. It is an utter mess, whereas a country like this should be a shining star in Asia.
Of course, it is always the less affluent population that suffer the most. We must be mindful that It is an awful thing to wake up hungry and cold with not much sustenance in the way of food and the necessities of existence. Worse still as a breadwinner to feel the desperation of one’s family going hungry and without any ‘niceties’ whatsoever. This is all to common, and fertile hunting ground for the extremist mullahs to find young converts.
Russia can win the hearts of these people, dare I say it, by showing a lot of love and compassion, by bringing wholesale improvements in standard of living, just as the Russian homelanders are now experiencing. That will silence the voices of extremism.
Please be fully well soon dear sir.
Thanks Andrei. Andrei understands Russia and former Soviet union quite well. Unfortunately, he doesn’t understand the Western Intelligence led Islamic intrigue, and who was behind 911 and to whose benefit. Also, the role of Saudi Royal family in spreading terror…thus contribution to defamation of entire world of Islamic with one broad strike of terrorism. This was a masterplay by Gog and Magog and their Master, The Antichrist, to attack the Truth…as they have turned the world into a confused state…in the West war is peace; nothing is sacred any, everything is profane; MMT (modern monetary theory) print any amount of money and nothing bad will happen; unisex toilets in the name of equity so sexual predators can prey on children; wokeness into the military to weaken a country. Etc. In other words destroy people’s traditions and life to leave them confused so they can end up following the satanic/secular world order that is being ushered in. God Almighty save the believers, Amen!
I think this gentleman’s anti-Muslim views deserve to be put in perspective. He sounds as though militant and Wahhabist Islam was always a feature of Central Asia even before Russia and its hellish successor state worked their magic there. It so happens the area was covered with thousands of sufi establishments before then, all of which were destroyed by Russian and then Soviet design. It is of a piece with the gent’s ignorance and malice that he is unaware that there wete no Muslims involved in 9/11 (cf bollyn.com). It’s astonishing that he makes a living asking for handouts to support his views when he is so far off base on a matter of central import to his vocation.