Turkish Sultan-in-Chief Recep Tayyip Erdogan has come up with a justification for the deployment of Syrian militants to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone to support the war against Armenia. According to him, at least 2,000 fighters of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) and the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) are supporting Armenian forces there.
During the meeting with the ruling Justice and Development Party parliamentary group, Erdogan claimed that during the phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin he allegedly told him that Turkish authorities “have identified, through intelligence sources, that there are some 2,000 PKK terrorists fighting for Armenia at the moment for $600. Mr. President said he was not aware of that.” “I have told Putin that if our red lines are crossed, we would not hesitate to take action,” he added. Apparently, these non-existent PKK and YPG members in Karabakh are to justify direct Turkish involvement in the conflict on the side of Azerbaijan and somehow neutralize the mounting evidence showing Turkish-backed al-Qaeda-linked militants moving to Karabakh.
Meanwhile, the Armenian side revealed radar data confirming the involvement of the Turkish Air Force in the Armenian-Azerbaijani war. The released tracks show that Turkish warplanes deployed in Azerbaijan provide air cover for Bayraktar TB2 drones striking Armenian positions, while the Turkish aerial command post circulating in Turkish airspace, near the conflict zone, coordinates the entire aerial operation. The entire operation, according to Armenia, was planned and carried out with the deep involvement of Turkish military specialists.
Under the pressure of evidence, the Azerbaijani side has already admitted the presence of Turkish specialists and military equipment on its territory. The last step towards reality would be to confirm that they are involved in combat.
On October 28 and 29, forces of the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc were conducting intensive strikes on Shushi and Stepanakert, the largest towns in Nagorno-Karabakh. Several airstrikes even hit the maternity section of the hospital in Stepanakert. Some sources even speculated that these strikes were delivered by F-16 warplanes. On the other hand, the Armenian side demonstrated that it is not much better and shelled the Azerbaijani town of Barda killing at least 21 people and wounding 70 others. The Turkish-Azerbaijani shelling of settlements and towns in Nagorno-Karabakh is a logical result of its attempt to remove Armenians from the region. Therefore, their strikes are aimed not only at military targets, but also at civilian ones in order to displace the local population. Meanwhile, the Armenian retaliation in a similar manner rarely has real military goals, rather it helps Ankara and Baku to gain some ‘evidence’ to confirm its propaganda narrative about ‘Armenian terrorism’. Moreover, these actions of the sides contribute to the further escalation of the conflict and undermine any weak hopes for escalation via diplomatic channels.
On October 29, the Azerbaijani Defense Ministry reported that it continues combat operations in the Khojavend, Fizuli, and Gubadli directions of the front calling its offensive ‘retaliatory measures’ to contain Armenian ceasefire violations. According to Baku, the Armenians lost two T-72 tanks, two BM-21 “Grad” MLRS, 14 different types of howitzers, and 6 auto vehicles in recent clashes. Earlier, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev announced that his forces had captured 13 more settlements in the districts of Zangilan, Fuzuli, Jabrayil and Gubadli.
In their turn, the Armenian military claimed that it has repelled an Azerbaijani attack in the direction of the towns of Kapan and Meghri in southern Armenia inflicting numerous casualties on the ‘enemy’. Armenian forces are also counter-attacking in the district of the Gubadli, aiming to retake the district center. However, this attack reportedly was repelled. As of October 29, Armenian forces have contained Azerbaijani attempts to reach and fully cut off the Lachin corridor linking Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. Nonetheless, the situation in the area remains instable and the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc still continues its offensive operations in this direction.
Speaking at the annual Valdai Discussion Club Oct. 23, he said, “Our cooperation with Turkey is expanding. Turkey is our neighbor, and I can tell you in more detail how important interaction between our states is for both Turkey and Russia. … No matter how tough President Erdogan’s stance may look, I know that he is a flexible person, and finding a common language with him is possible.” Putin conceded the differences Russia has with Turkey by saying, “Well, we do not see eye to eye on all subjects. For example, we are not always on the same page regarding the situation in the South Caucasus.” Yet he, nevertheless, took a defensive stand on Erdogan and said, “So why point the finger at Erdogan? … What should we do? When positions diverge, we look for compromise.”
Ps: unconfirmed reports Azer. may have attacked a Russian observation post…….and maybe that France has offered intelligence and cooperation to Russia supporting Syria to fight terrorists in Idlib…..payback to Erdogan? Not forgetting recent massive attacks on terrorists training camp in Idlib by Russia….several groups have said they are establishing a unifying central command.
Going to get interesting?
Putinist appeasement of Erdogan is the only constant of Russia-Ottoman relations since the 2016 coup, so what’s new?
Dear B. P. ,
There is no appeasement. I see none. It seems to me that you are not getting it that this is a Global War on Russian Federation -GWR- by all, and I mean all, means. V. V. Putin and his team must carefully choose their weapons, whatever they are, offensive, defensive, economical, informational, energy, viral, chemical, DNK, cultural, legal, historical, literary, nutritional, medical, … to respond adequately to manifold attacks while minimizing losses in people, rubles, energy, health, supplies, connectivity etc. Watch, for example, the master combination of eliminating several Turk-supported terrorist camps in both Syria and Azerbaijan while regularly talking to R. Erdogan and all the other parties involved.
I am sure that RF also talks to all the terrorist groups, like they did in Syria, leading to dramatically reduced collateral damages, when some of the T-groups accepted adequate offers.
What terrorist camps did the Russians eliminate in Azerbaijan? I missed that news.
Is there regular Armenian forces involved or still just the local guys?
Armenian govt complains publicly but not doing much to stop it so far. They are allowing the loss of territory. But it will be seen as a loss for Armenia as a whole.