“This is like a suitcase without a handle: it’s too heavy to carry, but it would a shame to throw it away”
So the US Minister of Imperial Wars (aka “Secretary of Defense”) visited Georgia, the Ukraine and Romania. Then he will go to the NATO HQ. Is there a logic here? After all, what is the value of these countries to the AngloZionist Empire?
Nominally, these are all “US allies” (aka colonies) but whose real value is close to zero. Let me explain:
- The armed forces of these countries are sub-useless, especially against the Asiatic hordes of Putin’s Mordor.
- Forward deploying US forces simply put them closer to Russian standoff weapons which gives Russia more options (weapons systems or other) to obliterate them.
Some might wonder whether the US can protect these, uh, protectorates. Nope! According to General Hodges, former NATO commander, the US has only one Patriot battalion in all of Europe, in Germany, protecting the US forces in Ramstein. Now, just for the record again:
- Patriots were useless against Iraq’s Scud missiles during the Gulf War.
- Patriots could not even stop rather simple Houthi missiles.
- Patriots are not even theoretically capable of stopping hypersonic weapons.
So what in the world is Uncle Shmuel thinking?
At the very least, he knows that the so-called “Russian threat” is utter bullshit to feed the Eurocretins.
Here is my hypothesis: Europe, all of it, is the proverbial suitcase with no handle: you can’t carry the damn thing, but you don’t want to throw it away either.
What would you do with such a suitcase?
I would do three things:
- Take out the most valuable contents (say jewelry).
- Use the less valuable on the spot (say perishable foods).
- Toss the rest away.
But what if you could do better than toss it away?
What if you could use the rest of that suitcase to, say, burn down the house of your worst enemy?
A perfect example of such a suitcase would not only be Europe, but Zelenskii. Not only did he brown nose Trump, which the Dems will never forgive, but he has now totally lost control of the situation inside the Ukraine and has zero legitimacy (the US alphabet soup now runs the country via the (un-elected and officially advisory only) Ukie NSDC which now has total control over the country which, by the way, has about 6’000 political prisoners nobody in the West seems to notice!.
So why not use him and the Ukraine as a firestarter?
Now just look at what the Anglos have been, and are still doing, in Europe:
- The UK ditched the EU.
- The Anglos are consolidating worldwide (5 Eyes, AUKUS, etc.).
- The US is demanding that the EU freezes this winter while the US exports its promised “molecules of freedom” to Far-East Asia and then places the blame on Putin!
- US forces are constantly, almost on a daily basis, coming very near or even across (quickly) Russia’s borders in the air, land and sea.
- The rhetoric from Congress and the White House to the US colonies is “we will back you, we are with you, we love you, we will help you” (all legally vague and even meaningless categories, by the way).
Now remember the 08.08.08 war?
Georgia under Saakashvili was not used to meaningfully attack Russia, only to force Russia to intervene. Which she did, two days late, and she won in 3 more days. But politically, even TODAY western politicians (US Minister of Imperial Wars recently) declared that Russia was the culprit and that she occupied Georgia. And the entire menagerie of scatophages in Europe repeats this nonsense even though the official EU investigation declared that Georgia attacked first (murdering Russian peacekeepers in the process).
The truth is that the US economy and society are in terrible shape, the US cannot afford to “carry” the EU or the official NATO-wannabes “suitcase” any further. Whatever Victoria “fuck the EU” Nuland wanted to achieve in Moscow clearly gave zero results. As for the EU itself, it is falling apart even faster than the US (immigration, crime, COVID and lockdowns, etc.).
So here is my hypothesis:
The US wants to trigger a war in Europe, but a war limited to its most useless and subservient colonies, especially the Ukraine. In order to not risk being nuked, sunk or hypersonically decapitated, the US is now showing Russia that it still has (some) teeth left, so “don’t mess with us”. The implication is exactly what April Glaspie to the Iraqis before the Gulf War: “don’t touch the KSA, but we don’t care about Kuwait“. We all know how this ended.
This is probably what Victoria Nuland offered Putin during her trip to Moscow: take the eastern Ukraine, leave the rest and we won’t interfere beyond verbal protests.
The delusional US colonies in the Black Sea region are now dreaming of a triangle “Georgia, the Ukraine, Romania” but only they, not the Russians, take that nonsense that seriously (the Russians know that can swat down these pretend states’ armed forces in 24 hours). But the point is that these colonies do buy it all, especially the Ukrainians (watching their TV shows is hilarious).
Now here is my guess how the Russians see it:
- The US will never go to war over its colonies in Europe.
- The US is threatening Russia to try to show her that the Russians should not strike the US forces directly should their “Black Sea triangle” colonies trigger a war with Russia.
- The US border provocations’ sole aim is to show the Ukronazis that the US will fly its “mighty bombers and mighty missiles” (all outdated, but nevermind that) if they attack Russia. But since the US has zero legal obligations, they won’t do any of that when/if such a war starts.
- The US colonies can be militarily easily swatted down like the scatophage flies which they are.
- Russia does not want, or need, any such wars, if only for its immense political costs.
- Russia does not want to pay for fixing the Ukraine, which she can’t afford anyway.
- If the Ukronazis force Russia to openly intervene, she will go no further than liberating the eastern and southern provinces of the Ukraine (i.e those regions which are populated by Russians).
In the past, the Ukraine and Russia have been at the brink of war many times, that is just the latest iteration of the same principles. However, each time the Ukronazis are more and more desperate while the US keeps reassuring them more and more. Eventually, this quantitative change will result in a qualitative one.
What about the EU then?
Let’s separate it into a few subcategories:
- Wannabe NATO members (Georgia, the Ukraine, Bosnia, etc.)
- Useless NATO members (3B, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria)
- Germany (which is a category by itself)
- Real NATO members (northern NATO countries)
- Kinda useful NATO members (France and southern European countries)
Countries in group one are de facto NATO members and de facto totally expendable.
Countries in group two are de jure NATO members, but highly expandable.
Germany is under NATO occupation, but it is vital to the EU. If Germany crashes economically, that would weaken the entire EU, which is exactly what the US wants. Furthermore, while German politicians are pathetic slaves, the German business community is very powerful, they even forced Merkel to defend NS2 at the immense rage of both the nutcases in the eastern EU and even UncleShmuel himself. Germany must be brought down to heel and severely punished.
Countries in group four will be protected by three factors: distance, non-direct involvement and the US military (they are the jewels in the suitcase).
Countries in group five have always been seen with contempt and disdain by northern Europeans and, even more so, the Anglos. Plus, they are, potentially, the most disloyal to Uncle Shmuel. So they don’t really matter anymore.
How about Turkey then?
That is a more complex case. Turkey does definitely have a Pan-Turkic and Neo-Ottoman agenda. But Erdogan will never forgive or forget that the US tried to overthrow and kill him. Furthermore, Turkey is a NATO member and tries to use NATO as a counter-weight to the powerful Russia on its north. But Erdogan is not stupid, he knows that the “core Europeans” will never accept Turkey as a real EU member. He also needs Russian assistance to minimize Turkey’s dependence on western military technologies. Hence what I would call “Erdogan’s rope walk”: yes, it is very dangerous, but he has no other option.
Let’s imagine a post-war EU will look like if all goes exactly according to Anglo plans:
- The eastern Ukraine and part of the Ukrainian coast are liberated by Russia.
- The leftover Ukraine becomes politically consolidated around Urkonazis nutcases (Hungary and Poland might even take a tasty bite off that leftover Banderastan).
- The Europeans will be further terrified out of their (already minuscule wits) and accept anything from the Empire in exchange for NATO “protection”.
- NATO will “prove” to itself and the world that is very indispensable indeed.
- The US MIC gets to get even more money for its high-tech toys (even if they are militarily useless).
Now let’s remember what the purpose of NATO was according to its first secretary general: “keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down.” Let’s update it and say “keep the Russians out economically and politically, the Americans in forever and ever, and the Germans punished and subdued“.
The true function of Germany has been to artificially keep the Poles and the 3B afloat by huge money influxes (via the EU). But the Germans need to understand that their disobedience about NS2 will not be tolerated by their Anglo masters.
How about Russia in all this?
- Her easy military victory will come at immense political costs
- She will have to fix the eastern and southeastern Ukraine (with what money?).
- Her territorial gains will give her absolutely nothing: there are no needed natural or other resources in the Ukraine – its formerly modern industry is gone, millions of smart and well educated Ukrainian have already emigrated to Russia (and millions of dumb ones to the EUE) this is a deindustrialized, failed state which will become Russia’s suitcase with no handle!
- The Russian economy will suffer, which will, in turn, affect the political scene inside Russia at a time when the issue of a successor for Putin is becoming, if not quite acute yet, then certainly impossible to ignore either.
- Potentially pro-Russian (or, at least, not anti-Russian) countries and political forces in western Europe will be crushed by the AngloZionist propaganda.
Yes, and again, yes, NATO and the US are militarily paper tigers, but the scenario above does not require them to have any kind of effective military forces (other than a functioning nuclear triad, which the US still has as an “insurance policy” for US imperial wars in case they go south, which they always do).
So what can Russia do about this?
- She can become the world’s most powerful military. Done.
- She cannot convince anybody in the “firestarer states” that they will be incinerated, these states are hopeless, so let their own karma take care of them.
- Ditto for the useless NATO members because due to their blind and hysterical patriotism, they will always think that they matter, and even matter a lot. Dis-convincing them of this delusion would destroy their entire identity and historiography.
- She should talk to the German business community because the Germans are not stupid or hopeless, and they have the most to lose in such a situation. But (politely) ignore the German politicians until Germany de-occupies and Germany recovers her sovereignty.
- Withdraw from all EU and EU related organizations.
- Ignore the real NATO member states because they will remain without agency until Germany itself becomes free again.
- Openly support the (comparatively) mentally sane countries in southern Europe and the Balkans.
- Talk directly to the USA and explain, very bluntly, that there will be hell to pay for them too, that Russia does not need a nuclear strike to seriously hurt an already dead empire run by an equally dead USA going on momentum only. This blunt tone will become even more effective if it is heard from both Russia AND China (which it now is).
Can the list above prevent a war? No, not if the decision is made by the US to set its firestarters aflame and “fuck the EU”.
Could Russia do more, better?
This is now a question I address to you by opening the floor for discussions.
What about the Ruthenians?
Russia could try to aquire as little territory as possible in the Ukraine.
That would put Russians waaaaay too far to the West.
There is also Transnistria with Russian peacekeepers.
Yes, Russian could liberate those two regions, but let’s not hypothesize how, I prefer to leave the locals guessing about this :-)
You mean Nuland, not Albright, re: recent visit to Moscow. (Shades of the same obviously)
Chosenites come in all shades, from those Ashkenazim who are now US neocons to the crazy US Christian Zionists who fully support what the European Ashkenazim are doing in Palestine. Victoria “f-ck the EU” Nuland was obviously doing a lot more than passing out cookies in Kiev when CIA/Mossad was busy shooting down protesters on both sides in Maidan Square. That she was allying herself with Nazis says it all. The long-standing animosity toward Russia on display there goes back to at least to when they were refugees from the Pale of Settlement that Catherine the Great set up in 1791. They eventually came to the UK and the USA to become the heart and soul of the Project for the New American Century (PNAC), a neoconservative think tank based in Washington, D.C. that famously predicted the “catastrophic and catalyzing event—like a new Pearl Harbor” that turned out to be 9/11. What goes around certainly comes around.
Tommy: To do that they would have to be willing to sacrifice Israel. And they know that Iran and the Resistance have Israel over a barrel when it comes to any serious conflict. This is Larry Romanoff’s strategy for global checkmate. A military strategy to save the world from Zionism!
He sees it as the only realistic hope for preventing a destructive outbreak of Zionist blood lust. As far as I can see the military antidote/checkmate is already in place.
Always remember, we were forced into the so-called War on Terror by the false-flag attacks of 9/11. We will be forced into a cataclysmic war with Russia in the same way, by a false-flag attack blamed on Ukraine, Iran, Russia, who knows? The USA goes to war even though it makes no sense strategically or financially. All the US wars of this century were designed to bankrupt us and make us slaves to Israel. Netanyahu even bragged about it in 1990, “America is a golden calf and we will suck it dry, chop it up, and sell it off piece by piece until there is nothing left but the world’s biggest welfare state that we will create and control.” How right he was.
All very true Tommy, and it is good that you keep reminding us of this. It is clear where you see the instigating driver behind this terrorism. Do you really think that they would be willing to initiate the destruction of “sacred” Israel for the sake of their insane lusts? The main drag in Tel Aviv is called Rothschild Boulevard. For them is Israel not sacred and not to be harmed? Iran’s missiles have them in checkmate. That is why the tankers get through for Lebanon. Perhaps you think they are so like the scorpion and simply can’t help themselves.
This was all predicted in the Scofield Reference Bible. That’s the operating manual for Christian Zionists in the USA. Tel Megiddo is right down the road from Trump Heights on the Golan. When Trump finally skates off to Israel to avoid prosecution for his many crimes, he can charge admission to Armageddon. That way his true-believer followers can have front-row seats to the end of the USA as we know it. Ever the entrepreneur, he can have their Rapture suits all pressed and ready to go. Maybe the Israeli’s don’t know that they’ll be among those who are turned into cinder cakes in a nuclear holocaust.
“Gravestones will be toppled over. Funeral homes from every region will report that those who were dead have resurrected and suddenly disappeared. Cars will be parked beside freeways, their engines left running, their passengers mysteriously missing. Airplanes will fall from the sky as pilots who are Believers are called home. The news centers report that churches around the world are flooded with people who are sobbing uncontrollably. They know. They have missed the Rapture.” – Pastor John Hagee
So they can’t really help themselves then? Self destructive insanity. So they go, but it is part of their insanity to think that their “manifest destiny” cannot be trumped by a humanity that is greater than them. This I imagine might be an “Iranian view.”
If the neocon fascist Zemmour is elected in France next april, we will have to deal with a jewish neocon as France President(as the Quay d’Orsay-foreign affairs Ministry-, is already fully loaded with neocons from the Sarkozy time).)
Zemmour is a typical National-Zionist, with all that implies.
Could try the Libya option, J. Bolton’s happy with its outcome, and promotes it as good for other countries!
He is a clown exactly like Zelensky. But:
1) He will not be elected.
2) Even if elected, he has zero chance to get a parlament majority.
3) Hence, he will not rule.
For me it’s fascinating to see educated friends living in France bashing “Macron” (rationnally justifying their views) yet HOPING Zemmour is elected in 2022!!
I keep telling them he wont’ do anything new, just keep the ultraneoliberal agenda for his ANZ masters. When ANZs bring him to comply with the next MENA invasion by sponsored terrorists, he will send the special forces to protect the terrorists, just like his 3 predecessors, and then open the gates of Europe to all western-backed jihadis dressed as civilian émigrés.
Can’t they see it’s ALSO Attali and the usual suspects who are electing Zemmour? The main differences with Macron are that Zemmour is not an actual bespoke golem (he has been there for a while and he does not look immediately stupid) and that he is zionist, as the Saker says, not just on their payroll,…
They are fine-tuning their controlled opposition masquerade, as this time Marine Le Pen (already pro-EU, pro-zionism, and neoliberal by herself) will probably not even make le second tour…
Thanks for pointing out that I wrote Albright instead of Nuland.
Haha. Well, Andrei, that’s a GREAT Freudian slip. Indeed, what IS the difference between Albright and Nuland? It’s like a running meme in a fairy tale. Their names could be hyphenated.
The only thing that comes to mind is that the bankers have so thoroughly raped the USD that the only way out they see is causing so much chaos and destruction that what’s left of the middle classes will not take revenge.
This would explain why they are gutting the US military by forcing the jab: they are an internal threat. A core of lower level patriot officers and soldiers could take them out, if they were organized enough. By removing the competent and principled soldiers that organization becomes much more difficult.
So that’s the plan, like a business that has failed due to embezzlement, burn it down and collect the insurance.
The rapists simply want to destroy enough that they can live to rape another day, without fear of their victims striking back. Their fixation on very large yachts, personal bunkers, and isolated land in safe places like New Zealand speaks to their intentions.
Nothing new when capitalism is bankrupted(industrial first now financial one and soon green):
-fake French revolution 1789, followed by ‘la terreur’1792/94, followed by Napoleon disaster in Waterloo 1815
-1830/1848 smal revolutions(mainly in eastern Europe),1870 France/Germany war followed by a real revolution ‘la commune’ in 1871but it did not lasted very long(three months).The bourgeoise took over once again.
-1905 Russian rev followed by the first Colour rev in 1917 by the future neocons(trosts).
-1914-18= WWI…1929 Wall Street collapse and preparation via multiple nazis/fascist political figures, for WWII
– Cold war..,Gulf war 1, 09/11 + war on terror, terrorists attacks, another capitalism collapse in 2008 Lehman, Syria World war meme, Ukraine coup and c19/ great reset since 2019 + fake climate change psyop which is another scam to try to save capitalism, with carbon bonds and stocks markets, protectionism etc etc
Negative interest rates, quadrillions of public and private debts(impossible to repay).
There is no escape but war.
Looks like war is imminent. Karma strikes again!
Prayers and blessings to all for safety and good health.
The solution to the finances needed when the East and Southwest Ukraine return to Russia is quite logical. China gets a 50 year lease alolng the Azov shoreline and some of the Black Sea portage (Odessa).
They will build tourist resorts and industries and develop with tourism traffic from China. They will also park a PLAN ship or two in the neighborhood to “integrate” security of the Black Sea.
China wanted to help develop Krim. She also wanted to put casinos in. That was rejected by Moscow.
But to change the Nazi and Khazarian culture completely, bring in the Chinese and their money.
It’s another form of FDI (foreign direct investment) and it will put China into position to change Eastern Europe also.
From Mariupol to Odessa, various Chinese separate locales where nothing much exists right now.
It will draw in Georgia and Moldova to the Russian sphere, and block Turkey’s influence.
Shipbuilding would be increased, coal exports, and vast agriculture and modern food processing could be just some of the non-tourist industries to immediately benefit.
And Russia just has to stand by and collect export and import fees and income taxes on the new wealth produced. Those revenues will cover social security for the population gained.
I think we need to send two letters – one to Margarita and another one to Russia’s Ministry of Development! : )
And more more to the Russian Foreign Ministry too :-)
Sounds like a good plan!
The likelihood is that Moldova will re-unite with Romania. But you can definitely take Transnistria.
Moldova has an incentive to join Romania because the EU still looks like a bright prospect. Ince that glass chamber comes down, Moldovans wouldn’t want to join Romania anymore.
I was told that Moldova was like 95% Orthodox. If that is true, it is hard to see their joining, as a minor partner, a Roman country.
This ‘roman country’ happens to be overwhelmingly orthodox, too.
Larchmonter I was going to write almost the same comment! The Saker wrote: “She will have to fix the eastern and southeastern Ukraine (with what money?)” my suggestion: Invite China.
It is my honest opinion nothing in the US-EU power balance will change significantly until the big shots in the Vatican – by which I mean the institution, not every Roman Catholic out there – in relation to its liaison with European aristocracy, stops seeing the United States as the bastion of Christendom (against Muslims, against pagan commies Chinese etc). Otherwise, Europe will always be a lesser partner.
Many commenters overlook the elephant in the room: The Fascist Global network composed of the Vatican, Royal Dynasties, 5th column Ashkenazi and Freemasonic agents.
This network have for generations financed, Emperor Napoleon, Emperor Wilhelm II, Carl Marx, Friedrich Engels, Mussolini, Hitler, Roosevelt, Bush I, Bush II, Clinton I, Clinton II, Obama, Biden, and many more of its European agents. https://www.karlspreis.de/en/laureates
The top of this network constitutes 1% of the Global population, but owns 90% of all real assets.
They are the ones who build and destroy Empires and Nations.
Their agenda is to continue the Holy Roman Empire in succession around the Globe, by burning it down like the Bird Phoenix in one part of the world, to erect it from its ashes in another, when exploitation of humanity is more opportune in those parts of the globe.
Victoria Nuland was send to Moscow as a humiliation for her F+++ the EU Comment. By that comment, the members of the EU parliament realized that the Empire had played them like fools.
Lloyd J. Austin was in Ukraine, Georgia and Romania to start terror against Russia.
However, he will succeed just as bad as Victoria.
The EU is now franticly trying to quell COVID riots and to erect an EU Army.
The new Government in Berlin may just throw of the US yoke, and then Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Holland and the Benelux nations may form the EU army. This will be a de facto rebirth of the 4th Holy Roman Empire in Europe, and the end of NATO as we know it.
Poland may well be the next Nation leaving the EU, in alliance with the British and the US.
Poland has bad experience regarding the formation of a large central European Army.
Denmark, Norway and Sweden have just upgraded their long time military cooperation, and are ready to form a Nordic military alliance If/when NATO disintegrates.
The Nordic nations have bad experience regarding the formation of a large central European Army.
So what may happen next?
The US, UK and EU will continue its recession and disintegration into nation states.
South East Asia will be the next theatre of war. It will be a final burn down of the USA.
Russia will annex eastern and southern Ukraine via election.
Turkey (in the arms of Putin) may turn Hagia Sofia into its former glory of Orthodox Christianity.
Could Russia do more, better?
How about recognizing the elephant, before it suddenly grows stronger, invades Poland, reclaim the place of origin of the Franco-German Emperor (Kaliningrad) and marches toward Moscow, again?
Russia is now in a unique historic position, to end the 1000 year long East-West schism.
If she wants to.
Andrei, I respectifully disagree….
Russia can pay for anything with the Rouble. She could increase the value of the Rouble tomorrow via the simple expedient of demanding Roubles for her exports, and refusing to pay for imports with anything but the Rouble.
China can be accommodated via currency swap arrangements.
Geo-politically, NovoRossia must be re-created. They can be used as proxies to take everything east of the Bug plus the provinces of Kherson, Mikolaev, and Odessa.
NovoRossia can be the buffer needed which excludes NATO navies from North Black Sea.
Abkazia should expand south, taking all lands west of S. Ossetia, Armenia to the Turkish border.
Chechnia should take the rest of Georgia with the exception of Tiblisi, leaving that as a rump Georgia.
Russia should via counter battery fire gone wrong, destroy the gas pumping stations east of the Deniper.
As far as Nuc war goes, Russia needs to do what the PRC did in 1950… ignore the risk and get the job done.
As far as the Baltic States go… Russia should organize, equip, and fund revolutionaries to drive the Swedes into the sea, expel NATO, and take them back.
Shit happens…. it’s time Russia got on with it.
Yep, and Iran should take Azerbaijan. It’s old Persian/Iranian territory after all. And while we’re at it, why not restore Armenia to its old glory? A while back I wrote something about this here.
But seriously, don’t take any of this, well… seriously. War is horrible and most of the time righting old wrongs goes awfully, well… wrong.
US domination is waning. The process is dynamic. Gaps will be created, how to fill them for the benefit of Russia? 3 zones, Europe, Muslim World and Africa.Helping to decouple, offering win-win opportunities, Mr. Lavrov and Russian diplomats are excellent in this work.
Europe is blocked by NATO and the cowardice of European leaders. The Russian army is watching.
Contracts for arms deliveries with Turkey and Saudi Arabia have already been finalized and this is just the beginning. The Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict has been stabilized thanks to Russia. In Afghanistan the SCO is playing a leading role. The Russian intervention in Syria was a devastating blow to the empire.
Africa is fed up with the French, it would be a mistake to spare them. Helping the Africans to reduce the two axes of chaos created by the UN-US-French trio along the Congo-Nile ridge and from Somalia to the Cameroonian and Nigerian borders seems to me to hold great promise of political and economic influence for Russia in the long term. The Russians have a discreet foot in Burundi. The strategic continuity of this infernal trio has been cut in Central Africa and another French domino, Mali, is falling. Algeria is currently on the offensive and could take over the place left vacant by the assassination of Gaddafi.
Things can quickly get out of hand if one plays with war. Lets not forget that American theater commanders can now launch nukes no need to call home. That is dangerous and could be the start of something we would all regret. Imagine a NATO army of over 100,000 unable to move forward or backward with pressure increasing by the hour. The government of the troops in danger would be asking for everything and anything that could save the day. If they were British would they not launch a tactical nuke to get them out. French? Limited wars do not stay limited for long even the memory deficient NATO leadership should know this. Russia really has nothing to prove to the west I agree the new members should be told what is in store for them if things get out of hand. That is the responsible thing to do. But I see a rapid deterioration of the political and economic situation in the United States people are questioning the leadership as it is getting worse every day. I wonder how long can the current situation continue? Perhaps it may be better to let some time go by before Russia looks to military action.
A couple of things here;
1) NATO does not have the needed forces or supplies in Europe to attack Russia. To augment them would take several months, would trigger protests in Europe and, if needed, Russia would preempt and attack (they will not repeat Saddam Hussein’s mistake which, in fact, they warned him about).
2) While in theory the theater commanders could use nukes, they would perfectly understand what would happen next, so I don’t believe they would do that without a direct order from the White House.
This being said, I agree that things could escalate VERY quickly.
Specifically, the Russians have declared that the next time some UK/US ship tries to breach the Russian maritime border they will get a torpedo, not just a warning. As far as I know, this is not an official stance, but it seems to be the unspoken consensus. BTW – there are electronic means to send that message directly to the ship command (specific radar modes and/or specific jamming).
Which will give the Anglos two basic options:
1) everything short of war
2) a counter attack
Since they are not ready for the option 2, they would probably go for option 1.
But who knows, I listened to the imbecile commanding the HMS Defender and he is clearly totally out of touch with reality.
So one thing which keeps me awake at night is my very strong suspicion that senior US/NATO commanders feel invulnerable and that their narcissistic self-worship will get the all killed.
So yes, I am afraid.
Saker, your reply to my question last week about the US being the most dangerous nation on the planet was brief but right to the point…
True, but for only two main reasons:
2) The most brainwashed population on the planet
I have no idea how to defuse this reality, and it also scares me a lot.
We are, indeed, the most brainwashed population on the planet. The same folks who were the real perps of 9/11 have brainwashed us into believing the fairy tale that 19 Arabs led by Osama bin Laden attacked us on that horrible day. That was the pretext for all the US wars of this century. As Voltaire warned, “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” Like the false-flag attack of 9/11 drove the USA into the so-called War on Terror, so will a false-flag attack, this time blamed on Ukraine, Iran, Russia… whoever, drive the USA into a cataclysmic nuclear conflict that will absolutely be the end of the USA as we know it. This is all by design, Saker.
When you spend your entire life living in a rose tinted world of Tom Clancy Tom Cruise Top Gun, as do most of the so called leadership elites of the Anglo-Saxon axis of evil, you lose touch with reality. I saw those interviews with the captain of the HMS Defender plus a couple of the crew and they really truly believe that their vessel is a most fearsome beast with SOTA AD that can destroy anything and everything the Russians send against it.
Now Wiki may not be fully up to date but their info on the Aster missiles which are the heart of the Type 45 Sea Viper AD system shows the following;
– they are fast (Mach 3-4) which is impressive on paper but perhaps not so effective against the very much faster hypersonic weapons the Russians will be firing off. Hello Zircon!
– their ranges are around 30-100 km. So also of limited use against the multiple air, sea & land launch platforms the Russians will deploy against any intruder(s).
– finally, the Type 45s can only carry a limited number of these Aster missiles (35?) whereas the Russian defences will be firing salvo after salvo of their deadliest weapons from air, sea and land in a very short period of time. So even if the Defender AD works perfectly (100%) they will be defenceless against Russian missile #36! In any case, leakage is guaranteed as no weapons system works 100% and certainly not one built by the West!
The Argentinian Air Force got around with British air defenses with old Super Etendards and a few modified Exocet missiles. The Sheffield was suppose to be an air defense ship. It failed to make any difference.
Now imagine Russians with their best pilots, best aircraft and best missiles ;-)
The next war will go nuclear within hours. Israel has already used dialed-down bunker buster nukes in Beirut and Syria. Dial them down and you get a crater 43-meter (141 foot) deep blasted into concrete and solid rock like the one in the Port of Beirut. Dial them up and you could destroy a city. This means the red line has already been crossed and the crazy Christian Zionists in the USA pray that it will turn into WWIII. They have a collective hard-on for Armageddon and nothing short of nuclear war will get them off.
“When you spend your entire life living in a rose tinted world of Tom Clancy Tom Cruise Top Gun, as do most of the so called leadership elites of the Anglo-Saxon axis of evil, you lose touch with reality.”
You left the Zionist part out of the AngloZionist Empire thingy. Losing touch with reality is the least of it when your reality is based on the notion that certain Europeans were “chosen” by God to come to what is now North America, displace and murder the indigenous, and steal their land and resources. Like Voltaire warned, “Those who can make you believe absurdities [like Zionism] can make you commit atrocities.” That’s been our MO for a couple of centuries now.
Friend in the brit army told me they used to exercise tactical nukes against russian army, by allowing russians to breakthrough, flanking north and south and wiping out all life forms in the centre. They’ve planned for war with Russia for many years. There is no question nukes would be used.
Let’s hope war never happens
the said Brits don’t even control their nukes.
also, I knew a mouse who practiced killing bears :-)
Not so fast folks. Lets not forget about America’s new secret weapon !
Well, let’s hope that “it” will get only a glorified desk job…
scary, very very scary…
Please don´t do that again.
That scared the bejesus out of me:
I nearly died laughing. Yep, that’s quite a marvelous weapon.
Straight out of the government controlled Australian Broadcasting Commission (ABC) in the 1970’s — aka the “Auntie Jack Show” … http://www.australiantelevision.net/the-aunty-jack-show/
Maybe the title to that burned out nuclear reactor was in the suitcase, she wanted to renovate the reactor and move her tribes to live there, but she needed money and left empty handed, such is the life of a politician.
I think the USA is in too much disarray to start anything. Team Biden is fanatical about vaxxing everyone but the anti-vaxxers are becoming more rabid as news comes in from Israel, Singapore, and Iceland that the mRNA vaxes are a failure and the death rate is going up. Numerous US military are leaving the military instead of taking the Vax.
Russia should reiterate their peaceful intentions but their ambassadors should attempt to enlighten their european hosts about how the “real revolution in military affairs” has rendered USA second rate versus Russia.
Now Bidet wants to vax the 5-11 year olds. They have virtually no risk from the covid, wheareas their mrna vax risk is very high.
It’s almost as if the US government has been taken over by an enemy that wants to take it down from inside.
Didn’t a certain Zionist PM say omething about that? Nah, couldn’t possibly be true.
An answer by military means is maybe too obvious to make it desirable. As Saker said, the Americans feel relatively safe in that respect. Besides I lack the military expertise to even make any guesses.
An asymmetric response, not necessarily in Europe offers more traction. With winter fast approaching, I’d say the best response to an attack by a lackay state such as Ukraine, but coordinated from Washington, would be to hurt Americans economically. The issue of empty stores is already pressing. Russia and China combined have the means to apply an embargo on the USA. Second, there’s the question of the middle east. America’s presence there is becoming untenable. Thirdly Russia (and China) should spare no efforts to entice German companies, offering them joint ventures in global projects. Russia and China combined control the biggest part of world’s resources and production. Russia should not wait for a turn of events to take place in Germany, but actively promote it. Let’s call it a sincere offer of much more than just gas to keep the German economy going.
Negotiate with the EU (ie Germany) to take euros in payment for gas. That would eliminate the USD gas price manipulation and be a political WMD against the US. Euro payments would also facilitate Europe-Russia trade, which will happen anyway
The US would go into full panic at the massive loss to the USD-energy pricing monopoly.
I believe the trade between Russia and EU is already conducted in Euros, but expanding on the theme, Russia has one huge ACE up it’s sleeve. It can back their Ruble by gold (they have heaps of that stuff now) and at the same time demand that the payment for russian gas to EU countries to be made in Rubles! It’s called double whammy!
Then sit back and watch the eurocretins running around like headless chickens and no NATO or Uncle Shmuel would be able to help them there!
Four big issues here:
1.) Saker: “Let’s imagine a post-war EU will look like If All Goes Exactly ACCORDING To Anglo Plans”
Me: “No plan survives contact with the enemy” (apud Generalfeldmarschall von Moltke)
2.) Saker: “other than a functioning nuclear triad, which the US still has as an ‘insurance policy’ for US imperial wars In CASE They Go South, which they always do”
Me: Definitely, things WILL go south, absolutely for sure. So, better for the US to prepare for using its nuclear triad.
3.) Saker: “Russia DOES NOT NEED a nuclear strike to seriously hurt an already dead empire”
Me: This leads us to the fourth and last point:
4.) Saker: “Could Russia do more, better?”
Me: Russia might start AT NOW to “seriously hurt an already dead empire”, in a way to “shock and awe” the US establishment AND the US people, in a last effort to bring them to their senses and avoid WWIII, before it is too late.
For instance, Russia might:
– Cut all diplomatic ties with the US; or
– Publicize her (up to now secret) military ties and arrangements with China (along with installing a S-500 battery around Beijing); or
– Cease all gas transit through Ukraine, at once; or
– Wipe out all US military presence in Syria; or
– Shoot a few empty warheads at Mojave, Black Rock, Sonora or any other deserts in the US;
– ……. (I’m sure you folks could devise many other — and better — alternatives).
Please refrain from using capitals – its screaming. Mod.
Fire-starters? The Germans are at it again
And Ukraine – let’s party like it is the collapse of the USSR all over again (photo essay)
Lol! last time they played with matches did not end well.
IMO, Russia will do nothing until the Outlaw US Empire crosses one of its Red Lines, and will instead mark time.
Russia remains very much a developing nation; just read Putin’s meeting with the State Council Presidium about “Russia’s transport strategy until 2030, and forecast until 2035,” and you’ll be convinced–and that’s not the only key area that demands further development.
The Outlaw US Empire failed to achieve Full Spectrum Dominance, but can’t admit that truth. It’s only available strategy is to try and interdict the Eurasian Bloc’s development for as long as possible. China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi was cited as saying something I regard as very remarkable about their AWOL status at today’s Moscow talks :
” US’ absence reflects its escapist psychology of being irresponsible on Afghan issues.”
I interpret Wang’s words as saying the Empire’s being very childish, immature, incapable of diplomacy. I noted that Escobar reported the Empire will stubbornly stand on the bridge of its sinking ship of state, or its mound of sand if you prefer, until it goes under–it refuses to give up its “Primacy.” Well, I have news for the Empire as it’s already a has been. Just watching the domestic turmoil and Biden’s inability to govern and a glance at genuine economic figures ought to be enough to convince most. (Genuine econ figures would show GDP being in decline since 1998, with real current inflation being @14% and rising, and unemployment at 25%. They are the figures of a very sick nation suffering from 40 years of neoliberal parasitism.)
And like children who can’t face their own truths, they lie and lie and lie some more until they convince themselves their lies are truths. Just like they think they’re king of the hill. If this were a sporting event, it would be clear almost immediately that the Outlaw US Empire Ain’t Got Game and would be laughed out of the arena.
And who did US voters have as choices in 2020? The R Party Big Liar, and the D Party Big Liar–isn’t that what a political puppet is in reality–the Grand Façade?
Putin and Xi just need to keep focused on building their nations and the emerging geoeconomic Eurasian Bloc while not allowing the pesky fruit fly/Outlaw US Empire to bug them as it employs its useless tools to try and interdict their development. And if the Empire is going to stomp on a Red Line, IMO it will be one of China’s, likely Taiwan.
Andrei My Orthodox Brother,
I was waiting for this piece from you after the latest US/NATO provocation. Wherever Victoria Nuland goes trouble immediately follows. I know Russia cannot afford to inherit any more if Ukrainian territory in it’s current state but couldn’t the Kremlin empower and incentivize wealthy Russian investors to help rebuild Ukraine if somehow some competent, same, Russian friendly leadership were to emerge in Kiev with Russian support?
In another words let the Americans and NATO have Banderistan while Russia makes a partnership with friendly Pro-Russian Ukrainians in the East and South of the country creating a land bridge to Transinistria and liberating Odessa from the Banderists?
Of course this would mean ordinary Ukrainians (who look at Russia as a kindred nation) would have to take charge and rebuild their country. Russians had to do the same after the USSR collapsed and the disastrous Yeltsin years. I know there are probably millions of Ukrainians (including those working in Russia, EU and the US) who very much love Ukraine and want to see it be a successful nation state.
Or has that train long left the station?
Is there no one left that wants to see a healthy, successful Ukraine in partnership with Russia and Belarus even if that is only (as it would have to be) the parts of Ukraine that are culturally, linguistically and religiously indistinguishable from Russia.
I know it is the job of Ukrainians themselves (and not Russia or Russians) to save Ukraine but as an Orthodox Christian it pains me to see such a rich, historical Orthodox country to be reduced to the state it is in today.
I am not an economist so I don’t know all the details. There are reasons for the need of a world reserve currency There will always be trade imbalances between countries so that short term deficits are no problem. If there is a world currency that can be used nobody gets stuck with several trilllion Zimbabwean banknotes but trade can still happen. the US dollar is presently the world’s reserve currency, It is a tool which still has power that the US uses. US sanctions would have no bite if the dollar was not the worlds reserve curUS drency. If the gas and oil producers did not agree to use the dollar for most all oil and gas transactions. US control of the IMF, the World bank, and the SWIFT settlement system are another part of control. The US sanctions have certainly worked to throttle the Venezuelan economy.. Remember in the 70s when the decided to make Allende’s socialist Chilean economy scream – paving the way for the Pinochet coup. The US is presently overusing this power and is hastening the end of the dollar currency status
They are intentionally causing many ;civilians to go hungry in countries where the us doesn’t like their governments. One of the main actions Putin took to save Russia’s sovereignty was thwarting Khordovosky;s turning over Gasprom to the Western money interests. As mentioned Europe needs Russian gas so Nordstream 2 was completed despite the US doing everything it could to thwart it. I have heard Russia and China are working to create an alternative to SWIFT. They need to work harder and swifter to get this working before the nest inevitable economic chaos. This is when the Great Reset people will have the calamity needed to create their world digital money control system
I have commented before on this, but any ‘action’ breaking out in Eastern Europe will be for the purpose of Germany having to repudiate Nord Stream 2. The Empire’s elite cannot let this ‘insubordination’ pass.
It really doesn’t matter if Russia is in-the-right with whatever she does; the Empire’s MSM will proclaim any Russian response – provoked or not – as the second-coming of massed tank armies through the Fulda Gap. Russia loses financially and politically, even if she militarily wins…
(I would add that False Flags should be thrown into the ‘firestarter’ mix…)
As a mildly-informed bystander, the biggest disadvantage I can see of Russia is that it seems to be in a <reaction mode. It has to wait for long-prepared Empire plans to come to fruition, and then react as best it can. Perhaps, Putin’s martial-arts ‘preference’ has something to do with this stance. (This does depend on seeing the opponent’s move coming, and having quick-enough reaction time to be inside the opponent’s committed-move.) We will see…
With the Empire moving into a Weimar Republic level of chaos/inflation/scarcity, the elite will be frantic for a ‘distracting’ incident. These are Interesting Times…
Dear Saker, I would like to comment on the idea that Russia has now the most powerful military in the planet. I understand you were a military analist and therefore, my arguments might not be as preposterous as they would sound to average people.
I agree with you that Russia has the upper hand in hypersonic wonder weapons and some other astonishing marvels. Just think of the Poseidon submarine drone or the amazing cruise missile that is nuclear powered and has virtually no limit in range. Or the amazing new equipment the ground forces and navy pack nowadays.
Yet, for all its unquestionable might as defense forces, I know the US has a force projection capability that neither Russia nor China have. I think russian forces can deploy combat troops (boots on the ground) as far as one or two thousand kilometers from it’s borders. I remember. back in 1992 a discussion i had with a retired high ranking US official that developed the logistical planning that could deploy a limited US combat force anywhere in the globe in 24 hrs.
What I mean to say, is that the power of an army is relative to the mission it has. And even if I see eye to eye with you in the strengh of russian forces; I think the US has still the global Hegemony of “violence at your door”. It can’t hope to attack Russia and win, yet they are a considerable force. And I’m not counting their very effective nuclear dissuasion triad.
Think of a western style aircraft carrier, in a war against an advanced naval power they are little more than high value targets. Yet they are invaluable and irreplaceable as a means to project force and/or crush any of the less advanced nations (90% of the planet). Russians build their carriers very differently (so far), I think they are considered plane carrying rocket cruisers and are thought as a means to cover the fleet rather than putting an airfield in the coast of some poor country. (Very much as the gunboats were used in earlier centuries).
Thank you for your patience, and please excuse my boldness. I hope you correct my mistakes if i have them. You are the expert, after all that’s why I learn by reading you and not the other way.
Greetings and my best to you.
Current state of the USN in a photo.
Very eloquent pic. Thank you!
It is too late for Russia:
About Ukraine the right time to intervene was just after the Odessa massacre. At that time everything was still possible. Ukraine was not totally nazi brainwashed yet, and there was still ‘ukrainians brains available’ and opposition left to replace the junta.This strategic mistake of Putin is probably(with the ‘bussing’ of jihadists from the Damas area to Idlib), the two biggest strategic mistakes since WWII in human history.
They did nothing after Odessa as afraid of sanctions etc..what did they do in return?Even worse, even more of everything bad.In Syria it is not a victory as well as the country is destroyed, impossible to rebuild it as the US is occupying the ‘usufull Syria where oil is located’.Erdogan is the master of the Idleb area, the Kurds fight for BHL country(israel).Even Damas is not safe,as we saw today(24 deaths in a car bomb attack).
And now we have a lockdown in Moscow due to a very bad management of the Pandemy with hundreds of thousands of deaths(1.000 +/daily) like in the worse countries: USA, Brazil, India, Mexico. etc..Ukraine is not doing much better(numbers are probably underestimated by propaganda/SBU).
The West only respects force, a very credible threat to use it.Russia never retaliate to anything for almost 8 years, how do you want to be taken seriously this way? Nuclear wars are impossible, everybody knows that.Though the war is like the Saker says rightly informational(counter propaganda).Why no reaction after the multiple provocations(almost daily): Navalny, Skripal, MH17, fake chem attacks in Syria, daily bombing of Donbass etc etc..since 2014, they are thousands of such attacks(kinetic or no, fake news, psyops…)
China seems to have recently chosen a more confrontationnal path with very clear red lines.
Don’t forget that Nato armies will never fight as they know pretty well they would lose.
See France unablae to defeat a bunch of jihadists in two African nations(after 8 years).Lybia, Afghanistan debacle, Irak, Syria(they don’t fight just stay there waiting), they even lose against the poor Houtis.
nb: very bad news for Russia but even more for Germany, the next foreign minister will be…yes the Greenie crazy (a cia asset, usefull Soros idiot), she already wants to stop NS2 and respond to Russsian blackmail.
Good luck Germany your industrial collapse will start soon, they are preparing the popcorn in D.C.IT is too easy with the euronouilles(noodles), they can racket them buying their overpriced weapons, destroy their economy, blackmail their politicians (via NSA sying), with either sexual scandals(fake if necessary), corruption, financial problems, pedophilia for some etc…Merika reads all their mails, listen their phones they don’t even care…
@w-i-c: “bad news for Russia but even more for Germany will be…yes the Greenie crazy … she already wants to stop NS2 … Good luck Germany your industrial collapse will start soon”
Your link adds a proviso: “Social Democrats, who would be the largest party if the three-way coalition is formed, have long backed the pipeline”
My experience under British politics (Liberal Party) tells me that a small, idealistic party which gains enough votes to join a coalition as junior partner, soon follows the party line in order to enjoy the taste of power.
“Don’t follow when the enemy leads you”. My opinion is that Russia might want to defuse or minimaze provocations in Europe and be militarily more agresive elswhere. I wished that after Morrison said that with the future nuclear submarines Australia can threaten not only China, but also Russia, Russia would have sent a few submarines to train around Australia (preferably Belgorod with Poseidon).
How do you know they haven’t?. They are submarine. Now i do not think Russia would waste its time going to the 51st state. Hawaii is more important as is Alaska.
I suggest that Russia just performs Zen tea drinking ceremonies for the next five years, and lets the barbarians collapse under their own self-destructive forces.
If the barbarians throw bricks over the border forces, then deliver them back wrapped in a peace ribbon! General Time is now Russia’s greatest friend!
And if Turkey was to give up its neo-Ottoman adventures, then there would soon be a combined force of Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey, marching back onto the Golan heights. Then we would see the evacuation of Israel. Another tinder box removed from the planetary play!
Rammstein…..heavy metal….this is the culture you are dealing with!
One ‘m’ vs two ‘mm”
4th option. possibly obvious…deploy a new handle. now this might be too wide an aperture for washington granted.
Doing nothing is NOT an option anymore.
Allegedly, according to Russian Komsomolskaq Pravda military journalist Baranets, there are already a lot of US military bases in Ukraine.
yes, there are US ‘bases’, but nothing militarily significant
it’s all PR
to war is coming
“there are already a lot of US military bases in Ukraine” – pray, tell us WHAT EXACTLY those bases, if they exist, can do with regard to Russia?? Are you really that limited in your analyses and your thinking?
They are simply perfect for a false flag, no need for more.
See the US base in Syria, nothing very big but it stopped any Russian action to retake the oil area.
No need for 100k soldiers or hundreds of missiles.We are in 2021 not in 1914 or 1945.
Only one US soldier killed by Russia, imagine the reaction worldwide, yes just one.To the contrary Erdogan may kill Russians or the Israeli tribe(hiding behind a plane) both shooting down RU aircrafts.Zero Russian reaction only blabla, communique..
And now the UK is sending missiles to the Ukrops(I would not use the word selling as they have no money to pay).
To war is coming
Are you really THAT DELUSIONAL thinking US stealing oil in Syria is going to continue and be unpunished?! What planet are you from? There has been a LOT MORE than just one US soldier that got blown up in Syria by Russians, and Erdogan had to practically on his knees, beg forgiveness from Russia for the most stupid thing they have done, by shooting down a Russian military jet! So, what exactly are you trying to promote here and please explain youself – is it the notion that Russia is some kind of victim that does not respond to the aggression shown? I will ask again – what effing planet are you from?! Get real! Right now you are pathetic..
War is coming has a valid concern from the stand point that the US is an invader, the YPK and YPG are supported by the US, together they hold a very important part of Syria, the money part , OIL !
At some point Assad will want that area back in his control, if both the US and the Kurds they support refuse to leave and Assad has to employ force…it’s obvious the US will call in Air Support to thwart that, Russia has declared they are in Syria to oppose the IS and Al Queda and protect Assad’s regime, does that also mean the Kurds and US?….so do the Russians stand down in that matter or support Assad’s forces.
War is coming is alluding that the US presence either stops Or stymies the Russians from engaging the US.
I too wonder…Russia try’s very hard to eliminate any chance of conflict with the US.
Let me explain once again – Russia’s involvement in Syria was for one reason only – to eliminate the danger of ISIS headchoppers spreading and infesting Russia’s southern regions. They have ACHIEVED that objective. They had mostly untangled and cleared-up the absolute clusterf*ck that was in Syria at the time. What’s left of ISIS terrorists are now safely corralled in Idlib and Syrian Army is keeping an eye on them there. The rest of the country is getting back on it’s feet. Sure, a long way to go but as we all know the devastation was severe. Oil in the Kurdish held North (they always been there) will be the internal issue between Syrian Government and the Kurds. Opportunistic US looters of course could not help themselves and planted few bases there, with some bribes to Kurdish leadership, no doubt. Big problem for them there is Turkey that wants to get rid of these Kurds. Yes, there will be some interesting developments there, Russia meanwhile is watching it all and biding it’s time. Yanks already have been told by Assad to clear out of there. Kurds have been taken aside and spoken to, by both Syrian Government and Russia. Turkey has been told to clean up it’s act with their anti Syrian army proxies in the area. So, a bit more of that clusterf*ck is left to untangle but it will happen, perhaps sooner than we think. You people, with your opinions, do not seem to grasp the whole picture here, for you it’s just black and white. Sorry, but that’s not how things are in real world.
@war is coming
And what can the Ukronazis do with those missiles? Absolutely nothing! Up do date, there hasn’t been a direct American attack on Russian troops so Russia can’t take the Americans head on until they do the first strike.
According to the reports, America is modernizing its tactical nuclear weapons in Europe and also deploying nuclear strike aircraft to the United Kingdom.
The developments suggest that American Threat is escalating.
US begins modernizing tactical nuclear weapons and storage sites in Europe — Shoigu
Nuclear Weapons and Europe
>> She should talk to the German business community because the Germans are not stupid or hopeless, and they have the most to lose in such a situation. But (politely) ignore the German politicians until Germany de-occupies and Germany recovers her sovereignty.
Oh, but we have a pandemic, which gives the US agents in the German government all the tools to completely destroy the German economy. And since this pandemic is totally real, there is nothing that could be done about. Same as everywhere else, health comes first. Ask the Australians.
UK in Talks With Ukraine on Missile Deliveries – Reports
Putin and his team are outstanding in all aspects.
Look at Russia today and compare how it was during Yeltsin, in spite of many things to be done yet.
Show me a single politician in the West with at least 10% of Putin’s intelligence.
Yes, the deep state in the West plans a lot against Russia, China, Cuba, Venezuela and China, but the base (the economic and political platform) is leaking in torrents.
Restraint is not weakness but a better tactic, when you are dealing with a psychotic suicidal creature.
Putin will choose when and where he responds,
Have faith to the ones which have the right thought and the right practice.
Cheers from France.
Could this be another feint, to distract the world and especially Russia?
There is a significant Russo-Syrian offensive in N. Syria now, against Turkish/Al-CIAda interests.. Every past offensive was also marked by international hysteria.
The Biden complex’s mandate appears largely domestic, to focus on finishing off the USA. Once the parasite finishes molting (or chest-burster exits), it can then find a new Host.
For that they need another year, to complete severing supply chains, get products into people’s arms, more lockdowns to kill the economy, for deprivation to set in, and to complete brewing insurgencies for general mayhem.
Like Trump, they seem all bark on foreign adventures.
The dogs bark but the caravan moves on…
Yes, Russie must increase his soft power.
First, she Can become a vert wellcoming country for all great brains in thé World liké USA do. Today Russia do absolutly nothing to invite young brains. On thé contrary, it seem that she do all she Can to discourage foreign talents to bring their talent , live in Russia, and testify in front of the world that how it’s wonderfull to live in and for a patriotic land where nobody spit on you because you are white, male and hetero.
A Land that offers faith in future.
There is Lot of europeans talents desesparate by thé décadence of their land and fed up by USA and Anglos. Alas, Russia do absolutly NOTHING to attract them. Money is not all.
Imagine the huge switch of prestige.
Excellent analysis, with excellent proposals on basis of that analysis. The analogy between the successful Gulf War trap for Iraq and a baited Ukraine War Trap for Russia is a brilliant example that illustrates the analysis.
I am unqualified to comment on the Saker’s strategic proposals but, being of Greek extraction with Serbian friends, I fervently hope for the success of this one:
“Openly support the (comparatively) mentally sane countries in southern Europe and the Balkans.”
Excellent summary from Saker.
I don’t think that the people who live outside of the Ukraine fully appreciate the grotesque regime which governs (if that’s the right world) this nest of vipers. This is particularly true of the demented clique and their Banderist goon squads who are calling the shots, particularly from their home base of Lviv.
Having once visited this fully-fledged neo-nazi (and once was too many), I couldn’t wait to get back to Donetsk quickly enough. I have to surmise that anything west of the River Dnieper should be written off for what it is, viz., an organised satanic cult.
Who are the 3Bs?
Jiri, I guess they are 3 Baltic countries, losers like Ukraine.
They are the 3 fabled wise woman who sat on top of a mountain waiting for Noahs flood. They ate and wait, but fate had a different ending, they fell on their Ass and cried to mom and dad about the lost agreement of Noah.
My suggestion is the same it has been for 7 years now. Support the liberation of all the Novorussian areas. They are big enough to either form an independent state of their own,or form half of a 2 part federation with “Ukraine”. Support a government in exile (just as the Soviets did during the war for several countries that they latter freed) to assume power in a freed Ukraine. Support partisan underground groups in Ukraine working to free that country from the neo-nazis. The playbook is almost the same that the Soviets used for Eastern Europe when the nazi rule there started to crumble.They just need to pick up that playbook and shake the dust off it.In our world today we spend too much time trying to figure out something “new” to solve problems that have already methods to solve them.Take what worked before, twerk it to fit anything different in the new situation and you have the solution.Working though Ukrainian elements as much as possible.With Russia’s involvement no more,or only slightly more than in 2014,and Russia is able to claim plausible deniability. Of course the West ,who make an art form of that kind of thing will know Russia is involved.But that doesn’t matter they can’t prove it.
Russia is already doing all the items on Saker’s list.
The Minsk agreement is the preferred solution of Russia. This has been consistently stated and I think Russia will stick with it. Russia has also made it very clear that any attempt at a military solution will be met with overwhelming force so nothing will happen as the US has no stomach to fight on this front.
Not much will happen in Europe or with NATO in the near future.
The Empire’s end will come when China reunifies with Taiwan. This will be followed shortly by a reunification of Korea followed by the exit of US forces from Japan.
The only unknown is whether this will happen with a bang or with a whimper.
I feel the same way. Should the US try and expand this to other areas beyond the UKraine once Russia takes everything up to the Dnieper River, a few well-placed non-nuclear missiles to take out the THAAD system in Romania and the Arleigh-Burke AEGIS destroyers (Black Sea, North Sea, and the Mediterranean) plus take out Ramstein AFB and Aviano AFB in Italy. If anyone begins mobilization on other bases the take out those bases immediately all without nukes and relatively cheap. Iran showed how well this works and how relatively cheap it is. The entire European defense system would be immediately reduced to a state of non-function. I am also going to assume that Russia would use its portable EMP devices and excellent jamming systems as well. They could also take out any or all US satellites. China could also take advantage of this as well as Iran. The former could then take Taian and the latter eliminate all US forces in Iraq and Syria. Israel could pose a larger problem as could Turkey and Azerbaijan. Again, these can be eliminated quickly with hypersonic missiles and not require going to nuclear.
The main thing is for Russia to convince the US and its European puppets that this is what will happen. Perhaps this was the reason Russia agreed to allow Nuland to come to Moscow (in addition to the very quietly removed personal sanctions). At this point in time, it looks like both Russia and China are negotiating from a position of advantage and the US looks (and is in fact) very weak. Perhaps this is the reason no details have emerged from Nuland’s visit.
” Her (Russia’s) territorial gains will give her absolutely nothing: there are no needed natural or other resources in the Ukraine – its formerly modern industry is gone, millions of smart and well educated Ukrainian have already emigrated to Russia (and millions of dumb ones to the EUE) this is a deindustrialized, failed state which will become Russia’s suitcase with no handle! “ >>
I differ. Even though I agree with most part of this superb analysis, I must mention two of my personal observations:
(1) I could never understand if there exists an official “narrative” regarding the probable / ideal unification of ‘rus civilization’ around the ‘Muscovy Rus’ … It might be there in the top level of the Russian leadership (after Putin took over the charge), but apart from Dugin’s convoluted narrative, i didn’t come across a cogent write-up. As it happened with all civilizations across the world, one community win the leadership role among multiple contenders within a civilization. ‘Muscovy Rus’ won the leadership race defeating ‘Kievan Rus’ which was the leader of the Rus civilization before Mongol army crushed them. It is normal behaviour of civilizations (China and India were/are also civilizations like Russia) to rally around the community/principality who wins the race of leadership. So, the narrative of Rus civilization should include a long-term goal of unification of (present) Russia+ (present) Belarus+ (present) east and south Ukraine – this was/is the land and civilization of historical Rus ….
(2) There is no ‘territorial gains’ as such, if Russia moves into east and south Ukraine. It used to be Russian land, and it returns to Russia – it’s like, the ‘loss’ has been nullified. Also, the fertile land itself is mother nature’s gift to the Rus civilization.
Letting Ukraine join NATO would be a dangerous escalation with Russia. But it would also be a disaster for Kiev & the West itself
…In other words, Russia will not even accept a situation in which Ukraine remains formally outside NATO but the bloc embeds itself de facto in Ukraine. That means there is limited room for compromise. Short of Ukrainian membership, Moscow refuses to live with too much cooperation between Kiev and the West either. Exactly how much would be too much is unclear, but that is irrelevant. The key fact is that Moscow has stated that there is a limit and that it is of essential interest to it that it won’t be exceeded…
Comment from Germany:
We (AfD) invited the Russian Ambassador to Germany to a political event with some reach to built bridges, to set a sign for cooperation. We would have organized the whole event around the ambassadors requirements…
Reaction: Thanks, no thanks (go to the “Generalkonsul”…, which basically means “thanks, no thanks).
That experience leads me to doubt very, very much, that Russia is really interested in Germany. It seems to me their interest is: Buy our gas, pay us, and f*** off.
So, it is really hard to remain “pro-russian” .
That could also have to do with AfD being the inviting party. They understand the political stink it would create.
Nah, don’t think so. AfD leaders were invited twice to moscow, talking to Lavrov. That would be inconsistant.
Maybe Afd isn’t useful anymore.
Here is an interesting take on the Afd. 1) try to get to talk somebody dn 2) counter-provocation because every western politician is always visiting opposition when they go to moscow
Seems to be quite a detailed report of the Polish v EU situation….2 day conference to sort it occuring at the moment. If UVDL does not act “properly” she is threatened with legal action…interesting development….
Poland believes it has a second class status in EU and wants a level status but only by keeping its individuality plus of course taking the money….?
If memory serves me right, the drums of war were being sounded a few months ago with the NATO exercises in the Black Sea. The best approach remains for everyone to stay calm and enjoy the Empire in its dotage. Time takes care of most things.
A little theoretical contribution, my two cents (I’m using an automatic translation, sorry).
Russia will not invade any country for two reasons: first because it does not need it, and second because that is exactly what the US wants. The Americans encourage the confrontation so that Russia gets lost in a tangle of wars of popular Resistance (already prepared by anti-Russian propaganda), as a guerrilla of partisans whose goal would be only more useless and unnecessary wear and tear, as well as political losses on the international scene. The US has no condition and will not defend anyone, but they want to watch the mess from the armchair.
It is clear that Russia will not fall into this trap. With a few missiles you can neutralize any army of mercenaries and puppets and leave for that very, no need to take over or invade any country. They will be left to chance.
The war will continue to be made by propaganda, political and economic pressure, because it is all they have left and it is the only strategy they have. There is nothing to talk about with the US and its vassals, only to act when the time comes.
To quote the Marvel Comics villain Proxima Midnight, “You can’t threaten your enemy with what it wants.”
Could Russia do more, better?
In Europe not much this situation is almost a total victory for Russia. NATO knows war with Russia in this theater is unplayable. For example, a scenario where the 1st Guards Tank Army is the center piece of a conventional combined forces attack in Poland blue force loses around 140,000 in the first few days. Blue force commanders request authorization for tactical nukes in a few days I have heard.
Also minor detail but RMS and the Rhine ordinance barracks aren’t quite the same thing.
Russia militarily could help China quite a bit. China needs help in a few key areas that Russia is very proficient at. Russian advisors and equipment in the areas of air defense, anti submarine warefare and electric warefare would make a huge difference in the Empire’s war planning in China. I recently saw that the US Airforce and a significant resignation at its cybercomand. Seems pretty telling on that end.
Internally the US sort of reminds me of the USSR right before the collapse. Financially, socially, and morally not in a good place at all. Still the nuclear triad is in place like it was with the USSR. What will happen in the case of a quick and dramatic collapse of the US internally seems a better question, no?
States facing the Russian border are valuable to US because of the biological warfare. This must be accounted before it becomes too late.
The Americans have been collecting Russian, Chinese, and, I believe, Iranian DNA material–for (ahem) “humanitarian medical” purposes.
The Project for a New American Century (PNAC) think-tank even briefly mentioned the possibility of bioweapons that can target specific genotypes in their infamous blueprint for transforming the American war machine, “Rebuilding America’s Defenses: Strategy, Forces and Resources For a New Century.”
As the PNAC think-tank writes: “And advanced forms of biological warfare that can ‘target’ specific genotypes may transform biological warfare from the realm of terror to a politically useful tool.”
According to my knowledge, Putin ordered the collection of genetic data of Russians a few years ago when it was revealed that Americans were collecting such data from Slavic countries bordering Russia. Hopefully, Russians must’ve developed defenses.
All scenarios are based on the realities of today. The power of the U.S. is the ability to print all the money in the world, literally, as the world reserve currency. When that ends so does it’s ability to influence events globally. The loss of world reserve status will expose the U.S. as a second rate power forced to shutter overseas bases and reduce it’s military due to the devaluation of it’s currency to a fraction of what it is today. The social unrest at home due to the impoverishment of the masses, the failing of neglected infrastructure, the failing of it’s financial system, the failing of the supply chain will overwhelm the imperial overlords and exclude them from mischief making abroad.
Unless the overlords decide to launch nuclear weapons.
Unless indeed. Massive use of nuclear weapons would lead to the death of just about every living creature on the planet. Studied have postulated a nuclear winter where there would be no crops grown on Earth for some time. No place on Earth would be immune. All beings need to think what a nuclear war really means. It is obvious that this isn’t any solution to insignificant political problems.
The Day of Judgement will inevitably come, nuclear war or not, and no one can delay, least of all stop.
”Behold, I come as a thief. Blessed is he that watcheth, and keepeth his garments, lest he walk naked, and they see his shame”.
”The day of the Lord will come like a thief, and then the heavens will pass away with a roar, and the heavenly bodies will be burned up and dissolved, and the earth and the works that are done on it will be exposed”.
”Heaven and earth shall pass away, but my words shall not pass away. But of that day and hour knoweth no man, no, not the angels of heaven, but my Father only. But as the days of Noe were, so shall also the coming of the Son of man be. For as in the days that were before the flood they were eating and drinking, marrying and giving in marriage, until the day that Noe entered into the ark, And knew not until the flood came, and took them all away; so shall also the coming of the Son of man be”.
“So what in the world is Uncle Shmuel thinking?”
Uncle Shmuel thinks ??
Since when !!
thank you..for this article…and clarity : “ANGLO-ZIONIST” which IS the problem…not just in the “west” but in ALL directions.
Thank you for improving my vocabulary……scatophages…..truly there is a proper word for everything. All very true unfortunately….
I have read your point of view with interest and I am impressed by the course of your thoughts. It seems that you are right in many ways. Tell me, how do you see the construction and development of economic relations with European countries in the current conditions? In particular, is the qualitative development of economic relations with Poland possible? Can the forces of entrepreneurship create an institution of non-state economic cooperation? Or, perhaps, to export some technological techniques through the localization of foreign production in Russia? Such organizations are more difficult for anti-Russian forces to monitor and control their activities. Although nothing can be completely hidden. How, in your opinion, is it possible to develop cooperation with European countries in today’s difficult conditions?
The wizard word in many situations is “transcendence”. Germany today has large Russian-speaking community – which it did not have until 1990. These people think traditionel, they do not agree with any Western agenda and they run businesses. Very similar is the group of Eastern Germans who often express respect for Russia and generally despise the green party and all the woke positions they stand for.
What worked very well in Crimea could work in parts of Germany and for very sure will work with certain German communities. Russia as a former German crown juwel: Eastern Prussia It is not far from the island of Ruegen where the newest and most important strategic asset of the union of Russian state and German business ends (North Stream pipelines). Being a little creative, Russia can create a new situation in and around Germany which will leave Nato completely irrelevant without one shot fired near the borders of Russia or at the Black Sea. In 1919 the Soviet Republic of Braunschweig called for a union with the USSR. A hundred years later it is time to think of likewise in order to finally have peace and prosperity in Europe.