The Azerbaijani Armed Forces and their allies continue to storm Armenian positions in the mountainous terrain near Shusha and the Lachin corridor in Nagorno-Karabakh. After making rapid advances, the Azerbaijani forces now appear to be stuck in a kind of positional fighting. The intensity of the clashes has not lessened and both sides still regularly suffer notable casualties. Meanwhile, Azerbaijani forces are still deployed just south of Shushi and pose a serious threat to the defenders of the town. Some sources say that they are now even regularly shelling the road linking the Lachin corridor to the town. If the reports about the Azerbaijani side having fire control over the road turn out to be true, the situation in Shusha for the Armenian forces will become more and more difficult as the fighting continues.
Armenia, from its side, insists that its forces have been successfully repelling all Azerbaijani attacks. For example, on November 3, the Armenians reportedly repelled an Azerbaijani attack in the Karvachar area killing at least 6 troops, destroying 2 battle tanks and capturing an infantry fighting vehicle. An alleged ‘special forces unit’ of Azerbaijan was also ambushed by Armenian forces near Tagavard. As of November 4, the Armenian military says that its forces have surrounded – and are working to eliminate – another group of Azerbaijani troops south of Shusha.
Meanwhile, the number of Azerbaijani casualties claimed by Armenia since the start of the war has reached 7,095. 251 UAVs, 16 helicopters, 25 planes, 685 armoured vehicles and 6 rocket launchers have allegedly also been destroyed.
Azerbaijan reports regular successes on the battlefield while pro-Azerbaijani sources vow to capture Shusha and the Lachin corridor in the coming days (which is unlikely due to the heavy fortifications in the area). Armenian saboteur groups also appear in statements by the Azerbaijani military as a permanent factor impacting the situation behind the frontlines. Azerbaijan still has a lot of work to do if it wants to secure the recently captured areas.
The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry officially confirms operations in the Tartar, Aghdam, Khojavend, Zangilan and Gubadli areas. According to them, on November 3 and November 4, a large number of Armenian forces, two T-72 tanks, three D-30 howitzer-guns, a “Zastava M-55” anti-aircraft gun, a tactical UAV, and 3 military trucks were destroyed.
In an interview with the La Repubblica newspaper, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said that he is ready to stop the war in Nagorno-Karabakh. This statement was covered by Armenian sources as a kind of sign of an imminent Armenian victory due to the fact that Azerbaijani forces are exhausted by heavy clashes and casualties and that winter is coming. In fact, Aliyev repeated that Armenia must agree on the withdrawal of troops from the contested region for peace to be achieved and said that the only possible compromise with Yerevan is Armenian withdrawal from Azerbaijani territory.
In general, the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc still keeps the initiative but the Armenians used their chance to stabilize the situation and if Baku does not achieve a breakthrough in the coming month, the deteriorating weather conditions together with increasing losses will slow down the Azerbaijani advance even further. The issue of the presence of Turkish-backed Syrian militants fighting on the side of Azerbaijan also does not play into the hands of Azerbaijan and Turkey.
In an interview with Kommersant, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that the number of Turkish-backed militants in the area had reached 2,000.
“We are, of course, concerned about the internationalization of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and the involvement of militants from the Middle East. We have repeatedly called on external players to use their capabilities to stop the transfer of mercenaries, whose number in the conflict zone, according to available data, is already approaching two thousand,” he said.
The Armenian leadership seems to understand this and recently increased its media and diplomatic activity using the ‘anti-terrorist narrative’. If Yerevan is able to convince the international audience that the actions of the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc in Nagorno-Karabakh increase the terrorist threat not only in the South Caucasus but also in Europe, it will become much easier for Armenia to receive additional support in the ongoing standoff.
Those terrorists are cannon fodder and are quite dangerous. $2,000 per month plus a bonus of $100 per chopped Armenian head motivates them to be as vicious as they have been in Syria.
They are not cannon fodder. They have been brought to ethnically cleanse the Armenians. They are specialists.
I don’t think Azerbaijani soldiers have what it takes to massacre women and children.
Right, they’re fulfilling the same function as they did in Syria in the service of Sultan Erdogan against the Kurds (headchopping and ethnic cleansing while also acting as shock troops) and in Libya in the service of Sultan Erdogan against Haftar, ditto.
So the internationally recognized government of Libya, which has been fighting old CIA Haftar’s merry band of thugs, supported by Egypt, Israel, US and the like is your man, then?
ie: he leads the team you cheer for ?
Libya’s Government of National Accord ( GNA) UN mandate expired 3 years ago.
GNA were given that mandate in order to organise elections, something they were unwilling or unable to do.
Since GNA no longer has a valid mandate, power reverts automatically back to House of representatives led by Aguila Saleh and Libyan National Army led by Gen Haftar.
Regardless of Haftar’s past he is part of the legitimate and internationally recognised power structure in Libya.
“Regardless of Haftar’s past he is part of the legitimate and internationally recognised power structure in Libya.”
While he may be part of the recent truce.. as is the GNA, (despite your claim of their power being invalid- according to Eyptian sources, you’ve cited) it is exactly and explicitly because of his CIA past and present ties to Usrael that he has the position of power he is in.
That reality cannot be swept under the rug. I
Haftar is a known CIA stooge. I fail to see how even by the most imaginative stretch anyone could turn what I said into an endorsement of Haftar.
Could you provide additional information that verifies you claim of the GNA mandate being expired
I see old CIA Haftar makes that claim
“Libyan strongman Khalifa Haftar said Monday his Libyan National Army (LNA) had a “popular mandate” to rule Libya and vowed to press his assault to seize Tripoli, the country’s capital.
He also declared “the end of the Skhirat Agreement,” a 2015 United Nations-mediated deal that consolidated Libya’s government, in a televised address on his Libya al-Hadath TV channel.”
Show me where that mandate has ended. Other then on Haftar’s say so?
The above is a link with the actual text of the mandate (Libyan Political Agreement). The LPA, signed in 2015, expires after two years, as specified in the LPA document itself.
Hi Serbian girl- The wording is very unclear.
“According to several senior law experts, the LPA expires after two years, on December 17, 2017”
I don’t see the actual text of the mandate, which, I would assume should be available at the UN.
Which is what I was looking for.
Let’s read what is there. Because when one does, it’s not at all clear that the mandate expired at all
“The term of the Government of National Accord shall be one year as of the date of granting it a vote of confidence by the House of Representatives. In case the Constitution was not finalized during its term, it shall be renewed automatically for one additional year only. In all cases, the term of the Government shall end immediately after the formation of the Executive Authority as per the Libyan Constitution, or the expiry of its specified duration, whichever is earlier”. It can be argued, that with the endorsement of the LPA by the United Nations Security Council and the international recognition of the GNA as Libya’s legitimate government, the two-years period started de-facto right away on December 17, 2015, even without a vote of confidence by the “House of Representatives” (HoR), Libya’s internationally recognized parliament.
Clearly there are conditions that have been set out In case the Constitution was not finalized during its term it shall be renewed automatically for one additional year only. Was a Constitution finalized?
” In all cases, the term of the Government shall end immediately after the formation of the Executive Authority as per the Libyan Constitution,”
Was this condition met?
I’m sure clever lawyers could make arguments either way, but, it’s not clear at all that the mandate has ended.
That is more or less acknowledged in the writing of the article Libya The “Expiry” of the LPA and it’s consequences- that is ambivalence…
thanks for the additional info, but to claim the agreement ended one would need more specific information or a team of lawyers.
This conversation is going off-topic. This post isn’t about Libya – please take to the MFC. Mod.
Бидет is a bit premature, but he would be one, yes.
If Russia cannot smack some sense into tiny Azerbaijan and Armenia, both of which were mere provinces of Russia from the 1800s until the modern era, then Russia must be very weak.
If Russia can do this, but won’t, then Russia must be in league with the perpetrators of this conflict.
Some will surely say “but what about the great and invincible superpower Turkey?” I want to say that I believe it is absolutely possible for Russia to put its foot down here in a way that will send Turkey scurrying off with its tail between its legs.
Strategically speaking, for Russia to sit back and allow what is happening to happen, which is what they have been doing, is beyond asinine.
Unless, Russia has been given assurances by its Zionist masters that Iran is the intended target here, not Russia. After all, why would they make war on Russia, a country that has been a model Zionist slave-state, and is going to be their new global superpower in the new world order together with China, once the US collapses? Putin and Netanyahu have more pictures together than I have with my brother.
Putin is not going to endanger Russia’s future, by going up against the Zionist regime. If the Zionist regime wants to bring thousands of headchoppers and place them on Russia’s border, that is absolutely fine by them, judging by their actions.
Of course Putin could have stopped it at the start. All it would have needed was two phone calls…
1. To Erdogan, saying that Russia knew what he was up to and if the plan for war were to go ahead then it would have economic consequences for the Ottoman Empire, for example, the Russian tourist income that’s so vital for Erdo would stop again.
2. To Pashinyan, saying that Russia was very unhappy about his courting Russia’s enemies, and that unless this changed immediately Russia would let the attack go ahead and not help in any way.
…and one public statement, to wit, that Russia would not tolerate any attempt to create facts on the ground in Nagorno Karabakh by violence and war, no matter who was responsible.
Since Putin chose not to do this, there is no explanation but that he decided that the war should go ahead.
“Of course Putin could have stopped it at the start. All it would have needed was two phone calls…”
That’s quite an assumption. After decades of negotiations. Most recently rejected by Armenia- it would have only taken two phone calls?
Yes it would have, because Erdogan’s already been brought to his knees once by closing down Russian tourism, and that was when the Ottoman economic situation was rather better than it is now.
Well, that’s your opinion. And it’s one I don’t share. Because the situation in NK is not just about Erdogan. And Putin does not have that type of influence or power.
@Penny, this is a war of aggression against NKR and Armenia by Turkey and Azerbaijan.
I think Russia plans to let the children fight first, and then it will react by offering a “balance of power” system in a new form of federal status like former USSR and let so called “democratic international comunity” sow further differences and aversion. Maybe it would be better of “creating” land for the Armenians (as historic nation with specific religion), between the rivers Kura and Araks. Azerbaijani regions could “choose” between Russians and Iranians. same as Talysh people. They are not Turks but remnants of former Albanians like Lezgins, turcified Aremenians, Sakas and Medes people. How much is Iran working to Iranizied Azers? As much as Russia working on Russification of the Caucasus ethnicities. That is why certain problems continue and will not changed if two powers dont change their international approach. In America all people are Americans, in Turkey Turks. We Serbs have similar problem…..and Croats not, Serbs in Croatia become Croatians of orthodox faith. They created their own croatian orthodox church to assimilate survived serb orthodox belivers. I never heard about Iranian christians, why? Who are Assyrians f.e. or Zazas or Sorani…… Turks, Arabs? Throughout process of russification and Iranisation most problems in your countries and on your borders would disappear. Multiculturalism can be saved but with a different “made in” name.
“Serbs in Croatia created their own croatian orthodox church to assimilate ….”
The ephemeral “Croatian orthodox church” was a fake church created by Croat fascist leadership between 1942 – 1945.
I’m glad you’re following, honey. They have it also today, ask in Palmoticeva center. And the first one you mentioned was not fascist during World War II, it was Nazi. This one today is fascist.
About Serbs in Croatia and Ortodhox church…
This claim is not truth.
Serbs are Serbs, and their church is SPC, Serbian Ortodhox Church.
Croatian Ortodhox Church does not exist and cannot exist.
There was some unofficial attempt …one small radical nationalist group tried something with one former priest from Montenegro who was excommunicated from Serbian Church, but nobody took that seriously.
Assimilation exist everywhere including in Serbia, but it is small number of people usually in ethnically mixed families. Not very significant. People today have their national identity and they do not change it just like that.
From my comic strip…
““We are, of course, concerned about the internationalization of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and the involvement of militants from the Middle East. We have repeatedly called on external players to use their capabilities to stop the transfer of mercenaries, whose number in the conflict zone, according to available data, is already approaching two thousand,” he said.”
Sorry, where did Lavrov say these were Turkish backed militants?
Or is this just more assuming?
Cause we know foreigners are dying fighting for Armenia- A Canadian recently died fighting there. As have other foreigners.
“Sorry, where did Lavrov say these were Turkish backed militants?”
Why would Lavrov want to discuss the issue of middle east mercenaries in NK region with Turkey, if Turkey has nothing to do with it?
Removed. Please respect the views of other commenters. Also you have made this point several times now. Any further repetitive comments will go to trash Mod.
Lavrov said nothing about Turkish backed militants.
It’s interesting to note the rhetoric employed in this piece as well the anti terrorist front- Removed – no attacking the author. Please follow the site rules. Mod.
Whichever- the territory being fought over is internationally recognized Azerbaijani territory that was ethnically cleansed by the Armenians- all well documented and information that is easily accessible.
regarding claims, never substantiated, about turkish backed fighters
“In Azerbaijan, accusations of involvement in the conflict against Syrian fighters began to circulate a month before the fighting began in Nagorno-Karabakh. The Euphrates News Agency, based in Amsterdam and close to the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), which is banned in Turkey, and the Hawar News Agency, which is linked to the Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD) in Syria, considered the Syrian arm of the PKK, have reported that Turkey has been recruiting “mercenary groups” of Syrians in Idlib in northwest Syria to fight in Azerbaijan.”
Highly suggestive of bias.
“None of the reports mentioned their sources of information, adding that they could not independently confirm the figures”
“It seems that the players are manipulating the issue of the Syrian combatants to the full in the media and that some regional and international actors are trying to take advantage of rumours that Syrian fighters have become international mercenaries by exaggerating their numbers and missions. These actors are also themselves trying to fight Turkey using Syrian combatants as pawns and the weakest link in the Middle East’s wars.”
Rumours, fabrications and innuendo.
There is plenty of evidence of the Syrian head choppers being recruited by Turkey and they fight in Azerbaijan. There are quite a few videos of them fighting in Azerbaijan or interrogations of captured jihadis. Do you think Lavrov and others would speak about it if there was no evidence?
“the territory being fought over is internationally recognized Azerbaijani territory that was ethnically cleansed by the Armenians- all well documented and information that is easily accessible.”
Notice the lack of any country named Azerbaijan.
Your argument, that because Armenia took the land from Azerbaijan, then it belongs to Azerbaijan, is not valid, because if you go further back, the territory was originally taken from Armenians.
All that matters is that Armenians are living there now; families, women and children, old people. There is no argument you could bring to the table, Penny, that would justify the ethnic cleansing of Armenians from the region.
I cannot u understand why many people expect from Russia to get involved in this war in N. Karabah on Armenian side.
Russia cannot do that. Russia can offer diplomatic help and eventually send peacekeepers by ONLY if both sides achieve agreement about it.
Russia cannot take side in NK war. Religion means nothing here.
It is hard to understand why people cannot understand this simple fact
I don’t believe Russia should take sides either.
I think Russia should put both sides in their place, and convey a clear message: “no war on my border, especially by two little tiny nothing states that only gained their independence in the last thirty years.”
And Russia should convey to Erdogan: “sit down and stfu before I bitch slap you back to Mongolia, or wherever you came from.”
Pardon my French.
“My border” ???
Which border would that be?
There is only one party who has a border with RU and that is the Azeri’s. The fighting is way on the other side, on their own UN recognized territory.
As for bitch slapping, nice, i’m sure Putin is just itching to go street trash mode on the international stage.
Would this be the b-slap he gave to Erdo in Syria? ..um nope
Or perhaps Libya? ..um nope
And why would Putin risk alienating the ONLY Nato country that actually respects him and has virtually an open line of communication that is immune to US meddling.
Why would Putin risk a lucrative pipeline to the west earning $Billions running through Erdo’s garden cause he sure as hell knows he cant trust his other options ie Nordstream, Ukraine pipelines.
Erdo and Putin both know who thier enemies are, and in most cases those enemies are the usual horde (US,EU,Shmuley etc..)
Armenia set the innevitable thirty years ago by invading and occupying teritories and now karma has come knocking.
And its gona be a bitch.
If we have learned anything from recent events in the Middle East, it is that the USA will be the enemy of whoever Netanyahu tells it to be. Which is why Putin and Erdogan make nice with Netanyahu.
Netanyahu has Erdogan and the Azeri guy destabilizing a region that is only a few hundred kilometers from the Russian border, bringing in foreign terrorists and mercenaries, and effectively taking that territory for NATO to use against Russia at some time in the future.
Putin, of course, does nothing, because this is Netanyahu’s war, not Erdogan’s. And it is primarily against Iran, and any advantage that NATO and the Zionists gain against Russia here is just fortuitous.
You are a bunch of armchair analysts, pretending to be intellectuals.
Azerbaijan is reclaiming its internationally recognized territories, ethnically cleansed and occupied by separatists and terrorists. The fact is so obvious, yet you blinded by hatred. Armenians should learn to live with their Azeri neighbours and stop this anti state terror.
Learn to accept and face the truth sometimes. In this case you are totally in the wrong. If this is your standard then very soon this Saker channel will loses all credibility.
Well said, hatred indeed.
Its very telling of the bias of the article and unfortunately of some of the comenters that somehow “Turkey” is mentioned more that the subject matter itself.
I ferevently hope that this site doesnt spiral down into a sad level of acrimoniuos xenophobic bickering that now pollutes other (used to be,half decent) sites. O im looking at you Hedge
“Meanwhile, the number of Azerbaijani casualties claimed by Armenia since the start of the war has reached”
A question to Southfront, these outlandish claims (numbers) have been appearing in every article regarding this conflict but where is the evidence?
The numbers are quite frankly absolute rubbish and are knowhere near the reality on the ground.
Not a single reference of downed plane, nor a Helicopter and as for the UAV’s, with so many downed, how hard was it to find one to photo?
And in the same breath how is it that here no mention of the loses of the Armenian weaponry. There is a plethora of evidence of TB2 demolition of ARM armour yet no mention?
No doubt Armenians have struck Azeri targets, one recently being the elimination of Azeri SOF scouting troop with heavy loses but quite clearly Armenia is getting absolutey pulverized on very many fronts.
The situation is so dire for the defending Armenians that they are now in a desperate last ditch do or die defence of Susha.
The bias in this (and many previous articles) would have you beleive that the balance of conflict is on a knife edge and that with one heroic effort, Armenia can break out and reverse all previous loses.
Cant see it happening.