A few quick facts.
- The Chinese Foreign Ministry has officially given its support to Russia: “China believes that in the current environment, Russian proposals are in line with the basic norms of international relations, help to increase mutual trust between countries, reduce the risk of conflicts, and uphold global and regional strategic stability“
- The Russian diesel-electric submarine Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii has just fired a 3M14 Kalibr from a submerged position in the Sea of Japan against a land target in Russia located over 1000km away.
- German officials have declared that they will not attend the Winter Olympics in China.
- Estonia has declared that it will ship lethal weapons to the Ukraine :-)
- The latest (3rd) US test of a hypersonic weapon has failed, like the previous ones
- The cost of gas in the EU has broken through the $2’100/m3 for the first time.
- German Chancellor Scholz and Putin spoke on the phone.
- The US plans to submit counter-proposals to the Russian side. Should happen this week.
- The rating of President “Ze” is now as long as 16%
- Ex-President Poroshenko has fled the Ukraine (were he is now accused of treason)
- Several Russian officials are warning that US PMCs are involved in preparing a false flag using chemical weapons on the Donbass (like what the West did in Ghouta, Syria).
- President Putin declared that the Russian ultimatum was not an ultimatum, as have several other Russian officials. Putin said:
“We already see that some of our ill-wishers, frankly speaking, interpret them as an ultimatum from Russia. Of course not. I remind you once again, I want to remind you: everything that our partners did, so we will call them, the United States, in previous years, allegedly ensuring their interests and supposedly their security thousands of kilometers from their national territory, after all, they did it, they are so tough and the most bright things, without any sanction of the UN Security Council.
Yugoslavia was bombed under what pretext? What, with the sanction of the Security Council, or what? Where is Yugoslavia and where is the USA? Destroyed the country. Yes, there is an internal conflict, there are their own problems, but who gave the right to strike at the European capital? No one. They just decided that, and the satellites ran behind them and nodded. That’s all international law.
And under what pretext did you enter Iraq? Development of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. We entered, destroyed the country, created a hotbed of international terrorism, and then it turned out that we were mistaken, and then they said: “The intelligence let us down.” Wow! The country was destroyed! Intelligence failed – and the whole explanation. It turns out that there were no weapons of mass destruction there, no one was preparing. On the contrary, once it was, [but] everything was destroyed as it should be.
How did you go to Syria? With the approval of the Security Council? No. They do what they want. But what they are now doing on the territory of Ukraine, or trying to do and planning to do, is not thousands of kilometers from our national border – this is at the doorstep of our house. They must understand that we simply have nowhere to retreat further.
Specialists sit here, I am in constant contact with them. There are no hypersonic weapons in the United States yet, but we know when they will appear, the same cannot be hidden. Everything is recorded: the tests are successful – unsuccessful. Clearly, we roughly understand when it will be. They will supply Ukraine with hypersonic weapons, and then under its cover – this does not mean that they will use them tomorrow, because we already have Zircon, but they do not have it yet – they will arm and push extremists from a neighboring state into including to certain regions of the Russian Federation, say the Crimea, under favorable, as they believe, circumstances for themselves.
Do they think we don’t see these threats? Or do they think that we will helplessly look at the threats posed to Russia? This is the whole problem, we simply have nowhere to move on – that is the question.”
In plain English, this means this: oh no, this is not at all an ultimatum. But we remind you that you attacked other countries and all we are saying is that if you continue or do not heed our warnings, then we will be free to do whatever we deem necessary. But no, of course not, this is not an ultimatum at all :-)
I will end this by posting a transcript of Putin’s speech Expanded Meeting of the Defence Ministry Board:
Good afternoon, comrade officers,
Let us get down to work.
We have always prioritised and still prioritise the development of the Armed Forces and efforts to strengthen Russia’s defence capability, and we will continue to do this in the future.
Today, at the annual expanded meeting of the Defence Ministry Board, we will discuss what has been accomplished in the field of military development throughout 2021, what results have been achieved in the main areas, and, of course, we will chart future tasks. This is what we always do at the Board’s annual meetings.
I would like to note right away that, just like 2020, the outgoing year has been something extraordinary, mostly due to the continued coronavirus pandemic. You and I realise this. And it is of paramount importance that the Armed Forces efficiently and smoothly accomplish all of their tasks in this challenging context.
For example, work continued on the modernisation of the Army and Navy on a grand scale. Consequently, the share of modern weapons exceeded 71 percent in the troops and 89 percent in the strategic nuclear forces.
We continued to actively develop cutting-edge weapons systems. Some of them, namely the Avangard and Kinzhal systems, have been put on combat duty.
The Navy accomplished a wide range of tasks. Russian ships and submarines constantly patrolled all important sectors of the world’s oceans. A combined naval grouping and long-range aviation units successfully accomplished combat-training tasks in the Baltic and Northern seas and in remote areas of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. A group of submarines and other ships did the same in the Arctic Ocean, operating in difficult ice conditions.
I also want to note a further increase in the level of troops’ combat training. The results of the Zapad 2021 joint strategic exercises have shown this convincingly as the participants successfully practiced accomplishing the tasks of ensuring the security of the Union State of Russia and Belarus.
Our military members in Syria acted honourably, as befits Russian soldiers. Their presence and assistance to the civilian population in solving humanitarian problems is making a tangible contribution to strengthening stability in that republic.
Our peacekeepers have been helping to maintain stability in Nagorno-Karabakh for over a year now. Largely thanks to their efforts, the humanitarian situation has improved in the region; several districts have been demined, the social infrastructure has been restored, and historical and cultural landmarks have been preserved. I would like to thank the personnel performing peacekeeping tasks for their professionalism, endurance and perseverance.
Military doctors deserve the highest praise for their hard work in difficult conditions, for their invaluable help to the civilian population: more than 30,500 patients have been treated at the Defence Ministry’s medical facilities, almost half of them civilians.
Military doctors have helped the civilian population in nine regions fight the coronavirus; they have even helped with the rehabilitation of patients who have suffered moderate or severe cases of the coronavirus infection and continue doing it. People continue to undergo rehabilitation treatment at 32 Defence Ministry health centres. Thank you.
I would like to emphasise that the army itself has taken the necessary measures to combat the spread of the coronavirus in its ranks. Almost 100 percent of military personnel have been vaccinated. This made it possible to stem the tide of infection and protect service members’ health, thereby ensuring high combat readiness among army units and divisions. True, the army has suffered from the coronavirus; there have been severe cases and losses – non-combat casualties. But overall, the Armed Forces have dealt with this problem successfully.
The military construction force has been operating with high efficiency. I am referring to more than building a significant amount of infrastructure for the army and navy on time. The military builders have also helped to ensure uninterrupted water supply to Crimea and Sevastopol. They have also helped build multifunctional medical centres and other socially significant facilities in many regions.
Relying on the solid foundation and a powerful research and technology achievements of the past few years, we must definitely continue to improve and strengthen our Armed Forces, which is exactly what we will do.
The military political situation in the world remains complicated, with increased conflict potential and new seats of tension in several regions. In particular, the growth of the US and NATO military forces in direct proximity to the Russian border and major military drills, including unscheduled ones, are a cause for concern.
It is extremely alarming that elements of the US global defence system are being deployed near Russia. The Mk 41 launchers, which are located in Romania and are to be deployed in Poland, are adapted for launching the Tomahawk strike missiles. If this infrastructure continues to move forward, and if US and NATO missile systems are deployed in Ukraine, their flight time to Moscow will be only 7–10 minutes, or even five minutes for hypersonic systems. This is a huge challenge for us, for our security.
In this context, as you are aware, I invited the US President to start talks on the drafting of concrete agreements. Incidentally, during our conversation he actually proposed appointing senior officials to oversee this sphere. It was in response to his proposal that we drafted our proposals on precluding the further eastward expansion of NATO and the deployment of offensive strike systems in the countries bordering on Russia. As you are aware, we have sent the drafts of relevant agreements to our American colleagues and the NATO leadership.
We need long-term legally binding guarantees. Well, we know very well that even legal guarantees cannot be completely fail-safe, because the United States easily pulls out of any international treaty that has ceased to be interesting to it for some reason, sometimes offering explanations and sometimes not, as was the case with the ABM and the Open Skies treaties – nothing at all.
However, we need at least something, at least a legally binding agreement rather than just verbal assurances. We know the worth of such verbal assurances, fine words and promises. Take the recent past, in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when we were told that our concerns about NATO’s potential expansion eastwards were absolutely groundless. And then we saw five waves of the bloc’s eastward expansion. Do you remember how it happened? All of you are adults. It happened at a time when Russia’s relations with the United States and main member states of NATO were cloudless, if not completely allied.
I have already said this in public and will remind you of this again: American specialists were permanently present at the nuclear arms facilities of the Russian Federation. They went to their office there every day, had desks and an American flag. Wasn’t this enough? What else is required? US advisors worked in the Russian Government, career CIA officers gave their advice. What else did they want? What was the point of supporting separatism in the North Caucasus, with the help of even ISIS – well, if not ISIS, there were other terrorist groups. They obviously supported terrorists. What for? What was the point of expanding NATO and withdrawing from the ABM Treaty?
They are to blame for what is happening in Europe now, for the escalation of tensions there. Russia had to respond at every step, and the situation was continuously going from bad to worse. It was deteriorating all the time. And here we are today, in a situation when we are forced to resolve it: After all, we cannot allow the scenario I mentioned. Is anyone unable to grasp this? This should be clear.
Sometimes I wonder: Why did they do all this in the then conditions? This is unclear. I think the reason lies in the euphoria from the victory in the so-called Cold War or the so-called victory in the Cold War. This was due to their wrong assessment of the situation at that time, due to their unprofessional, wrong analysis of probable scenarios. There are simply no other reasons.
I would like to emphasise again: we are not demanding any special exclusive terms for ourselves. Russia stands for equal and indivisible security in the whole of Eurasia.
Naturally, as I have already noted, if our Western colleagues continue their obviously aggressive line, we will take appropriate military-technical reciprocal measures and will have a tough response to their unfriendly steps. And, I would like to stress that we are fully entitled to these actions that are designed to ensure Russia’s security and independence.
As we know well, they are operating thousands of kilometres away from their national territory under different pretexts, including the need to ensure their own security. When international law and the UN Charter get in their way, they declare them obsolete and unnecessary. However, when something meets their interests, they immediately refer to the norms of international law, the UN Charter, international humanitarian law and so on. These manipulations are annoying.
In this connection, as I have already said, it is important to continue planned, steady, systemic development of the Armed Forces, including in line with their priorities, set forth in the latest version of the National Security Strategy and the Concept for Building and Developing the Armed Forces through to 2030.
Next year, we will have to focus on the following main tasks.
First, it is necessary to continue the planned and well-balanced procurement of modern weapons and equipment for military units and to devote special attention to deliveries of high-precision systems, cutting-edge reconnaissance, navigation, communications and control systems.
Second, combat and tactical training programmes should prioritise efforts to master modern weaponry, as well as new forms and methods of combat operations. In this connection, combat training programmes should be modified, so that they can be taken into account during exercises next year, including the Vostok 2022 strategic command post exercise.
Third, all-out success in many spheres now directly depends on well-thought-out and rapid decision-making. In the military sphere, during combat operations, decisions are made in minutes or even seconds. It is therefore necessary to develop systems to support the decision-making process by commanders at all levels, especially at the tactical level, and to introduce elements of artificial intelligence into these systems.
Fourth, it goes without saying that effective operational algorithms should be established at all levels, and advanced automatic systems should also be introduced. At the same time, we can see that modern military conflicts do not take place under pre-set patterns. As before, commanders play a key role in these conflicts. A lot depends on their knowledge, experience, personal qualities, and those who make truly unconventional decisions win battles. Consequently, during operational and combat training, it is necessary to train versatile commanders who possess knowledge in all fields. They should be listed in the personnel pool of top military commanders, and it is necessary to keep an eye on them even now, to guide them and to provide them with opportunities for subsequent promotion.
And, finally, here is the fifth aspect. Given the complicated international situation, it is necessary to develop military and military-technical cooperation with states that are members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the Collective Security Treaty Organisation and to pay special attention to strengthening the defence capability of the Russia-Belarus Union State.
One of our absolute priorities is to increase the level of social guarantees for the military personnel. Defenders of the Motherland perform special tasks which are often highly complicated, demanding and perilous. We will make sure that they are duly rewarded for their service.
As in the previous years, the military allowance must be equivalent and even higher than the wages in the leading industries. We agreed on this with the Government several years ago.
For your information, we have managed to maintain this correlation. According to forecasts, the average wage across the economy as of the end of the year will be 55,000 rubles and the average wage in the leading industries (oil, finance and transport) will be 63,200 rubles. According to my data (the Finance Ministry’s numbers are slightly higher), the Defence Ministry’s average military allowance for lieutenants in 2021 is 81,200 rubles. The figure may differ as all lieutenants are different and serve differently – but the average level of compensation is 81,200 rubles while the leading industries show 63,200 rubles.
The Government must adjust the allowance for inflation and, of course, increase military pensions, in a timely manner and to the extent that will ensure that this correlation is maintained.
We continue to provide military personnel with permanent housing as planned. This year, 4,350 servicepeople purchased new flats using housing subsidies. In the course of the next three years, some 9,000 servicepeople will receive the subsidies. We plan to allocate around 113 billion rubles for this purpose from the federal budget.
The accumulative mortgage system continues to work effectively. Thanks to this programme, 15,000 military personnel have fulfilled their right to housing in 2021. Another 34,000 will obtain new housing in 2022–2024.
Service housing is provided at the same rate. Some 35,000 servicepeople will have obtained it by the end of the year, which is 14 percent higher than our plan.
We will continue to focus very closely on these and other issues concerning military personnel’s social security.
Finally, I would like to thank the leadership and staff of the Defence Ministry for their honest service and good performance. I am confident that you will continue to demonstrate professionalism and competence and use your best efforts to achieve high results. I wish you further success in your service for the benefit of Russia and our people.
Just a tad depressing though. Somehow i think Putin is not optimistic about avoiding war.
Saker, how does your analysis stack up if we assume that the USA is run by a class of 13 year olds, who do not want to do their homework.
They are not 13-year-olds, they are greedy psychopaths who view money/power above all. Most do not care about America or Americans, except as a vehicle for attaining wealth and power. They are smart. The only restraint may come, when they realize that an all-out war would ruin them as well, if not kill the outright.
So Germany did not understand the first message. I guess this is the Gazprom translation for their benefit:
I’d rather think Germany do understand the ‘ultimatum’ message but, as many times before, pushing their luck is modus operandi of the western gang members (all of them!). They think there is no harm pushing their luck. In the past the worst is Russia/China don’t heed their ‘push’ and their push comes to naught. But then again, they’ve got nothing to lose, don’t they???
Russia/China need to add something more to their repertoire of responses to western intransigencies. Add punishment!!! Now that the bitch opened her mouth, waved her wand, and did the hostile act, it’s high time to deal her a blow. Stop the Russian gas flow this winter. Even after Germany realizes Russia means business this time and maneuvers to open Nord Stream 2 for use, Russia persists on the non-shipment. That’s the punishment part.
Is Russia ready to do this? Is China ready to blockade Taiwan next time it veers towards independence in appearance? Are Russia/China ready to dish out punishments instead of just talks??? I’d like to see.
German officials have declared that they will not attend the Winter Olympics in China.
German Admiral said that the resent deployment of the Frigat Beyern in the South China Sea is just a teaser.
Gazprom has shut off gas to Europe via the Yamal pipeline, as it has not received orders for further delivery.
The cost of gas in the EU has broken through the $2’100/m3 for the first time.
German Chancellor Scholz and Putin spoke on the phone:
Ex-President Poroshenko is now accused of Treason and has fled the Ukraine. Καὶ σὺ τέκνον?
President Putin declared that the Russian ultimatum was not an ultimatum.
The US plans to submit counter-proposals to the Russian side.
US PMCs are involved in preparing a false flag chemical weapons attack on the Donbass.
This is classic counter-information smokescreen before war breaks out.
So, Poroshenko has been accused of treason in Ukraine. Very amusing, bearing in mind he has US citizenship, which is remarkable for an ex president of a supposedly sovereign country. I presume he fled to the US. His pal Yats, the former prime minister, is in Canada, having been given Canadian citizenship in record time. This means that two former Ukrainian leaders now reside in the West, having citizenship of two Western countries. This makes ‘sovereign’ Ukrainian one big joke.
Sadly the trend of “dual citizenship” is not only used in America and Ukraine.
In Denmark our former State minister and former NATO Chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen has dual citizenship.
Today, most Politicians and leaders of Public organisation in Denmark now has German middle or last names,
instead of being named according to Nordic Viking tradition.
That is what happens to every Nations letting its sovereignty be hijacked by an Empire.
I sense that when war starts the real Danes will clean house once again.
Maybe the Ukrainians have already started?
Um. Take some notice of what is actually happening in the European gas and electricity markets.
Even the traders who are literally making money like bandits are frightened. Very frightened.
Take a daily dip into @JavierBlas
Russia is meeting all its contractual obligations. That’s it.
A day ago no gas at all was sold.
Prices are soothing none will/can buy.
And EU politicians seem oblivious to the energy Armageddon unfolding.
Look at the latest MFC and see what I have posted there.
@ White Whale
Unfortunately The current energy crisis is planed from the WEF, just as the 2008 financial crisis.
During the last 10 years:
Sweden have shut down 6 nuclear plants,
Germany has shut down almost all its nuclear plants.
Major investments have been made in “unstable” Wind and solar power.
Gas and Oil explorations has been terminated.
Gas from Russia has been stolen by Ukraine, Estonia, Latvia and Poland.
And all National energy infrastructure within the EU and Norway has been privatized.
Today we see the result.
And it was planed to end this way.
By the Dynastic Globalist Fascist Elite and their Green commissars.
if russia does not act the hard way ,then it looses it’s face and then it’s over. the west would never take it serious again. A violent man can not be stopped by words, anyway, I can’t understand that russia is still delivering gas to Nato Nations and Rocket engines to the US. Suport of the enemy who uses it against them. A slap on the head must come, like for example …..Bomb the foreign Mercenaires who are trying to stage a false chemical flag against Donbass. But I am afraid that our good Putin is to soft again.
@ Red Milan
Many Russians are of Nordic heritage.
Such people usually have a very long patience and try all diplomatic efforts before finally putting their foot down. And that is the point where people of other traits are prone to make a fatal mistake.
They regard the extended diplomacy of North men as weakness, and don’t realize that each provocation is building up steam after steam until they finally explode.
When they have put their foot down: The next even minor provocations will be attacked with all the power they got, and with all the previous collected frustrations and provocations built into an insane rampage.
They go Berserk and slays whatever comes near them. And they keep on going until the last man standing.
Last time the Russians were pushed to go Berserk (WWII) they didn’t stop until they reached central Europe and the Japanese Kuril Islands. And they kept the conquered territories in an iron grip for 50 years.
Today Russia still holds the former seat of the German Emperor: Königsberg (today Kalliningrad), and the former Japanese Chishima Islands (today Kuril Islands).
When Putin Meet Biden in the video conference, The Russian foot came down.
If the warning is ignored, we will be in WWIII.
The NATO strategy is a modern version of Shakespeare’s “Till Birnam wood remove to Dunsinane”
“In case your memory needs refreshing, in Act 4, Scene 1, a spirit conjured by the Weird Sisters tells Macbeth that he can never be defeated until Birnam Wood, the forest surrounding Macbeth’s castle, comes against him. Naturally, Macbeth interprets this to mean that the trees themselves will have to move of their own volition before he can be overthrown: “That will never be. / Who can impress the forest, bid the tree / Unfix his earth-bound root?” So you can imagine Macbeth’s surprise in Act 5, Scene 5 when his castle is attacked not by an army of walking trees but by an army of men camouflaging themselves with tree branches cut from Birnam Wood.”
Well done, Alfred. Some legends and stories are so ingrained into our bones that they seem to have a magical effect on our psychology and actions. Sometimes even unconsciously so.
Last night I thought of the Bylinas and the story of the Orthodox saint/ knight Ilya Muromet, Prince Vladimir and their liberation of Kiev from the Idolishche Poganoye.
Strange that such stories come to mind for me as I’m not from that part of the world and have no ancestors from there as far as I know.
If you don’t know the story of Ilya Muromet, I suggest you look it up.
Thank you. I will.
It appears I need to re-read Macbeth. It’s been 35 years or so. Thanks for your comment.
What you’re talking about here is Salami tactics. I quote Glenn Diesen on the matter
“Salami tactics are an appealing option for expansionist actors like NATO, which pursues limited and repetitive expansions to gradually create new realities on the ground. Such tactics avoid rapid escalation and mute opposition from adversaries and allies alike, as complaints can be ridiculed and the response from opponents denounced as disproportionate.
NATO is a master of salami tactics. Initially, the bloc promised it would not expand one inch to the east. Thereafter, its Partnership for Peace was established and sold to the Russians as an alternative to expansion, although it ultimately became a stepping stone to expansion by aligning the armed forces in Central and Eastern European states with NATO standards”
Si vis pacem para bellum
Hope it works.
I don’t recall when was the last time that President Putin was this…displeased. I don’t even know the exact words to describe it.
There was “We will murder them everyehere they hide, even in the outhouse” speach but that was interpreted as a joke. This speach is no joke.
It might be the most significant military speach Putin ever gave to the public. I have goosebumps all over, my feet are chilled by this.
My former country was mentioned, this time with special emotions, makes me nostalgic and sad. Because the President sees the signs, sees how this is no different than then. Godspeed, or better yet:
Neka vam dragi Bog da snage da iz ove nesreće koja nadolazi izađete kao pobednici. Slava Rusiji! Slava svom Pravoslavnom svetu! Slava svim istinskim Slovenima! Do pobede braćo.
Germany also warned China. It s laughable but Germany really warned China. Germany is ready to deploy more warships in the China sea and in the Taiwan strait. If even Germany starts practicing FONOPs thousand of kms away and starts sending ridiculous warnings we are in a very bad situation.
China deployed its two aircraft carrier battle groups simultaneously for training.
Today Russia put into service 2 new nuclear submarines. 1 Borei class strategic nuclear submarine kynaz oleg and1 yasen class attack nuclear submarine novosibirsk. Both for the pacific fleet.
Does Germany have nuclear submarines? They’d better not park them anywhere near China. I understand they have high speed, underwater obstacles everywhere.
No, Germany does not have any nukes.
In terms of subs, they only have diesel-electric attack submarines
Beeing a former german navy guy, i must tell you, that germany has some very sofisticatet powerfull submarines, the only problem for germany in the moment is, that we play santa claus for our allied friends and give them as nice presents to the little country with the chosen people, when ever they want some
It is not an Ultimatum. It is a Promise. It is a Contract. It is the Fate, the Destiny, the Karma of the West.
A predator roams the land beyond its borders. It transgresses the sphere of the Grizzly/Brown Bear. The predator may have fangs and sharp claws, but it is going to get killed by the angered Bear.
It is not an Ultimatum. It is the Law of Nature.
Don’t threaten a beast more fierce, larger and near its home.
It is just a matter of time. The Bear is watching if the predator leaves or continues.
It is not an Ultimatum.
Well done! Made me smile.
thank you larchmonter, we’ve been struggling with this & you’ve absolutely nailed it. yes, indeed…a promise. a russian friend once explained to me the vast difference between english & russian: in english you have one word for snow, we have hundreds, for there a vast differences & nuances in snow, & love, you have one feeble, bankrupt word to describe the cosmos that love holds.
I guess it looks like some form of twisted “suicide by cop” scenario in the making.
Ah, good. If it is not an ultimatum, then the West can freely threaten with a whole range of economic and military measures against Russia, adding that Russians will not be able to buy small items, perfumes and the like in Paris. Of course, the West will negotiate at all levels: out of 28 NATO members, together and later each member separately, Europe as a whole America, Great Britain and I guess there is another interested American ally who wants to participate in the negotiations.
Again, I have a feeling that Putin is diluting an ultimatum that is not.
Now I am absolutely upset.
I’m not trolling but I just got that impression by reading the text.
Please deny me with arguments.
Quite the reverse Sanjin. Sure he said not an ultimatum to keep channels of communication open, but i think he is preparing for WAR. I think the final straw may be the new German government. I suspect that for a while he had hope that Germany would lean Europe to a better place. Now with a Russophobic foreign Minister who is obviously an ignorant fool also (her stupid shopping comment), I think Putin has lost hope.
China too – not quite sure what happened re that submarine, but something has changed re China. It might have been the AUKUS deal, but I suspect it was that USS Connecticut.
The Russian submarine launching a missile in the China sea must have been a warning to the USA and Japan.
It is not clear why Putin is downplaying. Sequence of events can shed little light. After several days of Russian “ultimatum”, and mindless statements of large number of NATO denizens, US agreed to negotiate. After that comes this Putin’s “mansplaining”-like declaration.
I hope that Putin wanted to help future US negotiators to survive rage of crazed antirussians. It seems that Western oligarchy painted itself into corner. Now when their best option is to negotiate, they risk to be attacked by their own zealots. Actions of UK and even Estonia clearly shows existance of strong opposition of defusing situation.
Surely, Putin has the same problem, luckily, to the lesser extent.
I do not have problem with Putin’s
overly kind declarations, as he always steered out of storms with upper hand. I am just tired of suffering troll-fest that follows his every meek speech.
I think this speech was a last ditch effort directed at NATO/EU since they do not accept the conditions of security and de-escalation, and continue russophobic warmongering rhetoric like “You can’t dictate who chooses to be part of NATO wah wah wah”
Trying to make the brainwashed see reason, and then Russia can claim they warned them and Europe will accept it’s punishment alongside the US.
As a post-script…
The entire purpose of reminding the world of the aggressive actions the US has done to Yugoslavia, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Cuba, etc. is meant for NATO. USA knows full well that they committed these crimes throughout history.
Hi Andrei, thank you for this update. It is great that Russia has defined its red lines, and stated “the West not cross Russia’s “red lines,”and “will react harshly to the unfriendly steps.”
Here is a DW (Western media) article covering the meeting of the Ministry of Defense in Moscow, and also sharing Karen Donfried statements and Ukraine’s position.
“Russian President Vladimir Putin threatened a “military-technical” reaction to NATO as he accused the US of an “aggressive” approach to Ukraine… During the Russian defense meeting, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu… accused the US of deploying 120 private military contractors to two villages on the front line in the Donbas… Sergey Lavrov, Russia’s foreign minister, urged separately in a press conference Tuesday that the West not cross Russia’s “red lines.”
“But what they are now doing on the territory of Ukraine, or trying to do and planning to do”
See, there it is: “what they are… planning to do”. Putin knows that the CIA and the neocons are intending for Ukraine to attack the Donbass again, because his intelligence network in Ukraine has told him so. He knows the war is a done deal. This is why he has decided to “get ahead of the blame” when Russia is forced to destroy the Ukraine military by offering the West a way out and thus gaining the “moral – and geopolitical – high ground.”
“Sometimes I wonder: Why did they do all this in the then conditions? This is unclear. I think the reason lies in the euphoria from the victory in the so-called Cold War or the so-called victory in the Cold War. This was due to their wrong assessment of the situation at that time, due to their unprofessional, wrong analysis of probable scenarios. There are simply no other reasons.”
I may be missing something here but for me, I see that Mr Putin may be somewhat naive?
I think that there are obvious reasons besides their euphoria from their so called victory.
Evil exists! and I believe that the power elite of the US were/are greedy to an inexhaustible extent and would have had their eyes on Russia’s manifold resources. I’ll go further.
I would expect that the power elite of the US saw that it was their right to take the resources of Russia for their own.
It wasn’t euphoria. It was that age old evil mix of conquest, arrogance and greed.
I have a lot of respect for Vladimer Putin but unless I misunderstand his comments?
It’s mostly the usual understatement and hinting at what really takes place, but I also get the distinct feeling that the Russian gov is beset with utter disbelief about the murderous and genocidal intentions of the gung-ho cowboy state.
Estonia (pop. 1.326 million) has declared that it will ship lethal weapons to the Ukraine :-)
Perhaps understandable – as NOW over the Gulf, formerly neutral Finland has idiotically agreed to purchasing 64 F-35s, which are considered to be
‘an economically viable maintenance and servicing proposition’…
interesting first-time-news, even for the US airforce!!
Perhaps using those incredible Suomi wood chip extracts in the after-burners and renovated Nokia ‘Electronic Counter Measures’…!!!
So of course, the Estonian speaking politicos in Tallinn have to make a few conciliatory gestures for the incoherent and desperate Bruxelles technocrats.
However, for the past 6 months I have been living in the Russian speaking town of Narva (55,000) directly on the Estonian-Russian border. In fact, we are closer to St Petersburg than the capital Tallinn.
Sure, during the recent Soros instigated Belarus versus Polish-Lithuania border ”refugee” crisis – in Narva, the local Estonian reservists and a few Estonian speaking military reinforced the barbed wire along sections of the Russian-Estonian border, most conveniently separated by the Narva river!!
However, 6 months ago the Estonian PM made some well founded critical comments about the long-standing chaotic situation in the Ukraine.
Apparently, in Narva and neighbouring majority Russian speaking towns, Ukrainian doctors and medics serving in the local clinics have acquired a bad reputation for routinely demanding bribes.
A DEFINITE NO-NO for all Estonians – successfully imitating certain aspects of the Finnish socio-economic model.
After having lived the past two years in the more openly corrupt Serbia and Bulgaria – here, the local officials, bureaucracy, medical personnel, commercial services and public are ‘squeaky’ clean, helpful and correct here in Narva which is also tidy and safe (particularly compared to France and Belgium..). Younger generation often speak reasonable English but for the older generation – minimal attempts at Russian are obligatory..
I apologise, my attempts to speak and understand Russian are a big failure, even if I enjoy simple reading and listening to the Russian speaking radio stations.
A note for Andrei and the ‘Sakers’ Russian readers – the Soviet/Russian war memorials here, including the recent Afghanistan monolithic block receive regular flowers, are well maintained and visited. Probably more young Russians, Germans and Estonians died fighting in this critical region than Brit and US soldiers died during WW2.
My favourite memorial is the unique Soviet T-32/85 tank elevated onto a 2 meter high concrete block, a scenic 6 km cycle down along the river from central Narva. I kid myself that the barrel is accurately pointing towards the City of London, loaded with a hypersonic-homing -85mm projectile, primed to be sent up Rothschilds Khazari backside…..
PS..yes, in the weekend the Narva supermarkets are regularly ‘attacked and raided’ by ‘hordes of Spetznar’ drilled Russian shoppers over-filling their trollies with kilos of cheese, meats, chocolates, nappies, toys etc., who then flee back over the border, often in the newest and largest Mercedes,Toyota or Volvo..
Finland has idiotically agreed to purchasing 64 F-35s, which are considered to be
‘an economically viable maintenance and servicing proposition’
Thats $6.4 billion. I don’t think Finland has the money to spare, or surely it would be better spent elsewhere. It’s amazing how the Americans know how to push the Russophobe button of Russias neighbours. F35 isnt worth a spit, I doubt it would even start up in Finnish winter season. The Yanks are trying to palm that piece of junk off on anybody these days.
“The Yanks are trying to palm that piece of junk off on anybody these days.” — exactly, gotta shift the product line and any cringing subaltern toe-kissing doormat will do. It is not about defence force; it is about money flow. Of course, the Russians bring it on themselves in part by playing the civilized law-abiding gentlemen in a world now run by corporate organised crime flying under an updated “British East India Company” flag with HQ in the toxified badlands between Canada and Mexico.
good to hear news from there…. maybe regular sitreps would be welcome?
I published my own article related to Putin and Shoigu’s presentations as well as the one news item at the time reporting the event. Putin’s Speech at the Annual Defense Ministry Board Meeting Reveals Frank Truths. What troubles me is so few in the West will hear or read his words, which are both an indictment for Hitlerian Crimes and a warning that what was presented wasn’t an ultimatum but a warning that continuing as in the past will result in the most terrible of outcomes that the Outlaw US Empire deserves but not the rest of the planet. Shoigu’s report on the Military’s condition adds steel to Putin’s words that won’t be misinterpreted by the few military professionals but will likely be brushed aside by the Russophobic politicos driving the crisis.
Just a reminder of how things could look soon and how would average, conscious people react if s#it hits the fan.
Rather poor video – not sure who set it up, but very unrealistic if nuclear weapons fly. More than likely simply another propaganda piece by the BBC and MI6.
The video is actually tough prank, at least for someone who is well aware of the horrors of the war, especially nuclear one. In the description of video there are links to the original, unedited video; current one is just a refference to what his fear and distress were about – the Russian attack against Baltic puppets and further to the west while broadcasting live on BBC along with alert. Gives great insight to the horror of waiting to meet your own destiny while being absolutely helpless and unprepared.
Hi, thank you Andrei for your clear concise recap and Putin speech. Very appreciated.
Thanks for this Andrei.
I’m not sure if its usual practice to telecast RF Defence Board Meetings live on RT but it was. The remarks given by VVP after the formal speeches are revealing too (rough transcript of interpreter):
“Who gave them the right ti attack and bomb a Europan capital?…we had some other countries countries who barked or oinked along…[italics mine]
We cannot go any inch [sic] back. The US doesn’t have any hypersonic weapons but you know, they’ll get it. We can see that, we can see everything. We more or less know when that’s going to happen, when they will get those weapons. OK, they put up some sonic weapons in Ukraine, and then under a suitable guise they would use it. They don’t have Zircon, we have Zircon. It doesn’t they would use it tomorrow but they might equip Ukraine and they would push, you know Russia again, and those extremists from neighbouring states to fight against Crimea under very good circumstances for them. Do they think we’re not aware of those threats or that we’ll just sit idly by and watch it? No, that’s the biggest issue.…”
RF leadership are not prone to histrionics or clownish behaviour. They are business-like, almost boring. I hope the West — and particularly Europe — are paying attention.
They are not ultimatums. They are demands. See the difference?
There is hardly any difference. A demand often carries a threat of force with it, just like an ultimatum. Ultimatums have deadlines, demands can also have them.
This is an open threat to the West. Do this and that or we will act. We will crush the Ukraine and any other country that you try to arm against us. Leave now, abandom all hope of sailing your ships near Russia, of flying your planes near Russia. Remove all missiles that are aimed at our country, near our borders.
President Putin knows that they will not do any of this. As someone said, this is also a promise by Russia to the US.
“The military builders have also helped to ensure uninterrupted water supply to Crimea and Sevastopol.”
They are already preparing for a siege.
They must understand that we simply have nowhere to retreat further.
Almost exactly 80 years ago:
“Behind us lies Moscow!”
one little thing should be added: Putin is not an all-powerful tyrants as depicted by western media, he’s probably mostly western-o-phile having even sent his daughter to study in the West (Netherlands).
One has to undestand that most of Russian opinion is much further from the West that he could be, Jirinovski or the Communist party are all more opposed to the West.
So he might yielding to pressure from almost 80 percent + of the nation to blow some ‘Zapad’ nose.
Putin is mistaken about one important aspect of the Western aggression after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. He seems to not understand the simple motivation of money for the private defense industry in the US. This is so different from how Russia and probably most countries in the World operate. Simple greed by Lockheed Martin, BAE Systems, Raytheon, General Dynamics, etc. and their influence through money is a crucial factor in the US aggressive foreign policy. Probably more than any other country, US foreign policy is influenced by private companies with a profit motive.