This time the Ukronazis have attacked north of the city of Balakleia. Here is a summary of events on that front: (machine translation)
Today, the Armed Forces of the Ukraine, after prolonged artillery preparation on Balakleya, Izium, logistics routes and warehouses, launched an offensive on Balakleya from the west from Andreevka.
Due to its geographical location, it is difficult to secure the north-western flank of the group based in Izyum without control over Balakleya. In addition, if ever the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation again pay attention to Kharkiv itself, a convenient route runs from Balakleya through Zmiev to Slobodskoy and Industrial districts of the regional center.
The AFU, after inflicting massive fire damage on the mobilized militia from the DPR, who were defending themselves in the nearby forests, entered the Verbovka settlement.
From there, the only route to the territory of the 65 arsenal and the Balakleya itself remains through the Srednyaya Balakleika River. The bridge over the river is intact, there are battles for control over it.
From Verbovka, the AFU developed success towards the village of Yakovenkovo, trying to advance to Volokhov Yar and completely block Balakleya from the north.
Now the road Volokhov Yar — Balakleya is under the fire control of the AFU.
The bridges over the Balakleika and the Krainiaia Balakleika rivers located to the south have been destroyed, so communication with the central districts of Balakleya is now interrupted.
The Ukrainian formations did not enter the Lageria area located on the western bank of the Balakleika River to the north of its tributary (the Lyakhovaya River). There is also no confirmation of the presence of the Russian Armed Forces in this area.
Reports have been received about the advance of the Russian Armed Forces south of the village of Bayrak and the expansion of the control zone towards Gusarovka. But so far there are no facts that could confirm this.
At the moment, Balakleya is in an operational incirclement and in the zone of fire control of the Ukrainian artillery. All entrances are cut by fire.
And here is a map of the front as of the tonight:
I realize that only very few commentators will heed my advice, but I still have to recommend that we wait at least 24 if not 48 hours before making any evaluations of the outcome of this latest Ukronazi offensive.
Thank you for the honesty. It is a stark contrast to the mendacious propaganda coming from Ukraine, the US government and The Institute for the Study of War.
You misspelled “The Ashkenazi Institute for Lies about the wars they Incite.”
this offensive is the one usa news is quoting as being that they didnt recommended to engage in. i guess they gotta deflect responsibility for its failure. ukies love a good cauldron, boil away. theres a heap of british mastiff armoured vehicles. waiting to see how they cope with ATGM fire, as they another iraq/afghan mine resistant design.
im not sure how confident one can be driving past endless destroyed wrecks of those before you. but heres a glimpse
on the debate over the russian watch guy counting dead spec ops , many claimed it was faked. and here released is the proof. they all get up at the end. why ukraine felt the need to fake their own deaths who knows but they did
So many dead on the Donesk front, Ukie asked Russians for an operational pause while the Ukrainians collect their dead….holy crap, that’s bad. What is the number of wounded????? Shear madness.
BS. If they worried about their dead and wounded, Ukies wouldn’t let Anglos to push them into obvious meat grinder.
They can always retreat, or even better, surrender, and let Russians to take care of the corpses.
That way, families will be able to retrieve remains of their fallen sons and husbands.
Such operational pauses for casualty collection were common in 1944 and 1945 on Germany’s western front.
A truce would be arranged, opposing soldiers would even assist each other with collecting wounded and policing up weapons carried by the casualties — American troops handing over Mauser rifles to Germans, etc. They were, both sides, a far better and more honorable generation than this one.
It seemed obvious those were fake due to how clean and undamaged the bodies were.
It was bothering me at the first “body”, and each subsequent body added to my certainty that these were fake. Too clean, the poses were wrong, the uniforms too clean, no observable damage, weapons still secured and undamaged, and the random distribution made zero sense.
If they died by overpressure or something else that didn’t leave pools of blood, there would be fallen leaves and burnt vegetation around them.
Last of all, the absolute lack of moving any of the bodies or belongings, and the movement from one “body” to the next as if the camera man knew exactly where and how each one was located, screamed “FAKE”.
Since I don’t speak or read Russian, I was only going on visuals and usually watch with the sound off, so perhaps that helped.
Trust your instincts. Unless an entire unit died all at once from mRNA vaccines, there is no way that kind of death scene would exist in real life.
Those things you expected to see (bruising from overpressure, etc), are collectively termed “battle signs,” and yeah, you don’t see incapacitated people in a combat zone without them, unless the person had a stroke, heart attack, or suffered a diabetic coma.
Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine
The Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) continued their attempts to attack several areas of Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
Russian Aerospace Forces, missile troops and artillery launch high-precision attacks at AFU units and reserve forces.
Manpower and military equipment at the provisional bases of 61st Infantry Brigade, 35th Marines Brigade and 17th Tank Brigade of the AFU have been neutralised near Visunsk, Yavkino, Bereznegovatoye and Chervonopolye.
3 depots of missiles, artillery armament and munitions have been destroyed near Velikoye Artakovo (Nikolayev region).
Launch of Kalibr high-precision long-range sea-based missiles has resulted in the elimination of a large fuel depot intended for Ukrainian troops at Nikolayevo-Krivoy Rog direction near Karpovka (Dnepropetrovsk region).
Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces and air defence means have shot down 3 Su-25 airplanes of Ukrainian Air Force. 1 Su-25 has been shot down near Snigiryovka and 2 Su-25 have been shot down near Mirnoye (Nikolayev region).
The enemy has lost a total of 12 tanks, 11 infantry combat vehicles and 8 other armoured vehicles, 6 pick-ups with large-calibre machine guns and over 210 servicemen at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
High-precision air-based armament has neutralised the provisional bases of the units from 54th and 93rd mechanised brigades of the AFU near Artyomovsk (Donetsk People’s Republic). Up to 250 servicemen and over 10 motor and armoured vehicles have been eliminated.
High-precision attacks of Russian Aerospace Forces launched at the provisional bases of 1st Battalion from 65th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU have resulted in the elimination of up to 100 servicemen and 15 units of military equipment near Veselyanka (Zaporozhye region).
Due to high losses and discontinued rotation, the personnel of 53rd Mechanised Brigade of the AFU that operated near Zaytsevo (Donetsk People’s Republic) refuses to fulfil combat tasks and abandons its positions in groups.
Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery continue launching attacks at the military facilities in Ukraine.
3 AFU command posts, including one of 14th Mechanised Brigade near Kamennaya Yaruga (Kharkov region), a command and observation post of a battalion from 102nd Territorial Defence Brigade near Poltavka (Zaporozhye region), as well as 52 artillery units and 161 AFU manpower and military equipment concentration areas.
1 launching ramp of Buk-M1 Ukrainian air defence system has been destroyed near Grigorovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
Air defence means have shot down 12 unmanned aerial vehicles near Yakovenkovo, Kapitolovka, Liptsy (Kharkov region), Kirillovka, Sladkoye, Valeryanovka, Novoandreyevka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Skadovsk (Kherson region) and Kherson.
1 Tochka-U ballistic missile has been intercepted near Popasnaya (Lugansk People’s Republic) and 11 projectiles launched by U.S.-manufactured HIMARS multiple rocket-launching system have been intercepted near Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant.
In total, 290 airplanes and 152 helicopters, 1,889 unmanned aerial vehicles, 373 air defence missile systems, 4,845 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 825 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 3,369 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 5,343 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.
Kiev regime continues its provocations at Zaporozhye power plant aimed at creating a possible technological disaster.
15 artillery attacks launched at the city of Energodar and Zaporozhye power plant by AFU have been recorded over the past 24 hours.
Ukrainian artillery has launched a total of 20 projectiles, including 3 of them at the nuclear power plant. One of the projectiles has impacted the roof of the special building №1, the second has impacted the area between the special building №1 and the second power generator, the third has exploded near the tankers designed for storaging distilled water near the power plant №2.
The fire was being conducted from Ukrainian positions deployed near Marganets (Dnepropetrovsk region). AFU units have been neutralised by a counter-attack launched by Russian artillery.
The radiation environment at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant remains normal.
How many planes do the Ukros have left? Seems like they lose a couple Su per week.
The only aircraft that the Ukrainian airforce has is what they can piece together by cannibalization of airframes.
90% of the Ukie air force was destroyed in the missile attacks of the first 2 hours of the conflict.
Is there a Russian equivalent of the French foreign legion, where foreigners can earn Russian citizenship (if they survive) through military service? Is the Wagner group considered to be Russian Foreign Legion?
Wagner is all former Russian Army. I doubt that any foreigner without prior service in the Russian Army could pass a background check.
The Donetsk& Luhansk republics takes in people, got a Serbian friend that went there a year ago. Don´t know about citizenship but Russians got honor unlike the Western rulers so I suppose that would lie heavy on the scale when applying.
Nonsense! Did you even bother looking at the map? This is a *tiny* offensive along a HUGE frontline.
If you don’t know what you are talking about, please don’t post that kind of nonsense here.
If you continue, I will ban you.
The only goal of ukies suicide canon fodders ‘offensive’, is P R and com + but this time more money and ‘decisive wunder weapons’ as you know ‘we win’..in fact there is a ‘donors’ nato meeting in one US base in Germany(ramstein ??), thursday If not wrong, as ukraine war fatigue is increasing very fast here in Europe(not in politicos/jornos minds), but the real thing, meaning their populace (including me) receiving skyrocketing energy invoices not to forget almost hyper inflation in food etc..protests are starting everywhere or are announced for the weeks to come.
And I mean massive one, even in rabbit russophobes countries(eastern EU + Germany).
Paris, YV etc will follow soon.
Politicos have zero solution except doubling down for our ‘freedom and democracy’ of course.
They are starting their QE again, but problem this time QE with inflation will provide even more inflation.
Almost regime change yesterday in Bratislava.Crazy warmonger ‘first stkiste’ Truss took power today in londonistan, expect the worst.
This has nothing to do with anybody’s “freedom”. Rather the opposite.
The area is lightly defended, by locals, militia…mainly a trip wire force. If Dima who for two days was talking about the Tank division moved there, the force build up…then pretty sure RF MOD was changing the grinder blades waiting for the Ukies to line up for slaughter…..most Ukie successes were Russian feints, move back then turn the grinder on.
I was wondering why Russia wouldn’t smash the trains and tracks being used by the Ukies for resupply……can’t spring a trap with a broken door.
Dima is a good kid but he has *no* understanding of the concepts when reporting on military matters, it is very clear that his knowledge stops with what various Telegrams channels say. I´d guess that he´s a history buff that read WWII et cetera and base his reporting on that.
He does a good job of collating information though, it is his analysis that leaves much to wish for. DPA on the other hand often mix up names and so report ghost offensives by the Ukros and increase the confusion for his viewers so Dima is good for YouTube.
Ukraine throwing another 5000 men away in a suicide attack
I read that it was 20k in the last week, and that a third wave was en route.
No way Ukraine has that many men to use in a offensive. Ukraine lost 3 to 5k men in Kherson. Most wounded will likely be permanently disabled or die due to ukraine healthcare in state of collapse.
Ukraine has a population of 42 million, so they have 100s of thousands more to send, if not a million or more.
They just made it illegal for conscriptable women to leave the country.
Conscripting women is Comedian’s Zelensky’s final joke before Ukraine’s collapse.
The wounded are being sent to Poland and a couple other places, and its now those places which are complaining they don’t have the resources to treat all these wounded people coming to their country’s.
All leading to civil unrest once the straw breaks the back of the citizens.
Ukraine was always going to counter attack, if you look at the Western war of WW1 -which this most closely resembles due to the heavy reliance on artillery and strong defensive positions- the tactics of the West in that war is similar to the tactics of Ukraine in this, Ukraine has the numbers so its attrition.
They don’t care about lives of their people…as long as the “elite” and their families are safe and at the top.
U.S stated its objectives to weaken Russia.
Does Russia not listen, you cannot go to war with one hand tied behind your back because it is your opponents that decide how much the fight will cost, its all or nothing.
So the Russians are exactly where the U.S want them, its time for Russia to make some hard decisions on where they want to take this.
Attacking Ukrainian suppliers and supply lines obviously is no longer a priority to Russia?
Attrition is only fought by the unimaginative.
“Ukraine has the numbers so its attrition.”
Not even close. Plus over 50% of their military age males left the country, most especially the Ashkenazi for whom this is all supposed to benefit in the end, and who would be the most motivated to perform heroic deeds.
Ukraine has a population of 42 million, and they have had plenty of reserves to keep their line solid. So solid, that Russia and DPR fighters haven’t been able to hardly budge it for months. It is currently holding strong and advancing, so there’s no sign they are short of reserves.
And Russia has three times that population, and hasn’t even mobilized more than ten percent of their available manpower. So Ukraine can send as many reserves as they want, eventually they’re going to run out long before Russia does.
Russia will be pushed out if it doesn’t send more and use better tactics. Ukraine is getting ever more weapons from U.S., and it is becoming more and more difficult for Russia to make any progress in Ukraine. Vietnam had a smaller population than Ukraine has now, and it lost more per day. So as long as U.S. and other powers keep backing it, they will be will to keep sending soldiers, while Russia will eventually back out not wanting to risk losses on its side.
It’s highly debatable that the US will continue backing Ukraine indefinitely without some tangible results soon. Americans have notoriously short attention spans, hence the reason for these counteroffensives.
Secondly, Vietnam is not comparable to the current conflict. The US got into that war on some vague notion on fighting communism, but North Vietnam didn’t represent an existential threat to the US. There was no English-speaking American minority being killed that need protection, no border with the US, no threat of North Vietnam joining the Warsaw Pact, etc.
My point being Russia is in this for the long haul, so why use all your manpower at once.
Keep us informed, and let us know when Ukrops start knocking on Kremlin’s door.
Please remind me, how Vietnam war affected world economy? Did price of rice skyrocketed, or something?
Vietnam bankrupted the US, thus forcing the gold standard dollar to become “petrodollar”, not rice, but oil price “skyrocketed”. After that, naturally, “rice” and everything else became more expensive for the people of Earth. As Master Sun Tsu said, long war…”There has never been a protracted war from which a country has benefited.”
IMHO the SMO is not supposed to be a quickie. It takes time to de- nazify, and demilitarise. Russia only needs to stay where it is and destroy AFU. Nevertheless it is, over the 6 months so far, taking ground not losing.
Having said that I have no idea what RU mod has in mind. Just watching and waiting. Hoping it will end soon.
Additionally, if the US (Nato) thought it could defeat Russia they’d have gone for it already. I suggest you pay attention to what is happening.
Ukraine is vast open steppe, with a few copses of trees here and there.
Even with local 5:1 advantage, you wouldn’t try to send troops across such open fields facing today’s weaponry shooting bullets that have a rather flat trajectory (flat enough for no sight adjustment needed) all the way out to 300 meters.
To put it simply, the only way for the Russian speakers to advance without suffering too high casualties is by the heavy use of artillery strikes with the infantry used only for mopping up operations…. and then ONLY AFTER drone video confirms that there’s not even light opposition in and around the Ukie trenches.
“Does Russia not listen, you cannot go to war with one hand tied behind your back because it is your opponents that decide how much the fight will cost, its all or nothing.”
Yep. Ukraine and its backers show intense determination, and without intense determination opposing this, those with the unrelenting determination will win.
The Ukraine has at best 30 million people left. Many citizens are being forced to serve. Who is so damned determined here? It’s not the cannon fodder populace. (Language removed.It violates the blog rules to attack fellow posters,MOD)
Regardless of determation to win, the more genuinely powerful actor will win. I’m of course not referencing ‘power’ as would the collective west.
I mean what is real and Russia so far has destroyed the NATO plans for this provoked and long sought war.
Were Russia to use even 50% of its full capabilities all of Europe would become denazified and demilitarized, most definitely including the dumpster fire called the supposedly U.K.
Besides that, how do you come to the conclusion that Russia lacks determination?
They know full well this is WW3 and they most certainly understand that the shitshow army of Ukraine and its absurd clownworld political actors are merely proxy war empire games.
Russia could of course smash and grab Ukraine….
But they’re not idiots-:)
Clueless. Russia’s military budget is 10% of the offical US military budget (or about 6% of actual US military spending).
The combined west is already running out of ammo. The US would run out of artillery shells in 3 weeks if they used them like Russia has for the last six months.
Why should Russia rush to defeat Ukraine when the longer this goes on the worse it gets for the west? Don’t interfere when your enemy is busy hanging himself.
FUD trolls …
33 years on the U.S. Army.
Studying war intently since 1975 in anticipation of the coming American Civil War, which I first saw coming in 1971 when I was 6.
Your view on the Ukie MODs odds of accomplishing anything is very slim other than killing more of their own young men, and taking a FEW Lugansk/Donetsk/Russian troops along with them.
I can tell that you’ve never studied Sun Tzu.
You’ve never studied Clausewitz.
You’ve never studied any of the many wars in the 20th Century.
You’ve never BEEN IN a war.
Whereas I have done all of those.
Your opinion is not merely uninformed, but, if anyone were to rely on it, would be harmful.
Just my opinion, but this all smacks of desperation. That, likely born of the realization that NATO may not survive the coming winter.
A similar thing happened to the Germans during the Great Patriotic War. As time went on, it was easier to get poorly trained and ill equipped troops to attack than defend:
Order in Chaos: The Memoirs of General of Panzer Troops Hermann Balck
“The effect of a dozen soldiers acting with forceful initiative can transmit a psychologically decisive energy to the attack of an entire division. The mass just has to follow through. In the defense, with its extended front lines during World War II, everybody had to perform at full capacity. Sitting in your foxhole by yourself—not a fellow soldier in sight, but everything moving toward you—is a situation that not everyone has the nerves for.”
Perhaps, maybe Zaluzhnyi knows what his troops will do in defensive positions (desert) and this is the next subsequent step in a disintegrating army?
@Rokossovsky: ” it was easier to get poorly trained and ill equipped troops to attack than defend”.
Adrenalin comes natural.
“Anger, sweeter than honey” — Homer, The Trojan War.
As an American soldier, I will be glad to see the dissolution of NATO. It hasn’t had a purpose since 1996, and arguably not since 1991.
This is Russian tactics. They let the enemy to come out to the open and then they throw everything on them. The enemy in trenches is hard to destroy. This is not a surprise so this is most certainly part of a tactics. This offensive has been publicly mentioned many times, so it is impossible that Russian army leaders were not aware of it two weeks ago. There is a report of a destroyed Ukrainian command post near Chuguev in vicinity. Russians are working silently and this is the reason that many are afraid for them. Western propaganda is constantly working on presenting them as losers.
Dude, it’s a 2km-wide push along a 1500 km front.
Hello comp. I read your posts and I get you.
I have to disagree on something basic; PR. We are far past the period of PR being effective in any material way in the SMO. That envelope has closed. I often read about the upcoming meeting with aid suppliers and its’ ´importance´. It is not important, people are already committed to things based on calculus outside of anything being ´demonstrated´ by the AFU. Their doom is fated and probably so months ago by their ´friends´. What is having a growing effect and cause for concern is the growing civil displeasure and unrest in the Occident.
Further, the southern offensive is being registered as a complete fiasco. It is not the PR about that which is having impact, it is the approx. 10,000 AFU troops who have been killed and wounded in short order; two brigades worth completely wiped out, along with a lot of armor they did not have to spare. Now these yoyos in Kiev are starting another long telegraphed attack and we are just waiting for them to arrive at the point where Russia annihilates that bunch.
I know modern thinking puts PR/SPIN in a high value position. It doesn´t meet jack crap, where the rubber meets the road. It never did. My take on it comp, I wish well to you.
“major defeat” from PR POV? — Who cares? The consumers of PR narrative have a memory that doesn’t last even few hours. Those consumers are so fuzzy that if told that the sacrifice of Ukraine prevented the Russians to conquer the Moon, they will start parroting it. Btw it was one of the main reasons I criticized those who were criticizing the perceived inefficiency of the Russian PR. PR is a waste of time and resources. Commenting on vague and marginal issues, subject to esoterically subjective (like “major defeat” for a temporary small piece), is also waste of time.
According to Military Summary, shortly after this counteroffensive began, Russia attacked the headquarters for this counteroffensive.
He, also, says that as of today, the Ukrainians have been totally defeated in Kherson.
Japan was defeated at the Battle of Midway, June, 1942
Japan fought until August, 1945.
Germany was defeated at the Battle of Stalingrad, February 1942
Germany fought until May, 1945.
Ukranian military was defeated on Feb 22, 2022, when Russian missiles destroyed most of the tactical air force, and all radio communications centers down to the brigade, and many at the battalion level, leaving the Ukrainian army with no ability to coordinate above the battalion level in real time, due to a complete loss of all radios operating the High Frequency (3MHz~30 MHz band).
We’ll see how long Kiev continues to fight this war that is beyond their capacity to win.
Battle of Stalingrad lastet over the winter 1942/1943. Germany still had the strength to attempt the breakthrough at Kursk late in summer 1943. Only then it was really defeated.
Ooops, my typo on the year for Stalingrad. You are correct.
Nice said. I would like to add Napoleon’s defeat around Borodino, then resurrected by his beaten enemies just for the sake of defeating him on European soil (Waterloo).
Make no bones about it…this is a fight with the West and its ideological masters, Russia had to have known this.
I said many times that these “one percentage point” will burn us all to keep their agenda and world supremacy in tact, they now have all their military intelligence and military equipment behind Ukraine, they know what Russia is trying to do.
Unless Russia is prepared to fully mobilize for all out war they should never had invaded.
I believe Russia thought that the West would not fully commit because of the threat of China and the need for the west to keep their powder dry.
From your link:
“Much of Russia’s willingness to grind on in the face of setbacks has been premised upon a belief – and perhaps a self-deluding hope – that Western support for Ukraine will fade. If this war is to end, it is vital that the Russian leadership understand that in the medium to long term their position on the ground will get worse, the capability gap between their forces and the Ukrainian military will expand, and the gap between their rhetoric and the reality will become insurmountable. In this context, public commitments to provide Ukraine with combat aircraft like Gripen may take a year to come to fruition, but the impact of such a long-term commitment on the Russian government should not be underestimated.”
Who will fly the Gripens? Certainly not NATO pilots. How long is the training for a rookie pilot? What about someone who has never flown before?
Who will service them between combat missions?
What airfields will they fly missions from?
Do NATO countries want to feed targeting data on their latest aircraft to S-300 installations?
To quote Watling from what you’ve presented;
“If this war is to end, it is vital that the Russian leadership understand that in the medium to long term their position on the ground will get worse, the capability gap between their forces and the Ukrainian military will expand, and the gap between their rhetoric and the reality will become insurmountable…
As during the assault on Kyiv…Russia’s leadership have demonstrated that they are prepared to desist when they see a bigger failure looming on the horizon…”
Capability gap will expand?! RU ‘desisted’ in Kiev because a ‘bigger failure loomed’?!
Next time I see something penned by ‘Doc’ Watling, I’ll be moving straight on by, without taking notice.
OTOH, I do regularly take note of what Will Schryver has to say, most recently this;
“I’ve closely followed interviews of Jacques Baud since early in the Ukraine War. His experience and qualifications are impeccable.
This interview is arguably his most comprehensive to-date. It is long, but absolutely essential.
* HIGHLY RECOMMENDED *
.. the “money quote” from Baud’s interview;
“…. to achieve their goals the Russians do not need to advance—it would be enough if Ukrainians themselves would come and get killed.”
It is very comprehensive, so I’ll just pick one ‘money quote’;
“The main lesson of this war at this stage confirms what we know since the Second World War: the Russians master the operational art.”
Before Defense Secretary Austin flies off to Ramstein for the meeting Thursday of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group we owe you a few words of caution occasioned by our many decades of experience with what happens to intelligence in wartime. If he tells you Kyiv is beating back the Russians, kick the tires – and consider widening your circle of advisers.
thanks for posting that link.
As a military professional and veteran, the contents of that link is straight up truth.
Read in South Front, Ukraine loses thousands of men in its offensive, highly trained men. Will 8,000 NATO troops fight instead of the decimated Ukrainian troops to maintain the offensive in the south? The report does not say whether they will be forces in Ukrainian uniform or not, but I suppose they will be Nato troops in Ukrainian uniform, and that is greatly escalating the conflict.
It could be Russians want to drag NATerroristO into the battle.
Afterall, denazifing Europe is floating around as a side effect.
Eventually, clash of Good and Evil has to happen, and we are destined to feel it, perhaps :)
Its been written, as great Bob Marley said. Mother Russia must win this operation for the sake of whole human race!
Erase all nazis, plunder whole ukro army if needed, destroy their parlament..find their narko president alive! Pigs are hungry before the winter ;)
Natzo spy planes and satelites must be destroyed or pushed back..raise it up!
There will be no future without Russia as dr Steiner said 100 years ago and VVP also in present time ;)
I realize that only very few commentators will heed my advice, but I still have to recommend that we wait at least 24 if not 48 hours before making any evaluations of the outcome of this latest Ukronazi offensive.
How can anyone venture an opinion, if there is no data on the scale of forces committed by either side?
On most of the frontline hot zones, there is a total blackout.
Some videos for today, covering recent, relevant events.
Russian military troops from the Republic of Tuva speak in their native Tuvan language so Kiev regime intelligence can’t understand them:
A group of Kiev regime troops surrendered:
Another Kiev regime attack on liberated Kherson oblast got annihilated:
LPR troops conduct drone strikes on Kiev regime forces (18+):
Kiev regime special forces continue washing ashore after their failed attacks on the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant (18+):
Russian Iskander missile targets Kiev regime ammunition depot:
Russian Ka-52s strike enemy positions:
Over the weekend, up to 100,000 Czechs in Prague protested against the EU’s mindless and self-destructive anti-Russia sanctions war:
Several thousand east Germans protested against Washington’s anti-Russia proxy war in Leipzig:
The Kremlin’s “limited military operation” in Ukraine was a Strategic Blunder
World War III Will Be the Most Likely Consequence.
I hate to hear “I told you so” and here I am using those words.
As readers know, I have been concerned for many years that Russia’s toleration of endless insults and provocations would continue to encourage more and worst provocations until red lines are crossed that result in direct conflict between the two major nuclear powers. All these years the Kremlin, unable to understand, or to accept, that its role as Washington’s enemy #1 was set in stone, relied on a strategy of zero to minimal responses in order to undercut the image of a dangerous and aggressive Russia set on restoring the Soviet Empire…
Paul Craig Roberts argument will be negated if Russia liberates all of The Donbass in the near future.
What could be the point? If the had another one hundred going alongside it would mean something. This is even less effective than the Dolittle raid on Tokyo and a lot more lives lost with no possible gain.
That sounds like a short definition of evil.
The Dolittle Raid was very effective. Entire air-wings were redeployed from forward airfields where they were needed back to the Home Islands, where they didn’t see another American aircraft for over a year.
In contrast, this is even less effective than Kiev surrendering immediately…. or last March.
This appears to be larger and better executed than the Kherson offensive. Not that there is a good way to attack without air power across hundreds of kilometers of open fields with no defensive positions. Kherson may turn out to be a pinning force, and since Russia has decided to commit additional troops in that direction, if that was the objective, it has succeeded. Referendum has been cancelled also, and Ukraine is getting more funding.
Russia hasn’t been using air power itself much, or navy, and missiles only opportunistically. If this northern counter-offensive is as large as it seems to be, Russia may decided to delete it with Yanky style shock and awe scorched earth. Can almost guarantee there’s no civilians in any region Russia withdraws from.
I suspect Ukraine will take territory, for a time, and that they’ll pay a very high price. Ukraine should be exercising target denial always, since they don’t have air superiority. If they choose not to, they should expect to get punished for the mistake.
They crossed the river, entered the town, raised the flag, then ran like f……as Russian arty rained on their parade. Russia let the Karakov area battle group build for weeks. Military Summary has been covering the build up for over two weeks, locals reporting train after train of armor accumulating. If he knows that, the Russians know that……and they didn’t do any thing major….left a trip wire force designed to just hold long enough till the RF Cavalry arrived, and they did. Blowing pontoon bridges works both ways…..and if I leave mine……cross at your risk seems to be Russian bait.
The simple fact that my microsoft laptop news has seven bs articles about russia today, tells me things are going really bad for ukronazies and their patronage. Usually its one bs story per day. But everything and the kitchen sink got thrown today.
Qualquer Exército que se preze faz treinamentos rotineiros de marcha com equipamento completo de 8, 16 e 32 quilômetros a cada seis meses.
Quando estava no Exército essa era a praxe.
Por incrível que pareça, esse tipo de marcha também serve para retirada antes de uma barragem de artilharia e, em nosso equipamento, uma pá para cada soldado era obrigatória.
Na primeira marcha de 4 quilômetros, ninguém montava barraca, ao final da marcha, cada um com sua pá, cavar um buraco e dormir lá.
Só depois de muito tempo, quando tive acesso a manuais em .pdf desclassificados, fiquei sabendo do objetivo desse treinamento que era de retirada.
Martianov no último vídeo explicou sobre a escala em mapas, foi muito preciso e esclarecedor, como Geógrafo, também não consigo me situar na escalada do avanço e, os nomes e regiões que constam nos mapas são bem distintos das traduções das localidades em português que o Google Earth apresenta no meu idioma.
Simplesmente não há como acompanhar!
Provavelmente nenhum estrategista da OTAN leu “Yves Lacoste” :
“A Geografia, isso serve, em primeiro lugar, para fazer a Guerra.”
Coisa básica para qualquer estrategista que se denomine como tal.
Tenho algum conhecimento de treinamentos militares.
Assisti alguns vídeos no Colonel Cassad, coisas da Guerra, qualquer Guerra é assim, mesmo no meu tempo de só treinamento, o mínimo de perdas eram três por ano (dois por serem burros demais, um por suicídio – essa é minha estatística particular.
Reparo sempre no horizonte atrás das câmeras, procuro no Google Earth e só vejo um horizonte plano como uma prancha.
Muito difícil de se esconder se estiver na defesa.
Até o avanço com tropas insanamente superiores, é temerário.
Sinceramente, não gostaria de estar no couro desses combatentes, a coisa é insana!
Any Army worth its salt does routine 8, 16, and 32-kilometer fully-equipped marching drills every six months.
When I was in the Army that was the practice.
Amazingly, this type of march also serves for retreat before an artillery barrage, and in our equipment, a shovel for each soldier was mandatory.
In the first march of 4 kilometers, nobody pitched a tent, at the end of the march, each one with his shovel, dig a hole and sleep there.
Only after a long time, when I had access to declassified .pdf manuals, did I learn about the purpose of this training, which was to withdraw.
Martianov in the last video explained about the scale on maps, it was very precise and enlightening, as a Geographer, I can’t place myself in the scale of the advance either, and the names and regions that appear on the maps are very different from the translations of the locations in Portuguese that the Google Earth displays in my language.
There’s just no way to keep up!
Probably no NATO strategist has read “Yves Lacoste”:
“Geography, this serves, in the first place, to make war.”
Basic thing for any strategist who calls himself such.
I have some knowledge of military training.
I watched some videos at Colonel Cassad, war stuff, any war is like that, even in my training time, the minimum losses were three a year (two for being too dumb, one for suicide – that’s my particular statistic.
I always notice the horizon behind the cameras, I look in Google Earth and all I see is a flat horizon like a plank.
Very hard to hide if you’re on defense.
Even advancing with insanely superior troops is foolhardy.
Honestly, I wouldn’t want to be in the shoes of these fighters, the thing is insane!
Oh, I thought the Ukrainian army was so decimated and disorganized they were unable to mount any serious counteroffensive ?
Ok cheap shot aside : this is serious but I am not particularly worried. Recall that in Kharkov a few months ago the Ukies almost reached the border and were ecstatic, while RU TG channels were full of desperate and furious chatter screaming that soon the Ukies would enter Russia proper. Then, the Russians threw the Ukies back to their starting point.
Right now the situation is quite open. I could imagine a scenario where the RU army lets the Ukies advance a bit on purpose, to then crush them back once their supply lines are sufficiently stretched. Pushing a few kilometers can be done with some thousands of troops, but going 30-40 km AND THEN securing the necessary supply is another level. I’m not sure the Ukies can really do it.
If they can do it, it would also be a positive (in my view) as it will seriously jolt the Russians and force them to change tactics or strategy.
The only sure thing is that the situation cannot remain as it is. Either Ukies achieve an operational success, or they get beaten back, and we will know this in about a week I guess.
They don’t just need to be beaten back they need to be annihilated,i wonder why Russia has not used their massive airpower?
1. Russian doctrine doesn’t REQUIRE massive airpower
2. Ukraine still retains credible tactical anti-air weaponry (Stingers). Russia has Air Superiority (Ukie Air Force has been degraded to the point of being unable to perform all but a very small number of missions), not Air Supremacy (100% complete control of the skies, including no ground based anti-air threat). The most expensive part of a tactical strike aircraft or an air superiority aircraft is the pilot. There’s no point in risking them needlessly, when there is absolutely ZERO reason to “hurry up.” Ukie soldiers are being de-nazified at a satisfactory rate.
3. Putin told the military to keep casualties on BOTH sides as low as is reasonable.
You come tell us when the Ukies are able to mount an operation with two battalions operating in coordination in real time by radio. Because right now, they still show NO signs of recovery from the 22 FEB missile attacks which took out ALL of their 3 MHz~30 MHz band radios which are required for such coordination. Ukraine lost all of those radios AND THE RADIO OPERATORS. It takes half a year, minimum, to train replacement operators to be EFFECTIVE communicators at the tactical/operational level using the 3~30 MHz band.
Hmm, if the map is correct, it looks like the russians are allowing the ukies to make a progress towards Yakovenkove in order to spring a trap.
Go slow only really works if you encircle and cut off the area you want to liberate.
Russia have not done that allowing Ukraine with NATO help to build up its forces and attack
Also they shouldn’t be too complacent about DPR LPR mobilized forces. There are not that many of them.
They are the perfect security force to allow reconstruction of the area once liberated.
Allowing the 50 year old postman to face Ukrainian artillery is immoral and a stupid waste of resources.
The same errors as at the start: not enough men, not targeting infrastructure. Russia deserves to lose.
Yes, but its autumn now in the northern hemisphere now, soon it will be winter. Then no leaves on the trees and all the Ukie positions will be easily visible. Every time the Ukies fire at the Russians the thermal signature will reveal their location. The frozen ground will hopefully disable or deaden the blasts of the landmines. This will be the first winter war fought with widespread thermal imaging, meaning easy targeting for the Russians and very heavy casualties for the Ukies in their lairs. Thats probably why the Ukies are throwing everything into offensives now, they know that soon they will just be shelled to smithereens every time they light a fire to keep themselves from freezing to death. Russia should actually make the war go even slower than they are currently doing and just wait for the winter.
Sitting almost on the 50th, most similar to the Donbas area for weather and with the first day of Autumn still two weeks away, the leaves are already falling from the trees here….not a good sign, and also noting song birds starting to return from the tundra for long flight south…..EU will not have to wait for winter….. it’ll find them. Can they grow feathers, does evolution even work that fast?
Evolution is a myth.
Mathematical analysis shows that it’s impossible.
Life on earth would have to have started approximately 10000000000000000000000000000000x older than the current age of the universe for there to be even a chance of reaching the present circumstances with regard to the lifeforms found on earth.
Targeting infrastructure is a violation of the Geneva Conventions. Not that any ‘merican would care about that, or even know what it is.
But when you have RF strategy all figured put please let us know.
Think the current NATO- backed Neonazi second attempt – stretched like a snake with1500 km in length – points to the level of NATO desperation at gaining a little bit of victory in Donbass before winter arrives. They seem to know that Russia and her allies have a lot more combat capabilities during cold season. One of Russia’s historic weapons to defeat her enemies is to freeze them to death as happened with both Napoleon and Hitler adventures. Very likely the allies will boost their liberation task in the coming winter. Russia is facing an all out multi-front clash against the entire western banking mafia posed as supposedly legitimate western governments. It is very obvious that the EU is already in deep trouble and certainly their trouble will exponentially increase with time, which means they must not expect everything will go back to normal once the winter season is over.
For while the tired waves, vainly breaking,
/Seem here no painful inch to gain,
/Far back, through creeks and inlets making,/ Comes silent, flooding in, the main.
Wait until that incoming long-range US/NATO kit starts pounding the Russkies, from Crimea to God knows where. We in Europe will have a far from freezing winter, by the light of the nuclear fires.
The entirety of the Ukraine should have been taken in a first weeks’ blitzkrieg. The fact that it wasn’t is of considerable historical significance.
⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine (September 7, 2022)
◽️ Successful offensive of Russian Armed Forces in the Donetsk People’s Republic has resulted in total liberation of Kodema from nationalists.
Over the past 24 hours, due to high losses in manpower and equipment, Ukrainian forces have carried out no offensive operations at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction.
💥 Russian Aerospace Forces, missile troops and artillery continued high-precision attacks at AFU units and reserve forces at this direction.
💥 High-precision attacks have resulted in the neutralisation of 24th Mechanised Brigade’s command post near Olenovka (Nikolayev region), the manpower and military equipment of 46 Airmobile Brigade near Belogorka, Sukhoy Stavok and Andreyevka (Kherson region), as well as of 61st Infantry Brigade near Visunsk and Yavkino (Nikolayev region).
💥 Attack launched by Russian Aerospace Forces has resulted in the elimination of a munition depot of 406th Artillery Brigade of the AFU near Peremoga (Nikolayev region).
💥 Fighter aviation of Russian Aerospace Forces and air defence means have destroyed 1 MiG-29 near Tokarevo (Kherson region) and 1 Su-25 near Komsomolskoye (Nikolayev region).
▫️Due to high losses, the personnel of 57th Mechanised Infantry Brigade near Belaya Krinitsa (Kherson region) and Velikoye Artakovo (Nikolayev region) refused to fulfil combat tasks and abandoned its positions.
📊 The enemy has lost a total of 4 tanks, 6 infantry combat vehicles and 5 other armoured vehicles, 2 pickups with large-calibre machine guns and over 150 servicemen at Nikolayev-Krivoy Rog direction over the past 24 hours.
Russian Federation Armed Forces continue the special military operation.
💥 High-precision air-based armament has destroyed a depot with over 5,500 tonnes of fuel intended for AFU military equipment near Krivoy Rog (Dnepropetrovsk region).
💥 High-precision ground-based armament has neutralised a provisional base of a unit from Kraken nationalist group near Kharkov. Up to 30 nationalists and 10 motor vehicles have been destroyed.
💥 Concentrated fire attacks launched at the combat positions of 113th Territorial Defence Brigade near Prishib, Yavorskoye and Andreyevka (Kharkov region) have resulted in the elimination of up to 40 and wounding over 80 AFU servicemen.
Operational-tactical and army aviation, missile troops and artillery continue launching attacks at the military facilities in Ukraine.
💥 6 AFU command posts near Chuguyev, Dergachi, Prishib (Kharkov region), Artyomovsk, Soledar, Kurakhovo (Donetsk People’s Republic), as well as 47 artillery units, 143 AFU manpower and military equipment concentration areas have been neutralised.
💥 Workshops for manufacturing rockets for Ukrainian Olkha MRLS have been destroyed near Konstantinovka (Donetsk People’s Republic).
💥 3 missile, artillery armament and munitions depots have been destroyed near Liman (Kharkov region), Ocheretino (Donetsk People’s Republic) and Gulyay Pole (Zaporozhye region), as well as 1 U.S.-manufactured counter-battery radar have been destroyed near Zelenodolsk (Dnepropetrovsk region).
💥 Air defence means have shot down 8 Ukrainian UAVs near Kamenka, Kapitolovka, Izyum, Pimonovka, Bolshiye Prokhody (Kharkov region), Kirillovka (Donetsk People’s Republic), Lyubimovka (Zaporozhye region) and Golaya Pristan (Kherson region).
💥 20 projectiles of HIMARS and Olkha MRLS have been intercepted near Kakhovka hydroelectric plant, Korsunka, Novaya Kakhovka, Golaya Pristan (Kherson region), as well as 1 Tochka-U ballistic missile near Valuyki (Lugansk People’s Republic).
📊 In total, 292 airplanes and 152 helicopters, 1,897 unmanned aerial vehicles, 373 air defence missile systems, 4,855 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 825 combat vehicles equipped with MRLS, 3,369 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 5,360 units of special military equipment have been destroyed during the special military operation.
⚠️ Despite the presence of IAEA representatives, Kiev regime continues its provocations at Zaporozhye power plant aimed at creating a possible technological disaster.
◽️ 3 artillery attacks launched at Energodar have been recorder over the past 24 hours. A total of 16 projectiles have been launched from Ilyinka and Marganets located at the opposite shore of Kakhovka reservoir.
◽️ An impact to a transformer substation has resulted in leaving the city without electricity.
◽️ Enemy firepower has been neutralised by Russian artillery’s counter-attack.
◽️ The radiation environment at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant remains normal.
Battle for #Balakleya Summary at 14:50 – exclusive⚡️
1. SOBR “Omega” and SOBR “TOLPAR” contacted, all good, holding (contact directly with the person from the unit) *
2. Counter is trying to break through the eastern part of #Balakleya.
3. #Izyum is under attack from #HIMARS
4. The enemy has engaged 9000 men against the RF Armed Forces
5. Our reserves almost approached #Balakleya but engaged in combat.
6. The enemy is pulling the maximum number of people to #Balakleya
* SOBR “Omega” and SOBR “TOLPAR” are two Rosgvardiya detachments from Samara and Bashkiria, holding down the fort at Volokhov Yar, which was allegedly taken by the Ukronazis, they called to say fake news.
I wonder if this war goes on long enough the people of europe, britain would overthrow their governments themselves.
A freezing winter and rising prices might have a bigger effect than anyone thinks.
ASB Military News via Pepe Escobar
Every single source that is actually on the front lines, whether DPR, LPR or Wagner — all of them are saying Russian Military leadership needs to step up while they still have a chance instead of “giving their attention to Vostok bullshit” — they are saying the Ukrainian Armed Forces have enough firepower to conduct this offensive, even overpowering Wagner in some directions.
There’s still no word or indication from actual Russian Military troops. We have seen nothing this whole time since it started in Kherson, but that’s nothing new. Their opsec is good.
Yes Balaklaya is taken by Ukrainian troops because some Russian commanders have been sleping on post. Should be criminal investigations into this.
I don´t know what this means in the long run but towns usually works as a hub for movements in many directions. that means that Ukraine can develop their offensiv against some sleepy russian commanders. I expect these commander now being privates clearing minefields
Well it seems being more than just a little commander, there seem to be no operations theater reserves available for that army-grouping, a installment to be vital – and one learns maybe in the second or third hour of operational warfare.
A meat grinder without a hefty (two Divisions) operational highly mobile Reserve-Grouping is bound to fail miserably.
The Izyum-bridgehead could fall in the next days, if no considerable reserves are available to atleast stop the advance, even then Chkalovsk and Shevchenkove could end up in a deadly cauldron – Shevchenko reportedly having being bypassed on both sides by the attack-thrusts towards Kupyansk, where the regional administration has reported today ukrainian troops being right in front (which could be sabotage groupings who haven been activated all around in the area). The operational command reportedly having problems to get a detailed picture of the situation.
Not Good !
Things get complicated in Kharkov
After 48 hours, the Ukrainian troops’ offensive in Balakleya, south of Kharkov, has not achieved its goal. The Ukrainians have bypassed Balakleya, moving towards the village of Volokhov Yar (18.7 km north-west of Balakleya). From Volkhov Yar there is a direct road to Izyum.
Only it happened just like in the Herson region, the armour advanced, creating a corridor far too narrow to manoeuvre and they fell into the Russian ambush.
Taking advantage of the southward displacement of Ukrainian troops, the Russian army launched its own offensive towards Kharkov from the north. Russian armed forces seized a larger region around the settlement of Shestakovo. But the most dangerous advance for the Ukrainians is in the Stary Saltov area, from where they can envelop and turn around the eastern and southern defences of Kharkov. It also isolates and prevents the Ukrainian brigades from Balakleya from coming to Kharkov’s support.
Although I am a rabid fan of Putin, I heard the Military Summary Channel today about “a disaster for Russia”.
I am not a triumphalist, I just hope for a Russian victory like Dugina’s father.
However reality is a bitch, now Russians are sending (belated) reinforcements to Kharkov region, according to Russian MoD, no BS.
The bear has to wake up and stop playing games, no matter how you try to justify it these are unacceptable losses. You don’t fight half-ass wars, Russians have listened enough to patriotic songs (Kachura is great), now we want results.