Tag "Saker analyses"

Revisiting Russian objectives in the Ukraine

Check out this list of headlines, all from one source only, RT and all from the past week or so: https://www.rt.com/news/569764-ukraine-peace-summit-un/ https://www.rt.com/news/569736-zelensky-bust-capitol-resolution/ https://www.rt.com/russia/569914-ukraine-blogger-russians-genocide/ https://www.rt.com/news/569917-us-democrat-calls-for-biden-impeachment/ https://www.rt.com/news/569959-russia-france-orthodox-cemetery/ https://www.rt.com/news/569969-cia-chief-secret-meeting-zelensky/ https://www.rt.com/russia/570005-russian-standing-army-boost/ https://www.rt.com/sport/569994-tennis-australian-open-russia-embassy/ https://www.rt.com/sport/569988-australian-open-bans-russian-flag/ https://www.rt.com/russia/569986-shoigu-minister-headquarters-ukraine/ https://www.rt.com/news/569985-milley-inspects-ukrainian-troops/ Some are only “more of the same” (like the Ukronazis making the Aussies ban Russian flags at the Open), some are rather disgusting (like the Ukronazi blogger who wants to exterminate the Russian people), some are revolting (like the

The most important question

Looks like we will make it to December 31, 2022. Will we make it to December 31, 2023? This question is not hyperbole.  I would even argue that this is the single most important question for at least the entire northern hemisphere. I have been warning that Russia is preparing for a fullscale war since at least 2014.  Putin basically said just that in his recent speech before the Russian

Are Ukrainians Russians?

Are Ukrainians Russians? Seems like a simple question, but in reality it is immensely complex.  I will try to outline a few of the issues, assumptions and implications this question involves. Well, for starters, we might want to ask “what is a Ukrainian?”  After all, no such nation or country can be found in history books.  But we should not stop here, and we also need to ask “what is

The many “great coming outs” triggered by the war in the Ukraine

Dear friends, For four weeks now we have been discussing the Russian special military operation in the Ukraine and most of what we looked at was happening either in the Ukraine proper or near it.  I did mention plenty of time that “this is not about the Ukraine, this is about the future collective security arrangement of Europe“, which is true.  But even that does not show the full picture. 

Russian operation in the Ukraine – end of day 2

Today was only day two of the Russian military operation.  And yet, what a day it was!!! First, a quick update on the progress of Russian forces.  Here is a bulletpoint summary for today: Kherson: liberated Nikolaev: fighting taking place in outskirts Konotop: taken by Russians Chernigov: blocked by all sides by Russian forces Melitopol: surrounded Mariupol: is under attack, street fighting Severodonetsk: under attack Kharkov: very heavy mopping up

The collapse of Banderastan: tomorrow will be a crucial day

I am getting emails from all types of sources about Ukrainian cities already being liberated.  The problem is that there are, as predicted, A LOT of fakes out there, including from anti-Putin Russian interests.  So rather than risk getting it wrong and list those cities, I will just offer a few comments and then take a break. I was expecting an operational-level Russian operation, but what I see today this

The situation is about to quickly escalate, probably in the next days

Today, I want to begin with a small allegorical story. One upon a time, there was a bear sleeping in his lair and minding his business.  One day, a small group of rodents decided to have some fun time pestering the bear.  So they began running around, making a lot of noise (some even dared the bear to come out and fight them) and even threw colorful little pebbles at

Assessing the outcome of the Biden Putin summmit

Let’s begin by stating the obvious: those who now claim that the Biden Putin summit did not produce anything tangible and was, at best, a waste of time are plainly wrong, mainly because they misunderstood what was really at stake (and what still remains at stake following the Summit). What is the evidence for this? The first and most obvious sign that something very real took place is the absolutely

Has the US begun its “great retreat”?

[This column was written for the Unz Review] I have to begin this column by admitting that “Biden” (note: when in quotation marks, I refer to the “collective Biden”, not the clearly senile man) surprised me: it appears that my personal rule-of-thumb about US Presidents (each one is even worse than his predecessor) might not necessarily apply in “Biden’s” case. That is not to say that “Biden” won’t end up

Many interesting developments in Russia

[this column was written for the Unz Review] The past week has been quite intense in Russia – lots of interesting developments took place, and today I will mention three: Putin wrote a very interesting essay on the history of Russia and the Ukraine, which he followed up with a very interesting interview. Russia just concluded final tests for truly formidable weapons systems like the S-500 and the Mach 8

Crying wolf in the Ukraine (again)

[this column was written for the Unz Review] I have to admit that before I sat down to write this column I had some misgivings: I thought “not *another* article warning about a potential explosion in the Ukraine! Not again!”. And yet, events on the ground are what they are and ignoring them under the pretext that I am fed up “crying wolf” again and again is not a wise

The Geneva summit: nothingburger or watershed?

[this column was written for the Unz Review] The long awaited summit between Presidents Putin and Biden has finally taken place, but was it a success? Will it change anything? The answer to this question very much depends on one’s expectations. Let’s take a closer look beginning with the context. Context of the summit Just about the only thing which both US and Russian observers agree on is that the

Woke insanity: why is there so little pushback?!

[this column was written for the Unz Review] The Biden Administration has gone out of its way to show itself as absolutely “woke-compatible” and even as a champion of “wokeness” (Foggy Bottom has just allowed US embassies and consulates to fly the “gay pride” flag next to the Stars and Stripes. I bet you they won’t do that in Riyadh!). According to the hyper-politically correct Wikipedia, “woke” refers to the

What just happened in the Ukraine?

[this analysis was written for the Unz Review] Before we look into what just happened in the Ukraine, we need to first recall the sequence of events which lead to the current situation. I will try to make a short summary (skipping a lot of details) in the bullet-point style: Whether Ze initially intended to stop the war in the eastern Ukraine we don’t know, but what we do know

Uncle Shmuel is truly brain dead… (IMPORTANT UPDATE)

[this commentary was written for the Unz Review] By now, you have all heard it. Here is the official transcript: GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: Director of National Intelligence came out with a report today saying that Vladimir Putin authorized operations during the election to under — denigrate you, support President Trump, undermine our elections, divide our society. What price must he pay? PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN: He will pay a price. I, we

Is the Ukraine on the brink of war (again)?

[this analysis was written for the Unz Review] Just a few weeks ago I wrote a column entitled “The Ukraine’s Many Ticking Time Bombs” in which I listed a number of developments presenting a major threat to the Ukraine and, in fact, to all the countries of the region. In this short time the situation has deteriorated rather dramatically. I will therefore begin with a short recap of what is

The Ukraine’s many ticking time bombs

[this analysis was written for the Unz Review] While the Ukraine has mostly been out of the news, there were bigger stories out there, things have gone disastrously wrong under “Ze” (Zelenskii) and the Ukraine is now looking at several time bombs which could explode at any minute. Here is a partial list of problems which the Ze administration will have to deal with in 2021: (in no particular order)

Russia vs a Biden Administration

[This analysis was written for the Unz Review] Sure looks like Biden will take over the White House in one way or another, and while Trump and his supporters might still try a few things, the political correlation of forces inside the US ruling classes is clearly against Trump. As for the “deplorables” – they have been neutralized by stealing the election. Which means that Russia will soon face the