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Tag "Saker analysis"

Crucial statement by Foreign Minister Lavrov

Foreign Minister Lavrov just made the following statement that Russia is willing to sever her ties with the EU if the EU introduces new sanctions.  He said: “Мы исходим из того, что мы готовы [к разрыву с Евросоюзом]. Если мы еще раз увидим, как мы уже почувствовали не единожды, что в каких-то областях накладываются санкции, которые создают риски для нашей экономики, в том числе в самых чувствительных сферах, — да.

With “Biden” in the White House, the Kremlin now needs to change gear

[This analysis was written for the Unz Review] First, a clarification.  When I speak of “Biden” I don’t mean the fungus (to use Tom Luongo’s apt expression) which was recently planted in the White House, I am referring to the “collective Biden” which I defined here  With this caveat, now let’s see why Russia might want to change gears in 2021. First, let’s begin by the basics: Russians often

Zone B exists, thus there is hope, I promise you!

[this column was written for the Unz Review] Dear friends, Today it appears that the triumph of our adversaries is total.  I want to post this column saying that I don’t believe for one second that this is true.  All I want to do today is explain why.  Thus, just to make clear to those alternatively gifted, this is not a comprehensive analysis and I will be leaving many things

The mob did not win!

[this analysis was written for the Unz Review] The mob did not win! This is how the supposedly conservative FoxNews celebrated the supposed defeat of a supposed mob. See for yourself: FoxNews finally showed its true face during the election steal when it declared that Trump had lost the election long before any evidence in support of this thesis materialized. It is now abundantly clear that with a few exceptions

The Karabakh war is over. The crisis is not. What comes next?

First, I want to begin this analysis by posting the full translation of an article posted yesterday by the Russian webzine Vzgliad.  I materially don’t have the time to make my own translation, so what I will post is just a minimally retouched machine translation, I apologize for this. original Russian text: Five main mysteries of the second Karabakh war by Evgenii Krutikov The end of the second Karabakh

Update on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

With everybody is focused on the US election drama, there are important developments in the war over the NK.  I will summarize them here: While both the original Russian and then subsequent US ceasefires failed minutes after they were proclaimed, there are signs that both the Armenians and the Azeris are getting exhausted and want to talk. So far, the Azeris were mostly prevailing, but at great costs.  Also, their

Cui bono from the situation in France

I won’t even bother repeating it all here, those who are interested in my views of this entire Charlie Hebdo canard can read my article “I am NOT Charlie” here: No, what I want to do is to ask a simple question: do you think the French leaders are simply stupid, suicidal or naive?  I submit that they neither stupid, nor suicidal nor naive.  In fact, they are using

Short “intermission” of sorts with a few (apparently needed) explanations

Dear friends, I feel that there is a need to clarify a few things here which apparently baffle and perplex many.  Since the beginning of this crisis the Saker Community worldwide (literally!) has been crazy busy trying to keep up with the events and make sense of what seems totally insane.  I have been working nonstop for the past 2 days now and I ask you to forgive me for

Making sense of the Paris summit: a quick analysis

The first thing we need to do is the remember what each participant wanted from this summit.  Here is a summary of what I think (not how they officially stated it) each starting position was: Zelenskii: key notion “a flexible approach” to the Minsk Agreements No direct negotiations with the LDNR No special status Ukrainian control of the border with Russia Disarmament of the LDNR “militias” Removal of all foreign

Debunking the Putin and Netanyahu/Israel work together canard (final installment)

This will not be an analysis or even a commentary.  Neither am I siding with, or expressing support for, the Turkish military operation in norther Syria.  Finally, I am not discussing the legitimacy (or lack thereof) of the Kurdish Independence movement.  All I propose to do here, is to draw your attention to a series of facts and logical imperatives which, in my opinion debunk and falsify the disinformation campaign

About the latest Ukronazi provocation in the Kerch strait (UPDATED)

First, here is a pretty good summary of what has taken place (including videos) posted by RT: I will just add that at the time of writing (07:38 UTC) the cargo ship blocking the passage under the bridge has been removed, traffic has resumed and the situation has returned to normal. Second, let me give you the single most important element to understand what is (and what is

Russian response options to the latest Israeli provocation

Over the past 24 hours the Internet, including this blog, have been flooded with opinion on what everybody and anybody would do if they were in Putin’s boots.  Proposals range from declaring an no-fly zone over Syria to, I kid you not, send a couple of Russian SSBNs (subs which carry intercontinental ballistic missiles) off the coast of Israel.  Furthermore, since Putin has failed, at least so far, to implement

It all depends on your values

[This article has been written for the Unz Review] This has been an interesting week for Russia.  First, and contrary to my own expectations, Iulia Skripal has been allowed to make a recorded statement on video where she is seen writing a statement in English and Russian.  This falls far short of even the basic British obligations to allow consular access to both Skripals, but it is a sign that

Why Orthodox Churches are still used as pawns in political games

[This article was written for the Unz Review] First, a disclaimer: today I am going to touch upon a subject which is intensely painful for me and which will get quite a lot of my readers angry at me. Frankly, I did everything I could, not to discuss this issue on the blog, because I know, out of my personal experience, that discussing this topic is mostly futile and typically

Each “click” brings us one step closer to the “bang!”

[This column was written for the Unz Review] Trump pulled the trigger, but instead of a “bang!” what the world heard was a demure “click”. Considering that we are talking about playing a most dangerous game of potentially nuclear Russian AngloZionist roulette, the “click” is very good news indeed. But, to use the words of Nikki Haley, the US “gun” is still “locked and loaded”. There are a number of

A truly historical month for the future of our planet

[This article was written for the Unz Review] March 2018 will go down in history as a truly historical month March 1st, Vladimir Putin makes his historical address to the Russian Federal Assembly. March 4th, Sergei Skripal, a former UK spy, is allegedly poisoned in the UK. March 8th, British officials accuse Russia of using nerve gas to attempt to murder Sergei Skripal. March 12th, Theresa May officially blames Russia

When dealing with a bear, hubris is suicidal

[This analysis was written for the Unz Review] Assuming mankind finds a way not to destroy itself in the near future and assuming that there will still be historians in the 22nd or 23rd centuries, I bet you that they will look at the AngloZionist Empire and see the four following characteristics as some of its core features: lies, willful ignorance, hypocrisy, and hysterics. To illustrate my point I will

A ZioWahabi attack on Hezbollah and Iran?

Israel, Saudi Arabia Setting Preconditions For War With Hezbollah – a critical analysis This article was written for the Unz Review SouthFront has just released a very interesting video analysis warning about the possibility of a war involving Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and, possibility, Syria, Iran, and Israel. That, of course, also means that Russia and the USA would be involved. First, please see the video here: What I propose