by Pepe Escobar (cross-posted with the Asia Times by special agreement with the author)
Donald Trump’s decision to leave the JCPOA will not open the path to an Iranian nuclear weapon
Breaking the unwritten rules of global diplomacy, the Trump administration is now in violation of the multilateral Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or in plain language the Iran nuclear deal. Nuance is notoriously absent in what can only be described as a unilateral hard exit.
All suspended United States sanctions against Iran will be reinstated, and harsh additional ones will be imposed.
It does not matter that the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA, repeatedly confirmed Iran was complying with the JCPOA as verified by 11 detailed reports since January 2016. Even US Secretary of Defense James Mattis vouched for the stringent verification mechanisms.
Facts appear to be irrelevant, though. The JCPOA is the Obama administration’s only tangible foreign policy success, so, for domestic political reasons, it had to be destroyed.
President Donald Trump’s opening address to the “Iranian people” during his White House speech also does not cut it. The overwhelming majority of Iranians support the JCPOA, and counted on it to alleviate their economic plight.
Moreover, Trump’s regime change advisers support the exiled People’s Mojahedin Organization, or MEK, which is despised beyond belief inside Iran.
As a minor subplot, rational geopolitical actors are asking what sort of national security advisor would strategically “advise” his boss to blow up a multilateral, United Nations-endorsed, working nuclear deal?
To cut to the chase, the US decision to leave the JCPOA will not open the path to an Iranian nuclear weapon. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, who has the last word, repeatedly stressed these are un-Islamic.
It will not open the path toward regime change. On the contrary, Iran hardliners, clerical and otherwise, are already capitalizing on their interpretation from the beginning – Washington cannot be trusted.
And it will not open the path toward all-out war. It’s no secret every Pentagon war-gaming exercise against Iran turned out nightmarish. This included the fact that the Gulf Cooperation Council, or GCC, could be put out of the oil business within hours, with dire consequences for the global economy.
President Hassan Rouhani, in his cool, calm, collected response, emphasized Iran will remain committed to the JCPOA. Immediately before the announcement, he had already said: “It is possible that we will face some problems for two or three months, but we will pass through this.”
Responding to Trump, Rouhani stressed: “From now on, this is an agreement between Iran and five countries … from now on the P5+1 has lost its 1… we have to wait and see how the others react.
“If we come to the conclusion that with cooperation with the five countries we can keep what we wanted despite Israeli and American efforts, Barjam [the Iranian description of the JCPOA] can survive.”
Clearly, a titanic internal struggle is already underway, revolving around whether the Rouhani administration – which is actively working to diversify the economy – will be able to face the onslaught by the hard-liners. They have always characterized the JCPOA as a betrayal of Iran’s national interest.
Following Rouhani, “others” reacted quickly. The European Union’s big three of Germany, France and Britain made it clear that trade and investment ties with Iran would not be sacrificed. Those views were echoed by the EU’s leading diplomat Federica Mogherini in a statement.
Still, the key question now is how, in an interlinked global economy, European banks will be able to manage trade facilitation.
Diplomats in Brussels told Asia Times that the EU is already devising a complex mechanism to protect European companies doing business in Iran. This is something that has been discussed between Iranian and the EU3 diplomats.
Yet in the event the EU3 capitulates, even with support from Russia and China, the JCPOA will be effectively over with unpredictable consequences. These would include Iran’s possible exit from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
On the crucial oil front, Gulf traders told Asia Times that even with new US sanctions, and the possibility of crude being priced way beyond the current US$70-a-barrel, up to 1 million barrels a day of Iranian oil would simply disappear from global markets.
If the EU, which imports 5% of its oil from Iran, buckles under too much pressure, these exports will be relocated to Asian customers such as China, India, Japan and South Korea.
The US decision has also cast a shadow over the upcoming US-North Korea summit. The perception in Pyongyang – not to mention Beijing and Moscow – will be inevitable – the US can not be trusted.
For all its faults, the JCPOA remains a complex, painstakingly designed multilateral agreement, which took 12 years of diplomacy to broker, and was sanctioned by the UN.
The geopolitical consequences are massive. To start with, strategically, Washington is isolated. The only actors applauding the decision to rip up the deal are Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
As Iran is a key hub of the ongoing Eurasia integration process, the trade-investment partnership with both Moscow and Beijing will be even stronger as Asia Times has reported.
On the military front, nothing will prevent Russia from supplying Iran with S-400 missile systems or China with its “carrier-killers.”
The JCPOA was a dizzyingly complex technical undertaking. In parallel, it is no secret the US establishment never got over the 1979 Islamic revolution. The privileged roadmap in the Beltway remains regime change.
The real US objective – way beyond the JCPOA’s technicalities – was always geopolitical. And that meant stopping to Iran from becoming the leading power in Southwest Asia.
That still applies as seen by the United States Central Command’s recent drive “to neutralize, counterbalance and shape the destabilizing impact Iran has across the region…” Or, in Trump terminology, to curtail Iran’s “malign activities.”
CENTCOM commander, Gen. Joseph Votel, went straight to the heart of the matter when he told the US House Armed Services Committee in February that “both Russia and China are cultivating multidimensional ties to Iran … Lifting UN sanctions under the joint comprehensive plan of action opens [the] path for Iran to resume application to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.”
In a nutshell, this betrays the entire project which is to thwart the Eurasia integration process, which features Russia and China as peer competitors aligning with Iran along the New Silk Roads.
Predictably, we are back to the late Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski’s book, The Grand Chessboard.
“…Potentially the most dangerous scenario would be an ‘anti-hegemonic’ coalition united not by ideology but by complementary grievances … a grand coalition of China, Russia, perhaps Iran … reminiscent in scale and scope of the challenge posed by the Sino-Soviet bloc, though this time, China would likely be the leader and Russia the follower,” he wrote. “Averting this contingency … will require US geostrategic skill on the western, eastern, and southern perimeters of Eurasia simultaneously.”
So, Trump has reshuffled the Grand Chessboard. Persians, though, happen to know a thing or two about chess.
Now Britain, France and Germany will have to face pressure from Washington to also abandon the JCPOA. Most likely, they will not oppose the wishes of the United States. With this, Iran will have no other option than to stop complying with the provisions of the agreement; and that is what Netanyahu is waiting for to release his “dog of prey” Trump, with the threat of attacks on the Iranian nuclear facilities. The objective is to restart the strategy of chaos and destabilization in the region, to besiege Iran and prevent Assad from recovering most of the territory in Syria.
At some point, America will push the Europeans too far. How much money is Europe willing to lose due to Washington politics? Europe is already losing billions due to the American sanctions on Russia. How much more money are they willing to lose now due to Washington policies towards Iran with which they do not agree? In these times, big business always has the ear of a government. In this case, big business is about to lose billions more. When does big business tell the government not only to oppose Washington’s insanity on Iran, but to reverse the sanctions on Russia as well at the same time? There are billions at stake on both ends of that sentence, and when that much money talks governments usually either listen or get changed.
The Big European business you are referring to is much more connected with the US (financially, technologically, market shares) than some people think. Already Airbus and Siemens are saying that they will comply with US sanctions (Reuters). Others will follow. The “transatlantic” relationship is not tactical but a strategic one, forged over more than 50 years. It wont go away…Also Iran is a minor market for Europe (5% of the oil the EU buys from OPEP countries comes from Iran). European banks and insurance companies are not exposed in Iran and the country simply does not have the cash mney to pay for European high-end goods and services (in the billions of Euros). With the old a new US sanctions, the divide between Europe and Iran will grow. The same happens towards Russia, the sanctions of the EU were not imposed by the US, but by the EU itself and they will not be lifted as most of the Central european and the Nordic members of the EU are opposed to that. In sanction matters you need unanimity of the Council members.
Black Rock has shares of most of Germany’s public traded companies. Probably Black Rock holds shares of other European companies as well.
Unfortunately Pepe’s notion that this will not lead to war is incorrect, and certainly premature.
There is no doubting Israel’s intention to get a war started with Iran in which the US will do the heavy lifting. The only thing restraining Israel is Lebanese Hizballah’s ability to drop 1,600 missiles a day on Israel in an Iran war.
This is why Israel is now pushing the US to join it in attacking Hizballah and continues to attack Syria in order to foment a US/NATO war against Syria, possibly as an extension of a war against Hizballah. So far this plan has failed due to Russian intervention in Syria, but incremental aggression continues to be US and Israeli policy.
I also think we can’t rule out war that easily. The US can’t possibly win a war against Iran, quite the opposite, it would suffer catastrophic, humiliating defeat, which is the reason Obama made the deal in the first place.
Trump however, is an ideologically driven Zionist puppet, completely obedient to Netanyahu’s every whim. If “Bibi” says jump, Trump is already in the air by the time he finished uttering the word.
Israel wants Iran to be attacked, which is back on the agenda now. Israel ramped up the crazy lies and rhetoric for months now and is growing increasingly bolder in attacking Iranian military in Syria. I think they are trying to provoke a direct attack on Israel from Syrian territory, at which point they will claim it was Iran’s “aggression” and provide a pretext for poodle trump to start barking and biting.
These people are deranged lunatics with delusions of grandeur. They are convinced of their own superiority, meaning everyone else is inferior. In what universe could they possibly lose to such an inferior nation as Iran?
Let’s see if the Euroweenies have the courage to defy their Anglo-American/Zionist overlords and reject the USA’s shredding of JCPOA.
It is in the Europeans’ self-interest to continue to do business with Iran (just as it was to continue buy Russian gas over more expensive American imports), but spinelessness seems to trump–pun intended–even national interest for Europe.
Actually, the Trump administration is now in violation of a UN Security Council resolution. The JCPOA was then enshrined in a UNSC resolution after an agreement had been reached, since the “5” of “5+1” was the permanent members of the UNSC.
Will sanctions follow?
The Trump administration has broken nothing and violated nothing.
The U.S. Constitution allows only one method to bind the U.S. — A treaty approved by 2/3 of the U.S. Senate. (1). Barak Hussein Obama did not obtain the necessary treaty approval thus the arrangement automatically ended with his administration.
Team Soros needed a ‘victory’ for the Clinton campaign, so they tried to end run the treaty provisions of the U.S. Constitution via the UNSC and by trying to pass a law instead of a treaty.
(1) The Constitution provides in Article II, Section 2, Clause 2: “He (the President) shall have power, by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, to make treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur.”
International Law (the UN) trumps national laws. The US always overlooks that. And usually the UN is too weak to point that out to them. But Iran should go to the World Court. And sue the US for violation of a signed agreement.If nothing else it would be a stunning rebuke to the US. And while the US MSN would ignore it. The world press would fully cover it.
One of the myths pushed by George Soros is ‘International Law’ , however there is no such thing.
Each sovereign nation chooses what it will or will not do based on its internal rule of law. No nation, including the U.S., is bound to obey the mostly useless UNSC or the totally useless UNGA.
Soros media networks in the U.S. and abroad would undoubtedly cover sham World Court proceedings. And, citizens of free nations would recognize the fiction for what it is.
You are to used too the US’s propaganda. The UN Charter is above national laws. And the UNSC binding decisions have the force of law. Which is why the US was/is able to use those decisions against NK,Iran,Iraq,Libya,Syria. It was the UNSC sanctions on those states that allowed the US to attack their economies.Otherwise nations would have traded with them.Why do you think the US tried so hard to get the UN to support their invasion of Iraq.And to further sanction Syria (failing both times).Its because they know that UNSC resolutions are binding on all nations.
Its true that the US (falsely) uses your argument to violate international law whenever they want too.But that in no way is anything except them being a rouge state violating international law.
Sorry to respond to my own post, there is a critical question that I missed.
— Is ‘International Law’ supreme over both Russia and the U.S.?
‘International Law’ recognises Ukraine as the rightful owner of Crimea and it’s naval facilities. The logical consequence of supporting the Globalist view of ‘International Law’ supremacy is pro-IRAN = pro-MAIDAN .
Recognizing ‘International Law’ as myth breaks the connection between these issues.
You are wrong there. The borders between Ukraine and Russia have never been legally delimited with the UN (a couple of years ago there were several articles about that on the internet).Since they were friendly brother states.When they both were formed from the collapse of the USSR. Neither country thought it was important to do that.So while the “West” claims Crimea was part of Ukraine. That doesn’t have the force of “International Law”.But regardless of that.Crimea first declared their independence from Ukraine.And only then after a referendum of its residents did they reunite with Russia. Its best to remember that until 1955 they were part of Russia.And the “gift” of Crimea to Ukraine wasn’t done legally under the Constitution of the then USSR. So there were many legal issues involved there as well.
A better example for you would be the stealing of Kossovo by the US from Serbia. And the stealing of Golan from Syria by Israel. Those cases were/are in total violation of the UN Charter and international law.The only reason they stand today is the present power of the US and Israel to flaunt international law.
I agree with your comments and I would like to add that no one can prove without any doubt that Russia took over Crimea. No shot was fired. Crimean people had a right to hold the referendum on the subject and they voted to join Russia, by huge majority.
Otherwise, USofA always walks over international law when it’s not suitable, yet it yells it when when it wants it applied to others..
Escobar’s claim that Trump’s primary motivation was to reverse Obama’s great “achievement” is misleading and incorrect. Trump is an empty suit and he takes orders from his handlers, many of whom were are literally former employees of the Bank of Rothschild, as is Macron. This is laid out this week in stunning detail by the meticulous and currently best American investigative reporter, Jake Morphonios.
Frankly, if the constitution had permitted Obama to run for a third term like FDR, and he had won, Obama would have also pulled out of the JCPOA. The gibberish rhetoric rationale would have simply been a little different. The Rothschild Cabal is frustrated that their five year plan as laid out to General Wesley Clark a few weeks after they pulled off the 9/11 false flag, is incomplete after 17 years, and the Russians have thrown a spanner in the works in Syria, at least at present. So they have decided that they need a really big war to mop up Syria and Iran. And then, of course, it is on to the Russian Caucasus republics. The Cabal agenda is event driven, not time driven, but their advantages are slipping away, and they feel an urgency to lock down the planet quickly. US policy is not determined by Israel. The policies are determined by the Cabal, which is non-national and which cares as little for Israel or common, blue pilled Jews as they do for the goyim. They too are scheduled to be thrown under the bus when the time is ripe. They are Satanists. It only appears that Israel orchestrates US policy as using this transmission line of power and influence is their most efficient form.
And as to UN law superseding national law. Let us not forget who donated that very valuable piece of Manhattan real estate to the UN gratis in the late 40’s. It was the NWO, eugenicist Rockefeller brothers. And who bankrolled John D. when he was starting out in the 1870’s? It was the Rothschild owned Bank of Cleveland (Ohio). The UN was designed as the prototypal instrument to morph into the world government leg (the others being military (NATO), financial ( City of London), and religious (Vatican)) of the neofeudal Hunger Games world system. Let us not forget that.
The United Nations Charter was signed by Secretary of State Edward R. Stettinius for the United States on June 26, 1945 in San Francisco, CA. A picture shows President Harry Truman watching as he does so. The United Nations Charter was ratified by the United States Senate on July 28, 1945. The vote was 89-2 in favor.
There is a clause in the United States Constitution that says that any treaty signed and ratified becomes the highest law in the land, equal in importance to the Constitution. Its known as the Surpremacy Clause, or more officially, Article 6. Thus, the United Nations Charter is the highest law in the United States.
Anonymous – unfortunately your statement of treaties having the rank of articles of the constitution is correct under Article VI. Talk about a poison pill slipped in; the supremacy clause in general and applying to treaties in particular. It has become to large measure the basis of turning the federal government into the monster that it is, and should be abolished by a future amendment. However, legally, one would have to read the treaty with the UN that was signed to see exactly what the US was obligated to. I am going to try to find the time to do so and will post the results on this site. What if the UN passes a ruling that all citizens of all countries must give up their firearms? This would violate the 2nd amendment. The Supreme Court would then rule in favor of the UN resolution as they are totally compromised by the Zionists. But as the Shrub was famous for saying, “The Constitution is just a god damn piece of paper,” so in the end it makes little difference. The US invasions violate the Charter of the UN with no legal repercussions.
The native American indians constantly warned that the Great White Chief in Washington speaks with a forked tongue.
Let’s spread the word among the more erudite, participants in our little community here, “Indians” are from a subcontinent at the bottom of south central Asia.
The people who were in “North America” prior to the Europeans (1492) and prior to the Chinese-built coalition of Asiatics’ circumnavigating flotilla (1423) are better referred to “First People of the Great Turtle Island“.
Try it out, if you care to.
You could even put “Indigenous North Americans” in brackets, after it (if you wanted).
USA shoots itself in the foot again. As a side effect of Trumps’ act of agression and servitude to his Israeli backers, the Russian and Venezuelan economies recieved a massive boost… Oil will soon be back up to $120 dollars a barrel. This will negate the sanctions the neocons imposed on them. The EU, freed from the USA’s echo voice of UK, will become rapidly allied by neccesity with Russia, China and Central Asia. The EU population has no desire to add Ukraine to its problems. USA and UK constant provokations and support of color revoltions directly threatens European security. The US has said it will sanction any country which trades with Iran, this includes billions of dollars worth of German, French and Swedish corporations who stand to become financially insolvent when the effect is combined with the anti-Russian sanctions. How can anyone remain pro USA in thise conditions?
Germany (the buisness community and electorate, if not the leadership) is on the edge of switching over from USA allaince to Eurasia. Russian minerals and energy and German exports and industry are a natural match, and the majority of Germans and Russians can see this is a reality that cannot be ignored. Putin who served in DDR all those years ago made a point of welcoming Schröder as a guest of honor, this is a clear signal of his intentions. To reach out to the rational elements of the leftist parties in particular in Germany and of course the people of Eastern Germany who remain pro Russian and anti NATO, as descendants of the most successful Communist country, they know who their real ally is, the country which raised them ‘from the ruins’ of fascism and anglo imperialism, as their national anthem used to say. USA views Europe as a competitor and a threat, why many Europeans cannot see this, is beyond sense.
Excellent take on the situation, although many times I wonder if the noise about Iran is about reversing devastating effects of anti-Russian sanctions on American shale oil industry, I include Canadian tar sand oil, here, as well. These industries, were said to require about $70/barrel to break even. Hence, although not largely publicized, the US and Canadian governments were keeping these industries alive with taxpayers money, which can be seen at the pumps.
“On the military front, nothing will prevent Russia from supplying Iran with S-400 missile systems or China with its “carrier-killers.”
This bewilders me. What do Russians need to supply?
Go and look at where Tehran actually is. Yes, that’s right. A few clicks away from its coast of the Caspian sea. Russia shares that body of water. It launches ICBM’s from there into Syria.
If Israel and its dirty dog launch a war against Iran, the capital is protected by its ally, Russia really, really easily.
Iran does not need to re-arm, or buy S-400’s. Iran needs to buy only a signature to an accord, and Tehran has both advanced defense and atomic bombs at its disposal, virtually surrounding its capital. In return, Russia receives a perpetual ally.
For crying out loud, America, the gambit is nearly over. There is no refresh button on an Empire. Use the time you have left wisely. Negotiate your way down and make as much hay of the good will you have earned as you reconfigure your status vis a vis the rest of the world.
Oh. Sorry. I forgot. You have a debt habit and steal to feed it. War it is.
Iran has war fuelled debt habit as a % of GDP much worse than the U.S. Ali Khamenei received some breathing room with the appeasement payments by Barack Obama, but that is now over and the Iranian economy is in free fall. (1).
Iran is going to have to cut funding for its foreign violence in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza, or face a total economic collapse similar to Venezuela.
WHAT appeasement payments, ” that was the money and assets that were frozen since 1979 Iran revolution when they kicked out american Sha.”
Get your facts straight.Every vebsite keeps prepetuating this lie about payments especially,yes famous Infowars.
Jones is turning ino a real moron and a Jew shill.
As for rest of it,eather Europe stands up or there is no more Europe,and it will be overrun by muslims.
Now here is food for thought.
What if Trump did this to give EU a life line to break away from deep state by forcing them to choose.
O,and let me address Venezuela.Are you so ignorant or are you just someone’s bot
For everybody’s information,”There is a tootal embargo of everything including food forced on to venezuela by US.”
They are forcing Venezuelas neighbors to do so under dire threats to retaliation and sanctions to them if they dont.
It is time to put a stop to this and Trump pullout from that agreement is a perfect opportunity to do just that.
You’re citing rferl as reliable source?!?
Careless statement: It launches ICBM’s from there into Syria
The Russians launched cruise missiles not Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles. Huge difference.
Kalibrs are cruise missiles.
On Tuesday Donald Trump announced that the US will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal.
Shortly after Israel attacked Syrian army positions in Damascus.
Explosion heard on Israeli-Syria border, emergency sirens activated
in the Golan Hights Wednesday night (09.05.2018)
According to Israeli IDF spokesperson Iran attacked IDF positions in
occupied Golan Hights with rockets Wednesday night (09.05.2018)
Overnight on Thursday (10.05.2018) Israel launched a massive attack
against targets in Syria
Syrian air defenses repel Israeli missile aggression, shoot down ten missiles
Bogdanov: Russia concerned over Israeli aggression on Syria
So, why did the US pull out of the Iranian nuclear deal ? To instigate regime change by causing economic and social hardships ? It wont work. Nobody wants to see Shah’s puppets return. To have an excuse for military aggression against the country ? At the moment it looks like it’s probably going that way.
It is almost of no importance that the US military knows that an attack against Iran would be very costly, militarily and economically. Wall Street does not care. To Wall Street the military exists so that it can be used and, need be, sacrificed. I fear that Wall Street will push for a military solution, one of the chief reasons being to prevent Iran joining the Eurasian Economic Union, which it will during the course of this year. Iran joining the Russian and Chinese camp would make the Eurasian Economic Union and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization even stronger. Russia, China and Iran would become the backbone of Eurasia. I fear that for this reason Wall Street will push for a military solution.
However, Wall Street is incapable of understanding international relations. A US attack against Iran would cause immense political repercussions for the US, certainly in Europe. Should the US attack, then it will for the first time not only see European elites turning against it, but also the ordinary people, who are sick of America’s wars. Europe has investments in Iran, and wants to keep them. Russian sanctions were bad enough, as by the second half of 2016 the EU lost 100 billion euros of trade with Russia. I wonder if Wall Streets understands all of this, and if it does, does it care at all ?
IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL
1.America never disappoints ; it always follows the pattern established since its creation to never,ever respect its word ,its signed treaties , its engagements ; America is consistent in its dishonesty and lack of honor.
2.Why did Iran ,or the rest of the world think that America will brake its rules this time? Never underestimate the capacity of America to always repeat its past mistakes and shortcomings.
3. We all knew that the Donald is good at cheating : wives, mistresses , signed deals, campaign promises ; why should the Iran nuclear deal be a surprise? To be honest ,this was the ONLY campaign promise he respected . Maybe because this was the reason he was selected to be elected ?
4.And then , there is the Netanyahu angle ; the Donald really liked Netanyahu’s kosher cartoons featuring Iran ‘s bomb : after at least 25 years of practicing ,Netanyahu got really good at drawings ; his style is Surrealistic ;Netanyahu drawing is unnerving with illogical scenes creating strange creatures, allowing the unconscious to express itself ,in this case = bomb Iran !
5.The cartoon was a little too subtle for the Donald,who has the intellect of a 12 year twitting boy ,so Netanyahu was forced to do a power point presentation. This was a masterpiece : a combination of
-Cubism (Iran is analyzed, broken up and reassembled in an abstracted form : Picasso and Cezanne would be envious)
-Abstract art ( Iran is presented as a departure from reality in depiction of imagery . Netanyahu went the whole nine yards here and used Total Abstraction ,which bears no trace of any reference to anything recognizable as reality).
-Expressionism (Iran is seen solely from a subjective perspective, distorting it radically for emotional effect in order to evoke moods or ideas).
The man is a genius . In my view ,an unstable genius , but he compensates with the Donald ,who’s a stable one.
6. After this lesson in combined Modernism exhibited by the Grand Master of Deception , we fall back to more mundane business : sanction Iran , prepare to bomb Iran;
7. “By way of deception thou shalt do war” , is not only a Mo$$ad motto ,but the US foreign policy guideline.
8. Zionist winter is coming , prepare for war .
9. There are a few possibilities for future developments:
-EU , or better said Germany, show again that they like Masochism ,a new modern form of it: only pain, with no gain , no pleasure, but losses again and again
-China and Russia take Iran under their nuclear umbrella and Iran sells its oil through them ( the bonus with Russia : resell Iran’s oil to EU )
-Will this be the long planned “Path to Persia” for the zionist America? No ,as China and Russia got there first. If America tries to walk this path , it may not reach the end of the road ,but its end.
-I expect a Surrealistic,Cubist,Expressionist False Flag that will be attributed to Iran and probably trigger the war ; but who knows? Considering the quality of the last false flags ,we may end up with a Naive Primitive Cartoon
-Possible outcome : US is the last man standing on the zionist field ; for now its allies in this are: Israhell, KSA and UEA; what a company!
– If things get really ugly , I think that in the end ,Israhell will sell everything it knows about US and try to jump in the other boat ; as usual ; Cue: Mileikovsky is ,again ,visiting Moscow, whining about Iran
-How stupid can any nation be to try to make a deal with the US after the last debacle?
-This proved the world, without any doubt ,that US is dancing on the Bar Mitzvah tune .
10.Sergey Mikheyev ,Russian TV personality:
The West has discredited the notion of trust. Trust doesn’t depend on the number of allies. It doesn’t depend on money. And it doesn’t depend on your GDP. Trust depends on whether you keep your promises or not. Whether you tell the truth or lie. That’s what trust is.
11. Natural order is beautiful and simple in its symmetry and perfection. You can twist it up to a point .The nature’s pendulum ,sooner rather than later , swings back in force and knocks out the exceptional nation , showing that the natural order always wins ; some call this Karma. It’s a matter of entropy. Nature reverses to the lowest energy level . The AAZ empire loses – it needs to much energy to maintain itself.
12. Iran deal short version( the sexual connotations are not mine , but favorites of the empire):
-US pulled out , but plans to go all in Syria , Iran ,Lebanon
-Israel pulled US out and stays deep in US
-Europe regrets that US pulled out and stays in (for now)
-Iran stays in and will monitor if the other countries stay all in or try to pull out
-US threatens the world with its macroaggression (we all know which, sanctions,proxy wars, covet and overt wars) ,but now has microaggressions too= the Donald’s tweets.
13. Persia is a 5000 year civilization :
-it had Omar Khayyam when American Continent was not even discovered and Europe was fighting with the scabies and lice
-Persia will survive, but I’m not so sure about the Empire’s fate
“To wisely live your life, you don’t need to know much
Just remember two main rules for the beginning:
You better starve, than eat whatever
And better be alone, than with whoever.”
― Omar Khayyám, Rubaiyat
-“I sent my Soul through the Invisible,
Some letter of that After-life to spell:
And by and by my Soul return’d to me,
And answer’d: ‘I Myself am Heav’n and Hell”
― Omar Khayyám
Companion arrival is PC Robert’s Merica’s Word Is Worthless. True !!! IT IS, IT WAS, IT WILL BE !!!!!!!
Mericans cannot change for good. They can ONLY change for bad and that’s what happening right in front of our eyes.
As John Lenon, the “philosopher” said: ” Leaving is easy with eyes closed. Misunderstanding all you see. “
Native American chiefs said that the Great White Chief in Washington spoke with a forked tongue.
Same as it ever was, same as it ever was ….
At the end of the day, the Americans and their Zionist crime partners cannot be trusted. Not for a second. Not now. Not ever.
The Americans cynically invoke “international law” to justify their wars of aggression and imperial crimes like their phony War on Terrorism or attacks on Afghanistan, Libya, and Syria–even as they violate international law with impunity like its repudiation of JCPOA.
Never use the terms “rule of law,” “international law,” or any other kind of law in conjunction with the United Snakes of America again—except to show that the USA is the very antithesis of these ideals.
American is nothing more than a gangster Empire, which pathetically struts around the world aggressively lecturing other nations about the rule of law–as if nobody notices their self-righteous hypocrisy.
It is high time that the Americans be exposed as a rogue nation … and treated with the contempt that they so richly deserve.
Clearly, a titanic internal struggle is already underway, revolving around whether the Rouhani administration – which is actively working to diversify the economy – will be able to face the onslaught by the hard-liners.
Perhaps Trump’s intention was to start the internal struggle, or to jack it up to a higher level. The infighting might destabilize Iran’s government, and that would weaken Eurasia. I wonder how much influence Ayatollah Khamenei has — would he be able to step in and stop the intramural fighting?
I do have a couple of concerns and cautions, however, about Pepe’s assertion that the cancellation will not open the path to regime change or all out war.
The crazies in the “think” tanks in dc can be depended upon to immediately start the drum beat for regime change or an attack on Iran. Trump will fold like a cheap suit if it is not already his “plan” (i.e. Niten’yaahoo’s plan) but trump already has bolton and pompeo to lead the charge. (Bolton has openly supported MEK in the past so that would probably continue for what that is worth.
The Pentagon “may” be the only semi-sane voice against this drum beat; however, I would not be surprised to see nitenyaaahoo come back to make an appearance before the congress from AIPAC.
Just saying, I think we are in for some ugly time in the near future; the zio cons are certainly emboldened and encouraged with the play of trump from israel and that can only become more depressing.
Of course, the big question on the minds of the zio cons has to be what role Putin will play in all of this!
People said that Trump’s withdrawal from the JCPOA would start a war.
This is starting to sound like Israel is indeed starting a war.
“At approximately 4:05 A.M. (Damascus Time), the Syrian military launched a fresh wave of missiles towards the occupied Golan Heights.
According to a military report, the Syrian missiles reportedly targeted Israeli Army bases around the Golan Heights.
The fate of these missiles is still unknown.
While the Syrian military is doing the bulk of the work, the Iranian forces in Syria are believed to be participating in these retaliatory strikes against Israel. ”
This follows the Israelis launching attacks both in the Golan Heights and near Damascus earlier. At this point, it doesn’t sound like the Israelis want to pull back from a war. And, if a neighbor is attacking your country, surrender isn’t an option.
This is what, just a bit northeast of the town that people have picked as the place for Armageddon?
Tripartite Pact v.2.0
Gee. Wonder what happens next.
‘Doom come on the head of the Empiristan exceptionalists… who miserably failed to give a spark of faith to their best prophet, Brzezinski!!
Russia, china and Iran…
How come the Pole prophet got to fore see that back in the 80 ties?
It´s geopolitics, my dear stupid Watson.
Veteran journalist Robert Fisk uses his long experience in the Middle East to reflect on which leader Trump most reminds him of…. and comes up with the answer of Muammar Gaddafi.
Pepe, excellent article. Amazingly enough, as I would expect, Iran keeps it’s cool in it’s reaction to what was expected anyway, since Trump talked about killing the agreement. It was said many times, that USofA is incapable of sticking to any agreement. This is its “Modus Operandi” since 1492 (I know Columbus did not go to North America) for the argument’s sake. Greeks have an excellent saying to illustrate this behavior, and I am sounding it out: “ipa ksipa = I said it, I unsaid it”. I also agree, that Iran is not going to jump in and restart its nuclear program immediately. As for Iranian oil, isn’t Iran working on the pipeline to India and/or Pakistan to feed the oil to China? The club controlling USofA has been working on starting a war, any kind of war against Iran and Hezbollah for a long time. I am guessing that this is a real reason, why Mileykovski went to Moscow, to try to twist Putin’s arm.
The sad fact is that no european company is going to go against any sanctions imposed by the US, as if you have any financial link to the US you are bound to obey the US treasury sanctions etc or face lawsuits etc (and potential extradition) as much US law to do with this sort of thing is extra-judicial).
Even if you don’t pay or transact in USD on the face of it you probably do if you make foreign currency transactions – this is (one of the reasons) why the USD needs to die as the reserve currency.
How could the North Koreans ever trust the Americans now?
This is total lunacy and even though a large segment of the American population supports the military, I don’t think that there are sufficient reserves to even attempt to invade Iran. The empire is doubling down once again and that is a sure sign of impending defeat.