First, a few news items:
- Forbes just posted an article with the title “U.S. Air Force Bombers Are Rehearsing Their New Main Mission—Sinking Russian Ships“, here is an excerpt (emphasis added): “Four B-1s from the 7th Bomb Wing at Dyess Air Force Base in Texas in early October deployed to the Royal Air Force base at Fairford. In the pre-dawn darkness on Oct. 19, two of the bombers took off for what would be a 12-hour mission (…) The Polish and Romanian air forces—as well as a Canadian air force contingent in Romania—seized the opportunity. All three air arms sent fighters to fly alongside the B-1s. In wartime, the non-stealthy bombers might need escort to protect them from Russian fighters (…) A pair of B-1s could shoot 48 LRASMs at Russia’s Baltic Fleet. Enough, perhaps, to sink the entire fleet in a single pass and eliminate the major threat to U.S. and allied ships in the region“.
- According to LDNR intelligence, the Ukies are now moving major reinforcements towards the line of contact (main battle tanks, artillery and even the famous Javelins, apparently).
- There was a sharp increase in Ukie shelling against the LDNR.
- The Ukrainian forces which heroically seized the undefended village of Staromarievka yesterday seems to have moved back to the western outskirts of the village.
- Germany has appealed to both sides (as usual) to de-escalate and not use drones (which, in theory, only the OSCE “observers” should have the right to use). Then from the rest of Europe – nothing, silence.
- Vladimir Putin instructed the country’s major natural gas company to pump more gas into EU storages, and the gas prices instantly dropped. Gratitude from the EU? More insults towards Putin and Russia.
- Ukie TV has shown some animations on how their Bayraktars could even strike city of Voronezh in Russia. The message to those watching the TV is simple: now that we have Bayraktars, we are invincible.
Okay, let’s discuss the first topic, the Bayraktars. While there is A LOT of nonsensical PR about these super weapons which, in reality, are not that super at all. True, they can, and have, been used very successfully against enemies with poor air defenses, including by Turkey in Syria and by Azerbaijan in Nagorno-Karabakh. They are limited in speed, radar cross section, range, weapons range, the need for a datalink and are subject to GPS-spoofing and other EW defense methods. Of course, they can also be shot down by modern air defenses. None of which is surprising since most of their components are off the shelf products, purchased and skillfully put together. But compared to modern US, Russia or Chinese combat drones, they are far behind.
But none of that matters in the Ukrainian context. The Ukies are the folks who believe that marginally modernized Soviet-era cruise missiles can destroy the Crimean Bridge, that a small delivery of Javelin anti-tank missiles can change the balance of forces or that building a “naval base” (that is being VERY generous) on the Ukrainian coast of the Sea of Azov will “show the Russians who is boss”. Keep that in mind when reading the next paragraph.
The US B1-B bombers practicing sinking the entire Black Sea Fleet in one single mission. First, I would note that escorting the B1-B with 4th generation aircraft does not “protect” them, it just make the entire flight much MORE visible on radar. Second, the B1-B have been replaced by the B-2 because the US knew that these bombers could not even hope to penetrate the old, Soviet, airspace. This being said, I really like the B1-Bs, I find them very good general purpose bombers, but only against a much weaker enemy. But does any of that matter?
The point for the Empire is to suggest to the Ukies “we are with you all the way, you can now take on Putin’s drunken Asiatic vodka-drenched hordes and, should things not go as expected, we will back you by, for example, sinking the entire Black Sea Fleet in some single mission“. Lot’s of “body language” and sabre rattling, all of it hugely amplified by the Ukronazi propaganda machine, but exactly *zero* actual commitment to anything. This is exactly what the US did in the 08.08.08 war.
With one big difference: Saakashvili and his goons did not want to lose any territory, they wanted to conquer South Ossetia and Abkhazia and humiliate Russia. In sharp contrast, the Ukronazi regime is totally cornered, Ze has completely lost control of the internal situation and they know that the Eastern Ukraine will never be loyal to the Banderite ideology. So, for them, losing a war to Russia is winning politically.
Right now the country is run by the CIA via the (non-elected and advisory) National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine. Neither the Rada nor even the Presidential apparatus have much to say. As for the Ukie armed forces, they are headed by a bona fide Nazi and psychopath, the one who declared that he wants to “drive down the Red Square in a tank”.
So forget about the actual capabilities of the Bayraktars or the B1-B bombers. They are just stage props in a much more important political process: the Ukraine has no other option left than to try to force Russia into an open intervention.
In my opinion, at this point, Russia should accept the political costs of doing so and declare a no-fly zone over the LDNR. Again, there is no need to move even a single soldier across the border, this can all be done from inside Russia. Here are the advantages of such a move:
- It would show that Russia is willing and able to preempt when no other option is left.
- It would provide protection to the people of the LDNR.
- It would not expose a single Russian soldier to enemy fire.
- Such a no-fly zone could be tactically very flexible (many different weapons systems could be used in many different ways, which is highly desirable since the Ukies would have no way of knowing what the Russians can do and how they would do it).
- This option would minimize (but, of course, not prevent) the western propaganda against Russia (since that “protective cupola” over the LDNR would only become visible in case of a Ukronazi attempt to attack). Depending on the actual system used, it would even provide Russia with a degree of political “plausible deniability” (of course, the US and NATO will detect any Russian actions, but they would not share that publicly since that would reveal too much about their methods and means).
Of course, this begs the question what the Ukies would do about this no-fly zone: take it to the bank, they will challenge it, primarily with its drones, of course (de facto, there is no Ukie air force left). Once the inevitable “Bayraktars rainfall” begins, the Ukies will attack with other weapons systems (artillery, etc.). This will force Russia to de-fang the Ukie military by attacking select Ukronazis bases, ammo dumps, petroleum, oil and lubricant dumps, communication nodes, runways, etc.). Again, Russia can do all that without crossing the Russian border, but that will make very little difference to the AngloZionist propaganda machine. And, of course, this will threaten all Russia-EU relations including the energy supplies to the EU.
But what other option does Russia have? As Lavrov likes to say, it takes two to tango. If the Ukies are dead set on setting off an explosion, Russia cannot prevent that.
Conclusion: at this point in time I do not see how a military escalation, or even a war, between the Banderastan and Russia could be avoided. Simply put, not to start such an escalation is impossible for the current Nazi regime in Kiev: they really have nothing to lose, and a lot to gain, especially time and political control over the Nazi occupied Ukraine.
Some will wonder if Russia could not indicate to the Ukronazis leadership that they will be personally killed if they trigger such a war. The problem here is purely political: striking Kiev is a dramatically different proposition than “just” imposing a no-fly zone over the LDNR. If Russia did what the US has done many times (strike military headquarters, destroy symbolic buildings, etc.) there would inevitably be a lot of innocent casualties and you can count on the AngloZionist propaganda machine to make the most of it.
Some will suggest that Russia could send in a special forces team to selectively kill Ze and a few other select Ukrofreaks. Again, doable, but imagine the political consequences: that would “prove” that Putin is a “bloody KGB murderer” and a danger to all of the “democratic world” (i.e. US vassal states).
This is all Tom Clancy world, not the real world out there. Putin cannot think like Tom Clancy or the ignorant folks who read his nonsense.
So far, the Kremlin is being very quiet, which is politically unsustainable, especially if the Ukies continue their provocations (which they will, why would they not?).
At the end of the day, recognizing the LDNR remains the only viable option.
Russia should surgically deal with this issue once and for all. Procrastination will not solve the situation, but rather complicate it the more
Vladimir Putin instructed the country’s major natural gas company to pump more gas into EU storages, and the gas prices instantly dropped. Gratitude from the EU? More insults towards Putin and Russia.
Then let them freeze! Now is a good time to “thoroughly inspect Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 for possible sabotage, defects, etc.” Let the average EU citizens become “yellow vests.”
That said, I would like to see the S-400 prove itself in real action. I am sure it is very easy to move the S-400 (or better yet, the S-500) units to Russia’s western borders. I am also curious to know if there are more frequent combat air patrols by MiG-31s within Russian (western) borders. Finally, does anybody know whether or not the Kirov-class battle cruisers have completed their modernisations?
At the end of the day, recognizing the LDNR remains the only viable option.
What about punishing the real culprit behind Ukraine’s actions, i.e Uncle Scam? Why are titanium or rocket engines still being allowed export to Uncle Scam? Why are US dollars and euros still accepted as payment for Russian petroleum, instead of strictly Russian roubles?
“? Why are titanium or rocket engines still being allowed export to Uncle Scam? ”
-Why not, if USA want to give Russia money, why not take it. Russia can send it to Donbass.
“Then let them freeze! Now is a good time to “thoroughly inspect Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 for possible sabotage, defects, etc.” Let the average EU citizens become “yellow vests.””
-Then Russian gas would be dead in the west forever and Russia would lose credibility as a reliable supplier globally, customers would think: “I don’t want to buy Russian gas, they will just cut it off as soon as I disagree with them”. USA would sell gas instead to EU and earn more money and EU would be permanently dependent on USA.
“Why not, if USA want to give Russia money, why not take it. Russia can send it to Donbass.”
Why not? Because USA uses those rockets to send satellites into space that threaten Russia. Same with titanium used to build weapons that threaten Russia. What does Russia get in return? More sanctions.
“Then Russian gas would be dead in the west forever and Russia would lose credibility as a reliable supplier globally, customers would think: “I don’t want to buy Russian gas, they will just cut it off as soon as I disagree with them”. USA would sell gas instead to EU and earn more money and EU would be permanently dependent on USA.”
So why hasn’t USA sent their “freedom gas” to Poland? That’s right, it is being shipped to Asia!
In case you have not noticed, Russia is already sanctioned out of Western markets…But you are just a troll propagating Uncle Scam’s lies and projecting Uncle Scam’s insecurities onto others.
“Why not? Because USA uses those rockets to send satellites into space that threaten Russia. Same with titanium used to build weapons that threaten Russia. What does Russia get in return? More sanctions.”
-Then USA uses its own rockets and gets titanium from someone else or develop it internally, Russia loses money, Russian workers loses their jobs. Bad for Russia, same same for USA.
“So why hasn’t USA sent their “freedom gas” to Poland? That’s right, it is being shipped to Asia!
In case you have not noticed, Russia is already sanctioned out of Western markets…But you are just a troll propagating Uncle Scam’s lies and projecting Uncle Scam’s insecurities onto others.”
-Wouldn’t Putin be the troll propagandating Uncle Scam’s lies and projecting Uncle Scam’s insecurities onto others, since he is the one selling gas and rockets to USA/west?
Lots of people are totally obsessed with the idea that Russia would collapse if the ‘West’ doesn’t think well of it and curse it. This is magical thinking. The ‘image’ of Russia is a Voodoo doll, just stick pins in it and Russia would die!
I would suggest let’s Russia ‘special gas unit’.. ‘sabotage’ all pipelines to the EU for a while, and then accuse Kiev for doing so( plausible deniability, they already did it several times in the past).
You will see the Minsk agreement ‘suddenly’ implemented in a few days under pressure of the eurocretins.The US has no gas to deliver, they serve Asia(which is a far bigger market which pays cash and at a higher price).US capitalists pretty don’t care about ‘freedom this’ or ‘freedom that’ or any geopolitical issues. They already lost hundreds of billions in investments they were about to make in Russia from 2013 till today and beyond. This because of the Obomber/Biden and then the neocons surrounding Trump and again with Biden/Nuland/Blinken now.
This underinvestment is also one of the various reasons for the actual Energy crisis not only Greenies(solar + wind)from Greta or NS2 sanctions. Don’t forget that the US seems to be at war with Russia and China(real) but their main goal is to destroy(not by missiles)the EU which is a real competitor for them and a more or less reliable market of 460 millions people. Of course they will always say the opposite ‘we are here dear vassals’ to ”help” you to ”save you” from devil Russia and China..what a joke and a shame for these EU vassals, self proclaimed ‘elites’. They are blackmailed by the NSA/CIA/MI6/5 Eyes complex being for sexual, financial, corruption etc..reasons.
Why do you think they want Assange so much?
How can the US sell gas if they’re buying it from Russia right now
NATO is trying to avoid being fractured by the emerging Central European Empire. Just look at the AUKUS deal, the French British Fishing war, the buildup of an EU Army.
The Imperial warmongers believe that only a big war in Europe will save NATO.
“By escorting the US B1-B with 4th generation aircraft it makes the entire flight MORE visible.
Thus the Empire is suggesting to the Ukies: you can now take on Putin, we will back you”.
“This saber rattling is amplified by propaganda. The NAZI regime in Kiev has nothing more to lose.
Ukraine are now moving major reinforcements towards the line of contact (battle tanks, artillery and Javelins). There has been a New and increased shelling against the LDNR”.
“Putin said (on TV) that Russia will get directly involved if Ukraine uses heavier weapons”.
“Germany has appealed to both sides to de-escalate, and not use drones”.
“The EU would commit suicide by stopping import of Russian energy. As soon as the European people and Industry start hurting we will see revolutions in Europe, while Gazprom will still have reliable markets in Asia”.
“Erdogan is economically and energy dependent on Russia”.
“There is no US commitment to Ukraine. Just like the US had no commitment in the Ossetia war”.
“Given the unsustainability of a Russian non-reaction, the only moral thing to do, is to protect the women and children of Donbass”.
In my opinion,
Russia should institute an election in LDNR, similar to the Election on Crimea.
Then Russia should declare a no-fly zone over the LDNR.
It would protect the people of the LDNR, without expose a single Russian solider to enemy fire.
Russia must expose all the war crimes committed by the Ukrainian NAZIs on the internet, to elevate the growing anti-Fascist opinion among the European public.
A Russian strike against the NAZI mercenaries in Ukraine will offer encouragement to the whole area around the Black Sea, populated by pro-Russians. These people are being oppressed by the Empire, and are praying for the day when they regain their sovereignty.
When Russia has annexed Easter Ukraine, she can close the gas valve on the pipeline that goes into western Ukraine. Cold weather may help cool hot tempers.
Russia should end all sales of titanium and rocket engines to the US.
Russia should end taking Dollars in payment of Russian petroleum and Gas deliveries.
It seems to me that Russia has plenty of options to protect herself and her allies, without actually destroying anything. Whereas the AUKUS only option left, is a Third World War.
I’m shure that neither the population within the AUKUS nor the EU will accept the Third option.
Erdogan is mired in a tough position and dependent on Russian finance and energy when his gamble in Libya didnt pay off and the Russians stopped him there.
The Russians and Chinese put a stop to Turkey getting a hold of Libya for the U.S. and Europeans.
Libya is to be a state for permanent naval bases and land bases for the two, and also part of the OBR Silk Road.
China-Pakistan-Southern Route-Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon-Maritime Ports-Southern Route Djibouti-North African Route-Egypt-Libya-Tunisia-Algeria-Morocco-Mauritania-Maritime Ports-South America-Mexico——-
Russia just sent SU35 to Qamishli facing Turks down in Tel Rifat.
Russia must make Turks pay consequence for their actions. Turks will not do anything economically, Erdogan made huge mistakes and is economically and energy dependent on Russia now.
As for Ukraine, the base from where these strikes are coming from should be hit. Why DPR cannot execute strikes with OTR 21 tochkas? It has range to strike these launch points and the weapons is owned by Ukraine, so there is plausible deniability.
No russians are in Ukraine.
I would like to repeat my opinion again.
Russian FM Lavrov and President Putin have been conducting their Ukraine policy with extreme patience. Now that the UkroNazi team is hell-bent on disturbing the status-quo vis-a-vis LDNR, Russian government needs to come out with a robust response that solves long-term problems.
It’s time to recognize LDNR and provide all sorts of logistics support in order to quickly transform LDNR into the Republic of Novorossia (that would include current east and south Ukraine)…
May be 3-4 years from now, Russia – Belarus – Novorossia create a new entity – Eurasian Union.
I agree with this wholeheartedly but I don’t believe the Russians will be satisfied with a new sovereign state based simply on the current boundaries of the LDNR. What boundaries are you proposing, precisely, when you say “would include current east and south Ukraine”? All the way to Odessa? I believe so. But what to do about Moldova?
I would like to presume that the (Black Sea) coastal areas of south Ukraine will form an integral part of the proposed Novorossia (alongwith east Ukraine). Historically, Kievan Russ used to be a land-locked entity. Let it repeat the past.
The Zionist controlled global media provides a picture that Moldova would like to join Romania. Assuming that to be correct, question remains what will happen to Transnistria? On the other hand, if Moldova remain independent, it will be an ideal candidate to join the proposed Eurasian Union.
Russia currencies(and gold)reserves are at the highest level ever(even with covid lockdowns biting), and it will increase even more this winter with gas pricing even at a lower 900(down from 2000) compared to 280 in the spring, it may even explode to 3 or 4.000 if a big crises happen in Ukropistan or simply a hard winter(for once).Russia will never repeat the USSR mistake of spending her money on periphery except a bit on Belarus for strategic reason and humantarian help with some ‘manpower’ for the Donbass.It may be sad for some but that is the decision taken by the Security council in Moscow since 2014 after the coup in Kiev.Syria was a temporary exception but it served as a showroom for weapons, killed 85k jihadists including 6k of Rus and chinese nationality.It was also strategic to fight Qatari and Saudi pipelines projects through Syria then on to Europe.It also provide Russia with air and sea bases on the Med.
US Senate will vote a law prohibiting any country or entity in the world to buy or use RUS weapons. Expect the vote in mid nov. Good luck with that. It shows to which extend the US is desperate.
“what to do about Moldova?”
Let the Rumanians take care of the west of Moldova – their language is almost the same. transnistria is attached to Odessa.
The Donbass conflict really is a perfect excuse for Ukraine to start a war with Russia. I mean internationally, Donbass belongs to Ukraine, rebels control Donbass. There is nothing strange for a state to attack and destroy rebels within its legally recognized borders. Russia did the same in Chechnya.
So Donbass is a unique way for Ukraine to do something that it knows will lead to a war with Russia, but still maintain moral PR superiority internationally. Technically when Russia defends the civilians in Donbas from advancing nazi-regiments. It will look like Russia is attacking a sovereign state. Imagine if Turkey declared no-fly zone over the Chechnya terrorists and started shooting down Russian planes.
It is worth to pointing out that Russia got into this weird situation, due to Russia reunifying with Crimea and supporting rebels inside of Ukraine. Before 2014, Russia and Ukraine were more than best friends, they were brother nations. But then Russia thought it was smart to take some territory from Ukraine when Ukraine was weakened.
If Russia hade not decided to take Crimea than likely the American coup in Kiev would have only lasted until the election and been voted out. But by taking Crimea Russia solidified Nazi-American rule over Ukraine, and supporting the rebels in Donbass just made it 100x worse.
I often wonder what would have happened if Russia hade done nothing. Or better yet, used the soft power Russia hade in Ukraine in 2014 and prevented the entire coup to start with.
Personally I think it was good that Russia toke Crimea, since this really caused the west to reject Russia and in turn finally got the Russian elite to really start to disconnect from the west. Today it is basically impossible for an American candidate to take over Russia, because if you say that Crimea should be returned to Ukraine in Russia, it means you will have no chance of getting elected.
“Before 2014, Russia and Ukraine were more than best friends, they were brother nations. But then Russia thought it was smart to take some territory from Ukraine when Ukraine was weakened.”
I see, I see… the Maidan coup didn’t exist, the Russian-speaking people in Odessa burned alive in a building by Banderites either, nor the bombings in Luhansk and Donetsk, the Russophobic propaganda from the new Poroshenko extreme-right government limiting education in Russian language neither.
It was just naughty Russia who took advantage of a “Brother”.
And in addition Russia knew that the big prize for the Anglo zionists behind the coup was Crimea: the US planned on having a naval base there once the Russians were kicked out. This would have been a big blow to Russian control of the Black Sea.
But it seems very unlikely that the American coup government would have remained in power, sure they managed to seize power in Kiev, but they hade no legitimacy and was intensely hated in all of eastern Ukraine and also in central Ukraine. At first election they would likely have lost, as previous pro-American coup government eventually did.
Also another easy thing for Russia would simply have been to tell Yanukovych to set up a provisional government in Donbass and declare martial law in Ukraine, proclaiming that a foreign backed coup was taking place, mobilizing the army from the pro-Russian regions of Ukraine, sent out soldiers to arrest all the pro-American oligarchs supporting the coup, called for the people to rise up in every town to defend Ukraine from Nazism once more, and asked Russia with support with all this. Ukraine would have naturally been split in two. With pro-nazi pro-USA demonstrations in the west and pro-Russian anti-fascists in the east.
Ukraine would have been defend, instead Russia just snatched Crimea. I find that weird. Your brother nations is in strife, so you snatch a piece of her land and leave her to the nazists?
Bravo. The question is, who was responsible for not interfering with Nazis when it needed action? Is it hatred now more developed or was it before in the Ukrainian people? Is the solution to wait for Ukraine to totally fail economically reasonabl e? Whom does it suit? To those who build streams or the ones who holds the treasury in “sovereign” Russia? Shareholders and oligarchy? I read that BP somewhere has even 30% of Gazprom’s shares, depends on stream. Interesting, isn’t it?
Nothing you say makes sense. Snatch a piece of property? It sounds like some psychotherapy is in order for you. Or perhaps this is your paid work. I’m surprised no one has questioned your statements here.
Thats what it was all about from the start,did they really expect the Russians to stand by and let that happen?shows how deranged they are,it would have been like the people in Hawaii handing Pearl Harbour over to the Russian Navy,thats the worry,the thinking in Washington is unhinged,and Russia should stop worrying about what others think and take what action they need to in order to protect their people and Country.
“I see, I see… the Maidan coup didn’t exist, the Russian-speaking people in Odessa burned alive in a building by Banderites either, nor the bombings in Luhansk and Donetsk, the Russophobic propaganda from the new Poroshenko extreme-right government limiting education in Russian language neither.
It was just naughty Russia who took advantage of a “Brother”.”
-Yes, when Ukraine was in chaos after/during an American coup, Russia to advantage of her. That is very well put.
Russia did not use her soft-power to help the Russian speakers, Russia did not send troops to smash banderites, Russia did not even send in covert support. Russia just too advantage of Ukraine instead and reunified with Crimea, and thus solidifying the Nazi-American coup.
Eventually Russia did support the rebels in Donbass, which lead to the situation we have now.
“Yes, when Ukraine was in chaos after/during an American coup, Russia to advantage of her. That is very well put.”
That can only be said if we forget that Russia was protecting her most important warm-water naval port and couldn’t sit aside until the peninsula were stormed by Ukranian troops. Besides, Ukranians didn’t send any clear signal that the region would not be invaded despite any chaos.
The port was not Russia’s, it was Ukraine’s, rented by Russia. And there was no invasion by Ukrainian soldiers, Crimea was Ukrainian territory – there were already over 20000 Ukrainian soldiers there not counting the ships.
there were already over 20000 Ukrainian soldiers there not counting the ships.
None of these heroic Ukies fought against the Russians.
They all surrendered like the cowards they are.
Some later even changed sides (better pay in Rubles than in Grivnas).
As for the ships, Russia offered them to the Ukies who refused.
They are rotting at pier.
“They all surrendered like the cowards they are.
Some later even changed sides (better pay in Rubles than in Grivnas).”
They did not surrender, they chose the path of wisdom and refused to fight against their family members, their friends.
Like more than 90% of the civil servants who remained in Crimea.
@Anonymous It seems that you’re intentionally ignoring the fact that the US required only little amount of time to sign an agreement with the Ukronazi regime in 2014 to snatch the port of Sevastopol and establish a permanent garrison like they did in Kosovo. Once the Americans set foot on a foreign land, they hardly move out willingly unless expelled like in Afghanistan. The Iraqi govt. made a request from the US forces to leave but they rejected it right away.
The same would’ve happened in Crimea and it would’ve been a big threat to Russia’s national security.
@Andres, “That can only be said if we forget that Russia was protecting her most important warm-water naval port ” the most important warm-water naval port isn’t Sevastopol it’s Novorossiysk, the new base was almost completed in 2014 before the event. The decision to built the base was taken in the early 2000s
The Crimea was transferred to Ukraine by Khruschev in the 1950’s with no popular vote. They voted overwhelmingly to return to Russia after the 2014 coup. As far as the rebels in eastern Ukraine are concerned I don’t see that they had any choice to rebel once they were officially demoted to second class citizen status by the new regime.
Zelensky probably supports implementing the Minsk agreements and better relations with Russia but cannot do so due to the Nazi power structure. Losing a war with Russia will probably take some of their pressure off of him. Overall a really bad situation. I feel sorry for the average Ukraine who receives zero benefit from this.
“The Crimea was transferred to Ukraine by Khruschev in the 1950’s with no popular vote. They voted overwhelmingly to return to Russia after the 2014 coup. A”
-Nobody is disputing that nor that Crimean wanted to rejoin with Russia. However, as I said, Ukraine and Russia used to be more than best friends, they used to be brother nations, than when USA was carrying out a coup in Ukraine and the country was destabilized, Russia toke Crimea from Ukraine. Pretty weird behavior. One would imagine Russia would have sent in troops or such to defend Ukraine, instead Russia just toke a piece of her territory.
“Zelensky probably supports implementing the Minsk agreements and better relations with Russia but cannot do so due to the Nazi power structure.”
-I don’t really think anybody in Ukraine supports the Minsk agreements, the minsk agreements are terms of capitulation imposed on Ukraine when they lost the war in Donbass and their army was routed. But now their army is not routed anymore so why should they carry out the minsk agreements. That would be like if USSR defeated the Nazists in 1945, but never invaded Germany just said “you need to carry out these terms” and then waited with their army outside of Germany for 7 years.
Following the coup and the imposition of a US-installed puppet (Yats), as the new Prime Minister, the new regime signed the EU Association Agreement which commited Ukraine to giving up its independence and becoming part of the European Union federal state – ruled from Brussels. It also commited Ukraine to joining Nato as one of the conditions for joining the EU. Following these actions, Ukraine ceased to exist as an independent country and is now just a US/EU/Israeli vassal state. Ukraine proved it was incapable of defending its own independence and Russia took actions to prevent its navy from being illegally expelled from Crimea. The US was planning to kick the Russian Navy out and move their own navy in. They even commisioned a tender for construction companies to refurbish the naval base in Crimea before Russia took action.
Russia didn’t take anything from Ukraine. Russia took Crimea from the EU and America, not Ukraine. Ukraine ceased to exist as an independent country following the US-organised coup in 2014 and the signing of the EU Association Agreement. Ukraine is now commited to becoming just another EU province. If Russia had supported the overthrow of the coup-installed regime in Kiev, they would have been accused of interfering in Ukraine and forcing them to stay aligned with Russia and preventing them from having “freedom and democracy”. Russia would have been blamed for all the problems in Ukraine regardless of what they did, even if they did nothing.
Personally, I think they should have supported the overthrow of the coup-installed regime using the justification that it was a foreign-organised coup which overthrew the government that was democratically elected by the Ukrainian people, and that they were supporting the restoration of democracy in the country so that the Ukrainian people could decide their own future. I think they should have organised a referendum on joining the EU, which the pro-EU side would have almost certainly lost(even their own opinion polls showed that less than a quarter of the population supported joining the EU). This would have proved that the “Euromaidan” coup did not have the support of the majority of the population and was antidemocratic. Of course, I’m sure they would have been accused of rigging the referendum. I don’t think Russia should have accepted the forced EU takeover of any part of Ukraine – not just Crimea. But they would have been even more heavily criticized if they had done that.
The Crimeans wanted to stay with Russia when Ukraine gained its independence. It was rejected then.
“The Crimeans wanted to stay with Russia when Ukraine gained its independence. It was rejected then.”
AND, even worse, earlier in the 50s, the Ukrainian Khrushchev “tore off” (to use a currently fashionable phrase) the historically Russian Crimea and gave it to Ukraine WITHOUT any form of plebiscite or consultation. This sowed the seeds of future problems that we now see. The fact that Ukraine was then part of the same state as Russia (USSR) meant that at the time it was not seen as a big deal. But that is not the point. There SHOULD have been a plebiscite in the 50s.
“If Russia hade not decided to take Crimea than likely the American coup in Kiev would have only lasted until the election and been voted out.”
So you really think elections can change the outcome of a military coup ? How funny ! I see you are a real expert in democracy. Western democracy, that is. Lol
“So you really think elections can change the outcome of a military coup ? How funny ! I see you are a real expert in democracy. Western democracy, that is. Lol”
-It wasn’t a military coup, in fact it toke quit a lot of purges for the Nazi-coup government to get the military to attack Donbass to start with.
And yes, the next election the coup government likely would have been kicked out, just like they hade the two previous times. USA installs a pro-USA government with a color revolution, and the next election it is kicked out. This time however Russia decided to take a chunk of Ukrainian territory while the pro-USA coup regime was in power. Changing the dynamic very favorably to the coup regime.
Difference between maidan coup and previous colour revolution in Ukraine is that large scale violence erupted against Russians, the Donbass reacted by taking up arms. The situation was already destabilized.
The ukies violated the treaty with Russia in exchange for independence from USSR by violating minority rights. Minority rights was part of the treaty.
I have been following this Ukraine war since the beginning of the war. U just stated what I had in mind
I feel the Russia leadership didn’t do enough to support the previous president of Ukraine by creating another government within Russia populated areas, declaring the pro American coup illegitimate. Even Russia made worst mistake by recognizing this government
Chechens have been the residents of southwestern Russia, what is now a part of the Russian Federation for more than 5-600 years.
Its not right to just come in and liquidate them, Children, women and men. Even though the offshoot groups tried terrible ways to go about seeking independence.
In 2014, when the militias of the Donbass were taking a serious beating at the hands of the Ukrainian illegitimate military units, and there were many casualties both civilian and militia, Putin’s people sent in Mr. Kadyrov’s ( the President of the Chechnya of the the Russian Federation ) whom has many years of hardcore experience in warfare, especially unconventional kind, and these units trained the Donbass militias to protect their people, towns etc.
The experienced Chechens went in and just crushed the butchers from Kiev and it all culminated into the great victory at Donbass Airport where the Azov Battalion met their end, in 2015. This resulted in the rout that saw the end of all offensive moves from Kiev since then, of the serious kind of course.
All the Kiev forces could do now was lob rockets and mortars from afar with training from U.S. and European special forces.
The Chechens also fought in Syria, and for Russia in western Libya with Gen. Haftars men. They will be back in a hurry this time if hostilities break out. That is why the Hon.Mr. Putin said if heavy weapons are used, the gloves come off.
The anti-coup side could not win an election since every political party that didn’t support the coup was banned afterwards. That’s why the Party of Regions doesn’t exist anymore even though it was the most popular political party before the coup. The Communist Party was the third of fourth most popular but it is also now banned. There is no way that the current regime is going to just give up power without a fight. They were already blaming Russia long before Russia even did anything. One of the first things they did after the coup was revoke the Russian language’s official status as well as Crimea’s autonomy. During the coup they were claiming that the Ukrainian police were “Russian agents”, Ukrainian ministers, journalists etc. All with no evidence. Anyone who didn’t support their coup was a “traitor” and a “Russian agent”.
When they shot unarmed policemen with sniper rifles the day before the coup, they were claiming that actually “Russian agents” were responsible, even though the shots came from the building that was being used as the “opposition” headquarters. When people in southern and eastern Ukraine protested against the coup and tried to organise referendums declaring their independence from the new regime, they were “Russian agents” as well. When they attacked and murdered these people and some of them started arming themselves and fighting back, it was called a “Russian invasion” and they pretended they were fighting against the Russian Army rather than the local people.
Even if Russia had done absolutely nothing they still would have been blamed anyway. All of the resistance to the coup would have been blamed on Russia and they would have still lied about how they were fighting a “Russian invasion” rather than admitting the truth that they were killing their own people. Most people in Ukraine don’t support the current regime but their afraid to speak out because if they do they’ll probably be murdered or imprisoned. It’s literally illegal to criticise the regime and the war it’s waging against its own people. Many people have been assassinated or sentenced to long prison terms for doing it, even people who previously supported the coup.
Some thoughts (my opinion and speculations, so take it with a grain of salt).
I don’t think bayraktars are enough to warrant open intervention of russian army. In this particular case Moscow will probably either send some EW hardware to LDNR or covertly send specialists with EW hardware. Bayraktars EW protections are rather weak, so if Ukies will continue using them, at some point drones will start falling mysteriously out of sky. Bayraktars are expensive plus this will incur serious reputational harm and thus and discourage Erdogan from arming Ukies.
Regarding Russians openly intervening, I think they know they are provoked, so they’ll stick to covert methods and avoid open war as long as possible. And if finally forced to intervene, they’ll go all in and liberate all russian-speaking parts of Ukraine, possibly leaving Galitzya untouched, so that ukronazis will know where to escape. My suspicion is that at this moment Poland will probably try to intervene and occupy banderastan parts of Ukraine.
Being Pole (speaking russian, thus not brainwashed by our local so called “free media”) I would say this is worst case scenario for Poland. There are some sane people in Poland, but they’re totally marginalized and those who had some success in fighting against this propaganda quickly end up in jail (see case of Mateusz Piskorski). In Poland we live in totalitarian system where everyone is forced to kiss Uncle Sam’s ass.
May you please recommend Polish news and analysis websites (in Polish) that don’t follow the hollow-heads mass media? Dziękuję bardzo.
Jestem obywatelem i ćwiczę się mój język polski, ale urodziłem się w Argentynie
I agree. Ukraine would have to do something more grave. Putin already said (on TV) that Russia will get directly involved if Ukraine uses certain heavier weapons. Furthermore, the Ukranian government has something to lose like all governments do (the government).
Whatever Russia does, it should be on its own timetable and according to its own best strategic interest.
It should not be done because of domestic public opinion or “just to do something.”
Never let the American Enemy provoke you into doing something rash or stupid.
In short, Keep Calm and Carry On.
My suggestion would be to bring in all evidence of these ukrofriks actions to all channel news in Russia and to the shithole of European Union even to the United Foggots of America, so the stupids will have some sort of indication of the only answer would be to convert the aggressors in ashes, so their souls can come back again and be able to reincarnate in more pigs this time in Israel would be advisable…please lord?
What about just closing the gas valve on the pipeline that goes through Ukraine? Cold weather is comming and may help Ukies to avoid hot tempers.
Russia has Ukraine by the balls. Start cutting the gas flow, or adding sulphur like once before (“accidentally”). It will soon be winter.
The Dutch courts have just confirmed that 2000 pieces of Scythian gold artefacts from Crimean will be handed over to Ukraine. These priceless artefacts will then disappear into private collections of “connoisseurs”. This is hardly surprising given the Dutch corruption over MH-17. Maybe this is the price to be paid for getting their (or more likely somebody’s) gold back from the US.
I guess the museums in Holland, and maybe the west in general, won’t be seeing any further Russian works of art for a long, long time. Maybe academic collaboration with Dutch academics should also be terminated.
I am sad to say this, having lived there for a while back when it was not blatantly corrupted by the Anglo-Zionists, but fuck the Dutch and the dyke they rode in on.
The ((())) were replaced by me, Andrei, with “””” because of my moderation rules.
Please read them
Russia’s complex elite will react by sending harsh condemnation and concern :)). Taking care not so much to insult their “friends” and “partners”. At the same time, their children living in the west will visit the same museum :)). Lots of empty rhetoric, putting people to sleep as the theft goes on. Russia has a broken vertical that has been only once partially restored with Stalin. They no longer have an elite that serves the people, the Constitution. These are the internationals to whom the Anglo-Zionist West is the messiah. The Russian people were given to them as a “sclaves” feud by the Atlanticists to control.
There is another factor that may be at play here regarding the Ukies. NATO is looking for legitimacy now. Look at recent statements by Stoltenberg, the recent AUKUS deal and so forth. The Turks are still part of NATO, though they play both sides, and the Sultan needs some good distraction from his domestic woes. It’s speculation, sure. Just throwing it into the discussion, but the timing fits the possibility.
The fact that the Golem-de-la-République Macron said Nato was braindead keeps beating me. Knowing he asks for permission his tribal masters even for using the bathroom, why did they make such a statement? Do the ANZ really intend to ditch NATO? can AUKUS really justify alone the “defence” budgets?
Russia needs to arm the Donbass and Lugansk guys to the teeth,they should also have taken the war to Kiev with special forces,that seems to be the way the Nazis play with the murder of Givi, Motorola and Zakharchenko,as far as i know the filth responsible are still walking free.
I don’t see many moves Russia can make which would not trigger bad consequences for Russia if ukraine escalates.
It they don’t do anything both the DPR and the LPR will be damaged and a lot of people will die.
If they do something even really moderated it will used by western propaganda machine and western governments to blame Russia and put more sanctions, blocking NS2 and maybe even Russian gas exports to Europe (it s almost impossible to the EU to do that but with people made blind by their ideology and by their hatred towards Russia even a move like that is possible).
The west used their ukrainian project as long as they could. Now ukraine has become a liability and I think they see ukraine as a way to damage Russia as much as possible by pushing ukraine towards war with Russia.
I believe that as long as the conflict doesn’t trigger war between them and Russia they are fine with it. Some of nato s extreme hardliners those who believe nato’s propaganda (we are the best bla bla bla) may want to escalate and indeed strike the Russian black sea fleet. We never know with people that crazy and delusional.
The only thing which might block that war could be Taiwan. We know that the new main target of the US empire has become China and they decided to use Taiwan to damage China. At the moment the authorities in Taiwan follow the empire. They just confirmed that there are US soldiers in Taiwan. But what the authorities in Taiwan will think if they see that the US pushed ukraine towards war with Russia and did nothing to save ukraine? Will they keep following the US risking war with China if they know that they are all alone and they will be destroyed?
Maybe to keep using Taiwan to put pressure on China the US could block ukraine for now. I know that ukraine and Taiwan are very distant but China and Russia are the 2 main targets of the US empire so I think Taiwan and ukraine are linked in the US empire global strategy.
“If they do something even really moderated it will used by western propaganda machine and western governments to blame Russia and put more sanctions, blocking NS2 and maybe even Russian gas exports to Europe (it s almost impossible to the EU to do that but with people made blind by their ideology and by their hatred towards Russia even a move like that is possible). “
European governments and residents have far more to lose in blocking Russian gas exports than Russia does. Gazprom & others have much bigger & reliable markets in Asia. And Russians no longer care about European opinions.
“The only thing which might block that war could be Taiwan. We know that the new main target of the US empire has become China and they decided to use Taiwan to damage China.”
China is forced to be more patient with Uncle Scam because:
*Russia has a more advanced military than China
*Uncle Scam & minions have a genocidal hatred of Chinese people, while Russians are seen as “misguided” white people that will come around
*China still has too many financial assets tied up in the West
Taiwanese should study the zillion historical cases where the ANZ with the US at their forefront have really treated their allies… Georgia 2008, like the Saker said, but also Saddam…
There is absolutely no hope for the EU citizens, they are brainwashed beyond imagination by the zionist mass media AND their education is sinking to never before seen levels, and they are happy denying both. Even freezing they will find ways to keep denigrating “evil Russians” (either hackers or politicians or vampire zombies) while aspiring to “get someday to the american dream they live in the USA”… there is no way to suggest to the lambda EU citizen the “information” he gets from the MSM is worse than fake, they are neutered serfs praying everyday in front of Netflix and videogames.
We have been debating the merit of the Putin administration’s policy of patience regarding Ukraine (combined with massive qualitative gains in weapons tech, closing the balance of power gap between USA and Russia, etc.) on this site for years, and while often called into question, the consensus seems to be that this policy is the wise and appropriate one.
Now, given the political unsustainability of a perceived non-reaction, I agree a no-fly-zone is the most common sense first* move to make, but I agree somewhat with Straight-Bat regarding the bigger picture:
“Russian FM Lavrov and President Putin have been conducting their Ukraine policy with extreme patience. Now that the UkroNazi team is hell-bent on disturbing the status-quo vis-a-vis LDNR, Russian government needs to come out with a robust response that solves long-term problems.”
What next, after the NFZ?
Recognizing Novorussia would be something like a ‘big move’ for sure, but I this really the right move?
The first thing that comes to my mind is the Union State process.
If Russia conducts itself in a manner which is seen within the CIS community as immoral or unjustified, it may hinder future political expansion of the Union State project. On the other hand, if Russia’s behavior is fair, wise, minimally-damaging, resolute, and/or glorious, then it will boost the marketability of the Union State idea to the CIS countries (obviously not the Baltic NATO puppy dogs or Georgia). The first major steps are happening now of course, with Belarus and Russia. When the Belarus/Russia merger does in fact formally happen, it is likely to inspire conversations all over the post-soviet world…about existential aspects of their own statehood, memories of more prosperous Soviet times, exploring the idea of aligning with or joining the Union State, etc.. I would imagine Russia would seek to nurture these conversations and draw other prospective post-Soviet republics to join. If this is the case, then I would expect the Ukrainian example to be of paramount importance among other potential member states. With support for Zelensky at such low rates, I imagine a lot of Ukrainians are looking up to Putin for leadership more than ever as a matter of circumstance… In this sense, Putin is in a way campaigning* in Ukraine, and any overly aggressive (military or gas supply denial) move could torpedo this effort.
Given the strategic significance to the future of the Russian world that the Union State represents, and also its geostrategic value from a defensive point of view, I imagine the Putin administration holds this project in a high priority. At least that is my speculation as an untrained observer.
This is all not to mention Syria, where Turkey (still a NATO member) and USA (still occupying the oil fields) are lingering, undermining Russian efforts to bring the war to a final conclusion in Assad’s favor.
Also, in 2014 there were no hypersonic missiles armed on Russian systems. Now Russia has a much stronger position against the USA in particular if things were to get ugly in Ukraine. That might not exist next time this flares up. Union State is emerging now. All things considered, is now a more auspicious time for Russia to make a ‘big move’ in Ukraine, or next time (whenever that will be…)?
What options does Russia *realistically* have that satisfy the political considerations I mentioned above regarding the future success of the Union State project, military or otherwise?
What to do about that annoying Turkish habit of backing Ukraine and seeking to invade Syria?
I wish we knew for certain how much gas (and oil as well) the EU has available for this winter.If the prices are so high,and the talk is of lines and shortages. It seems to me that the EU would be committing suicide to stop importing Russian energy this winter. They may be that stupid,but as soon as the people start really hurting you will see revolutions start happening in the EU.So that might end up being a win win for Russia. Bringing down some of their worse enemies, and the price skyrocketing for their gas when the EU comes begging them to restart the supply. I don’t think the EU during winter can ramp-up a domestic supply.Nor the US,or Middle-Eastern countries be able to make up for that shortage. I could be wrong of course,but I don’t see it.
Can anyone translate this? Some kind of sex scandal in Ukropistan involving a US military officer?
The Ukrop/OSCE web page has already been pulled.
Zakharova is not optimistic?
“In recent days, we have seen alarming – although it’s not the right word – developments in southeastern Ukraine, which border on tragedy. All this points to a rise in tensions in the conflict zone,” Zakharova emphasized. “Given the circumstances, we don’t rule out that the situation will deteriorate further,” she added.
The West WANTS Russia to attack Ukraine. Then, they will turn Russia’s life into Hell.
So, instead of taking the bait of attacking Ukraine, Russia should better to directly attack her main enemy (and also Ukraine’s boss): the US Deep State.
How to do that without starting WWIII? (or, at least, trying to not trigger it?). Here go some ideas:
– To cut all diplomatic ties with the US;
– To make Russia’s (up to now secret) military ties and arrangements with China public (along with deploying a S-500 battery around Beijing);
– To cease all gas transit through Ukraine, at once;
– To wipe out all US military presence in Syria;
– To drop just one small tactical nuke in some desert and inhabited area in the middle of the US;
– To fire just one EM pulse warhead over Silicon Valley (or elsewhere more suitable to disrupt all Western social networks: Google, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and the like);
– To sink with conventional warheads all US submarines which are still docked at their homeports;
In other words, to shift from this incrementally quantitative military escalation driven by the West into a qualitative (shock-and-awe-style) one.
The US cutting off Swift ok guys do it, but it is more a problem for them than for Russia. Because to pay the gas and oil(not to forget all the rest)you need…swift.Otherwise prepare big, very big bagages, sea containers with lotttt of cash. No cash, no gold ok guys no gas, no oil, no cereals, no rocket engines etc etc…you don’t pay or disconnect Swift go along and good luck, prepare for a winter of yellow vests everywhere and the people are ‘hot’ already with two years of covid crazyness.Mini Macron forget your reelection next april and so on. Swift is only a messaging system located in Waterloo near Brussels. What about a pre emptive cyber attack on this shithole?Otherwise what else could they ‘sanction’? Everything has already been sanctionned. Sanctions are according to the UN charter illegal and acts of war.Russia and China( and a lot of other countries, even their vassals they also sanction from time to time), nobody needs a declaration of war.It already exists from the US/UK/NATO/EU.The list of their crimes and false flags is very, very long…mh17, coups here and there, fake chem attacks in Syria, Skripal, Navalny, coup attempt against Belarus, etc etc etc
I see this confrontation over the LDNR/Donbass as being one of two attempts, the other being Taiwan, by the U.S. to push its avowed adversaries, Russia and China, into a corner. I don’t see either succeeding.
The world saw in Crimea, in Georgia and in Syria how decisively Russia can act when she decides that enough is enough. A denouement is approaching in LDNR/Donbass. The West won’t like it, but they have created this mess, and they will have to accept the imposed outcome. It will be, suddenly, a fait accompli.
Likewise, the world saw in Hong Kong how patient, but ultimately successful, China acts when she perceives a threat to her national integrity. Soon now Taiwan will be de facto as well as de jure an integral part of China.
Thunderous rhetoric will be heard from Washington and Brussels, while China continues to develop internally and internationally and trade and develop across the globe. And Russia will continue to provide Europe with the gas it needs to keep its industry going and its people from freezing.
What “other option” does Russia have? You gave it yourself in your previous article under the title “Best” option: To continue to help the LDNR without getting directly involved. In that article you then suggested something else, and it’s more odd to now ask, “But what other option does Russian have?” To continue with the best option. They will not risk their oil market in Europe doing what you suggest. Ukraine would have to do something more grave. Putin already said (on TV) that Russia will get directly involved if Ukraine uses certain heavier weapons. Furthermore, the Ukranian government has something to lose like all governments do (the government).
Ukie nationalist journos and pundits have been salivating from their mouths ever since 2020’s Nagarno-Karabakh war. That’s because these rabid Ukie nationalists are convinced that the Bayraktar TB2 is an unbeatable weapon, something that will trump anything Russia puts in the battlefield.
The Ukies have been saying from the start that the Azerbaijanis “defeated” not just Armenia, but the Russian military too. That’s why they’ve been flooding the Internet with articles urging Zelensky to restart the Donbass war, and to use lots of Bayraktar’s to spearhead the Ukie military onslaught.
I honestly think world peace will be more deeply guaranteed and secured if Russia launches a devastating military offensive to shatter Ukie military formations in and around Donbass. By doing so, Russia sends notice to the Atlantic Alliance and Zelensky that there is, and never will be, any hope for Ukraine to militarily overrun Donbass.
Another benefit to a Russian strike against the Ukie army is that it will offer hope and encouragement to the many areas in eastern Ukraine and the Black Sea littoral that are populated by ethnic Russians and pro-Russian Ukrainians. These people are being oppressed now to the max by Kiev’s anti-Russian language and religion policies. No doubt the people in these pro-Russian areas are waiting for the day when Minsk II will apply to them, and they can achieve far-reaching autonomy that protects them against Kiev’s excesses.
On a final note, I’ve got some good news: latest reports indicate that the country currently called Ukraine now has a population of only 37 million. That’s down by eight million people since the Maidan Revolution of 2013-14.
Wow, they must serve some awfully strong vodka in Kiev. Operationally Russia and her allies just concluded Zapad 2021 which is all about Russia’s Western district. I would estimate force readiness to very high. Not so for NATO forces.
Russia has a lot of options here and have prepositioned the required assets. For me a no fly zone and a buffer or DMZ all the way to the other bank of the Dnieper river seem reasonable to me.
But I am not Gerasimov. Gerasimov generally favors limited action and active defense. What constitutes “active defense” is anyone guess. Gerasimov continues to surprise. I would not at all be surprised to find this sort of attack was foreseen and was allowed to occur because it represents some opportunity for Russia.
Andrei My Orthodox Brother,
I think your suggestion is not only the right thing to do from a geopolitical standpoint it is also (maybe more importantly) the moral thing to do. The Christian thing to do. Protect the innocent. Protect the Babushkas and Dadushkas and the women and children of Donbass who’s only crime was being Russian. God save the people of Novorossiya. God grant victory to True Orthodox Christians over all their enemies.
Dear Andrei: I agree with you about the Tom Clancy junk “literature”, I once read a text where he seemed to think Rio de Janeiro was the capital of Brazil, for crying out loud!
My question to you is this: “What would happen if the russians actually let the Ukronazis make the first move?
In 08-08-08 the Georgians attacked first (a day after signing a “peace” agreement). They thought that if Medvedev (the russian president) was at the inauguration of the Beijing olimpics they would catch the russians and ossetians with their pants down. They didn´t. It was fairly obvious that the russians had anticipated such a move, but let the Georgians attack first.
I know the western press presented the thing as if russia had attacked an innocent little country that wouldn’t hurt a fly. They ignored the fact that the war was initiated by the “little country”. Even nowadays that’s the official version.
However, in the international diplomatic front, everybody that counted knew what happened. Therefore, international protests against the “russian agression” were lukewarm and half hearted.
The United States are masters of this tactic of letting the other guy hit first and be the “agressor”. Just think of how Roosevelt let the Japanese make the first move in the Pacific, in order to force the isolationists with a “fait accomplit”. (Now, if he knew the target would be Pearl Harbour or he thought the Japanese would strike the Phillipines is a matter for debate).
So, again: Why not let the Ukies draw first blood and then strike fast and hard where it hurts (in Georgian campaign style)?
My question to you is this: “What would happen if the russians actually let the Ukronazis make the first move?
Depends on the type of move.
I still believe that Russia will have to declare a no-fly zone over the LDNR
The Ukies give her really no choice at this point.
The US is used to organise coups, attacks for false flags around Olympics(summer or even more winter).I’m afraid we will soon have a problem Houston as in three months we will have Olympics and…in Beijing.
Expect the worst for Taiwain and who knows for the Donbass or Syria?
I do not pay much attention to sports. I just checked the dates for the 2022 Olympics — February 4-20 — more “confirmation” of my “gut feeling” of WWIII (or WWV) in March 2022.
Looks like America’s Carnival is going to be its biggest celebration yet with the ultimate fireworks display possible being “highly likely.” Christmas 2021 celebrations by Americastani pagans who think they are Christian will seem lame in comparison.
Some snippets translated by yandex, for what it’s worth:
28.10.21. Video from mass media.
“A lot of Russian tanks and other units of army armored and automobile equipment moved towards the ukrainian border. Railway trains with Russian tanks are seen moving towards the ukrainian border. Against the background of the confrontation between the forces of the republics of Donbass and ukraine, residents of the Voronezh, Bryansk and Rostov regions noticed railway trains with tanks and army trucks, which allegedly moved in the early morning towards the ukrainian border. The source reports that we are talking about several hundred heavy combat vehicles, however, on the railway platforms you can also see army trucks and engineering equipment. Judging by the presented video frames, the Russian side may begin to concentrate its forces near the ukrainian borders to prevent provocations and aggression.”
28.10.21. Video from mass media.
“Prut tanks by the hundreds. Better than this spring, when everyone was ready for war. Another 2 armored fists moving towards ukraine were documented on camera in Kursk today. Echelons with tanks & other military equipment in large numbers removed from their places of deployment and began to move towards the proposed front line. “The ukrainians are hoping for rusty yank javelins, but they don’t have as many javelins as we have tanks!” – write in social networks Russian residents who shoot these shots.” Our tank armadas will crush the positions of the uaf & grant freedom from the ukrainian occupation to the lands of Donetsk and Lugansk, which are still languishing in bandera’s captivity! Slavyansk and Mauripol will be free!”
28.10.21. Video from mass media.
“A huge number of 152 mm self-propelled guns are coming from Voronezh to the front line. Railway trains also carry ammunition and personnel. Unloading is underway from the platforms and self-propelled guns, accompanied by guards from armored cars and infantry fighting vehicles, are moving under their own power to their destination.”
28.10.21. Video from a civilian.
“Tactical missiles are coming! Powerful Iskander tactical missiles are being pulled up to the border to strike ukrainian headquarters, bridges, warehouses and military factories. Urgent! The 20th Combined Arms Army has been raised! The advance of assault columns and auxiliary detachments to the border with ukraine is underway! Bryansk suggests that things are very bad for the raguls. Patience is not unlimited. The 20th Combined Arms Army of the Western Military District was on the move. Drive heavy missile systems, tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, trucks and personnel! Why and why, I think it is not difficult to guess. Direction of movement of convoys of vehicles and personnel towards ukraine”.
Message from military correspondents: “The escalation in the Donbass began two days earlier, in the direction of the LPR. Bakhmutka started making noise, and the village of Khoroshoe came under fire. Having received an adequate response, even more than adequate, silence reigned in this direction, there were many and bright lights, in addition, the positions of the ukrofashists were lost. Then they made a lot of noise in the direction of Slavyanoserbsk. Having received it properly, they calmed down. Who does not know, the LPR has long been given the opportunity to respond. This morning there was another attempt to make noise near Slavyanoserbsk, the results of the response will be clear later. “Bayraktary” in the Donbass, it seems, is now a permanent factor. A pair of Turkish UAVs are constantly patrolling the contact line from Gorlovka to the south, including the coast of the Sea of Azov. They are managed, according to my data, by Turkish specialists, training ukrainians in real time in real conditions.”
28.10.21. Video from mass media.
“A huge number of 152 mm self-propelled guns are coming from Voronezh to the front line. Railway trains also carry ammunition and personnel. Unloading is underway from the platforms and self-propelled guns, accompanied by guards from armored cars and infantry fighting vehicles, are moving under their own power to their destination.”
No matter how much they brag about the increase in enemy equipment, in reality, Nezalezhnaya will not be able to resist Russia. In the Voronezh region, Bryansk Region, and Rostov region.. they continue to shoot footage of endless trains of vehicles moving along the borders…”
I hope it is true, not for war, but as a deterrent.
I don’t know how educated the Ukrainian military brass are now about military matters — they must have had first class military training with RF, at least until Maidan. Perhaps they’ve really turned into suicidal zealots.
Surely they can see — as pointed out by Andrei — the the missiles and drones are not going to change the military balance vis-a-vis Russia a jot. They will, however, change the military balance re the Donbass and could threaten the lives of Russians living there; indeed, terrorise them ala Gaza; and that is the crux of the matter.
I think as far as air is concerned, RF should declare an ADIZ over the Donbass. As far as the public is concerned,– in view of the belligerent statements/actions made by fUKUS/Nato and threat to civilian lives, and gleefully disseminated by MSM in recent days — RF is quite entitled to declare one. Not much different from a no-fly zone in some aspects but much more flexible. A no-fly zone requires intervention for every incursion in order to be credible; ADIZ, on the other hand, offers flexibility of response. RF could choose to shoot or not to shoot; fUKUS, which incidentally also flies US drones over Donbass, will be left guessing.
Next move would be to place AD equipment — if they’re not already there — close to the RF-Donbass border. After that, to let fly at an ‘unidentified flying object’ (read, drone). In this game of chicken, the people who actually know, ie Nato military, will advise a stand-down. Why? Because they know the real consequences of further escalation. VVP said just as much post-HMS Defender incursion in his remarks about the possibilty of RF sinking another intruding ship: Nato really doesn’t want to fight a war — a terrible one — it cannot possibly win.
The ukrainian military is trash. It is a terrorist organisation firstly. It is also a bunch of drunken, drugged, criminal thugs.
At this point does it really matter what the Anglo-Zionist media says anyways. They don’t tell a shred of truth so what difference does it make anymore?
I think one has to ask the question: why does Russia care about western opinion?
If they want to cancel NS2, fine, Europe will freeze and business will cease. It will have marginal effect on Russia.
If the ukies will attack Donbass, they will get destroyed within 24 hours – so what. There is no subsequent obligation on Russia to support Ukraine. What can the West/NATO do? Any move against Russia and Russia will destroy the West.
At this point, Russia is impervious to any western actions. Putin has made clear he wants no part of western “culture”.
That’s what infuriates and scares the ‘West’ more than anything else. When nobody wants and envies their ‘values’.
I don’t think they care too much about western media any longer. I think they care about doing the right thing, in their own eyes, and in the eyes of the Eurasian, eastern, African, S American communities. This is where the long term future is, and this is where they have to set an example, set a precedent for how to deal with conflict, and build trust. Western media is fast losing credibility. I hope a new paradigm is emerging which is fair and just, under the guidance of Russia and China.
Thanks to an earlier poster, JJ, for linking to plans for a Bayrak manufacturing facilities in Ukraine, and also pointing out how Poland is also a recipient of these same systems, starting from 2022.
So, despite the strange press coverage for a new Ukrainian industry, which essentially threatens Russian countermeasure or retaliation against these same weapons, the Ukrainians have successfully applied their wits to lessening the sorry state of affairs. The Russians have stated before the desire to promote the Ukraine statehood to good neighbors status and now they can help the fledgling Ukraine Industry by not taking overt action in response to the latest aggressions — default reinforcement of the Ukraine sales pitch, uav=unconquerable air vehicles.
I think there may be more to this than just buzz as the drone industry is growing very quickly, and the product is akin to an automobile in the way they are made, many parts and components and even sub-systems are outsourced from parts suppliers — but the markups are much better. The downturn has clamped the automotive market severely, and revenues are not likely to rebound, and the market for tanks and military equipment isn’t a substitute, but drones are a big deal, drones are a growth industry, and all the players are in that game.
Ukraine regime allegedly left its militants, who invaded Staromaryevka village in a grey zone , in a cauldron : “We are in the Staromaryevka valley. We suffered heavy losses, they promised to send us support at night, but it never came. We have to think about how to get out of here”.
Saker writes: Some will suggest that Russia could send in a special forces team to selectively kill Ze and a few other select Ukrofreaks. Again, doable, but imagine the political consequences: that would “prove” that Putin is a “bloody KGB murderer” and a danger to all of the “democratic world” (i.e. US vassal states).
How about waiting for the Ukies to attack, and then assassinate Zelensky and cronies — and letting them know beforehand that this is what would happen? I think most people in the world would agree that if the Ukies start the fight, then Russia is free to respond in any manner it sees fit. If Zelensky and his crazy friends know that they would be among the first to die, they may not be so eager to provoke a war.
Imho the problem is most westerners are happy consuming MSM disinfo, and even if Russia (or whomever) showed in the UN actual proof of the ukronazis starting everything and the banderastaners confessed publicly in the Hague or something similar, it would STILL be some Russian edited footage complot to conquer Eastern Europe…
Just look at Powell’s infamous “Saddam has WMD” declaration, does the lambda westerner even know he was lying? And would he care of all the million iraqis killed That scandinavian minister telling Baroness-whatever there were snipers killing everybody to start the Maidan false flag, I sent that clip which was back then ON YOUTUBE to everybody… “either it was fake or it was not so important”…
LDNR is too small, the Big South/ South East is needed from Odessa to and Karkov.This entity would be viable quiet rapidly after Ukrop cleaning(militaries, nazis, azov,collaborators, SBU etc…). Russia has all the names.
A Nuremberg 2.0 must also take place and for the nazis in Kiev and Galicia, sentenced by default and then on Interpol ‘most wanted list’.
I see no progress in the legal action against The Ukraine for its war crimes being brought…gonna drag on for years of course .
I am no military strategist but I strongly disagree. If the Ukrainian objective is to provoke a war with the aim of losing it, than how is following this script written in Kiev by the CIA and NATO going to benefit Russia?
The only ONLY justification of a no-fly zone would be protecting human lives and this should be taken to the UNSC first- if for no other reason than to win the propaganda war and to win world public opinion.
Zero chance at the UN: US/France and UK will vote against, China for.
At least they can say they tried. May make a difference with many Asian, African, and Latin American countries if they have to go it alone without the Useless Nations.
“Bayraktars rainfall.” – This is the main point for me in this article. These drones, their early successes against normal infantry units, may have led people to overestimate their military prowess and not a little hubris.
Maybe Ukrainians (as Russia) have better things to do for the moment than war no?
Ukraine reports 26,870 new coronavirus cases, the biggest one-day increase on record, and 648 new deaths.
Are they in lockdown?
Sadly Crimea has a severe growing virus problem too.
“Recognizing the LDNR remains the only viable option.” This sounds like a good, quite move. If they gnash their teeth and shake their fists, by all means. It is the plate they deserve.
1…… If Russia did what the US has done many times (strike military headquarters, destroy symbolic buildings, etc.) there would inevitably be a lot of innocent casualties and you can count on the AngloZionist propaganda machine to make the most of it…….
2…..hat Putin is a “bloody KGB murderer” and a danger to all of the “democratic world” (i.e. US vassal states) ……..
What did the great Dostoevsky say ? How paradoxical, to live like a Russian and want the West to accept you :)).
It seems chess pieces are being moved everywhere….. so much is happening at the Azerbaijan Armenia Iran Turkey border areas.
Syria is still in play.
And Israel has strengthened ties with Azerbaijan (and Saudi).
Look at what happened in October. Month not over yet!
One month at the Iran, Azerbaijan and Armenian border.
(Includes a side serve of Turkey ~Syria)
As told in tweets by Kiev located “proud Cossack”
Almost none of these incidents and “chess moves” have been reported by Western media. Reading all this, does it feel like approach to the WW3 Event horizon is escalating??
Israel delivered $2 billion worth of new weapons and munitions to Azerbaijan in the last two months.
Most of them are now deployed at the Iranian border.
Turkish-Ukrainian agreement on construction of Bayraktar TB2 center in Kyiv is signed. (Pic Includes Zelensky)
>Former Armenian defence minister David Tonoyan arrested in Yerevan
>Turkish Army is clearing mines near Iranian border in order to facilitate the deployment of Turkish troops at Iranian border.
Three Turkish TB2’s are in the air right now near Iranian border.
>Iranian military say Baku is in the range of Iranian artillery deployed at Azeri border.
>Iranian air defence systems put on high alert.
>High rank IRGC official Mahmoud Gazizi calls Azeris “Zionist prostitutes.”
>7 or 8 Iranian Airforce helicopters deployed at Azeri border
>16th Army of Iran (Qazvin Army) on their way to Nakhijevan borders. Nakhijevan is an Azeri enclave between Turkey, Iran and Armenia
>Iranian Army to start another huge drills near Azeri borders tomorrow.
>Iran is creating and financing pro-Iranian military Husayniun group (“Islamic Resistance of Azerbaijan”) in Azerbaijan.
Azeri government should act quickly and toughly if they don’t want their own Azeri Hezbollah.
The length of Iranian Army convoy (tanks, armored vehicles, artillery guns) deployed near Azerbaijan for tomorrow’s drills reaches 8 km. Biggest Iranian drills in the last 20 years.
>Turkey and Aze are keen to create a Zangezur corridor through Armenian territory which would connect mainland Azerbaijan to its enclave Nakhijevan.
This corridor would be enormously profitable for both Turkey and Azerbaijan, and even for Armenia.
§§§. teshub1 @teshub12: replies:
the corridor would not be profitable for Armenia at all.
It would literally be a highway through Armenian territory, connecting Nakh. to Az. but ceded to Azerbaijan.
This was not part of the agreement signed last year by AZ, AR, and RU. A highway under Russian control was.
Meanwhile Armenia, bound to centuries-long dogmas, so far refuses to authorize this project.
§§§. You’re a total fool if you think Armenia literally ceding territory in its most strategically important but geographically insecure region to its two main geopolitical rivals would be good for Armenia.
Iran fears that, sooner or later, Armenia will bow to Turkish pressure and agree for the corridor.
If constructed, this corridor would cut Iran from direct routes to Caucasus and Europe. That’s what makes them so nervous.
UNCONFIRMED reports of first clashes between Iranian and Azeri troops on the border about 2 hrs ago. 1 Iranian and 2 Azeri soldiers wounded.
>Now reports come that the Azeris pull their troops back from near the border.
>6 Iranian armed drones flying over Azeri border.(vid)
>Massive transfer of Iranian troops by A400M’s to Azeri border, these minutes.
>All IRGC units in north-west Iran are put on high alert.
>Iranian airbases in Tehran and Hamadan in standby mode.
>Israeli ambassador to Azerbaijan George Deek.(video) announcement of project to promote and preserve Jewish heritage. American Ambassador to Azerbaijan and head of USAID program also attend.
*Deek States Azerbaijan has largest Jewish population in Muslim world.
>Including pic of “Mountain Jews Museum” official opening.
Azeris shot down Iranian drone, about 4 hrs ago
>Deputy chief of staff of Armenia arrested in Yerevan.
Azeri Army put on high alert.
>Reports of blast in Iranian military base in the west of Tehran, this afternoon.
>|Algeria recalled its ambassador from France for consultations.
>Reports that Iranian AH-1 Super Cobra mistakenly fired at Iranian troops during the ongoing drills near Azeri border. Three Iranian soldiers killed.
>Armenia opens its airspace for Iranian drones
>Armenia and Iran discuss the establishment of Iranian military bases on Armenian territory.
>|Algeria closes its airspace for French warplanes.
Who said Turkey is withdrawing from Idlib?
Quite the opposite: more and more Turkish Army convoys are entering Idlib every day. (Pic of convoy)
>Rebels captured Muhaberat (Assadite intelligence) agent in South Idlib.
>Rebel sniper killed a pro-Iranian militant in Jabel, West Aleppo.
>Turkish troops in Idlib are ordered to be ready to repel any attack by Assadite forces.
>Iranian parliament resolution, 2 hrs ago: “Inviolability of borders of our neighbors is Iran’s red line. If somebody tries to cross this line, Iran will act immediately.”
>Pro-Khamenei daily Vatan-e Emrooz decyphers the resolution adopted by the Iranian parliament: if Ankara and Baku invade Armenia, Iran will do the same immediately.
>Iranian drills finished. Troops retreat.
>Turkish-Azeri joint drills in Nakhijevan announced for 5-8 October.
>Newest and most advanced Israeli air defence system Arrow 3 to be delivered to Azerbaijan soon.
Iran snubbed again.
>Mass arrests of pro-Iranian elements in Baku.
IRGC deploys about 4,000 speed boats in the seaport of Ashtar near Azeri border.
>Turkish-Azeri-Georgian tripartite drills “Eternity” started in Georgia (country). Turkish and Azeri troops are arriving in Tbilisi.
>Israeli National Security Council warns of possible terrorist attacks on Israeli and Jewish objects across Azerbaijan.
>Georgia bans Iranian citizens and vehicles from entering its territory. Reason unknown so far.
Hundreds of Iranian trucks are currently stuck at Armenian-Georgian border.
>Mossad kidnapped an Iranian general in Syria to get info about Ron Arad, Israeli pilot captured by terrorists in 1986.
Waiting for details.
>Iran closes its border with Turkey in Kapikoy, East Turkey.
>Iranian pro-Khamenei center in Baku closed by local authorities without any explanation.
>Iran closes its airspace for Azeri warplanes going to Azeri enclave Nakhijevan.
>4 Turkish military cargo planes have arrived in Azerbaijan since this morning.
>Iranian agents’ attempt to blast a car of an Israeli embassy official in Baku, foiled by Azeri authorities.
President Aliyev poses with Israeli drone Harop.(pic)
>Saudi media say two Israeli Arrow 3 air defence systems are already deployed in Azerbaijan.
>Israel is ready to send its F-35s to Azerbaijan to help this country in case of Iranian military aggression.
>Arrow 3 is an only air defence system in the world capable of hitting targets in stratosphere, even low-orbit satellites.
Its missiles cost $2.2 million each.
>Pro-Iranian Huseiniyye mosque in Ganja, West Azerbaijan, closed by Azeri authorities.
>Azeri government starts monitoring all Iran-financed mosques in Azerbaijan
>General Aviv Kochavi, chief of general staff of IDF: “We will continue eliminating key figures of Iran and destroying its key military objects anywhere in Iran.”
>Turkish FM calls on NATO to give full membership for Ukraine and Georgia
>Iranian drone shot down over South Idlib.
>Biggest Turkish-Azeri joint drills announced for coming days.
Turkey considers sending S-400 missile systems and F-16s to Azerbaijan to help this country against the possible Iranian aggression.
>Azerbaijan bans potatoes import from Iran.
>Turkish and Azeri warplanes flying very close to Iranian border during joint drills in Nakhijevan.
Armenia in the shock of news that Baku-Nakhijevan flight passed throuh Armenian air space this morning.
>Most probably, Iran is more shocked than Armenia is.
>Turkey closes four border checkpoints for Iranian vehicles.
>Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are holding joint naval drills in the Gulf of Oman, not far from Iranian coasts.
>Ukrainian TB2 spotted last night over Iraq near Iranian border.
Is Ukraine joining anti-Iran coalition?
>Pakistan deploying troops near Iranian border after gunmen from Iranian side killed Pakistani soldier.
>Khamenei’s official representative left Baku this morning.
Turkish source reports of assasination attempt on Karabakhi president Arayik Haroutyunyan, 1 hr ago.
Haroutyunyan is reportedly wounded.
>Russian media say Turkish drones delivered to Ukraine are ready to be used against Donbass separatists, and Russia still has nothing to oppose them.
>Azerbaijan denied entry visa for Iranian co-president of joint Azeri-Iranian Trade Chamber.
>9 border checkpoints are closed for Iranian trucks in Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia
>Iranian FM requested his Turkish counterpart for a meeting.
Iran steps back.
>UK-based Elaph news agency says two Israeli Airforce F-35s have arrived in Azerbijan.
>Azerbaijan to open its embassy in Israel very soon
>Commander of the 3rd Turkish Army arrived in Azeri enclave Nakhijevan.
>The chairman of the Turkiah-Iranian Chamber of Commerce says Turkey stopped all kinds of trade with Iran in view of ongoing threats from Iran against Azerbaijan.
Another Turkish Army convoy entered Idlib.
>Turkish FM: “Ukraine’s application for observer status in Turcic Council will be considered on November 12.”
>Iranian FM Abdollahian now calls to his Azeri counterpart to arrange a meeting.
>Israeli air attack on T-4 airbase in Homs, 3 hrs ago.
>Four Israeli Airforce Il-76s landed in Baku since this morning.
>6 Russian spies arrested by Turkish police in Istanbul and Antalya this morning.
>Abolhassan Banisadr, Iran’s first president after the 1979 Islamic Revolution, died this morning in Paris at the age of 88.
>One of Russian-made S-200’s used by Syrian air defence to repel yesterday’s air attack on T-4 base landed in Iraq.
Turkish police arrested the head of Afghan mafia in Istanbul.
>Turkey is working on first laser drones.
>Armenian source says Azeri sniper killed a Karabakhi civilian in Martakert.
Armenia is furious that nearby Russian peacekeepers did nothing to prevent the killing of civilian.
Three huge blasts in Ganja, West Azerbaijan, this morning.
>8 Iranian agents arrested by Turkish security forces in Van, East Turkey.
>Israeli air attack on pro-Assad positions near Palmyra, these minutes.
US and Uzbekistan to discuss deployment of US troops in Uzbekistan soon
>High ranking Taliban delegation arrived in Ankara.
Fierce clashes between Syrian Kurds and pro-Turkish rebels in Azaz, these minutes. 6 Kurds killed so far.
>Turkish drones monitoring Syrian border, these minutes.
>Turkish aircrafts throwing leaflets down to the town of Tel Rifaat calling the civilians to leave the place or to stay away from Kurdish positions.
>Pro-Assad positions south-west of Raqqa attacked about 3 hrs ago. Over 10 killed.
US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin to visit Ukraine and Georgia next week.
>Turkish Army ready for biggest operation in its history.
>Akinci drones probably in the air over Syrian border, these minutes.
This kind of drones have been never used in battle before. Their ammunition is thrice as much as that of TB2.
French ambassador to Belarus DEPORTED by Lukashenko.
Amother humiliation for Macron.
IRGC Headquarters in Homeyn, West Iran, attacked by unknown gunmen, Oct. 16. The commander of the headquarters killed.
>Two more high ranking Iranian spies arrested in Azerbaijan.
Iran’s spy netwotk in this country is crushed every day.
>Azeri source says Israeli instructors train Azeri military to handle newest Israeli drones in Ismailliyah, North Azerbaijan.
>Massive arrests of pro-Iranian agents continue across Azerbaijan.
4 local Hezbollah members arrested this morning.
US granted access to 4 four more military bases in Greece.
US has a total of 8 military bases in Greece now.
Another Turkish Army convoy entered Idlib 30 min ago.
48 pro-Iranian elements arrested in Baku this morning.
Avigdor Liberman says the war with Iran is inevitable and not too far.
>Armed Azeri soldiers stole 150 sheeps from Armenian farmers today in Syunik, South Armenia, Armenian ombudsman says.
>Massive arrival of US troops in Alexandroupolis, North-East Greece.
>Massive fire in a power station in Bandar Abbas, South Iran.
Coup in Sudan
First NATO airbase opened in Latvia, yesterday.
>Education minister of Armenia says they do not plan to open Russian schools in the country.
In neighboring Georgia too, there is no public Russian school anymore.
President Erdogan arrived in Baku.
>Iran’s gas station system completely paralyzed by hacker attack.
>Reports that Ukrainian Army started to use TB2 drones against pro-Russian separatists in Donbass.(drone footage)
>Russian Army convoy attacked in Syria.
§§§ Mike Schiebel
@mike_schiebel… Who would be suspect to attacking Russia?
Fuat: Pro-Turkish rebels.
>Ukrainian military say they need at least 50 Bayraktar drones to completely destroy separatists in Russian-occupied Donbass.
>Iranian officials say today’s cyber attack against National Iranian Oil Products Distribution Company “was conducted by a foreign country”.
UAE ready to allow Israel to use their airbases to attack Iran.
>Azeri officials say Zangezur corridor through Armenian territory to connect mainland Azerbaijan to Turkey will be ready in 2023.
>President Erdogan: “One day you will just get in your car in Baku and drive straight to Istanbul through Zangezur corridor.”
>Pro-Iranian Hashdi-Shaabi headquarter attacked by IS in Diyala, Iraq. 14 killed.
>Huge Turkish Army convoy of 130 armored vehicles entered Idlib, 3 hrs ago.
>In total, three Turkish Army convoys of over 400 armored vehicles entered Idlib in the last 6 hours.(videos)
>Arizona-born Rep. Jeff Flake, 58, appointed new US Ambassador to Turkey.
>Reports that Ukranian artillery units are redeploying closer to the frontline in Donbass.
First Israeli plane landed in Saudi Arabia, yesterday.
>Ukrainian Bayraktars in the air again.
>Air attack sirens in Russian-occupied Donbass.
>Taiwanese President confirms the presence of US troops in Taiwan.
>China to open its second military base in Tajikistan.
Huge deployment of Turkish troops in North Syria.
>Fierce clashes in Donbass, these minutes.
>Intense flight of Turkish drones over M4 road, these minutes.
oh boy…..seems to be relentless build up of stresses and strains heading to deliberate confrontation ….and the extreme difficulties ordinary people are being faced with just to survive to helplessly in the face of political intentions. Kosovo -Serbia situation also perhaps. We seem to be so dependant on twitter for news from the ground that truly reveals what is occuring…thanks to them and for posting. Tricky trying to keep up to date within Syria too though there seems to be much more determination by Turkey “master,” of all it surveys?
I (and many) do not have Twitter or FB, pl cont to share.
Add these ongoing fronts too:
▪︎ China-India border issue (Ambassador Badhrakumar commented on it yesterday) waiting for another spark
▪︎ Mali/Algeria/Russia (& other African countries) vs France/US Africom (public exposés of training extremists; hiring Russian mercs to protect)
▪︎ mobilization of Japanese ground SDF for first time in 30 years
▪︎ Russo-Chinese joint patrols around Japan
▪︎ Lebanese attempts at sparking a civil war
▪︎ continuing KSA-Yemen war, moving steadily into KSA proper
▪︎ worsening covid in Russia
▪︎ Accelerating chaos in Washington/USA – who/which faction to deal with? This is Nixon’s “madman theory” on steroids
I didn’t even discuss Latin America, most of Africa (esp Egypt/Sudan/Ethiopia Nile river triangle).
It is too much to keep up with
As Saker has stated in the past, we are inside of World War 3.
This world war has largely been based on America-driven Hybrid Warfare involving economic, political and information warfare campaigns targeting the Axis of Resistance nations in general, who stand against the Anglo-American Zionist Empire and its Rules-Based World Order.
But now this world war is “going kinetic.”
The only question is whether it will go nuclear.
If the Americans are masters of pushing their allies ahead to fight their opponents, then . . .
the Chinese are masters to apply Sun Tzu advices . . .
the Russians are masters of so-called маскировка (Russian military deception).
Troops of Donetsk and Lughansk suffice to fight back the Ukies. Add volontaires, “volontaires”, infiltrates. All that with Wagner’s music, which is absolutely silent, not that as “Ride of the Valkyries“ in Coppola’s Apocalypse Now. (To those not so familiar with “Wagner”, I am referring to mercenaries, effectively operated across the Near East).
Gerasimov is an old fox. Interestingly, there are many “old foxes” around him.
As for B-1 Lancer (for me an excellent aircraft, now an old chap ), with the salvo of 24 LRASMs, it is easy to make “big talks” and place wishes from wet dreams, sitting at your computer game hitting enemy ships, but it is quite another thing to make a casus belli for nuclear response. I am sure they will never get so far.
But it definitely could be a spur for the Ukies to get thing wrong. Have on mind that the Ukies do not just read Forbes to feel the Washington pulse. They rather have a direct line.
In this context we can read the Baryaktar case. If you really prepare a military operation then what is all about such public attention to one second hand attack? To test how the Russian would response, with what counter measure? To show how you are technologically superior (with Turkish instructors in the Baryak classroom), or to announce new form of terror on helpless citizens of Donetsk.
Let us not forget that Russia has a direct land connection to this area. (It is not as China, with a sea between Taiwan). And there you can end everything you wish, for nobody to know. Imagine a huge truck of 30 tons, with huge “Coca Cola” inscriptions on the sides, carrying refreshment for tired soldier in Donetsk. Does the shape of Iskander, with its 3.8 tons, resembles Coca-Cola bottle?
We’ve had some formal comments, the first since Lavrov’s short statement that the incident(s) are being investigated. At this moment (and as frustratingly usual) the transcript of Maria Zakharova’s weekly briefing is not complete yet.
I’ve followed the snippets published on her Twitter as her briefing continued and Tass has two reasonable and short pieces.
Note, nobody in the Russian administration changed anything .. they continued with their published schedules, they did not call special meetings (visibly) and nobody said anything in all the formal channels that I follow. This silence was noticeable. The formal channels continued as if ‘unruffled’. They did not pay the Ukies any attention. And now they’ve left it to Maria, in her normal weekly briefing, to say a few words.
Russia is playing this one very close to their own chest.
“I would like to mention once again that the conflict in southeastern Ukraine has no military solution, as was acknowledged by all those countries that so much fret over civilians and, generally, the situation in Ukraine. The attempts to settle it by force will have very deplorable and somewhat incalculable but generally tragic consequences,” the Russian diplomat stressed.”
‘somewhat incalculable’ eh? She says “Given the circumstances, we don’t rule out that the situation will deteriorate further.”
This was basically the core of her statements:
“Western countries’ incessant deliveries of armaments and ammunition to Ukraine bolster Kiev’s confidence that the conflict in Donbass can be resolved with military means, the Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman pointed out.
This is also facilitated by the deployment of military training missions by NATO member states on Ukrainian territory and numerous military drills, she added.
“We call on Western countries that are beefing Ukraine up with weapons, and this primarily relates to Washington and also to Berlin and Paris as the Normandy format participants, to stop encouraging the country’s militarization and use their influence to put Kiev back on the track of achieving a durable peace in Donbass by political and diplomatic means.”
Kiev is trying hard to change circumstances on the ground. I don’t know if they really want to fight big, I mean how stupid can they be? But they certainly want to force a ‘new set of facts’ in order to change their negotiating stance. Russia just fully cut off all coal (thermal type) deliveries from the Donbass to the Ukies from November 1st. Russia will receive the coal and export it. (Refer Colonel Cassad). (Frozen Butt Ukies soon)
The shelling must stop and perhaps it will only stop if somebody shells back and do a great damage. At this moment it is a one-sided ceasefire.
Southfront is reporting the last developments:
On October 28, in the DPR direction, the village of Yakovlevka in the Yasinovatskiy district and the town of Dokuchaievsk came under fire by 120 mm mortars and grenade launchers.
In the LPR, the settlements of Pryshyb, Smeloe, and Golubivske were fired on with 120 mm mortars, grenade launchers and small arms from the Ukrainian side, and at least one Ukrainian truck near Kryakivka was destroyed by crossfire of the militia.
According to the latest reports, trains loaded with hundreds of tanks and other military equipment were spotted heading towards the Ukrainian border on October 28th in Russia. Apparently, the Russian side is concentrating its forces near the Ukrainian border in order to prevent any provocations and aggression.
Ukraine is currently drawing Russia into hostilities under the terms favorable to Ukraine and its Western handlers. The Kiev regime pursues the following aims: to destabilize the overall situation near Russia’s western borders and to distract the attention of Ukrainian citizens from the problems associated with the energy crisis on the eve of a cold winter.
The current developments have an extremely troubling context. Many European and American politicians make aggressive claims to Russia, and Russian official discourse also drifts towards a military solution to the conflict.
Poland, as a NATO member, is strengthening its garrisons on the border with Belarus, and the Ukrainian army is being put on alert.
The United States, which has been providing Ukraine with lethal “defensive” aid is urging allies and partners to lift restrictions on security assistance.
Assistant Secretary of Defense Laura Cooper said that at an online event “U.S. Defense and Security Engagement in the Black Sea Region,” held by the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
“The first thing I would mention is I would like to see all allies lift their restrictions on defensive lethal assistance,” Cooper said.
She reminded that the United States had handed Javelin anti-tank systems to Ukraine and Georgia, which she said was a clear example of defensive lethal assistance capability provided by the U.S.
Meanwhile the ukrainian government and armed forces keep talking about the need to confront “Russian occupation forces in eastern ukraine”. It s a stalemate.
The Russian pattern seems to be go out of their way to make blame against them impossible and to expose Western propaganda. We saw this recently, for example, with Europe’s gas crisis, where Russia increased its gas exports to Europe, despite Europe’s attempts to undermine Russia’s economy with sanctions. The situation in Ukraine is going to become worse, and I expect the Russians will want to make it crystal clear to everyone concerned who is to blame, and it isn’t Russia. I think their response to Kiev will be with this goal in mind.
until Nordstream 2 is certified and starts pumping gas, this will be a huge danger. If no certification occurs before early January 2022, then spot gas prices will probably go ballistic. AFAIK, Russia is filling up its own storage first and will then think about supplying the EU. Its a delaying tactic.
When one listens to Strelkov for example, one loses any hope in the LDNR or their ability to not only defeat Ukrainian army, but hold them back for very long. Ukrainian armed forces have improved greatly since 2014 and they should not be underestimated. Recently on Youtube a Russian channel called CzarTV showed a small clip of a pro-Russian fighter (nickname Kot) in LDNR where he talks about the desperate situation of LDNR. According to Kot, LDNR forces do not even have enough basic equipment, like tents to sleep out in the field, and not enough bulletproof vests.
I think Ukrainian armed forces should be provoked into some kind of deliberate act of violence, more drone strikes, more public bragging, more Neo-Nazi battalions showcasing themselves. Perhaps they will hit the gas transit pipeline (GTS) and create a quagmire, very inconvenient for the EU which will make it more difficult for them to publicly support Ukraine, which will give a moral justification for Russia to impose a no-fly zone. At this point, a quagmire is better than a ‘clear situation’, because again, EU/NATO/US don’t like quagmire and would distance themselves from it, yes still blaming Russia, but they can’t seriously think that while they support Ukrainian drone strikes, that that’s not a violation of Minsk accords.
The US assassineted Soleimani. Russia could assassinate a high-ranking Ukronazi.
Or take care of a Ukronazi diplomat the way Americastani Jack-booted thugs took care of Alex Saab by entertaining him with the same 50 Shades of Darkest BSDM pleasures, but they probably will not stoop to the level of our curdled milk crop.
Just imagine how the Russians could act if they started doing some of the things the two factions of the Zionist, Neoconservative, Neo-liberal, Corporatist Party of the Unhinged States — something over 300 million Americastanis who lack imagination and intellect are incapable of. Lots of options there if they ever choose to do so. Would anything penetrate Americastani rather thick, dense skulls if they did.
Ukraine run by the National Security and Defense Council? Which is a CIA front? Would not be surprised. However, can you do a Isaac Asimov? Please Explain. https://www.amazon.com/Please-Explain-Isaac-Asimov/dp/0200722883 In the words of William Shatner, “I don’t understand”
e.i. any links, authors or web sites? If you do not need to reinvent the wheel, which by now should not be necessary.
ex military person asks why Poland buys 250 Abrams tanks to face up against Russia…..
“So far, the Kremlin is being very quiet,” – is my memory failing – were they not “very quiet” before assisting Crimea achieve its freedom?
Polish and Romanian fighters fighting alongside, and protecting well-practiced, sophisticated stealth Russian fighters is a big reason for mishap/s. The Americans could come come to regret this as the B-1’s could get destroyed if intercepted by the much better prepared, trained and armed Russian pilots.
as salaam wa alekum, peace be upon you
Death-wish of an empire; Where I come from we have a saying; When a foxes death comes along; it goes to the city. Problem with Russia is that despite all the bluster, in its hearts of heart it is in the pocket of the tribe of money changers and that limits its hands; first and foremost the tribe needs to be neutralised and easily the matters between nations will calm down. Its the money changers ; they want a pound of your flesh, Russia or America or China or Muslims it does not matter to the tribe
Exactly right. If Russia didn’t have Zionists stealing all the wealth from their economy and sabotaging the country from the inside, foreign governments wouldn’t really be able to do much to damage them. Russia’s nuclear weapons make them immune from a military attack. And the country is resource-rich and big enough to be self-sufficient. The only threat is internal subversion, a threat which Russia succumbed to twice during the 20th Century, both times with members of the tribe at the forefront, and with disastrous consequences for the Russian people.