Early morning briefing by Russian Defence Ministry
▫️Units of the Russian Armed Forces continue to destroy units of the 54th Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Currently, they are fighting for the capture of Novomikhailovka.
▫️The grouping of troops of the Donetsk People’s Republic, having completed clearing of Verkhnetoretskoe from nationalists, continued to pursue the retreating units of 25th Airborne Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and took control of Novobakhmutovka railway station. During the night, 3 tanks, 2 infantry fighting vehicles and 6 all-terrain vehicles were destroyed in this area.
▫️On the evening of March 22, high-precision long-range sea-based weapons struck an arms depot in Orzhev, 14 kilometers northwest of Rovno city. As a result of the strike, a large depot of weapons and military equipment of the Ukrainian troops, including those received from Western countries, was destroyed.
✈️💥Operational-tactical, army aviation and missile troops hit 97 military assets of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Among them: 2 launchers and 1 transport-loading vehicle of the Tochka-U tactical missile system in an industrial zone on the northern outskirts of Kiev, 8 anti-aircraft missile systems, including: 6 Buk-M1, 1 S-300 and 1 Osa combat vehicle, 10 command posts, 8 field artillery guns, as well as 3 artillery reconnaissance stations of NATO manufacture.
💥The Russian air defence means shot down 1 Su-24 near Izyum city, 16 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles in the air, including 3 Bayraktar TB-2 near Rozhin, Karashev and Maxim Gorky.
🚁💥The group of “night hunters” consisting of Ka-52 and Mi-28n helicopters destroyed 8 tanks, 5 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, 9 vehicles and towing trucks, 3 permanent fire position and 7 field artillery and mortars during night strikes.
💥In total, 184 aircraft and helicopters of the Ukrainian Air Force, 246 unmanned aerial vehicles, 189 anti-aircraft missile systems, 1,558 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 156 multiple launch rocket systems, 624 field artillery and mortars, as well as 1,354 units of special military vehicles were destroyed during the operation.
Comment by Amarynth:
The next analysis I post with a great big caveat. I cannot confirm this as to being correct with all the t’s crossed and the i’s dotted. The only reason that I post it, is that it reflects what we’ve seen so far in terms of Russian troop movements and progress. This is one coherent explanation that could help those that are not experts in watching military movements, weapons and strategy and optics of war and maybe we can do away with the meme and myths of ‘Russia is bogged down’, ‘Russia is moving too slowly’ and similar.
Really interesting analysis from a frennly anon on /pol.
>Ukraine spent several years preparing a 300,000 army to take Donbass in a 1-2 day blitz, and Ukrainian army groups were deployed across Kharkiv and Kyiv areas in preparation for “active defense” knowing Russia would respond aggressively to a massive assault on the Donbass region.
>The operation was planned, taught, and supplied by western governments.
>And the countless trips of western politicians to Moscow prior to the war were intended to slow down Moscow’s preparations for a counter-offensive. None of those political visits contained any clear talking points, they were just there to win time.
>Russia knew about the Donbass preparations years in advance, and constructed a pre-emptive war plan, to wage war with the benefit of having the initiative, instead of waging a reactionary war.
>Knowing that breaking through NATO-designed defenses the conventional way wouldn’t work, Russia instead used the tactic of “mobile groups” whose primary goal was to “rush B” bypassing fortified Ukrainian defensive lines, and abandoning any military vehicles that malfunctioned or ran out of fuel along the way, since speed was more important than size.
>The “rush B” units had to quickly take control of vital Ukrainian supply and command “nodes” behind enemy lines to make Ukraine’s tactics for “active defense” unfeasible, forcing Ukrainian units to redirect their attention inwards into their own territory instead of facing a Russian advance.
>These RU “mobile groups” were essentially Kamikaze units with a high likelihood of being destroyed within days, given that they dispersed themselves deep into enemy territory in small numbers.
>This is why Russia’s largest causalities happened during the first days of war, and why the MSM was talking about Russia running out of fuel and supplies on the 3rd day of war. They mistook the “rush B” units for Russia’s primary advancing forces.
>Russia has no intention of taking Kyiv. But it has every intention to harass Kyiv to divert attention. (ed note: this should be taken with a grain of salt as we do not know future plans)
Awesome news,Russia is getting real with the “unfriendly nations”:
Putin wants rubles for Russian gas
The change will affect gas exports to “unfriendly countries”
Putin wants rubles for Russian gas
Who sets the exchange rate over there?
Cant imagine they are talking to closely.
The exchange at Shanghai will most likely be used since it sets the value of ruble to yuan and yuan to dollar.
Unless Shanghai is in an “unfriendly” nation I doubt that is the case.
The Russian Central Bank will probably organise Ruble Auctions in tranches to cover contracts and let the auction see the exchange rate.
That transfers risk to the purchaser who is now in a High-Cost Energy Input Economy together with Food Price Inflation and Metals and Minerals Price Inflation. – that means their currencies will weaken against a Commodity-backed Currency with restricted availability to Non-Residents.
We are not talking about Travelex booths at the airport but major contract purchasing by Gas Buying Agencies and Oil Companies – in Germany these are already heavily borrowing from KfW to meet margin calls and cash needs for energy trading…….
Die EnBW-Tochter Verbundnetz Gas wappnet sich für einen Ausfall russischer Gaslieferungen: Laut einem Medienbericht bekommt das Unternehmen von der staatlichen Förderbank KfW ein Darlehen in Höhe von 5,5 Milliarden Euro – und damit einen der höchsten Kredite, die je vergeben wurde.
“The Russian Central Bank will probably organise Ruble Auctions in tranches to cover contracts and let the auction see the exchange rate.” – and be paid what for these rubles, Euros and Dollars? (Obviously that doesn’t change anything.)
Rather I think Russia will pay for imports with rubles, meaning the Empire has to sell Russia things Russia wants, if it wants to buy from Russia things the Empire wants. That’s how trade is supposed to work, except the Empire undermines everything in its zealous quest for full spectral global hegemony.
A third option is Russia purchases goods from other countries in rubles which Europe then acquires (undermining its own sanctions) and uses to purchase Russian exports, but the ruble is really not widely used enough in international trade for this to provide Europe with sufficient rubles – they have been purchasing about $800 million per day in Russian energy.
I think the point is not nobody to pay Russia for their rubles because as you told, how to pay for them?
The point is that Western countries will have to buy rubles from companies of “friendly” countries to Russia. So Western countries will have to buy rubles to China or India.
This will give ruble a leverage and value, so later when Russia will go to buy some stuff in China can pay in rubles that have value.
I explicitly said China because is the bigger partner of Russia but the same is truth for India, Argentina, Brasil or whatever country Russia need to buy products from.
Yes and the Rubel gained a lot of value right away.
This news of selling Russian gas for rubles really tickled my fancy this morning. I was laughing. However, the other day I thought the US blinked when they said they would perhaps go for a referendum in Ukraine. I was obviously wrong. The west has been in absolute hysterics since. With China, UAE, India, Saudi, basically telling the US to “Stuff it” they have gone off the deep end and seem to be doubling and tripling down.
The West is completely irrational and insane. I’m getting nervous at this point. I’ve been more or less confident and calm but now I don’t know. Amazing how the US and Europe has been completely hijacked and overthrown and no one with power is willing to take the necessary steps to fight this. You would think there would be an opposing side? Cowardice and corruption rule the day.
Have you read Deagel.com assessment?
Do you mean their 2025 projections? They might have been a year or two early in their assessment….
Why so complicated? The sanction system is being softened. Either gas against rubles, otherwise it will be cut off or tightened. The next stage is. Gold against energy. This is quite simple. No one here believes that energy from Russia can be replaced so easily.
And I think on the basis of that there will be a realignment. Multipolar world. Repatriation of the USA.
Unless the U.S. pulls out the nukes.
If they do, Putin has warned. “One nuke to Russia and all of ours will be sent back to you . We will go to heaven as martyrs, you will drop dead without having time to repent”!!!!
This is an existential issue for Russia, and the actions of the West have shown it. To pretend NATO is so important , and that Russia must therefor be destroyed entirely is an indication of the madness we are now seeing.
German Financial Press utterly confused by paying for NG in Rubles (machine translation) :
Berlin The decree by Russian President Vladimir Putin that EU states and the USA can only pay their gas bills in rubles could have significant repercussions. Further details on Putin’s plan are not yet known, the implementation should be worked out within a week.
In principle, however, the announcement could indirectly force the West to decide either to circumvent its own sanctions or to boycott Russian gas. For Germany in particular, this would have significant repercussions.
So far, Russian gas suppliers like Gazprom have been paid primarily in dollars. The Russian supplier then has to exchange most of the payment for rubles with the Russian central bank.
Putin now wants the West to pay suppliers in rubles straight away. But there is not enough Russian currency on the international financial markets, writes economist Jens Südekum on Twitter. The only alternative then is to get the rubles directly from the Russian central bank……..
REST OF ARTICLE IN LINK
Would ask for payments in gold bullion
These kind of comments will be issued by Europe during the next few days. They seem confused, it will be a breach of contract or will continue to pay in euros.
It is important to read Putin’s announcement carefully. He said that the Europeans or US are in breach of their contract by freezing the euro or dollar assets, not the reverse.
Devastating offensive on the economic front- Russia just announced will demand payment in RUBLES for exports of hydrocarbons to “unfriendly” countries !
Glazyev gets out the big guns?
Looks like a wave of color revolutions in Europe is imminent – IF Europe has enough courageous and decent people to fight for the life of dignity. Otherwise, the “unfriendly nations” will implement Martial law – the suspension of civil law by a government or fascism.
But this is already gradually taking place. The repression and banning of rallies in France, Germany, Spain and Great Britain because of the Covid restrictions have shown that the EU states are preparing to impose martial law as soon as the social temperature rises to a certain degree.
As a European I doubt the power of the population to make regime changes, but I hope I am wrong.
Let’s hope for the safety and preservation of all Russian forces; the quick surrender of Ukranian forces so those young men can return home alive and the negotiated end of hostilities with Ukraine permanently returning to its natural state as a friend and neighbor of Russia. Let’s hope the Neocons are finally purged from all Western governments and sanity is restored between nations.
What you’re asking for looks definitely possible, but not before Jesus second coming though.
You have it backwards. Jesus gave Christians the task of establishing the Kingdom of God on earth – all men obeying God’s law of their own volition.
Matthew 28:18-20 And Jesus came and spake unto them, saying, All power is given unto me in heaven and in earth. Go ye therefore, and teach all nations, baptizing them in the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Ghost: Teaching them to observe all things whatsoever I have commanded you: and, lo, I am with you alway, even unto the end of the world. Amen.
That word “teach” means to imitate, to live as Christians in obedience to God.
Only then did Jesus promise to return: He is not going to do the very homework he assigned to Christians. Jesus did not promise to reward the apostate and lazy who refuse to engage the culture and challenge the demon-possessed who call themselves government. He is not going to save lazy people from their mortgages. We are called to replace so-called “civil government” with God’s government. When Christians make God’s enemies “his footstool”, then they may expect to meet Jesus in his exalted body.
If we believe, do we get the hands and tongues cut off by Father Junipero Serra in California back?
Don’t mean to change the subject but I think this is relevant, economic war is still war. There are many questions on why Russia left money in western banks, Russians were just waving a nice juicy carrot in the face of a mad starving cow. Russia just needed an excuse.
Russia would likely have made this same move with regard to requiring rubles to purchase gas even if their foreign assets had not been seized. The only difference is that Putin can now argue that no one should trust the US or Europe for storing currency. The problem is that there are currently about a gazillion dollars all over the world, and they have to go some place where they can earn a return. The US Treasury has been and remains the logical place for most dollar-holders. That may change over time, but not immediately.
Lot of things is happeing lately. Shortages of Diesel in USA and EU. Russia will force payments for gas in rubles in next week. USA is making threats about banning use of Russian gold.
Diesel is critical for railroads, and the US, despite the obvious decay, relies on rail for essential commodity transport…bulk stuff, grain, petro, steel, coal… And of course the road-trucks. Locomotives use massive amounts of diesel.
I expect, in view of the ruble decision, that Qaddafi’s ghost in Heaven is smiling – as it was his gold dinar for oil that so disordered the AZE…but Russia now is not Libya then, not by a long shot.
The penetration by kinzal missile of some 200 feet of concrete must be a worry for the fine gentlemen, those who want a glorious nuclear war. Their bunkers are demonstrated to be useless.
UK regime has reserve diesel generating sets hidden in woodland across the country for when windmills fail……..a very expensive back-up system to a very foolish energy policy
Hospitals too use diesel generators as reserve
IEA has already mooted ban on Sunday driving as in 1973 and working from home and fuel rationing
True. I find it curious the recent sudden interest in revitalizing steam locomotives from an earlier era. Do a search on “Big Boy 4014” and you will see that it’s a viable option.
Very skilled-labor intensive maintenance and fabrication, and low thermal efficiency and highly complicated logistics, but if no diesel then of course, coal. I believe that China used to build the best steam locos, like 350 psi superheated steam and hardchrome rods. Pinnacle of anachronistic tech. It would probably be cheaper and faster to do coal-synthgas-oil at a refinery and run the diesel locos, at least if the money is good…(see VVP ruble announcement…mr dollar is in flames in Weimar 2.0 … expect trains (and trucks) to stop, N war or not in perhaps <24 months.
Are you seriously using 4chan?
Glad you put caveat. Sounds like someone wants in on the readership from 4chan. I honestly don’t think that was worth posting. Once the Rush B talk started the BS meter went into super stink mode. I am sure they had access to know this. Plus the information flows showed no signs of it having occurred.
One has to assume that the current positions at present because the MoD planned for this position and is fulfilling its objectives. If their objectives were to take a city, they can easily add a reserve group to go in and take it. For week or so, people were like why aren’t they doing anything about foreign troops and weapons pouring in. Then later that got vaporized.
Just remember how Syria was and how Russia didn’t do anything the way Western news said. ISIS got pushed away, SDF filled the vacuum in the Northeast. Syria was rescued from imminent defeat.
I’m following Mariupol and Poland.
Dear Expertness Ugh!
Thanks for acknowledging the very big caveat. Such a pity that you did not actually comprehend it.
It is not meant for the gazillion newly born Einstein-level experts such as you. It is meant for the non-experts in this sphere, and only as a possible structure in terms of how Russia is doing this thing. It has been said by many analysts that Russia’s method of fighting this war will be studied in war colleges for many years into the future. I myself said early on that I think even knowing the terrible nature of war, we’re actually watching a miracle. Where have you seen a war where the rebuilding is done as part of the destruction? Could you even have contemplated that this is possible?
The concept of ‘Rush B’ units is widely discussed currently in many places. Sorry you missed that, Dear Expertness Ugh.
I found this piece from Gonzalo Lira’s telegram channel, and followed it through to the source, as we do here at the Saker Blog. https://t.me/realCRP/3946
(Some will get this joke … Having said all that, don’t tell Smoothie I posted this. He will probably take the skin right off my seating area :-) I’m NOT known for saying anything about war strategy as I fully know that I am not an expert. I however seek a hint of Russia’s methodologies here and so far, they’re keeping that very close to their chests).
I’m far from an expert, but I know that the Soviets developed “deep operations” prior to WWII. And while caveats for 4chan are always appropriate, what we know about the first phase of the conflict looks exactly like the sort of deep operation plan Russia might use to negate the prepared attack. It also appears to have been brilliantly successful in that most of the Ukrainian forces are either pinned down or retreated into cities (usually the last defense, right?). It will take a long time to dislodge them from cities but the flip side being that they can’t easily exit those cities for maneuvering on the battlefield.
I see this being explained everywhere now .. perhaps not in terminology of ‘Rush B’ units, but in what Russia’s soldiers actually did.
And on reflection, I feel a little stupid, because it makes sense. But before now I simply could not see it.
My quibble was with the source, not you. And as for official material, there is a MoD. There are War Gonzo, News Front, Kadyrov’s men, and ANNA with people on the ground. There are more out there. Where do you see Rush B? Without insults. No where I say I know everything. The assault on Gostomel? They weren’t left to perish. They did celebrate a brave man from Dagestan who was surround and he gave up his life letting off a grenade, reminiscent of the Su25 pilot in Syria.
Well, just don’t be condescending.
On a more serious note, these are issues that are just now beginning to be discussed. People are now sitting up and saying … WTF just happened and how did it happen? This is new. I have not seen terminology in the Russian world, as the rough list that you mention are still fully engaged in describing what is happening. The Chinese world is also grasping for terminology but they are describing this fairly, thinking about the first week or so. The English world has come up with a name and I don’t expect that to ‘stick’.
So, we are talking about a new phenomenon, where people generally are beginning to try to analyze the fact that demilitarization was accomplished very fast.
I wasn’t meaning to come across as condescending. Apologize for that. I see 4chan and thought what?! I love this community. It has got me through some dark times.
It has been an amazing operation which will be worthy of indepth study. I just pray it doesn’t expand outwards.
Thanks for the Chirkin quote. I think how the Foreign response proves he is correct as Russia’s operation does nothing they predict. :)
All is well that ends well. No hard feelings.
“The concept of ‘Rush B’ units is widely discussed currently in many places. ”
It is also not a novel or unique concept. The Americans just had a different name for them in the 2003 Iraq War: “Thunder Runs”.
“Once the Rush B talk started the BS meter went into super stink mode.”
It was plain there was an initial boots-operation and mode of movement.
Hostomel was plainly a roll of the dice, with its airhead and rapid-relief column, with maximum objective no doubt panic/scattering/decapitation of the national government, and the minimum they had settle for, denial of the airport.
I don’t know about Russians or the Russian military but the first thing the average Western citizen thinks in such a sitch (if anything) is “Arnhem”–and it does appear to’ve been a very close-run thing (so was Arnhem, apparently).
That video of Russian paratroopers directing traffic near the airport, one appearing to struggle to open some kind of combat-food with his teeth, is priceless.
Also, initial column-movement seems to’ve been route-order preceded by cavalry–“Rush B”? could Hostomel have been “Rush A”?– which plainly had to be adjusted _in motion and under fire_ to combat-order with flank-guards etc.
If anon is correct, the ‘Rush B’ troops were brave and moral men indeed. It would be hard to find their equivalents in the West.
Wonderful news out of Moscow
It means Europe will have to buy lot of Rubles if they want to continue receiving gas !
I am surprised that ruble is not back to its Feb price after this news.
This is much, much, much bigger than most people realise as “customers” simply cannot just hand over Dollars, Pounds, Euros, and Yen to “buy” Rubles because the sanctions prevent Russian banks from processing payments (and even if they could process the payments the funds would simply be frozen / confiscated on first attempt to spend them).
The “customers” will have to go through another clearing system, such as the Chinese system, or exchange thier Gold or commodities for hard cash in the form of Yuan, to be exchanged for Rubles.
This is a real “Financial Tactical Nuke” strike against the western banks and currency units.
I cant wait to see the damage this counter strike does, but it will likely take several months to work through before the common man sees the damage (experts will be able to point out the cracks in the system in a few weeks).
Elsewhere Lavrov is quoted saying that the US seizure of Russian Central Bank dollars was both unexpected and straight out theft. I’ll guess that their action kicked off the discussion about Rubles.
Several EU countries are close to 100% dependent on Russian gas, and face a “pay up or else” decision.
Russia has played nice thus far by continuing the supply of gas and oil to the EU. Now, the EU effectively has to sanction Russian energy or pay in Rubles because of something the USA has done.
This is not just a minor adjustment. This is the destruction of the dollar and the petrodollar, and their replacement by commodities.
Now all they need to do is refuse to sell any, just lend them out at 20%.
Is TASS news down?
(If this is too much O.T. I apologize)
Sorry for that post, TASS is back, I don’t know why this “bad gate” message came up, maybe just a brief internet glitch.
“Russia has no intention of taking Kyiv. But it has every intention to harass Kyiv to divert attention. (ed note: this should be taken with a grain of salt as we do not know future plans)”
The first sentence is questionable
The second is true. By semi-surrounding Kyiv, Russia blocked large portion of Ukraine military that would be used in other places. Like rescue raid on Mariupol. This is cgess-like stratagem. If Ze reinforce Kharkiv or Mariupol, he is losing Kyiv. If defends Capitol (or Odessa) his forces will be grounded down elsewhere. In the end, he will lose everything.
I doubt Russians will stop at Dnieper or east of Lviv. Their demand was to push NATO missiles out of the 10-15 minutes flying time to Russia borders, which incidentally corresponds to 1997. NATO size.
I’d argue that taking Kyiv is undesirable if you want the war to end
It is always good to give your opponent an honorable way to surrender. Let ‘Z’ be the hero of Ukraine, it will give a negotiated settlement more credibility rather than agreeing to something at gun point. It looks like Russia can achieve their military objectives (de-Nazification in the Donbas) without occupying Kyiv.
The honorable way out for the cornered President Putin’s childhood in the Leningrad’s staircase rat !!
My opinion is that Ze will be 2000% discredited before he disappears. Ze prolonged the agony of both Donbass and of Ukraine. He turned into a Jewish Nazi and a dictator. The world must and will reject such inhumanity.
Russia has demonstrated in most dramatic fashion that it can easily destroy NATO bases in Ukraine with stand-off weapons. So, there is no need to move troops into the western zone unless it serves some other strategic or political purpose.
About Taking Over Western Ukraine:
1- Russia could do it as a first step to counter NATO missile threat from Romania and Poland (setting its own set of missile targeting all of Europe).
2- Lukashenko might send peacekeepers from the north (Volhinia: Волинська область, Rovno: Рівненська область), with a little help from my ‘polite people’ friends, in order to ensure Belarus southern border safety.
3- Russia could look the other way while Poland (Lvov + Ivano-Frankovsk: Львівська область, Ивано-Франковская область, ),Hungary (Zakarpathia: Закарпатська область) and Moldavia (Chernovtsi: Черновицкая область) get each their chunk of Western (ex-)Ukraine – i.e. their linguistic peers in exchange with leaving NATO (that would be a necessity since their annexation move would go against NATO protection of Ukraine territorial integrity).
Et voilà! Every Russian wish completed.
Other News – Russia accepts only Rubles for natural gas shipments from unfriendly states.
Comment – De-Dollarization proceeds slowly and steadily. De-dollarization is a bigger long term story than the Ukrainian peacekeeping mission.
As a starting point one Ruble is worth the paper it is written on. That will change into one handfull of gas.
Really earth-shattering news on RT this morning. I’ll post the whole thing for those who don’t have RT or Sputnik.
Putin wants rubles for Russian gas
The change will affect energy exports to “unfriendly countries”
Russia will now accept payment for gas exports to “unfriendly countries” in rubles only, President Vladimir Putin said at a meeting with the government on Wednesday.
The president explained that Russia plans to abandon all “compromised” currencies in payment settlements. He added that illegitimate decisions by a number of Western countries to freeze Russia’s assets destroyed all confidence in their currencies.
“I have decided to implement in the shortest possible time a set of measures to change the payments for – yes let’s start with this – for our natural gas supplied to the so-called unfriendly countries in Russian rubles, that is to stop using all compromised currencies for transactions,” the Russian president said.
“It doesn’t make sense to deliver our goods to the EU and the US and get paid in dollars and euros,” he added.
Putin gave the Central Bank and the government a week to determine the procedure for operations for buying rubles on the domestic market for importers of Russian gas.
The president added that Russia will continue to supply gas in accordance with the volumes and pricing principles of the contracts. Only the currency of payment will change.
The announcement caused a spike in the cost of contracts for gas supply at the TTF European hub, Forbes Russia quoted data from the Intercontinental Exchange as indicating. During Wednesday’s trading, the gas price rose from €97 per megawatt hour (MWh) to approximately €108.5 per 1MWh, but after the president’s speech, it jumped by another €10 to €118.75 per 1MWh, before retreating to €114 per 1MWh as of 1pm GMT.
In the past month, Russia has been hit with several rounds of unprecedented international sanctions over its military operation in Ukraine. The US, EU, and their allies have cut off the country from their financial systems, limited dollar and euro transactions, and froze roughly $300 billion in Russian forex reserves abroad, among other measures. At the same time, they have continued to buy Russian oil and gas.
Better late than never!!!!!
Also I don’t understand Russia’s willingness to pay its debts to entities linked to the hijacking of its reserves. Why can’t it refuse to pay until its own reserves are “unfrozen”?
” Putin gave the Central Bank and the government a week to determine the procedure for operations for buying rubles on the domestic market for importers of Russian gas.”
How will it work ?
Countries swap their own currencies for rubles.
Russia central bank ends up with the foreign reserves anyway ?
The obvious solution for a dyed-in-the-wool neoliberal like Elvira is that foreign nations wishing to buy Russian gas will have to send Gold to Moscow, where they will be credited with rubles in a Russian account in exchange, or bills of exchange in Rubles.
They will have to preposition the gold, or the taps will be turned off.
That’s how it was done in history.
Great news today. It is about time that Putin is making that decision. They don’t need US or EUROS in their bank accounts as they are IOU only.
This is a step for the long-term. Russia is now using tolls at its disposal to fight the financial war launched against it by the West.
Russia is leading other countries in this transition towards the bipolar world. Biden is toast, as Putin will hit the US and European economies with structural inflation. Interest rates will have to rise to compensate investors and will lead to a severe recession. If nothing happens on the diplomatic front, as I think is probable with Biden at the helm, civil protests will happen in the western countries.
The conflict will be global in nature. The war operation in Ukraine was only the first step in the process.
So unfriendly nations will buy rubles…what currency will they use to do that? Possibly gold for they can hardly use their own now banned currencies?
The game here is a few levels above what the Western countries are not even thinking about at this time. I can guarantee that the Russians already took into consideration that the money would be frozen in the financial system of the West before the incursion into Ukraine took place. What they were doing was to give the West enough rope to hang themselves with. This was probably discussed in detail with China as to what would happen next.
This whole game is to elevate the Yuan to a reserve currency much faster than would otherwise happen and to crash.. no.. too strong of a word for now .. to de-elevate the USD and Euro much faster than again would have taken place.
Add to that the SA snub to Bidet and probably already taken decision to sell oil in Yuan and one can easily see what comes next.
I predict that within a year the Shanghai Exchange will become the next Wall Street where the West will be forced to bring Gold to the table in exchange for Yuan/Ruble/Oil/Nat Gas/Metals.. Putin said.. let’s start with Nat Gas for now…That will be shortly followed by all other commodities and I mean ALL of them.
If Putin turned off gas for EU he would break the contracts. Which he repeadetly said that he won’t.
By taking roubles he does not breaks the contract when EU refuse to pay in completely legal Russian currency.
For starters , US won’t let them as that will strengthen Rouble. Second, they will have to buy roubles from Russian central bank breaking sanctions big time. Or pay liberal proclaimed fee to third party (China?) to be middle man.
Anyway they’re eFed up because of their spineless politicians. In the same time, there is certain pipe, full of gas with nozzle that just have to be turned, and all problems are gone. Just like that. How long this surreal situation will last before someone call it a day?
By demanding roubles, Putin forced West to impose full oil embargo on themselves, by themselves. While he didn’t break any contract.
Anyone for 4D chess?
NATO troops won’t be send into Ukraine said Stoltenberg today. No “peacekeeping force” will appear.
NATO is not in war with Assad … Stoltenberg will tell.
Thank you, Amarynth for your invaluable, clear and informative briefings.
— The inventory of the Ukrainian weaponry destroyed so far was obviously not put together through the gracious generosity of “nashi partniori” in a year or two, but rather over the past eight years or longer.
No use crying over spilled milk but I wish the Special Operation had been carried out right after Crimea’s reintegration that took the warmongers by surprise. Perhaps it wasn’t possible. Pity. Perhaps more internal cleaning was and still is necessary. Like more “renunciations” and fleeing to Turkey for a connecting flight to Israel:
— I agree with anon.’s analysis except for the last point, for which you stingily recommend a grain of salt. I’d take a big rock, not a grain. Kiev MUST be taken. At a time of the RF military’s choosing obviously.
“I wish the Special Operation had been carried out right after Crimea’s reintegration ”
There was not enough Kinzals and Zirkons in the armoury. Now it is.
Also, Russia had no way to sustain today’s sanctions back then and China wasn’t nearly as close an ally in 2014.
If you wanted to put a name and face as a poster child for an anti-Russian Russian traitor oligarch. You’d be hard put to find a better example than Roman Abramovich. Not only has he not used the enormous wealth he gained and continues to gain inside Russia to benefit that nation. But even now when the West has turned on him and stripped him of the world famous football club he owned in the UK. Instead of now building up a new one in Russia. He is attempting to buy a replacement football club.Not in Russia,the source of his wealth,but in another NATO state,Turkey. Russia needs to make an example of him,and strip him of his holding in Russia. He is a disgrace to Russia. And you can bet stripping him of his Russian holdings would be a very popular move among Russians.
“And you can bet stripping him of his Russian holdings would be a very popular move among Russians”.
Not just Russians
I’d like to think that if I was a resident of Mariupol I’d have noticed the build up of Nazis & Nazi fortifications especially toward the last 3-6 months and got the fark out of Dodge. These folks are obviously not too bright, well we already know this, probably more concerned throughout this period about catching covid-19 than being shaken down at an Azov stop and search roadblock.
And go where, far more old than young, in winter, where do you go? Has nothing to do with intelligence, ‘we already know’ if they are that useless why are Russians dying to save them. As a civilian, have you ever lived in a war zone? Sorry, but the condescending tone leaves little to be desired…. we are taking about fellow human beings, yes?
The poor, sick and old were abandoned by the NATOzis to suffer and become “human shields.”
Expectable behavior from the NATO plutocracies.
The only really sloppy thing that the Russians have done so far(to my knowledge) is the totally fubar bureaucratic handling of the Humanitarian supply lines, where Russian customs servants refuse to let it pass to Ukraine since it´s “International”, but it IS there to be had so even there the Russians show that they do not wage war like the Americans/NATO, Western armies couldn´t care less about the native population and most of us must have seen the US soldiers that taunted an Iraqi kid with a water bottle for miles while filming it.
In reference to strategy:
“Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.”
“Let your plans be dark and as impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.”
“It is more important to out-think your enemy than to outfight him.”
“The opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself.”
“The height of strategy is to attack your opponent’s strategy.”
Basics from Sun Tzu.
I think people just accept or quote the Art of War without any criticism or verification, like a religious bible. He was just a person and it is just a book, his opinion. Personally I think much of Chinese philosophy is out of touch with reality, mysticism with playing with words.
It is not opinion, it is a guideline. Master the concepts and toss out every other management book ever written.
An army should be as water – adapting to all circumstances – what the Russians are doing and removing that option from the Ukrainian side.
Just some advice for people reading Sun Tzu – first read and understand the concepts of the Dao, otherwise the teachings of Master Sun are not fully clear. That is a mistake far too many westerners make.
Correct, some are too used to reading everything as if it is a manual.
Incidentally, 1984 is definitely a manual for the west.
Mao followed Sun Tsu in Korean affair, and beat the US Army with about same numbers. US did not follow the Master, assuming racial and technical superiority (not knowing itself) and also not knowing the enemy…the Master says that produces defeat. It did.
VVP and the fellas seem to me to be following the Master. The US? Delusional. Find a bookie…it’s a sucker bet.
Dude, you know nothing. A great many respected people in the West read it once a year. I doubt you know why and when it was written, or that Chinese scholars and warriors respect it greatly. Myself, I’ve only read Sun Tzu three or four times, years apart, and it never gets old.
There’s not really much to confirm about that thesis: The speed at which the russians advanced in week 1, along with the nationwide destruction supply lines and communications, was completely ludicrous. May it’s what you would expect in an actual invasion, but all this was not achieved by an invasion force, but a relatively small number of units. It was 21th century Blitzkrieg, including all the implications thereof. And one of those implications is, eventually you need to actually secure the areas you rushed, establish proper logistics and so on. At that point “progress” on a map seems to slow down to a crawl, because a map only shows areas – not detailed qualities.
My concern in this whole strategy isn’t if russia can defeat ukrainian forces and reddit-warriors. That’s a no brainer. Instead my concern is, every day passed is a day in which the globalists can plot to create a greater mess.
“every day passed is a day in which the globalists can plot to create a greater mess.”
Globalist NEVER stopped to plot. In fact their options are narrower each time they lose foothold. They are the most dangerous when everyone else is content and docile. They are always making as much mess as they can, it is their nature. Globalist oligarchy is cancer of this planet. You do not cure cancer by positive thinking, but cutting, burning, poisoning and, occasionally, hefty dose of gamma radiation.
On one hand that’s true, but on the other one must always look at the flipside of the coin. The more and more NATO/West escalates their various economic warfare and threats, the more it’s affecting and destroying them. Not only is Europe heading into graver and graver trouble right now economically with massive inflation, gas/fuel shortages, soon food shortages etc, but in many of the countries (most notably U.S.) the political situation is absolutely devolving into something quite serious. With the U.S. being on the cusp of arguably its most important midterm elections in history coming up in a few months, once the economic situation truly disintegrates, there may be an unprecedented socio-political upheaval in the U.S. later this year.
So while it certainly is dangerous territory for both sides, one must not discount the absolute sociopolitical/economic quagmire that the West is bringing upon themselves with every new move and escalation they do. They are risking their very societal foundations.
“They are risking their very societal foundations.”
Yep. That’s exactly what we are doing. And guess what? Nearly everyone here has their head stuck in the sand. They’re utterly oblivious as to what is descending upon them.
I’ve been reading some initial reactions from the west on the whole gas for rubles statement. Some authorities state it doesn’t matter what Putin says because their contracts say euros and if Putin refuses they’ll go to court and win!
I’m not even joking. They believe a western court can force Russia to sell gas for euros. The sheer arrogance of it stinks to high heaven.
Putin is a lawyer.all lawyers are well schooled in contract law. I’m sure he is aware of the language of the gas/oil contracts and hedged accordingly.
“Putin is a lawyer, all lawyers are well schooled in contract law. ”
eg. Acts of God exception!
Yeah I think we’re beyond courts at this point. The “West” has seized so much from Russia illegally during the recent sanctions spate that the entire foundation of their legal system is kaput at this point.
I was listening to a Tom Luongo podcast and his guest made the point he thinks Putin is going to play the long game in Ukraine which will accelerate the collapse of the west. I’m not agreeing one way or the other just an interesting point.
It could very well be, and it certainly would be the opposite of what the West is expecting. Remember, the West is actually spending MORE money on Ukraine than Russia is. I’ve done calculations in the ballpark that Russia might be spending a few million per day on the war. Let’s just say somewhere in 2-5 million ballpark. For 30 days that’s 60 million dollars (this is not counting equipment losses which could be substantial but indulge my point for a moment). The West has already sent 20 BILLION to Ukraine directly AND on top of that they’ve all upped their defense budgets exponentially which will cause havoc to their economies AND their economies are now crashing and inflation is record breaking. Germany just saw production costs break 70 year highs–highest costs since WW2. https://www.rt.com/business/552397-germany-producers-prices-record-high/
So, sure tens of millions or even hundreds of million per month might be a big deal for Russia to spend on an indefinite war, but if your adversaries are all spending BILLIONS per month and outspending you by a factor of xxxx then you’re still winning the long game no matter what.
And the argument that “well but the West has bigger economies so they can afford it” holds no water because the west’s economies are only “bigger” priced in USD. Russia pays for its war in Ruble with its own currencies which means you have to apply GDP PPP to it, and in that schema Russia is 5th economy in the world ahead of every European nation except Germany which its basically tied with. After all when Russia builds its tanks and armaments its paying for them in rubles not USD. So at the end of the day, no matter how long this goes, Russia wins the long game and the more of Ukrainian military it destroys, the more the West has to fund it back up.
The crazy news report I read yesterday stated that Ukraine NOW has more defense $$$ money than it did before the war. So even after massive losses and expenditures, Ukraine is absolutely flush with cash because the West is splurging on it like there’s no tomorrow, showering it with cash and arms, both direct cash injections and IMF loans and all sorts of instruments. So the West wanted to turn Ukraine into a new “Afghanistan” for Russia but instead it may become an Afghanistan for THEM–an endless monetary sinkhole from which they’ll never return.
“Russia has no intention of taking Kyiv” At the moment. But in wars objectives can change over night depending on how things turn out.
Study the Franco-Prussian War of 1870 and how Paris was handled. That is my guess the fact that awaits Kiev.
That would be quite ironic, a Kiev Commune arising from the ashes of their defeat!
Here is an article by a Russia general about the operation in Ukraine, he’s a formal Commander in Chief of the ground forces
Frennly’s analysis is in line with the way you conduct mobile warfare.
From Wiki: During the interwar period, aircraft and tank technologies matured and were combined with systematic application of the traditional German tactic of Bewegungskrieg (manoeuvre warfare), deep penetrations and the bypassing of enemy strong points to encircle and destroy enemy forces in a Kesselschlacht (cauldron battle).
And I would say the Russian operation is a textbook example. In that kind of war, spearhead units are always short of supplies and “making do” with captured stocks of gasoline, food and ammunition. You can see this in countless operations the Germans undertook in the Second World War (from Rommel in Libya to the Battle of the Bulge). American units rarely did that in WW II. And this element is missing in current NATO doctrine as “too risky”. American’s just don’t send units out with the “hope” they will encounter a fuel depot or food along the way.
2019 Wargame: “Over just three days, as I have done countless times over the last several years, a group of past and present senior U.S. government officials from both sides of the aisle gathered to wage a NATO-Russia war in a simulation at the end of 2019. They assumed Russia would just go into the Donbass and try to connect Crimea by land. “Russia then decides that its limited military objectives were a mistake, and that all of Ukraine must be ‘demilitarized.’ ‘
And if this was the thinking, then the Russians caught the Ukrainians by surprise, in static positions that Russia never had any intention of taking by direct frontal assault.
And that would explain some of the reporting we are seeing. Where Russian probes of the Uke frontal defenses are seen as signs of Russian military incompetence and Uke prowess. When in reality the Russians plan on coming in from behind and that may take weeks to obtain the optimal positioning.
Can someone give a reasonable explanation for why, if as is being reported by this site and other pro-Russian sites, everything is going so swimmingly in the war and in the internal political situation in Russia, that a high level guy like Chubias would quit now? Seems to me that if he were against the direction Putin was going he would have quit at the beginning and not wait for a month … unless things werent going well.
For those of us who read all the media from both sides to try to understand what is really happening this is a big red flag.
I have tended to believe the reports from here and other pro-Russia outlets because, using triangulation and an understanding of history, they seem to be correct. And of course, the western media has been constant lying garbage for a long time now and got worse since Trump/Covid so the default position is to not believe anything they say.
… But like I said, Chubias is a red flag so if someone can enlighten me as to why he is leaving is not evidence of deeper problems please do. Ty. … and btw, I dont need the “his mother was jewish so he’s a double agent for the international zionist conspiracy” That’s not convincing.
You really have to look at these things individually “one by one” and consider that first, before creating a universe from a single picture. In 1861, Abraham Lincoln offered Robert E. Lee command of the Northern Armies. Three days later Lee resigned and left for Virginia. When Caesar “crossed the Rubicon” his most able commander, Titus Labienus, left him to join Pompeii and the Optimates. In 1941, Rudolph Hess stole a plane and flew to England and we still don’t know what that was about. And there many more such historical examples. If you were a reporter looking for readership, imagine the universe you could create from those incidents: “Northern cause doomed as most able commander departs for South”, “Caesar greatly impaired as his most decorated lieutenant deserts him”.
I am not saying the current reporting about Chubias is incorrect, but just pointing out that all of this is speculation, that a readership is hungry to consume; but at this point it is all “tea leaves” based on wishful thinking or the reverse depending on who you support. IMHO
excuse as offtopic, Hess was on a mission, the aircraft was not stolen. He was obviously murdered to keep the false story intact. @ Cafe, if you like, details.
Chubias is a Neoliberal traitor, and as an enemy was kept close by Putin until he decided to bail to join the monies he pilfered and stashed outside Russia. He’s no loss whatsoever and isn’t any sign of deeper problems. No one will miss him as many vilified him for his role during Yeltsin’s binge. Saker wrote an article about him back in 2016 you ought to read.
It may be precisely because everything is going so well in the war and in the internal political situation in Russia that Chubias defected. These will be little room for Atlanticists like him in the the Cold War and bipolar world order now being established. A similar fate may await many readers of this blog. There is little room for sovereignists, “Putinists”, anti-imperialist, or anti-Fascist in the West. It just shows that the US has fully succeeded in its plan to bait and draw Russia into a war. Now Europe will suffer another 50 years under US occupation and a totalitarian media regime and thought control.
The short answer: Kim Philby fled to Moscow. Anatoly Chubais fled to the West. Both were traitors to their countries.
But there are traitors and traitors. Chubais was and remains neoliberal scum. A creature honoring the corrupt and decadent and, may I add, unchristian values of savage capitalism. All types of unrestricted capitalism, by definition unpatriotic, lead to brutal imperialism of which the US and the Euroreich are eloquent examples.He is a hyperindividualist, useless and toxic to the antiglobalist, multipolar order being born. So his defection was to be expected. Good riddance! As an Atkaticist he was probably a spy and 5th columnist its anyway. Philby is a completely different kind of fish. He loved the ideal of human fraternity and acted on it. He fought the best way he could against the ultra unpatriotic angloAmerican hypocritical and depraved globalist empire which threatened humanity with endless exploitation and even total annihilation. History has proven. him right. Say what you like but NO one has ever solved the inherent structural inequality and social criminality of capitalism, nor found a solution to its built in contradictions, like the crisis of overproduction. Let us recall that Russia is stronger today not because of unrestricted capitalism, but because its economy is mixed, anchored in the nationalized sectors of energy, weapons production, etc. Eventually, as it is also happening in China, the capitalist sector has to shrink or else the inevitable social cancer it contains will spread until it reaches the ghastly, incurable stage we see so we’ll in the West.
Obviously you don’t know who Chubais actually is and how he fits into the whole power structure picture at the Kremlin. I should really say, how he doesn’t fit in.
Chubais was an anachronistic leftover from the worst Yeltsin years. Many Russians call him names much worse than traitor. Ever heard of the saying ‘keep your friends close, but keep your enemies closer’? That’s what Chubais was, an enemy (who still had some power) kept close so he couldn’t do much damage.
Chubais leaving is a sign that the pro-western elements that still remain in Russia are getting scared enough to pack their bags. My take on it? They see no hope for themselves and their ’cause’. It’s the opposite of what you think it is. It only reinforces how much Putin and those loyal to him and the Rodina are in charge.
This is my interpretation. Perhaps he left one jump ahead of being arrested and tried with something. He is very much a figure from the 1990s widely associated with privatisation and pro-Western policies and he is distinctly out of place in “Iron Curtain 2” and very much on the wrong side of it – I have to say I feel the same way about myself!
Chubais isn’t popular and hasn’t been for some time, he is where he is because of Putins favour not because of talent, maybe he has decided to cut and run whilst he still has a chance to enjoy his money. Has he personally been sanctioned? If not, why not … maybe because he is a friend of the West. It would have had more impact if he quit because of the war but stayed in Russia, has he actually issued a statement to say that is why he quit? His is not an important office, so I think the west is making way more of this than there is actually to it. To quit and stay shows principle and integrity, to run away to wherever he has his money stashed isn’t quite the same thing. I would say that maybe this looks like a red flag because of his (former) close relationship to Putin.
Anatoly Chubais was one of the most disgusting and despicable Yeltsinite traitors from back in the 1990s. He literally sold his own country down the river. Hopefully the bastard really did flee to the West. That would be a huge victory for the Russian world.
In France we say “c’est un peu tiré par les cheveux”
That mean like it’s a bit far-fetched”. :)
I really better read colonel general Chirkin. That sound more Real.
You Can read him on South Front.
This just now on RT News, for those of you without access:
“Credibility of US dollar and euro ‘destroyed’ – Putin
Moscow will use rubles in gas deals with “hostile” countries, the Russian president says
Credibility of US dollar and euro ‘destroyed’ – Putin
Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that the sanctions have dealt a large blow to public trust in US and EU currencies. Many Western countries imposed sweeping restrictions on Moscow in response to its ongoing military campaign against Ukraine.
“During the last few weeks, as you know, several Western countries adopted unlawful decisions to freeze Russian assets,” Putin said during a government meeting held via video link. “The West has de facto destroyed the credibility of its currencies.”
The United States and the EU have practically defaulted on their obligations before Russia. Some have suspected this, but now everyone in the world knows that obligations in the [US] dollars and euros can be left unfulfilled.
Putin argued that the sanctions showed it “makes no sense anymore” to sell Russian goods in the US and the EU while receiving payment in dollars or euros. He said that the ruble will be used for the sale of Russian natural gas to “hostile” countries.“
For USA “rubles for gas” is like declaration of WW3 (real war). Without huge nuclear missile arsenal Russia would face what Saddam Hussein’s Iraq and Ghaddafi’s Libya faced. But the times they realla are a changing. There are now growing number of nations at least partly abandoning dollar hegemony. And even partly abandoning dollar hegemony is enough.
Next step by step: oil and critical stragetic raw materials.
Shortage of steel in Finland shakening local construction projects. This business is very vulnerable to sudden negative impacts because most enterprises don’t have very strong balance sheet.
Finnish car tire company Nokian Renkaat decided to stay and continue production in Russia. Decisions published today.
Can’t grasp why Russia are still selling uranium to America. Are they receiving $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Not much is making sense in the resource world.
At what point will inflation lead to pro-Russian protests in the Eurozone and/or U.S.?
So far the vast majority of Westerners seem to be blaming Russia for shortages…
We got it, no intention to take Kyiv, but surely they have some plans to take out the head of the snake? Or at least some generals, some people in the local governments, somebody in the leadership? Nothing about that?
We don’t know if the Russians will take Kiev or not. It is still early days in this operation. Nearly all people, myself included, thought this would be completed within a month, settled, and then the Russians would withdraw. Now we can see that Russia has taken on “the whole enchilada” and will not stop until their simple goals, de-NazifiED, de-militiried and de-NATO-ed, are complete and there is no future chance for their re-emergence. That’s going to take a lot of time. Ukraine is a big country and Russia is trying to fix it like a competent contractor – on time and under budget, trying to minimize the 200’s and 300’s and, secondary to the human losses, to leave the cities and infrastructure as undamaged as is practical.
“but surely they have some plans to take out the head of the snake?”
Well, no, not if you want someone to sign the ceasefire agreement.
Doesn’t have to be Zelensky, of course. Anyone who replaces him will do.
But it needs to be a functioning government, not a lineup of fresh corpses.
A question to the saker-crowd:
Asked it before but didn’t get a response so i will ask again and i do apologise in advance for the ‘what-if’ factor as i realise that this platform is mainly meant to stick to the facts.
Seems to me that since quite a few attempts have been made (and utterly failed) at false flags to gather more support from the west that it is highly likely that Ukrainian regime and/or their nationalist guard dogs will only try to up the ante. To my humble understanding Ukrainian defeat seems guaranteed and thus desperate measures would not be unexpected.
When i go though all the expert analysis, blogs, comments and sitreps there seems to be a complete lack of possibility that the next attempt to a major false flag might be a nucleair one as it would be the perfect way to gather worldwide support for offensive operations against Russia. The countries that didn’t support the sanctions would be forced to change sides. All doubt as to how ‘evil’ the intentions are of Russia would be wiped off the table and all bets would be off. To me the whole msm narrative has been leading to the point where such a perfect excuse to go all in would be highly likely. A small yield or tactical nuke would completely reshuffle the cards and could throw the ’empire’ back in the game and avert their existential demise as it is becoming quite clear that winning this war seems pretty much impossible and losing it would greatly accelarate it’s downfall.
So my question is:
Does or did Ukraine possess this capability (i am sure we can agree there is an abundance of crazies who wouldn’t even blink when provided with that option.)
It’s just that when i am thinking about how the collective west would be able to tip the scales back in their favor, this dreadful option comes up as possibly the most effective way to do that.
Russia just demonstrated, with conventional weapons, the Empire is naked. Like really naked. It’s out in the public domain now. Even a FF dirty nuke or otherwise will not bring NATO into conflict with Russia outside Ukraine. If you can’t marshall and train in Ukraine, where can you marshall and train that can’t be touched very quickly from so far away.
btw, Russia broke the scales…..’what ifs’ are irrelevant.
A very large and successful false needs a few thing the west does not have. One, actual control of at least some on the ground reality. If there really was a stalemate it’s believable, currently not so much. Two, it was more likely if the world wasn’t so clear in its genera support for Russia. China is not going to believe that Russia nuked Ukraine. A major false flag at this point has a good chance of backfiring. And three, the US would have to be willing to do something about it. The US is clearly not excited about trying to prosecute a tea war against Russia in Europe.
It can’t react very quickly in terms of manpower, it likely wouldn’t be able to fuel an army in Europe (Russia launches missiles at refineries and diesel storage and that’s that). It cannot afford to take a lose and so if it’s not willing to go nuclear it has to sit down. And if a major escalation happens, all hell is breaking loose. A sunk carrier in the Mediterranean? Iran dusting every US asset in Iraq? The risk with a false flag is super high in the current context, at least one big enough to make a difference.
Crypronazis can do a FF anywhere in the AZE and point finger. Maybe Warsaw??
Lex, good points.
“It cannot afford to take a loss and so if it’s not willing to go nuclear it has to sit down.”
it cannot afford to sit down. It cannot afford to stand and fight conventionally either. It would lose badly, and even before can properly deploy to Europe, which may take years, which they do not have.
Yet it desperately needs a FF, even if cannot leverage it outside of Zone A as used to doing in the past. Most of mankind supports Russia, and knows Russia is winning hands over fists in Ukraine. So perhaps the meetings in EU this week, with increasing noise of “nukes” by Stoltenberg and other NATO people are precisely that – to build the resolve within Zone A to use nukes against Russia.
Perhaps there is a good cause for some in Moskau to evacuate to the Urals bunkers. The last card of the crazies is being called.
In zugswang either one concedes or “pulls out a gun”.
“Russia launches missiles at refineries and diesel storage and that’s that”
Whats the point of bombing empty fuel storages and out-of-business refineries?
With the Ruble for Gas move (and we can be almost sure that other commodities will follow), Russia has just tied a lovely nice bow around all the sanctions mess and idiocy. They’ve literally said .. Now! you’ve created a situation where you cannot get outside of your own sanctions – you’ve tied yourselves up. Freeze! Lose your Industry, Fall Over! We are decoupling.
A master move, I would say for the ‘unfriendly country’ list. They’ve of course taken the support out of their own Dollars and Euros, and nobody in this world trusts those currencies and their mechanism any longer.
Michael McFaul was idiotic in the previous day. He said Russia must continue supplying gas, but nobody must pay them. The payments must go into an escrow account and at the end of the war they can be paid out. Daylight Robbery – the way these people think.
The sanctions regime now lies in a box, writing like a bunch of bad snakes and consuming itself. Talk about giving enough rope to hang them. We’ve all seen the maps of the very small number of countries, west leaning, that are actually taking part in the sanctions. Most countries, although they voted yes because of the harsh threats from the west, did not implement sanctions regimes.
Welcome to a multi-polar world where Russia has stopped playing nice.
This is also why, according to Lavrov, they did not anticipate the seizing of Russia’s foreign assets. It was such an insanely stupid move on the part of the west, that the Kremlin didn’t take it into account.
They underestimated just how detached from reality western leaders were/are. That single move by the west invoked both the end of the petrodollar and the west’s near-total control of the world’s financial system. That cat is now truly out of the bag, and there’s no putting it back in.
i believe the Kremlin took its time to see how this would shape up. The principal battlefield of this war is financial, and Russia is not waging that war on it’s own. China, Saudi Arabia, Iran, India, and many more in zone B are playing their part. It already is a financial world war.
“This is also why, according to Lavrov, they did not anticipate the seizing of Russia’s foreign assets. It was such an insanely stupid move on the part of the west, that the Kremlin didn’t take it into account.”
That’s the best explanation yet.
That and blood-lust.
Biden and his gang are far more corrupt, insane, and vicious than Trump’s, hard as that is to believe.
I anticipated this:
Putin says that Russia must sell it’s natural gas for Russian rubles:
“I have decided to implement in the shortest possible time a set of measures to change the payments for – yes let’s start with this – for our natural gas supplied to the so-called unfriendly countries in Russian rubles, that is to stop using all compromised currencies for transactions,” the Russian president said.”
“It doesn’t make sense to deliver our goods to the EU and the US and get paid in dollars and euros,” he added”
Russia needs to install a government after the war, otherwise the problems with Donbass and Ukraine entering NATO will resurface. But knowing Russia, it will probably leave before the job is done.
One of the main objectives is to de-natzify Ukraine. The new government should do what Japan has done regarding the Yakuza. The Japanese government passed a law that states no businesses, banks, housing, retail,etc can do any business with Yakuza members. Yakuza cannot buy a home, cannot rent an apartment, cannot get a drivers license, cannot have a bank account, cannot get employment, on and on. And if anyone does business with Yakuza they can be on the receiving end of serious government reprisals.
The Yakuza who want back into society must first participate in a program that lasts several years. This has worked reasonably well as Yakuza is now a dying organization thanks to this new law past some years ago. This kind of law and program is what is needed in Ukraine.
From Victor, vicktop55 🇷🇺 Z telegram account
[summary: Victor says, and he has said this before, that the objectives of this intervention, as have been stated by Russia, are far too vague. And that Russia should make those objectives much more clear to reassure the local population. Otherwise the local population will be afraid to support the Russians (even if they would like to) because they are going to be afraid of what will happen to them once things go back to usual business. It is a reasonable fear, I think.]
Please do not consider this as a criticism of Russia, but only as good wishes. This is not criticism, but a struggle for Russia, and it seems that I am the last soldier of her left here. What I want to say I have said before, but circumstances are changing rapidly and the possible consequences and results of events are also changing. So, Russia lost this information war to the West in the situation with Ukraine. And this happened not only because Russia does not have its own technical and human resources on the western front of this war – the West totally dominates here, in fact it has a monopoly on information.
But I see the main reason in the completely vaguely declared goals of the military operation in Ukraine. This is demilitarization and denazification, which in themselves are not clear what they mean. But it is also a completely unannounced result that Russia intends to get in the end. Official Russian sources talk about a neutral Ukraine, that the Ukrainians themselves will decide, and so on. If you look at the war in Ukraine from this position, then everything looks exactly as the Ukrainian and Western media and the Ukrainians and people in the West “informed” by these media say about it – Russia attacked the “young democratic independent Ukraine.” Russia is an aggressor, it kills civilians right in the hospital, destroys cities and factories. As a result, the population of Ukraine does not support Russia, and even those who would like to support it, they are silent for fear of reprisals, because they do not understand whether Russia will stay here or leave? Do you understand this? No. That’s what they don’t understand. Winning a war when you are not supported by the local population is not easy. And this leads to the very unnecessary victims, to the destruction of cities and factories. It’s even worse in the West. There, the entire population is convinced precisely that “Russia is an aggressor, it kills civilians right in the maternity hospital, destroys cities and factories.” And if this is so, then the West must resist the aggressor, “show the inadmissibility of war crimes,” as the Prime Minister of Poland put it, calling on the West to send troops to Ukraine.
Friends, after all, you are all called to start a war with Russia and have already prepared your public opinion for the permissibility and necessity of such a war. And you didn’t notice. Consider what such a war means to you and what you are called to do. So what should Russia do in this information war? First of all, it must be clearly stated that the purpose of this military operation is the elimination of the Nazi, fascist state of Ukraine, created by the West on primordially Russian soil for war with Russia and for the destruction of Russia. And further, the establishment of Russian power in this territory. Power changes and nothing more. And this is not a war with the people of Ukraine, to destroy people, cities, factories. No one takes away people’s land, houses, cities. Russia is regaining its territories, destroying the pro-Western, Nazi statehood. And returns these territories forever. Such a statement will give certainty to people. And such a statement clearly shows that the aggressor here is the West, which seized control of Ukraine and threatened Russia. And Russia is defending its right to exist, and it’s true, it’s a reality. If the West decides to send its troops into Ukraine without agreeing with Russia on the division of territories (which is a possible option), then such an invasion will lead to a military response from Russia and end in a nuclear war.
For some odd reasons the officials in Kremlin always avoid addressing the real culprit behind the ongoing troubles throughout the world. It’s more than certain that they know a whole lot more than anybody else who that would be. By simple connecting of the dots i.e. the Western Banking – NATO – Bill Gates – bio-labs – Covid19 – Soros – Kolomoisky – Zelinski – Dollar – US Hegemony – AIPAC … we end up with Israel as the main culprit behind these events. The Russians while in Syria, always avoided a faceoff with Israel when fighting the DAESH extremists who in turn were a direct creation of the anglo-zionist financing. It’s certain that Moscow will soon run out of her strategic patience regarding this and will have to come up with a solution. Otherwise the anglo-zionist/aipac… could make Russia suffer a longtime in Ukraine and organize a velvet revolution especially tailored for her.
So many sharp points, I applaud them all, silently. To above, its Andrei’s ‘don’t go there sore point’, to those who know cos we learned it, the answer to Russia’s ‘predicament’ is got at by EMJ herein. About the first of maybe only a few times I’ve ever heard it said, then publicised.
It’s in here:
Deep seated, historical guilt and fear, victim-mindedness gone skew, like, of thejew. If they are truly God’s ppl, then you better be real careful how you reveal them; level accusations. But if they aren’t, then who is? The second might be the more existentially scarier element to consider. With great name comes great [😕🤔]. Best let thejews be God’s choice people, huh? Even tho us goyim hate them for all their crimes. If they can’t be, due to lawless viciousness, what does tolerating such nastiness say about the goyim, that we goyim are inferior to God’s choice who are criminal. The whole conundrum has elevated lawless criminality to the law itself, by divine decree, as enacted by God’s choice.
Who can see this. There are impulse-streams directly flowing out of the collective psychic tones. It is like a highly strung instrument getting its strings hardened, lengthened, etc. to tune the human psyche.
West now sounds alike one tune, off key, disharmonious to the soul, death metal at full volume. Thejew did the psychic retune. Yet we, us, have the psychic capacity whereas jewry has none. This is provable, but one needs to get esoterically attuned to really know it. I am this.
Read and burn. It’s not for all to see.
It’s from Deagel.com a military equipment site. It’s their Forecast 2025. But you can’t find it published on their site anymore. It’s on the way back machine though:
I remember reading this in 2020 and using it to plan my investment thesis.
It’s an old tactic dating back to the first world war. Exactly in the battle of Caporetto in northern Italy during the First World War. The Austro-German general staff studied a light attack against the “cordon” defenses of the Italians. The infantry departments at company level, penetrated the enemy lines in depth, after a brief (for those times) preparation of artillery that suppressed the Italian one, with the “fixing” technique: the unit arrived in front of the Italian stronghold and instead of attacking it he “stared” at him with a small nucleus armed with machine guns and, while the Italians resisted, the rest continued, thus managing to immobilize a disproportionate number of forces of the defender compared to that of the attacker, causing the collapse of the entire Italian front in a short time which had to retreat to the Piave. An exceptional interpreter of this tactic was Captain Erwin Rommel (perhaps someone has heard of him), who described his action across the Carnia mountains up to Longarone where he captured a large part of the Italian army that withdrew from the Dolomites. .
The writeup from “4chan” is absolutely correct. I couldn’t care less where the information comes from, if the information is accurate, then the ‘messenger’ of the information in no way invalidates the message. It is literally the identical analysis to what I’ve been writing about since the beginning of the conflict here, about how Russia utilized fast maneuvering forces and in fact how Russian BTG’s are specifically low on infantry and high on mechanized forces/vehicles in order to be able to maneuver and penetrate very rapidly. They suffered some losses to Ukie infantry for the very reason that RF’s airforce did TOO good of a job–they destroyed 90% of Ukraine’s armor infrastructure in the first day or two and it left Ukrainian forces with an overabundance of infantry which now simply hid and utilized guerilla forces to ambush fast moving BMP-2 and VDV BMD units (and of course defenseless supply convoys). Russia lacked the overwhelming infantry to “secure flanks” and recon through forests/shrubs on each flank of every single highway that its supply lines were running on for the aforementioned above reasons.
Now I certainly don’t characterize these forward units as “kamikaze units” as that’s disrespectful to RF’s doctrines and the units still inflicted far more casualties than they received themselves, but they certainly were at far more danger than what a typical unit might be.
And by the way, I’ve seen official confirmation from Ukrainian side that confirms many of the points above. Such as the fact that important reserve units WERE funneled from Donbass region to Kiev in the opening of operation which proves the thesis that many alternative fronts were opened for the sake of misdirection and deflection, a form of maskirovka.
US Deep State behaves like spoiled mentally unstable child. Nobody has taught him the right and the wrong. He doesn’t value beauty and harmony. That’s why he may never accept his defeat, which is losing Dollar Hegemony. Losing some wars doesn’t matter. Losing hegemony is the thing. Empires not always go down voluntarely and certainly not this US Dollar Empire. He may pull whole world to final big tragedy coz he is indeed a spoiled unstable child.
From Colonel Cassad.
The price of gas in Europe exceeded $1,350.00 after Putin’s order to accept payment in rubles:
It is necessary to write -the price of gas in Europe exceeded $140,494 rubles and 50 kopecks.
It’s time to get used to it…
“The next analysis I post with a great caveat…”
It’s good and clarifying, but the idea that “Western governments” planned and were directing a future invasion of the Donbass requires presentation of proof by Russia. It’s like the accusation that Russia was trying to make Donald Trump win, which required proof.
“And the countless trips of Western politicians to Moscow prior to the war were intended to slow down Moscow’s preparations for a counter-offensive”
This would mean all the Western governments, France and Germany included, which is unthinkable. The U.S. and Britain only? Extremely unlikely that they and Ukraine would want to take the Donbass while assuming that Russia would then attack Ukraine! This doesn’t make sense for Ukraine. It doesn’t make sense for the U.S., and we know Biden, whatever his fault, would not be participating in such a plan. So, it would be something pursued by renegades, but Nuland and CIA director Burns are too visible for that kind of thing. The proof presented would have to be conclusive (like a phone conversation recording, something undeniable).
The proof was already presented. The documents were found and uploaded at least 2 weeks ago. You didn’t see it? Maybe if you take some time off of NYTimes and actually look at real sources of news you would already have been informed.
Here we are:
Looks good as evidence, but it says these documents “ended up in the hands of the Russian servicemen.” How so, from where? This other information is no less important than the documents. It is not enough to just say the servicemen found them. These documents were not in the capital city, a natural place for them. The Ukrainians had no time to destroy them. We need to know more. They should have given more.
She literally presented you with the evidence you claimed didn’t exist, pages of documents. Now it’s not good enough? It seems you were sea-lioning the whole time. You’re starting to sound like a 6th columnist. What would be good enough for you, do you want Putin to visit you personally at your home and hand you the documents in person?
“You’re starting to sound like a 6th columnist. What would be good enough for you, do you want Putin to visit you personally at your home and hand you the documents in person?”
I am not Russian, so I can’t be a 6th columnist. I would ask him, “How did you get this?”
When a command post is attacked, and the turf is taken, the soldiers fleeing often leave laptops, papers, etc.
This is how the documents were acquired.
There is always luck involved. You often blowup and burn information in an attack. But if you can drive off the defenders and the commanders take off to save their asses, you wind up with valuable Intel.
So, low level soldiers do the dirty work of attacking, and they wind up with valuable info “in their hands”.
The Duma, right? That’s the proof? Please presented it here. I just looked and couldn’t find it.
I visit RT often, Sputnik sometimes, but also the Moscow Times. I know it’s kind of like The New York Times, but it has some informative stuff. A column published there yesterday by somebody who says he’s very afraid yet writes a very critical column, shows he has that freedom and that the stories about the government repressing all dissent are an exaggeration. The NYT is still the NYT, excuse me. Putin published a column there for a reason.
Check Colonel Cassad’s telegram there’s even more new evidence uncovered of their plan to invade Crimea.
“We have irrefutable evidence that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were preparing to attack Russian territory at the end of February.”
❗️ For eight years, the inhabitants of the Kherson region could not cultivate this land – the Armed Forces of Ukraine put barriers and a huge number of mines here. Russian servicemen told how they received captured nationalist cards, from which it follows that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were preparing an attack on Crimea.”
“Zvezda” publishes working maps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which were captured in the Kherson region. They have positions of nationalists and minefields. Judging by the dates on the document, the Russian special operation thwarted the offensive in Crimea.”
Let’s recognize that this looks like one of the historical issues that does not get settled.
Secret services can prepare this and big books too. Not saying that this is an example of that, but they can do it. “Proof” is unrelated to trust. You have every right to distrust. The “proof” addresses all the distrust points (great proofs).
Not sure why you are posting anything from 4chan, it hardly has any credibility whatsoever, let alone it’s infestation with genuine crazies and reprobates. Sorry Amarynth.
You need to go and read that piece of the thread again. And then, this as well.
I’ve read both, and I agree wholeheartedly.
However 4chan remains a far right sewer and this “special operation” is directed at global elements of said far right. I’m sure that I don’t have to point out the obvious.
Please don’t take my comment personally, you’re doing a great job. I’m an experienced Red Teamer and data acquisition is very much my thing. I also come from a family of 2 star naval staff officers (three in my direct family).
It would appear that Frunze is about to become the toast of military academics for the next millennia…and rightfully so…
There are two important factors in Russia demanding payment for commodity sales in the national currency.
1 It increases demand for the currency and strengthens the currency in the market. Secondly,
2. the payments occur in the issuer’s payments system and stay in the issuing country, that is, are under the control of the issuing country.
Many do not understand this and cannot figure why Russia did not bring the dollars or euro home. Given existing institutional arrangements that is ruled out.
What is generally not recognized is that foreign reserves denominated in a foreign currency stay on the books of the issuing country, unless, of course, they are converted to cash and exported, which is impractical in the large amounts involved in major transactions.
This is why China and Japan hold large balances of US Treasuries. Rather than leave the reserves they accumulate through trade in their ‘demand deposit account” at the Fed.
Why they put the funds in a “time savings account” in the form of US debt that pays higher interest, which comparable to individuals saving at a commercial bank using CDs.
So if Russia sells commodities for USD or EUR, those funds remain in the Fed or ECB, where they can be frozen or confiscated.
Note: This needs to be qualified by Eurodollars, which are time deposits denominated in USD held outside the US and not subject to regulation by the Fed.
Yep and the Ruble has already skyrocketed, last I seen it was trading at 97, up from a low of 140-150 at the start of the military operation.
The big hint on whether Russia totally wins this war is the Ruble to Euro exchange rate. If that goes back to 90 or god forbid something like 60 or so, you know that Europe is fucked and they’ve lost dramatically.
Argentina raises rates to 44.5% to “fight” inflation. Einstein’s definition of insanity.
Hope the Russian central bank is watching.
Interest rate hikes are price hikes.
Amarynth, thank you for the “analysis from a frennly anon on /pol.”
I would note the similarity of the early Russian movements around Kiev to the WWII Battle of Crete:
“…20 May 1941, when Nazi Germany began an airborne invasion of Crete. … After one day of fighting, the Germans had suffered heavy casualties and the Allied troops were confident that they would defeat the invasion. The next day, through communication failures, Allied tactical hesitation, and German offensive operations, Maleme Airfield in western Crete fell, enabling the Germans to land reinforcements and overwhelm the defensive positions on the north of the island. Allied forces withdrew to the south coast.”
Compare the above to the Russian paratrooper drops into the Hostomel airfield northwest of Kiev. Very audacious; they could have lost them all. Instead, those troops (while being ultimately pushed back) held the airfield long enough for both aerial resupply and for meeting Russian conventional forces pushing down from the north.
(Other Russian ‘strike troops’ also engaged in high-risk/high-reward forays into Ukrainian territory…)
A Special Place in Hell:
Madeleine Albright, the first woman US secretary of state, who helped steer Western foreign policy in the aftermath of the Cold War, has died. She was 84 years old.
Her death was confirmed in an email to staff of the Albright Stonebridge Group, a global strategy firm founded by Albright.
Lesley Stahl on U.S. sanctions against Iraq: We have heard that a half million children have died. I mean, that’s more children than died in Hiroshima. And, you know, is the price worth it?
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright: I think this is a very hard choice, but the price–we think the price is worth it.
Great to hear of the death of a war mongering old bitch ( Kindest I can think off ). I hope her last years were painful – as she dealt death & destruction to others.
Russians should consider building light tanks with tank troops. If they do ‘rush attacks’ its the sure way to lose men. What you want is light tanks, which break through enemies lines or bypass them, then destroy enemy command and control, behind the lines for 15 miles orso, then set up of defensive line to encircle then enemy and avoid a counter-attack. Light-tanks of increased speed and maneuver, with light infantry and attack aircraft. You can also move light artillery like the British 105’s as well. If the Russians want to do modern 3rd generation maneuver warfare and be totally successful they need to have all the leadership-doctrine-equipment in place. ‘Rush attack’ isn’t very good, it will just get your units destroyed or captured.
Though I will say I have been very impressed by the Russians, they have fought very well without totally relying on air power and artillery, they use tactical and operational maneuver of infantry, mobility units to created smaller pockets to destroy within the enemy lines. But if you want to do maneuver warfare you need light units, you can’t use normal units. Also using para’s is just a bad idea, as well as setting up a forward operating based without push on 15 miles and creating a defensive line on at least three sides.
Military vehicles stick out like a sore thumb. You see them, hear them and smell them. Not suitable for urban close contact warfare.
Take a look at the tank killers roaming around the Donbas, lots of pics and vids online. From a distance just a typical Toyota 4×4, TRD. In the box they have mounted antitank or 50 cal machine guns. They have speed and agility that combat vehicles lack. Could easily be used like Cavalry. Would only take a few to swarm an opponent. Wouldn’t fancy the odds on life expectancy though.
Totally agree that the usual military vehicles can be seen and heard from a great distance, so there’s no element of surprise. Because of anti-tank missiles those vehicles are less safe than Toyota or Kamaz pickup trucks that no one saw coming. I’m waiting for audio systems with strong loudspeakers that can mimic a column of tanks and BTR’s, as bait for enemy soldiers. That could get interesting.
“Russians should consider building light tanks with tank troops.”
You mean an armored fighting vehicle?
AFV’s have been around since, like, forever.
masterstroke by Russia !
Another question is where Western Europe will take the rubles to settle accounts with Russia. There are two options: either buy on the foreign exchange market, or, in violation of the sanctions, continue cooperation as before.
“Now we see that sanctions are hitting the Western European economy,” the economist said.
Igor Yushkov, an expert at the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation and the National Energy Security Fund, is sure that the refusal of the Russian government to settle in foreign currency puts a checkmate on opponents.
– The main task is to force the Europeans to withdraw the Central Bank from sanctions. This is a fundamental point. Settlement in rubles will lead to the fact that European companies will be forced to flee to their governments, to the European Union and demand the lifting of sanctions from the Central Bank, because they cannot buy rubles anywhere except from the Russian Central Bank, Yushkov concluded in an interview with Channel Five.
Delivering Food in Mariupol:
I hope when peace returns to these lands that there is an appropriate memorial for those brave “Rush B” soldiers who plunged into this conflict in order to fight tyranny, oppression, and injustice, and paid the highest price. May God bless them and the innocent Ukrainian people.
Which website/article did you copy and paste this from? This isn’t a personal comment by you. Mod.
In 2014 we published a disclaimer about the forecast. In six years the scenario has changed dramatically. This new disclaimer is meant to single out the situation from 2020 onwards. Talking about the United States and the European Union as separated entities no longer makes sense. Both are the Western block, keep printing money and will share the same fate.
After COVID we can draw two major conclusions:
The Western world success model has been built over societies with no resilience that can barely withstand any hardship, even a low intensity one. It was assumed but we got the full confirmation beyond any doubt.
The COVID crisis will be used to extend the life of this dying economic system through the so called Great Reset.
The Great Reset; like the climate change, extinction rebellion, planetary crisis, green revolution, shale oil (…) hoaxes promoted by the system; is another attempt to slow down dramatically the consumption of natural resources and therefore extend the lifetime of the current system. It can be effective for awhile but finally won’t address the bottom-line problem and will only delay the inevitable. The core ruling elites hope to stay in power which is in effect the only thing that really worries them.
The collapse of the Western financial system – and ultimately the Western civilization – has been the major driver in the forecast along with a confluence of crisis with a devastating outcome. As COVID has proven Western societies embracing multiculturalism and extreme liberalism are unable to deal with any real hardship. The Spanish flu one century ago represented the death of 40-50 million people. Today the world’s population is four times greater with air travel in full swing which is by definition a super spreader. The death casualties in today’s World would represent 160 to 200 million in relative terms but more likely 300-400 million taking into consideration the air travel factor that did not exist one century ago. So far, COVID death toll is roughly 1 million people. It is quite likely that the economic crisis due to the lockdowns will cause more deaths than the virus worldwide.
The Soviet system was less able to deliver goodies to the people than the Western one. Nevertheless Soviet society was more compact and resilient under an authoritarian regime. That in mind, the collapse of the Soviet system wiped out 10 percent of the population. The stark reality of diverse and multicultural Western societies is that a collapse will have a toll of 50 to 80 percent depending on several factors but in general terms the most diverse, multicultural, indebted and wealthy (highest standard of living) will suffer the highest toll. The only glue that keeps united such aberrant collage from falling apart is overconsumption with heavy doses of bottomless degeneracy disguised as virtue. Nevertheless the widespread censorship, hate laws and contradictory signals mean that even that glue is not working any more. Not everybody has to die migration can also play a positive role in this.
The formerly known as second and third world nations are an unknown at this point. Their fate will depend upon the decisions they take in the future. Western powers are not going to take over them as they did in the past because these countries won’t be able to control their own cities far less likely countries that are far away. If they remain tied to the former World Order they will go down along Western powers but won’t experience the brutal decline of the late because they are poorer and not diverse enough but rather quite homogenous used to deal with some sort of hardship but not precisely the one that is coming. If they switch to China they can get a chance to stabilize but will depend upon the management of their resources.
We expected this situation to unfold and actually is unfolding right now with the November election triggering a major bomb if Trump is re-elected. If Biden is elected there will very bad consequences as well. There is a lot of bad blood in the Western societies and the protests, demonstrations, rioting and looting are only the first symptoms of what is coming. However a new trend is taking place overshadowing this one.
The situation between the three great powers has changed dramatically. The only relevant achievement of the Western powers during the past decade has been the formation of a strategic alliance, both military and economic, between Russia and China. Right now the potential partnership between Russia and the European Union (EU) is dead with Russia turning definitively towards China. That was from the beginning the most likely outcome. Airbus never tried to establish a real partnership but rather a strategy to fade away the Russian aerospace industry. Actually Russia and China have formed a new alliance to build a long haul airliner. Western Europe (not to mention the United States) was never interested in the development of Russia or forming anything other than a master slave relationship with Russia providing raw materials and toeing the line of the West. It was clear then and today is a fact.
Russia has been preparing for a major war since 2008 and China has been increasing her military capabilities for the last 20 years. Today China is not a second tier power compared with the United States. Both in military and economic terms China is at the same level and in some specific areas are far ahead. In the domain of high-tech 5G has been a success in the commercial realm but the Type 055 destroyer is also another breakthrough with the US gaining a similar capability (DDG 51 Flight IIII) by mid of this decade (more likely by 2030). Nanchang, the lead ship of the Type 055 class, was commissioned amid the pandemic and lockdown in China.
Six years ago the likelihood of a major war was tiny. Since then it has grown steadily and dramatically and today is by far the most likely major event in the 2020s. The ultimate conflict can come from two ways. A conventional conflict involving at least two major powers that escalates into an open nuclear war. A second scenario is possible in the 2025-2030 timeframe. A Russian sneak first strike against the United States and its allies with the new S-500, strategic missile defenses, Yasen-M submarines, INF Zircon and Kalibr missiles and some new space asset playing the key role. The sneak first strike would involve all Russian missile strategic forces branches (bombers and ground-based missiles) at the different stages of such attack that would be strategic translation of what was seen in Syria in November 2015. There was no report that the Russian had such a capability of launching a high precision, multiple, combined arms attack at targets 2,000+ kilometers away. Western intelligence had no clue. The irony is that since the end of the Cold War the United States has been maneuvering through NATO to achieve a position to execute a first strike over Russia and now it seems that the first strike may occur but the country finished would be the United States.
Another particularity of the Western system is that its individuals have been brainwashed to the point that the majority accept their moral high ground and technological edge as a given. This has given the rise of the supremacy of the emotional arguments over the rational ones which are ignored or deprecated. That mindset can play a key role in the upcoming catastrophic events. At least in the Soviet system the silent majority of the people were aware of the fallacies they were fed up. We can see the United States claims about G5 being stolen from them by China or hypersonic technology being stolen by Russia as the evidence that the Western elites are also infected by that hubris. Over the next decade it will become obvious that the West is falling behind the Russia-China block and the malaise might grow into desperation. Going to war might seem a quick and easy solution to restore the lost hegemony to finally find them into a France 1940 moment. Back then France did not have nuclear weapons to turn a defeat into a victory. The West might try that swap because the unpleasant prospect of not being Mars and Venus but rather a bully and his dirty bitch running away in fear while the rest of the world is laughing at them.
If there is not a dramatic change of course the world is going to witness the first nuclear war. The Western block collapse may come before, during or after the war. It does not matter. A nuclear war is a game with billions of casualties and the collapse plays in the hundreds of millions.
This website is non-profit, built on spare time and we provide our information and services AS IS without further explanations and/or guarantees. We are not linked to any government. Take into account that the forecast is nothing more than a game of numbers whether flawed or correct based upon some speculative assumptions.
Friday, September 25th, 2020
It’s from Deagel.com
Please put the full link in future and say why you have attached the article. Mod.
There is no link. They removed the article. Its relevant to the world geopolitical situation. Obvious really.
Maybe I can find the link in the waybackmachine
UNSC Fails to Adopt Russia’s Humanitarian Resolution Calling for Negotiated Ceasefire in Ukraine
“The UN Security Council did not adopt the humanitarian resolution drafted by Russia calling for a negotiated ceasefire in Ukraine, a Sputnik correspondent reported from the scene.
Russia and China voted in favor of the resolution while 13 other members of the UN Security Council, including the United States, United Kingdom and France – abstained from voting on Russia’s draft resolution, and no countries voted against it.
The resolution condemns all violations of international humanitarian law and human rights, including the Geneva Conventions. It also demands respect and protection for all medical and humanitarian personnel exclusively engaged in medical and related duties in Ukraine.”
China’s UN Envoy: ‘Regrettable’ Security Council Failed to Agree on Ukraine Resolution
“The failure of the UN Security Council to agree on a Russian-drafted resolution regarding the humanitarianism situation in Ukraine is regrettable, Chinese envoy Zhang Jun said during remarks at the General Assembly.
“It is regrettable that the council was unable to reach the broadest of possible agreements in the end,” the envoy said on Wednesday.”
I’d like to think that if I were a citizen of a country like the United States and the leaders and representatives had become the traitorous criminals they are that I would have the fortitude and the wherewithal and the plan to challenge this unfortunate situation and remedy it.
You see? Easier said than done.
Best and most accurate current maps.
All Ukraine: https://i.postimg.cc/3JF6yjbj/5321144075639962189.jpg
Mariupol: https://i.postimg.cc/9FCgjRFD/5323526313610427680.jpg the “orange” zone here represents contested territory actively being cleaned out but not 100% controlled. DPR sources today have stated Mariupol is 70% cleaned.
Another version of the above: https://twitter.com/spriter99880/status/1506708710583943173
A few other small updates:
-Yesterday I reported breakthrough at Verkhnetoreske in Donbass, fighting in the village. Today full control was announced and DPR forces even reportedly captured the next village past that called Novobakhmutivka.
Large strikes happened to Bakhmut in the “rear” of Ukie cauldron, wiping out fuel depots and reserve armor. The situation is said to be extremely critical for Ukrainian forces in regards to supplies. The supplies from the “West” are not getting through to them that well, their fuel is very low or out, which is one of the reasons such a violent reaction from the Kramatorsk gauletier yesterday when the big fuel depot there was taken out.
We’re seeing a large increase in focus of RF airforce strikes to the “rear” of Ukie cauldron to hit their supply lines which seems to be in conjunction with the advances being made to close the cauldron.
-Russia fired Bastion k300P coastal defense missiles at ground targets from Crimea today. This seems a bit unusual but the conflict is a test platform for Russia to test various systems in real world settings that it never got a chance to do before. https://www.bitchute.com/video/mAeTeeYUyUKY/
These are supersonic Mach 2.5++ missiles, watching them can give a true frightening picture of how fast a Kinzhal is considering it is upwards of 4 times faster than these.
-Minorities continue to be violently terrorized by Nazis in Kiev. https://www.bitchute.com/video/Pz0aAag4quYS/
-Action of both Chechen and DPR forces in Mariupol:
-In economic news the Ruble continues to shoot up after the big announcement by Putin about pricing gas in Rubles. It’s now up to 95 according to Bloomberg, and 96 in other exchanges. Keep in mind it was around 80ish before the conflict and was supposed to crash to over 200 to 1 USD according to “western experts” and it continues its rebound.
Meanwhile every possible index in Europe is crashing catastrophically from inflation to spot prices of various commodities, factories closing up, etc.
I understand what the US is doing. There is self-interest to it. But the Europeans are the biggest idiots in the world to obey the empire. They deserve nothing but misery in the years ahead, just for their stupidity alone, let alone the evil.
You’re right. It’s hard to understand but the European subjugation at the hands of city of london and washington goes extremely deep. One must but research GLADIO and all the attendant rabbit holes of that to see how the European continent has been utterly under U.S./London intelligence control since WW2. It’s likely that no European leader whatsoever is able to be promoted to top position without express permission from these intel houses, which is why we see globalists like Macron (ex-Rothschild banker) leading France, Mario Draghi (ex-president of European Central Bank) leading Italy, etc etc.
Re: the last analysis
Based. Slava Rossiya!
I hate the anti Christ, and
Ukronazi, you’ll never be a woman.
This does appear to be the strat employed ie quick tactical insertions on the first days.
Putin’s declaration of the ruble payment for any non-frennly gas purchases today was timely, following the IMF’s warning. Meanwhile in the US the $ printer goes brrrrr.
Thank you for all your work!
To be honest this sounds like a cope analysis. The advance didn’t disperse, nor is it merely a harassing force. Russians have sent exactly the number of troops required to encircle and hold all positions.
My take is that:
– Russia had a massive list of military targets that it took out in a bloat out the sun missile offensive on the first day.
– At the same time, Russia moved quickly to encircle cities, but only with enough troops to hold them in encirclement. If all major groups are encircle, then there is no counter offensive. The only possible counter offensive would come from NATO, and that is way the overwhelming majority of Russia’s forces are on the highest alert standby.
– By 4 days, the above objects were complete, and since Russia has been forced on two main objects: demilitarize and denazify. In Mariupol and Kharkov the targets are the nazis. Throughout the rest of the battle space, Russia is destroying any significant military target with all options available to them. The latter has the effect of demoralizing, and also preventing any breakouts or regrouping.
As for broken down vehicles, this happens. Even well serviced vehicles break down. With thousands of vehicles 1-2% fault rate would make for nice propaganda pictures. In a Blitz to get into position, it would make sense to leave faulty vehicles and push on. I don’t for a second believe they ran out of fuel though that’s just non-sense. We clearly can see logistic tankers moving with convoys. And they aren’t abandoned, because Russia controls the battle space. All faulty vehicles would have been collected and serviced.
As for sending in airborne units; this to me makes less sense. Unless it was for an absolutely critical task. Like snatching intel or preventing certain people from escaping?
One of the other things alot of people are forgetting was that for Russia seizing certain key infrastructure objectives was critical, in particular 1. the biolabs and 2. the most important of the Nuclear Reactors. Simply because it knew:
1. these were places that Ukraine was planning to create nuclear/bio-terror falseflags and
2. they needed to seize them before Ukraine/CIA could exfiltrate some of the key “evidence” of its dirty work therein
And so that’s why we saw a mad dash for Chernobyl and Zaporizhzhia Nuke Plant. These are the 2 most important because 1. Chernobyl is the most “convenient” location to stage a falseflag as the name itself haunts people and there’s a lot of latent radiation all over that area where Ukraine could much more easily create provocations as easily as bombing the forests which would send latent radiation pluming to the sky, etc, etc.
2. Zaporizhzhia is the LARGEST nuclear plant in ALL OF EUROPE and top 10 in the world, only beaten by some plants in Asia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_power_stations#Nuclear
So this massive plant was of utmost importance because how else to get the world’s attention than to meltdown the largest plant in all of Europe, the horror of that prospect writes itself and is perfect for the scriptwriters in the CIA. So these objectives alone absolutely required Russia to enter Ukraine on multiple simultaneous axes.
exposee of the media campaigns and connections …..I suggest they need denazification too.
The ‘special’ 10 week operation will be over on May 9th ( victory day in Russia )
The Rothschilds owned media LIES will be exposed and there is a good chance the western financial system will collapse !
This is why !
Biggest problem for the ZIO/US is that eventually nobody will accept the $US for valuable commodities !
Putin is leading the charge !
The picture is becoming very clear !
ALL Russia’s exports will eventually have to be paid in roubles !
Then the whole ME will start trading in their own regional currencies !
If China decides to only accept Yuan – the party is definitely over !
Reserve currency status might be done away with completely – they won’t need it !
BRI is on full throttle now !
More videos for today.
Refugees from Mariupol on the situation in the city:
Cruise and coastal defense missiles launch shown in new Russian MoD release:
Ukraine anti-aircraft missile platform hiding in industrial park destroyed by drone strike:
67 AFU soldiers surrender to Russian troops in Kiev region:
This is the result of the Ukronazi scum terror in Mariupol, pain, sadness, tragedy, shock, trauma.
Videos of the horror unleashed by the nazi beasts on innocent civilians, speaks volumes about the million reasons Russia had to intervene and stop the genocide against Russians in 404.
“Direct fire hit homes”: residents of Mariupol told about the shelling by the Ukrainian military
I do like this theory.
It would certainly explain why western “military analsysts” are so mystified by Russia’s actions: they assumed that the Russians would act like them, and the Russian said “well, no, actually, we prefer to do what you aren’t expecting”
The light bulb will light up eventually, I suppose….
It sounds vaguely similar to the American “Thunder Runs” during the 2003 Iraq war, only on a vastly larger scale. But to the same effect: to disorient and demoralize the enemy by trading material for speed.
Russia needs to assess what the average Ukrainian knows about the 1991 USSR breakup deals with the west as I suspect most of them have no idea of the DEAL that was made or is still binding on them.
That is,, that UKN got sovereignty and the Eastern Bloc released on CONDITION there would a truly independent UKN and no EU or NATO involvement or filth like Soros in there controlling puppets like Zelensky.
If the Ukrainians knew and logically thought about it then I think many UKN troops would down weapons and stop fighting realizing they have been misled. Some would even move to arrest Z.
Most UKNs under age of 40 certainly would know much if anything about the deals as the UKN Govt wouldnt have taught it to them in schools.
Interesting commentary here about overall situation
The fear I have, as a Canadian, is that there are Canadian fighters trapped in the cauldron in Mariupol, who may well (deservedly) face war crimes trials in Donetsk at some point in the future. What will that do to us? How much damage will this do the country.
There is already credible evidence that some of these units received training in Canada, by our armed forces. Who will take responsibility for that? It may be time to place civilian oversight over the military, inefficient though that may be.
How will the government respond? The courageous thing would be to leave NATO, but I expect our new coalition government will double down and deny, deny, deny. But I am not the only Canadian who can see this writing on the wall. I fear we are approaching some kind of disastrous moment of truth.
A great showdown. The ineluctible march of history.
Canadian sniper Wali is apparently still at large.
Would be great if the Russians could wipe the smile off his ugly head.
Enough innocent civilians have died at the hands of extremists
Ukraine needs an education lesson for their indiscretions and brutality, Lest the world’s largest nazi prison and slave/labor camp which will be tasked to rebuild Ukraine
The interesting thing about “Wali” is that when he did finally emerge he stressed that during his deployment he didn’t get a chance to kill any Russians. Not a one.
An odd “confession”, that.
Fairly certain his intended audience wasn’t the folks back in Canada.
More likely it was directed to the uniformed gentlemen in the Kremlin.
Perhaps the next we’ll hear of him is back home in Canada, with a grin and a “no hard feelings, hey?’
Sorry, but there is no evidence of Russian high command adapting to the situation.
Once the existential nature of the war was clear, all goals and means had to change.
Russia does not have the amount of troops committed to hold such a vast territory. One million reserves should go to the front as soon as possible. Another million to guard the homefront.
Likewise, this cannot be a war about changing the behavior or thinking of Ukraine, but rather permanent territorial conquest. All infrastructure and means of resistance has to go: electricity, transport, government.
However this message has to get upward within Russia, do it, or we lose to the New World Order.