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Sitrep Operation Z: We’re going down

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff From Military Summary.  He discusses: Russian T62 tanks (old models being brought in and why?) As a result of joint action by People’s Militia of Donetsk People’s Republic and the Russian Armed Forces, Krasnyi Liman has been completely liberated from Ukrainian nationalists. Consolidating success and a granular look at the various areas, fronts and cauldrons, retreats and routs, areas under fire control Operational

Sitrep Operation Z: + consequences = petty Tabaquis howling

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff After the Russian forces took POPASNA, the pace increased. There are still battles, but the Russians are now rolling over everything else in the Donbas. The Ukrainians are being annihilated, more and more soldiers are refusing to fight, reports of mass surrenders pour in, and the Russian strategy of cauldrons and partial cauldrons is proving incredibly effective. It is a bloody war in

Sitrep Operation Z: ‘The Grind’ is mainly done for now – Donbas Arc lights up like a solar storm

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff This is an open thread on the entire Donbas Arc where the ‘grind’ is now paying off and the Russians are running and counting coup, working like a well-orchestrated orchestra.  (Unforgivable hyperbole in writing, but it is quite a thing to watch!). Over to the commentators to give us the details. Keep eyes on for confirmation:  UNCONFIRMED but oh boy this would be

Sitrep 180 Hot Potato : Ritter, Lira, Johnson and Martyanov

By Amarynth for the Saker Blog Let me first give the links to the debate in question (and this is a sitrep, so it is more freewheeling than a serious article for the Saker blog). We’ve been talking about Ritter’s 180 swing in his coverage on both the SMO-404 and the Russian capabilities. This article, titled “Ukraine War Has No End in Sight” gives the Ritter view post his 180:

Sitrep Operation Z: Yes, it is ‘The Grind’

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff This is a short sitrep just to bring the latest information together.  First, Brian Berletic does a fine job of describing the battlefield for us, without drowning it in detail.  He makes a lot of sense and touches on those ‘wonderful M777 howitzers’, which, if we believe the Wurlitzer Media, are making a decisive difference.  Well, they are not. A summary of Berletic’s

Sitrep Operation Z: The Ukrainian fighters’ will to resist is deteriorating fast

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff Khodakovsky’s (commander of Vostok Battalion) noted that they have +1,800 prisoners of war in custody. Another 80-90 surrendered over the past 24 hours and the estimate is that a few hundred is still in the hole. It is visible! It is palpalable! Morale in the both the Armed Forces of the Ukraine as well as in the general society is dropping like a

Sitrep Operation Z: NATO surrenders in Azovstal

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff with thanks to Pepe Escobar for that prescient title Nazi Azovites – from rats in a hole to fish in a barrel – This is what denazification looks like! The New York Times prevaricates as follows:  Ukraine ended its “combat mission” in Mariupol and said fighters were being evacuated, signaling that the battle at a steel plant was over. Zelensky adds some

Sitrep: Russia

Notes by Amarynth Russia’s lower house of parliament, the State Duma, is planning to discuss the potential withdrawal of the country from the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the World Health Organization (WHO), according to Pyotr Tolstoy, the vice speaker of the parliament. Russia has just started the process to withdraw from Council of the Baltic Sea States. Previously they canceled membership in the Council of Europe. We are also

Sitrep Operation Z: Many Rumors and not enough Facts

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff While battles are raging, factual reports are few.  This is fog of war and it is better not to report on the minutiae that are still being decided on the battlefield.  Here is a short machine translation from Readovka but what they report as areas or towns taken by the Russian forces needs to be taken with a pinch of salt at this

Sitrep Operation Z: Two very bad days for the Ukraine & The Big Refuse

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff This is too good not to be credited to Brian Berletic: The United States (and small collective west) is refusing to choose the option that makes sense. This option is coexistence with the rest of the world. Their objective of maintaining primacy over the rest of the world is no longer attainable. The Big Refuse is of course Lloyd Austin demanding that Russia

Sitrep Operation Z – Where are we?

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff The main observation which one cannot help but agree with, comes from Andrei Martyanov and I rephrase somewhat: The rate of change is markedly accelerating as the first result of the crumbling and implosion of the Ukraine as a state and the structure of its armed forces. Things will go quicker now and they are, as discussed further! First though, pure fantasy. We

This is just too ‘delicious’ not to sitrep quickly – Ukraine calls force majeure and halts 1/3 of European gas

Posted by Amarynth Kiev cites ‘force majeure’ in Lugansk to halt third of gas flow to Europe, while Gazprom says there have been no issues that would justify the halt. Russian gas conglomerate Gazprom has received no confirmation of force majeure or any obstacles to continued transit of gas through a junction in Lugansk, the company said on Tuesday, after Ukraine’s operator OGTSU announced it would halt further deliveries starting

Sitrep Operation Z: Yeah, we have some Big Deals

Prepared by Saker Staff From the Russian Mod:  “Thanks to unprecedented measures taken by the leadership of the Russian Federation, with the active participation of representatives of the United Nations and the International Committee of the Red Cross, humanitarian operation to evacuate civilians from Azovstal plant is now complete.” There still are rumors of high level military in the plant but humanitarian corridors are closed.  A group of reportedly about

Sitrep: Russia is too slow, and other canards

For the Saker Blog by Saker Staff Looking back at the bigger picture, i.e., Russia is too slow, and other canards: February 21 president of Russia Vladimir Putin signed a decree to recognize the independence of the DPR and LPR and promised to support the republics. On February 24, President Putin announced a special military operation in Ukraine in response to the appeal of the leaders of the republics of

Sitrep: Operation Z

By Nightvision for the Saker Blog Firstly, the biggest news at the forefront is that the Mariupol situation appears to be nearing a possible conclusion. We reported last time that one prominent source said Azovstal would be fully resolved by 4/30 (today), while Sladkov said days ago that Azov had about 9 days of food left, which by now would put them at maybe 6 days or less, by those

Sitrep: Operation Z

By Nightvision for the Saker Blog Large amount of significant updates today. Let’s start with the most pressing – it looks like our reporting on the Transnistria RUMINT last time were accurate, the escalations there are now getting worse. More and more info pours out from every direction that suggests an increasingly grave situation. Poland and Ukraine both have now announced military ‘exercises’ that will conveniently move equipment towards the

Sitrep: Operation Z

By Nightvision for the Saker Blog Today we start with the largest news. Ukraine continues escalating provocations in the asymmetrical/guerilla/insurgent direction as we’ve outlined in previous sitreps. Last time an oil depot was hit in the Belgorod district, it was reported that Russia moved a new S-400 system near the Kharkov border. So now Ukraine shifted its tactics further north out of range, and we see sabotage of various sorts

Sitrep: Operation Z

By Nighvision for the Saker Blog Russia continues grinding down the Ukrainian infrastructure, and that has been the theme of the last few days. There has been a huge uptick in aerial assaults and missile strikes on various infrastructural objects all over. As of this writing a huge amount of missiles are recorded flying over Ukraine, and Tu-95MS bombers are said to be in the air to contribute their KH-101’s.

Sitrep: Urgent Briefing from the Russian Mod re new provocations

❗️ The Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation ( held an urgent briefing, ( detailing a provocation against the Russian Federation prepared by the USA and NATO with the accusation of using nuclear, biological and chemical weapons 💬 The Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation possesses the information related to the preparation of provocations by the United States of America in order to accuse the Russian Armed Forces

Sitrep: Operation Z

By Nightvision for the Saker Blog The biggest development is the announcement by Russia/Putin of Mariupol’s “official liberation.” I’ve written before about how Russia often ‘jumps the gun’ on announcements, but it’s true that the city proper is liberated with the exception of the industrial complex of Azovstal. With that said, there are still upwards of 2000 or more highly trained, fanatical Azov militants and marine remnants of the 36th