I found pretty decent maps on the YouTube channel of Iurii Podoliaka and I will do something ugly but, I hope, effective: add a few things to his maps with my thick black marker.
But first, this: it appears that yesterday Putin had ordered a temporary stop to the Russian offensive while talking with “Ze” but when the latter stopped talking, Putin gave a “full ahead” order.
I will begin with an older (by a few hours) map of this:
The ugly think black lines are from me.
Starting at the top left and going clockwise here is what is important:
- Kiev will soon be encircled
- The Ukie forces in the Donbass are fleeing hoping to avoid being surrounded, or “cauldroned” if you wish, (look how long and narrow the red lines are around the Ukies!)
- Mariupol is almost surrounded
- Nikolaev is under attack
Now, another of these maps, but updated.
Again, going clockwise can clearly see the race between the evacuating Ukie forces from the Donbass and the attempt by Russian forces to envelop them in an “operational cauldron”, exactly as predicted.
Next, Nikolaev is either fully surrounded or will be very soon.
So, what does all that mean?
It means that we are coming to some kind of informational climax here. So far, in the West, that information is suppressed (even Sputnik and RT are under regular DDoS attack). I won’t even bother on the 500 foot high wave of disinformation produced by western PSYOPs in the social media. The bottom line is this, pretty soon I expect
- The operational cauldron in the Donbass to lock in the Ukie forces which did not have time to evacuate
- The entire coast from roughly Nikolaev to Mariupol will be liberated
- Kiev will be if not physically surrounded, then at least “surrounded by fire”, which means that main axes of evacuation will come under steady Russian fire control
Notice something else. In the 2nd map, some cities in the Russian rear are circled in blue: Chernigov, Konotop, Sumy, Kharkov and Kherson. I would add Mariupol to that list. These are all cities which were cut off from the rest of the Ukie forces, but which still have pockets of resistance inside, that is especially true of Mariupol where a large Nazi contingent appears to be ready to take its last stand.
All this is to say that the mopping up operations inside bigger cities might take a while. That is normal and won’t affect any outcome.
So right now the western PYSOPs can still throw out as many claims as it wants, but pretty soon the entire narrative will collapse, at which point the Russia-hating-and-bashing hysteria will reach a new feverish pitch. Be mentally prepared for that.
I will conclude with something quite typical: remember how yesteryear tons of weapons were distributed in Kiev? Well, overnight, various gangs have been engaged in firefights, but not against Russians (who have still not entered the city), but against each other. Some of the wannabe Ukie Volkssturm even took a group of SBU officers prisoners. Some rumors report 60 dead or so just overnight.
Let’s hope that this crazy nonsense stops and that some Ukrainian commanders will restore law and order before their entire country turns into a “Mad Max Zone”. If such commanders are found, I am sure that the Russians will not only not engage them, but will even offer some degree of collaboration.
Putin tried to reason with Ze. Predictably, this did not work.
Now the Russians badly need to find somebody to talk to on the other side. If they don’t, Russia will have to continue to take unilateral actions and turn up the pain dial on both Banderastan and the West.
I hope to be back with a summary of the day later.
Belgrade tower purportedly lights up Russian flag colors in support of Russia.
This is the Avala tower and it always has this color. The president ordered no interference from anyone Serbian in this conflict, no voluntary fighting for Russia and so on in order to uphold strict neutrality.
But there also will be no sanctions from us against anyone. Being neutral is all we can do here so they don’t attack us to show that they can hurt Russia.
Question for Saker: since the obvious counter to US backed Ukie insurgency in the coming months is for Russia to stop restraining the Shiia in Syria and Iraq from using their best weapons to attack US bases and causing serious casualties, do you think there might be a demonstration attack on Al Tanf or the NE in the near future to get the Americans to think again about arming Nazi resisters in Ukraine? An American response under current circumstances risks killing Russians and igniting WWIII. Would the Americans want to put their entire, hugely lucrative position in the Middle East on the line just to cause Russia a little grief in worthless Ukraine?
Big Thank you to you Andrei, God bless you and protect you !
Spanish RT is reporting that there is already an agreement by all EU countries to prohibit the flight of Russian planes in their respective airspace. Everything indicates that it will be a little harder to cut off the heads of the AngloZionist vipers, but I know that Mother Russia will achieve it.
Here in the states gas is rising 10 cents a gas station tank fill, and this is before the big swift cut off.
The moderates are calm as the real bad nato break up news has yet to officially hit the air waves, and all the talk is about bogging down the Russians rather than all the day to day serfs who are about to start missing payments and worse, once the monthly year over year #’s get politically out of hand, which has to happen here in happy or else land.
Bigger picture point. I assume Russia can withstand sanctions its had years to prepare for, but can Germany and the other Europeans maintain their international positions in markets without cheap Russian fuel and other commodities? I bet Chinese, Indian, and other Asian businesses are already planning to use their coming price advantage to deny Europeans markets they’ve been major players in for decades. These sanctions risk making the Europeans uncompetitive if they continue very long. I think the conflict between the US empire and the China-Russia bloc will be primarily economic and I predict that Europe will be forced to surrender before long and meet the terms of Russia’s December security guarantees proposals. Sure, the Americans will do all they can to prevent it, but with Russia currently enjoying military superiority in Europe and the Levant, how can even poodles be brought to heel?
A pro-Putin article on ZeroHedge:
Shellenberger: Western Elites Are Putin’s ‘Useful Idiots’
…Putin “is a rational actor, not a madman.”
The comment section below the article is usually worth a visit, I have seen a lot of support for Putin in previous articles on the war situation, sometimes very eloquently stated.
I awake to 213 comments! … ok, a cup of tea first.
However, in case it has not already been posted this is a good read at ZH that quotes the Saker.
Czech Republic: all alternative sites shut down. 3 years in prison for supporting “Russian aggression”. First people have already been arrested.
Czech universities were known to actively hunt for bright Slavic students, from ex USSR and COMECOM in general
I heard rumors that now professors in Czechia prohibit Russian students attending their lectures and seminars, just because they are Russians
I wonder if those are true or not, but at least they seem to be in line with Western overall racism
Together with our allies in Europe and North America. @Federal Chancellor
Scholz today adopted further tough punitive measures. Russian banks to be excluded from #SWIFT, assets to be frozen, end to Golden Passport. https://twitter.com/RegSprecher/status/1497695421510012928
Just listened to Scott Ritter on consortiumnews…..he strongly insisted Russia has gone in very very soft..so far…to try to bring the Ukrainian peoples over to Russia tjoygh of course on western tv we only see fanatical Ukrainians expressing their hatred .
Scott seems convinced that Russia will go up to Nato borders to ensure denazification..and leave behind some yroops to be a buffer line against Nato directly.I believe that will happens just so Russia can say yes we can go where we want.
Ukraine seems to be believing its own psyops..thousands Russians dead…we can defeat them…even now saying Rus is ejected from swift…one wonders just how much longer the EU as a whole believe these lies especially when Z elected for peace and negotiating Minsk has and is a whole pack of lies so why believe there is any value to his negotiation position if that happens….exemplified by his idiocy saying he is not happy with negotiating terms. So is there a channel directly or indirectly for these communications?
One wonders why France and Germany did not get Minsk implemented….is Germany scared of the neo nazi influence in Ukraine but also been pressurised by them in Germany or afraid of them reawakening back home as USA has been training them back in USA and holds Germany in its grasp?
Now Crimea has its canal back from Ukraine will it permanently station troops along it to hold it?
Is Russia holding back (but blocking escape route westwards) on immediately neutralising ukrops on LOC so that Donbass forces will take them on to humiliate them and leave LNRDPR to run Nuremberg trials under Russian aegis?
Is any reparation for humanitarian and war crimes possible to show the legal authority and status of the new republics? Should all ukrops weaponry be absolutely destroyed?
Is everything else re diplomats and their property problems off the table forever…what happens now OSCE and PACE………???????
Cannot imagine many escaped Ukrainians refugees coming home now….economy will totally tank Uk was supposed yo pay back 60 billion next year….gosh the diaspora around the world is active with protests….one wonders at what point tneir host countries might either get pressurised to take more action against Russia or host countries get fed up with them…..?
Sorry typos….you get the sense. Saker website very slow tonight…watch out?
“…is Germany scared of the neo nazi influence in Ukraine but also been pressurised by them in Germany …”
Why do you not consider the possibility that Germany is playing the same games it did in WW1 & WW2 with respect to Russia — except in a more indirect and covert manner?
Do we hear the Germans standing up as a nation and decrying any Nazi resurgence? Not that I can see.
The rise of this evil fascism seems systemic and has been rising in the spoilt generations since late 1990s — mainly in the form of passive-aggressive backstabbing woke deceit focused on fictions rather than facts. As history shows repeatedly — it does not usually end well.
The Russians (+ Chinese) have just taken the pin and popped the party balloon and now the gas is filling the room and nobody wants to own it.
Russia will win. Putin and his ministers are prepared and disciplined and sensible people. The ukronazis are deluded and will have to adapt to the story, and abandon the liar uncle sam. the Russian military is amazing.
“… deluded and will have to adapt to the story, and abandon …”
Yes, it is more a cult-busting exercise than a full-on war (at the moment at least).
Russia out of swift: declaration of war says Medvedev.
US + EU commit to removing selected Russian banks from Swift
Will impose “restrictive measures that will prevent the Russian central bank from deploying its int’l reserves in ways that undermine the impact of our sanctions”
Would love to see a follow up Bloomberg article on how European creditors will get paid from their Russian portfolio w/on SWIFT. And if/how this move expedites the erosion of the USD as the global reserve currency?
West will have some small temporary pain, but they decided to kill Russia tonight in London. They will QE like crazy. Fake everything. Ukraine is not the issue, but great reset and the dollar reign. China should act now, but won’t.
Expect commandos attacking the Kremlin(gladio nato) and if it does not ‘work’, first nuke strike will follow.
Good for Russia now to firstrike west or else…
This why ‘clean’ invasion does not work. PR and eco wars are 100 % lost.
Expect bank run in Russia and riots.
Very sad, but catastrophic strategy since 2014.
Wow..this is Sorcha Faal, Command and Conquer Red Alert video game level stuff you’ve just invented…real fantasy. But I appreciate your effort and enthusiasm
The disconnection of some Russian banks from the swift system has already begun. Ursula von der Leyen announced it a few moments ago
Well. If true, it looks the US has managed to convince EU to a seppuku.
Not much to add there.
the measure is a bit more ‘defanged’ than it seems. They are removing only “already sanctioned russian banks” (a small list) from Swift. Not removing Russian citizens and not every single bank. We’re yet to see what kind of impact this will really have, if any.
Wasn’t he a puppet of Kolomovski from the getgo?
Has he taken to a life of his own in his biggest role yet?
The other clown who now apparently speaks fluent Russian and, Ukranian have applied for citizenship in Absurdistan on numerous occasions without any luck so far (rejected).
“1/2 ‼️These weapons will be supplied to Ukraine by the Europeans:
2000 ATGM from UK,
4000 mines for grenade launchers, machine guns and pistols – Czech Republic,
200 Stingers, radars, small arms – the Netherlands,
2000 vending machines, https://t.me/vicktop55/86”
I will add:
5000 white flags supplied from France
500 Critical Race Theory textbooks supplied from U.S.
700 Septic Tanks supplied by Poland (who mistake them for Tanks)
250 Broomsticks supplied by Germany (which is what they’ve been using for guns after running out of military funding)
$350,000 liquidated assets from Prince Andrew’s childsex trafficking court settlement sent from UK.
Enough of your stream of conscience!!! Putin already said that all sanctions will follow anyway. China and India will happily take everything what EU doesn’t want now. Russia still has all the nukes and all the guns and all the rare earth resources to be quite self sustained.
It seems that EU contries with their industries want to pay double for gas, coal, fuel, raw materials and more. We will see who is better on surviving with thightnen belts around the belly. My bet is on Russia.
Well said, AndrewK.
We want facts. Some people here can vastly improve their comments by taking a breath, collate some info and get some corroborating evidence to support what they post instead of repeating what other sources say as the posts appear on their internet feed. Otherwise they’re just increasing the mods’ workload and clogging up the comments section.
For those who read my writeup earlier and my mentions of Lyvov. Here is some footage showing how big of a refugee transport hub Lyvov has become https://twitter.com/spriter99880/status/1497702376253399044
Transference of materiel to Ukraine already occurring: https://twitter.com/spriter99880/status/1497717022184071174
I don’t think there has ever been a war like this where one side tries to avoid killing the other side as much as possible. In the next few days we will probably find out if this works or not. If it doesn’t, then the Russian tactics will probably change and the conflict become bloodier. I think the big question is how the Ukrainian public responds to this invasion; that will largely decide how this invasion plays out. Presumably, the Russians have good intelligence on Ukrainian attitudes and expect a positive response.
I expected it to some extent but even I’m shocked to the extent that Putin is using ‘kid gloves’ on Ukraine. I even read one report (not sure if true) that Russian army allowed Ukrainian troops to withdraw from one town (without killing them) as long as they left the heavy equipment/artillery behind. Unfortunately this ‘soft’ attitude has its drawbacks and penalties which we’re seeing now. The most obvious is: many Ukrainian civilians themselves feel so little fear around Russian troops that they are bullying and in some cases attacking Russian troops and are emboldened by this Russian attitude, mistaking it for cowardice or low morale when in reality Russian troops are trying their hardest to spare everyone’s life INCLUDING the Ukrop troops.
Official Chinese embassy of Russia shares the following post on twitter (in case you were still wondering whose side they’re on)
“Putin tried to reason with Ze. Predictably, this did not work.”
CIA must have changed Zel. intention of talking with Putin. Do they want to have Russia trapped into a prolonged war? a street by street war? I hope and pray this horror may end soon!
Somewhere I saw RonPaulInstitute posted that supposedly he has contacts in U.S. intelligence that told him that CIA told Zelensky he must at all costs “hold out for a few more days” until the time that Russian forces are able to fight with the ‘armed civilians’ of Ukraine so that Russian troops can be seen killing many civilians. They need Ukraine to stay alive for that key moment so they do not want him to surrender until then
Same reason why there is no statement complete with evidence about 911 being an inside job.
Russian doesn’t use the media to hurt other countries.
Imagine if Russia showed the Western world that 911 was organized from within. There would be riots in the US, UK against their governments.
They’re just waiting for the right moment. Rest assured all the of the dirt is going to come to light.
Right now is not the moment. The zombies are inoculated against the truth presently. Once the veil has been lifted for them through some shock and awe event, then the truth will be revealed. Then the West will be left with their now awakened populace fully aware of the evil they have aided and abetted. 9/11 (and a few other key events) are psychological nuclear weapons. Kind of a grand finale move.
Right now it would never get past the hysterical screeching on the MSM. But don’t worry, you’ll get your 9/11 was an inside job, the moon landing was fake, and the aliens have been working with Putin all along moment. Ok, maybe not the last part….
Reported on rt.com that Germany are sending Ukraine anti tank weapons.
Question is how are NATO able to successfully send and arm the UAF when the country is blocked in all directions and in the air?
It’s not blocked in Lyvov on Polish border. Poland already said how they are doing it is Ukraine drives into Poland and there they give them the stuff, then Ukraine drives back into Lyvov.
Russia needs to stop that, as I’ve mentioned elsewhere in this thread. Surely Russia can gain control of the Polish border crossings on the Ukraine side without directly threatening Poland. Granted, it means diverting forces but Russia hasn’t committed much so far anyway. Send the damn 10,000 Chechens! :-)
yes they can and they are doing it, but they are working slowly towards that direction. Lyvov is extremely far, the most distant part of Ukraine and Ukraine is the largest country in Europe by a wide margin, in fact double the area of Germany in square kilometers.
There are certainly quite a few pops and bangs going on in Kiev right now according to this feed which I assume is live https://youtu.be/HIPNVm6lNfM
Russia or the USSR, it makes no difference to the West, since 1956 has always been the convenient playground target, so frankly they have nothing to lose, even the Swift action will hurt the EU more than Russia. I wonder if this does happen the spigots will be turned off, that will concentrate minds severly in the EU. The US are quite used to other countries bearing the burden of their activities abroad.
Just in: The Russian MoD has announced that Kyiv has been effectively blocked from the Western side. Two army units have joined up to do this. They are both Paratroop and Airborne. Among them are the devastating Presidential squads and unit armies. Allahu Akbar. It would seem that the airport ( Gostomel airport) on the suburbs of Kyiv has been taken over, with Russians firmly in control. Kyiv is dangerously about to be encircled in an anaconda situation, per official representative of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation Igor Konashenkov. Its all right here, just need to translate it :
The official representative of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation Igor Konashenkov., has stated that also accused the Leadership of Ukraine of trying to use civilians as a “human shield”.
“I appeal to Ukrainian citizens. Your nationalist leadership uses the same methods as terrorists. They want to use you as a human shield. The Russian armed forces will not carry out any strikes on residential areas of the Ukrainian capital,” the representative of the Russian Defense Ministry said. He also stated that Gostomel airfield in the suburbs of the Kyiv battle, more than 200 people from the special units of Ukraine were killed.
Earlier on Friday, the Russian Defense Ministry said that the Russian military took control of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant.
4 Ukie fighter planes were shot down. What idiot suicidal Ukie pilot would take to the skies now is unbelievable.
Russia has effectively been kicked off Swift. No worries, this was expected. The Chinese will assist Russia to the fullest extent.
Russia and China have a military pact, to assist one another in the case of war. This is war. Economic, physical weaponry, physiological, etc. People at the helm in Taiwan should not sleep now.
The E.U. has banned Russian civilian flights in its territory, whilst Russia has banned the same to European countries. Please take into consideration, Russia spans 12 time zones. Its going to be a nightmare for England to get around, along with many other Euro countries.
” Russia and China have a military pact, to assist one another in the case of war. ”
No they dont. Prove me wrong.
China cannot assist militarily here anyway, more politically and help get round financial warfare.
The audio feed appears to have switched to Lviv oblast now, sounds a lot going on. Things seem to be going fast now. Bizarre that pop music being played at the same time as the explosions.
Nice animated map
honestly the ‘winner’ will be determined by what happens economically to each side after the dust settles from the economic war that underscores the military war. Imagine for instance, if all the most “brutal sanctions” the West does (Swift cut off etc) and a couple weeks later it emerges that Russian economy has in fact resiliently not been affected, and/or China has chipped in and rerouted / picked up the slack on Russian banking system. What then? Suddenly West is out of options. Also in this case Russia has massive advantages due to the fact of a neighboring friendly client state of Belarus to the north to help watch, and the black sea fully militarized/controlled by Russia to the south. Only in the west does Ukraine have capability to play tricks, with their NATO friendly borders there.
I wonder (along with many more) how more much land Rus will end up with, when it’s all done.
Cut off Ukr completely from the Black Sea?
Evidence shows that Ukie Gas and electricity supply/POL infrastrucure is being targeted especially in the last few hours. Maybe that was what the Long-range Aviation Command targets were this evening?
Good chance that could be it
It maybe too early to say but, we may be seeing the pace of operations has been stepped up further.
This looks like Smerch 9K515 (Tornado-S) judging by the rate of impact on targets in Kharkiv.
That is definitely the case. Phase 2 has begun.
George Soros condemns Putin and asks the world to stand with Ukraine
and for what it’s worth, this guy has also changed his profile to a Ukrainian flag and has been spouting 24/7 nonstop anti-Russian, pro-Ukrainian agitprop
A small addendum for those who are questioning Russia’s advances. Here is a snippet from an NYTimes article from 1 week into the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003:
“One week after the United States unleashed its military campaign to drive Saddam Hussein from power, the war has become a tough fight. The air campaign that the Pentagon promised would “shock and awe” Saddam Hussein’s government appears to have done neither. Mr. Hussein has not lost his grip on power and the Iraqi military’s command and control system is still infact.”
This shows that hindsight is always 20/20. When people selectively remember something years later they say it went so well, yet at the time, the U.S. was having the same alleged “issues” that the media now claims Russia is having. So after 1 full week of the entire NATO allied ‘shock and awe’ bombing of Iraq, they still were not able to budge Saddam’s forces nor even disrupt the ‘command and control system’, yet there are some people crying that Russia wasn’t able to do this in Ukraine in 2 days? Oh the hypocrisy.
Also, please remind me, how long did it take the entire NATO alliance to ‘subdue’ tiny Yugoslavia……? In fact wikipedia lists NATO as having used 1,100 aircraft that bombed round the clock, hundreds of sorties a day, from March 24 to June 10 — so almost 3 months of nonstop continual assault it took NATO to subdue a tiny country 1/5 the population of Ukraine or less. But Russia is supposed to do the same result in 2 days………?
“Also, please remind me, how long did it take the entire NATO alliance to ‘subdue’ tiny Yugoslavia……? ”
And, as an aside to that, for that nearly 3 month period, the UK had an invasion force of between 10,000 – 15,000 infantry that did not dare step one foot across the Serbian border until the Serbian military agreed to their entry under the guise of the UN as a supposed peace keeping force (they turned out to be an ethnic cleansing/genocide force assisting the terrorist UCK to murder & expel Serb civilians from their homes). It was a pathetic display – it was this cowardice on NATO’s part that actually demonstrated to the Russian political & military leadership that they had nothing to fear from NATO, including the US, that in the post Cold War 90s their power had been so crudely overhyped as to be pure Hollywood fantasy. Of course real professionals in Russian military/security circles knew this all along, but the NATO aggression was just confirmation of what they already knew, or suspected. And the conclusion – how can Russia & Yelstsin allow itself to capitulate to this pathetic assembly? For what? To be raped & destroyed? By a group of countries whose ass you could whip if you just got your own act together? Well, Russia did – & here we are, & what a glorious place it is.
For what it’s worth, two twitter posts (although they seem to be the same image and sub-text interpretation).
Reality or not, the narrative seems to moving towards “gas-infrastructure impacted” etc. Pleanty of plausible deniability of any specific intentionality etc, … so 3-days of gas-storage supplies and a few more months of cold winter nights in Europe makes it a faster drive to sitting down for p2p ‘talks’ on Russian Dec-2021 terms.
“A gas pipeline was reportedly hit in #Kharkiv causing this explosion” (I won’t bother with the links — they are easily found on sites previously listed. About 2-3 hours old by time stamp).
What’s the bet that suddenly NS2 is ‘approved’ on emergency humanitarian grounds. A bit late now, Russia probably has some unexpected technical pumping problems to deal with … it’s that Baltic ‘climate change’ problem (wink).
Go figure. That will be a perfect pretext for implementing their green revolution and renewable energy daydreams.
I have been hoping to see support from the large Russian diaspora in the Ukraine, and even some non-russians who who welcome Russia assuming control from the criminal Kiev regime. Any sign of that happening?
Excellent update. The TV news said all day that the resistance was “stiff.” I use sports metaphors to stay grounded: It cannot be that a barely average fighter is presenting stiff resistance to Golovkin! It cannot be that San Jose de Oruro, a modest team, has gone to Buenos Aires and is offering “stiff” resistance to Boca Juniors at the Bombonera stadium, and the score is 0-0. It just doesn’t work that way. But, it’s a learning experience to see how the phantasies are really authentic, caused by biases and prejudices, and just how far they can go. Finally, one comes here for a real account of the conflict.
imagine how brainwashed and propagandized one has to be to believe your side is offering “stiff” resistance when the enemy troops not only enveloped your capital city but actually reached the CITY CENTER within the first 36 hours of combat…..I’m speechless.
Russian troops have been provably fighting Ukrop defenses INSIDE KIEV their capital city since yesterday…..
Imagine if the U.S. got invaded by China, and Chinese troops were already outside the white house by the end of the first day, I wonder if Americans would character their own defense as a ‘stiff resistance’.
Someone please tell me, how is it possible someone can think you’re doing well when your capital city is breached in the first day of combat……….?
They think they’re doing well now. I didn’t sense they thought they were doing well during the first 24 hours. It’s possible that Zelensky is not well-informed about the battles.
From my analysis, the reason it seems they believe they’re doing well is because some of their largest cities like Kharkov have remained unconquered and so it must give them some boost of pride. But in reality Russia simply bypassed then enveloped those cities with super agile/fast mechanized forces and now is leaving them to be cleaned up later while they are completely surrounded, while Russia continues capturing objectives much deeper in enemy territory.
It turns out the Ukrops are too stupid at strategy to realize they are surrounded in their bunkered urban nests and they think this is a victory of some sort.
I think your last description applies but not to the Ukranian army professionals. They realize it, feel it. It doesn’t look good even to us. This points also to the possibility that Zelensky is not well-informed, because yesterday he sounded pleased with his resistance, and I think with his international image also.
“Someone please tell me, how is it possible someone can think you’re doing well when your capital city is breached in the first day of combat”
Very simple. If you have some fentanyl supply …..
We all saw this..
“No matter who tries to stand in our way or all the more so create threats for our country and our people, they must know that Russia will respond immediately, and the consequences will be such as you have never seen in your entire history. No matter how the events unfold, we are ready. All the necessary decisions in this regard have been taken. I hope that my words will be heard.”
The Western Cretin’s, being cretins of course need things spelt out to them in blatant terms! I wonder if seeing this makes them realise how every contingency is being prepated for..
a RT-2PM2 Topol-M TELS complex being very public.
But then again!
I saw that report yesterday with the ICBM moving around and supposedly according to this particular report, they asked them where it was going, and the response was, ‘it’s going to the victory parade.’ I have no idea if this is joke or reality, but that’s how report was presented that the ICBM was being moved to moscow for victory parade…. *shrugs*
Maybe the officers moving the weapon were giving a sarcastic response in order to artfully dodge the question.
They mean the May 9 victory parade held every year with prior training at Alabino in Moscow outskirts. Not a hypothetical Victory over Ukraine parade.
President Vladimir Putin placed the country’s nuclear deterrent forces on “special” alert on Sunday, announcing the move during a meeting with Russia’s Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu and Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov.
“Western countries are not only taking unfriendly actions against our country in the economic area. I’m speaking about the illegitimate sanctions that everyone is well aware of. However, the top officials of the leading NATO countries also make aggressive statements against our country as well,” Putin stated.
My thoughts regarding pre-dispersal of the RT-2PM2 Topol-M TELS complex looks to be right..
Always honour the threat..
They most certainly are..
All very exciting. I hope to hell the Russians have a GOOD post invasion gameplan for controlling the country. The story of Iraq is not the three week march to Bagdad and the pretty explosions. It’s the occupation and the failure to establish a stable client government with competent security forces. Success in this realm is a lot more difficult and a lot more significant than the military porn. The US plan is likely Afghanistan/Vietnam redux with US proxies as the insurgents. Will it work? I don’t know, but Russia has embarked on a very risky, and I believe stupid, endeavor. As for the Azov battalion, not likely they will be kettled and wiped out. More likely they will fade into the country in 8 man teams just as they’ve been trained to do. Back to their safe houses and weapons caches– for future mayhem.
Just want to say thanks man, cant believe just found ur site now. Cant even watch reguler news channel even for 5 seconds these days. What is it that is so hard to understand of Putin’s concerns, US has her Monroe doctrine as well. The hypocrisy is astounding to say the least.
Same sentiment from me; I’m Australian and the mainstream news here is uniformly anti-Russian. I’ve long had an interest in Russia (especially their spaceflight program), so finding sites like this is a relief, and useful for a different perspective.
yes me too, Australian i mean :). The media here is sickening, i’m really grateful for sites like this.
Hey, so I was one of the naysayers who did not think this invasion was going to happen. I remember when I first stumbled upon The Saker and he was saying this back in April. Well, he was right and I was wrong.
But I’m commenting here now because I want to share an observation regarding the claims that the Ukrainians killed 2,800 Russians and destroyed more than 580 vehicles… come on. I don’t feel like I should even need to explain why that’s a stupid thing to believe. The 1943 Battle of Kursk was the single largest tank battle in human history, and lasted 46 days. Overall, the Germans destroyed 7,000 Soviet tanks and guns (and still failed, by the way). Of course those losses weren’t evenly distributed, but on average that’s a little over 152 vehicle kills a day. The Ukrainians destroyed 500?
“Journalists” actually say this shit with a straight face. They expect me to believe that the Ukrainian army, with their Soviet-era equipment and a handful of expired hand-me-down javelins, inflicted three times more damage than the Wehrmacht? Also, this is not World War II. The currently engaged Russian forces are much smaller and more spread out, and so are the Ukrainians. Not to mention the 1943 Germans had an air force. Most of Ukraine’s combat aircraft have been destroyed, and it’s questionable how many of them were serviceable to begin with. So in short, much smaller armies, a more dispersed and less target-rich environment, virtually no aircraft, very few tanks, against an enemy with total air superiority… and the Ukrainians still did better than the Wehrmacht? Bullshit.
I am not in any way attacking Ukrainians or claiming they’re not competent. I simply ask that people try to stick to the truth, fact check with a sense of realism, and don’t drape disinformation with vapid sentimentality and attack anyone who questions it.
Of course it’s perfectly obvious why journalists are so eagerly spreading this nonsense. They want to invoke the “Asiatic horde” stereotype, and know that after a hundred years of persistent propaganda, we’re gullible enough to believe it. I think there’s a second fairly obvious reason.
The 2014 war in Donbass inflicted thousands upon thousands of military and civilian casualties. Anyone with half a brain should be able to look at a “137 dead” figure and deduce that this means the actual combat is very limited. The Russians rolled in with a friendly posture, and the large majority of Ukrainian soldiers declined to fight them. That’s the only remotely plausible explanation. If you’re still not convinced, Russian tanks arrive outside Kyiv in under 24 hours. How did Russians wade 200 kilometers through thousands of Ukrainian border guards so fast, and without killing them? Magic?
I wrote some more below, again, thanks Saker for keeping us in the loop. I really do appreciate it, and I’ve forwarded your story to some friends as well. https://readingjunkie.com/2022/02/25/american-thoughts-on-the-invasion-of-ukraine/
Of course their numbers are completely fake. Even U.S.’s month long invasion of Iraq/Bagdad only produced according to some sources 5000-7000 iraqi KIA. Ukraine is claiming more Russians are dying in this invasion than Iraqi troops in 2003 invasion. There’s maybe 30-50 KIA tops so far for Russian forces.
Croatian (NATO) troops landed in Ukraine ‘Volunteers’
Yugoslav Language –
The sooner kiev is taken the quicker the war will end ..and then hopefully peace and sanity although under a different government.
RT.De report from Russian Defense Ministry ( machine translation )
…. Konashenkov also announced that the 302nd anti-aircraft regiment of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kharkov region voluntarily laid down its weapons, including Buk-1 medium-range surface-to-air missile systems. The 471 Ukrainian army personnel were arrested. They would be treated with respect and given all the help they needed. Later they would go to their families…….
Supports other reports that regular Ukrainian conscripts refuse to fight and are wise enough to welcome the peacekeepers
Ukraine wants to set up troops with volunteers from abroad
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announces that his country wants to set up an “international” force with volunteers from abroad. “This will be decisive evidence of your support for our country,” Zelenskyy said in a statement. Meanwhile, explosions can be heard again in Kiev. …..
War Party really wants to keep the fighting going as long as possible. Wonder what Eric Prince’s cut of the Mercs will be ?
》“This will be decisive evidence of your support for our country,” Zelenskyy said in a statement. 《
It sounds like Z got plenty of undecisive support from his “friends”.
Small update with bit of analysis:
-Konashenkov / Russian MOD have just announced the entire Ukrainian 302nd Anti-aircraft Missile Regiment has surrendered. A total of 471 servicemen have been apprehended and are being processed. These were based apparently in Kharkov
-at the same time, Russian forces are now making a major storming operation of Kharkov from several axes in the north / northeast and possibly more. Dozens of videos of urban warfare are making the rounds as Kharkov is Ukraine’s 2nd largest city after Kiev. From the several geo-locations I’ve seen where Russian forces were confirmed to have captured neighborhoods, it looks like they’ve penetrated as much as halfway towards Kharkov’s city center. Ukrop forces seem to have melded amongst the population and are conducting guerilla warfare in an urban setting
-This leads me to the crux of my analysis. One interesting thing I’ve noticed is Russian forces in Kharkov and elsewhere are relying exclusively on light armor / mechanized type forces and we’re seeing very little tank warfare anymore from either side. This has led me to make a bold conclusion that I believe Russian air strikes have pretty much decimated the vast majority of Ukraine’s heavy armor. At least in the current flashpoints (not sure about the as of yet uncontested strongholds much further West where some remaining armor could have retreated to), but it seems to me that the entire operation is now reaching a new phase. There is no more real heavy armor/tank action and in fact we’re now shifting into the insurgency / urban warfare / mopping operations phase. Primarily I’m talking about Kharkov, but what struck me even in the Kiev fighting so far is there likewise seems to be a complete lack of heavy armor on the Ukrainian side which is what leads me to conclude the vast majority of Ukie armor has already been destroyed in the country, shifting the whole operation to a 2nd phase.
In Kharkov we’re seeing soldiers in platoon formations walking around with Gaz Tigrs and Typhoon vehicles, not even the lighter APC type vehicles, and the return fire I’ve seen in some of the fire fights always looked like it was coming from small pockets of hidden resistance that’s hiding amongst buildings/trees etc. No where is there a sight of any Ukrainian vehicles let alone heavy armor.
This is echoed in much of the fighting in other regions I’m seeing, like even Kherson where there appears to be mostly light armor like the ubiquitous BMD-4’s. Even in the recent spate of post-battle photos of destroyed Ukrainian equipment, I’m no longer seeing much tanks, mostly trucks and light APC’s and such, which further reinforces my contention. I hope Saker can chime in with his expert opinion on this matter, but this is how I’m seeing it right now.
The only thing is: Igor Konashenkov in his address I believe stated the total number of Ukrainian tanks “and other combat vehicles” that have so far been destroyed were 223. Ukraine was said to have upwards of 500-1000++ tanks depending how you count them (“total” figures are often misleading as many of the tanks listed are really mothballed in storage, often without parts etc). I’m wondering if anyone has any insight on a rough ballpark estimate of how many actual usable active duty tanks Ukraine is supposed to have?
So if Russia has destroyed in the ~200+ range, I wonder if it means Ukraine still has hundreds left, or did that 100 comprise most of their working order, field-able heavy armor? That would be on par with most EUropean countries as Germany and England both have only 150-250 heavy battle tanks (leopard and challenger) total in their armed forces.
“EUropean countries as Germany and England both have only 150-250 heavy battle tanks”
Does that mean German tanks would last 3 days or less in the war with Russia?
Germany officially has 159 operational Leopard 2 main battle tanks.
They have an additional 350 “Puma” fighting vehicles (light/medium armor APC) and hundreds of other “light armor” vehicles. But main battle tanks is a tiny 159. You can see the official numbers here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_modern_equipment_of_the_German_Army
Same with England which has only 227 Challenger main battle tanks https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_equipment_of_the_British_Army
Russia is listed as having 2,000+ active T-72’s with 7,000 in reserve (in storage, ready to be activated if needed)
400 T-80’s, with 4,000 in reserve/storage
370 T-90’s, with 200 in reserve
Beyond that it has about 20,000 other light vehicles like BMP’s, BTR’s etc etc.
So I’ll let you imagine what a force of 159 battle tanks would do against a force of about 15,000 (counting reserves) or about 3,000 active battletanks.
Of course if you ask a German they’ll claim their tanks are so superior they will get a 10 to 1 kill ratio. Unfortunately even at that ratio 159 tanks would only kill 1,590 and Russia would have 14,000 left. (not that they would achieve such a ratio anyway, but for argument’s sake)
Yikes: pile of burned Ukrainian Mig29’s in base after RuAF bombing
Another Ukie Su-25 shot down https://twitter.com/ASBMilitary/status/1497843939583352832
And woah – big update if true: Russian tank column has supposedly broken through Kiev’s outer defenses and is now storming Kiev
Ive always liked Putin because he’s a groovy kind of guy.
Doesnt stand for any nonsense from the devils undermining all of humanity around the globe.
Hopefully this operation will send a warning signal to the forces of darkness as the White Knight of Russia saves the Ukraine from their clutches.
Olaf Scholz giving emergency speech to German Parliament. ( live notes 11am local time start )
1) Full Blown War Party Intro: ‘Putin is evil’ ‘Most dangerous in nearly 100 years’
Putin, Putin, Putin,Putin. Putin
5 proposals to Parliament-
A) Support Ukraine with weapons
B) Russian Sanctions of the most tough ( loud clapping when Scholz talks SWIFT cut off ) Accountablity for those Responsible ( Putin’s War) but Germans like ordinary Russians.
C) stop ‘Putin’s war’ from overflowing to NATO eastern flanks. Send some German units to NATO eastern flank ( list of particular units and locations )
D) Increased Budget for German Military to support Russia ( rhubarb and whispers in parliament, some heckling, contra cheering ) 100€ billion emergency funding for 2022 alone, of course 2% of GDP for military thereafter. Build with France next generation Aircraft in Europe. Buying Israeli Drones rush order. ( big rhubarb ) Energy Supply Changes – increased push for renewables; increased capacity for storing NG; 2 new LNG terminals. Putin’s War is to blame for high energy prices – subsidies for energy use
E) No longer Naive in diplomacy; we will continue to communicate with Russia. However, Stand by our Alliances in Europe and Worldwide. EU and NATO standing together. We defend against Putin’s War.
Conclusion – It’s a full
Blown war speech. Shocking.
it is like those tiny animals that when threatened scream really loud. Scholz is a career lawyer-bureaucrat-politician.
this is probably the first time in his life he has felt “afraid”. i say afraid very loosely
of course talk big. No russian gas = no deutsch factories
I was reading a comparison of how well US and it’s allies did against Iraq compared to how Russia is doing against Ukraine. What do you guys think?
One example. There yesterday were confirmed Russian troops spotted in both Berdyansk and as far as Osipenko. By roadways measurement, this is a whopping 250km from Crimea, about 100km/day advance. German Blitzkrieg 50 km/day. American blitz on Bagdad in 2003 averaged 22km/day.
Very simple, U.S. invaded Iraq on March 21 and reached Bagdad April 10. 3 weeks.
Russia is already seizing Kiev which may fall any night now after 2-3 days.
And btw, yesterday I posted article from NYTimes dated 2003. It was written 1 week after the invasion, so late March, 2003. It said how 1 week into the invasion and U.S.’s “shock and awe” campaign still failed to dislodge Iraq ‘command and control’ or anti air capabilities and there were alot of “setbacks” for U.S. campaign including high profile capture of American units / POW’s by Iraq.
Does anyone remember her? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jessica_Lynch her entire unit captured by Iraqi forces in 1st week of invasion
I expected that Russia prepared reasonable military officers for the aftermath of the intervention.
Perhaps they have them in reserve for the next stage.
Talking about Kharkov, wouldn’t be better to carry out the reconnoissance mission on foot or using drones, rather than with Tiger armed cars ?
It’s difficult to judge what they were doing, it was a clean up operation because 500 had surrendered already and now the Kharkov mayor (news as of 10 minutes ago) is possibly discussing surrender of city. So don’t believe everything you hear from Ukie side, Russian troops are doing what they believe is necessary. Their mode of operations is different than western analysts are capable of analyzing. Russian spetsnaz were using the cars as shields and did not care to lose them, which is why there was seemingly no losses on Russian side (in terms of soldiers).
Turns out this Kharkov mayor vid is from 1.5 to 2 days ago BUT there IS actual news that the 137th marine battalion of Kharkov is ready to surrender. Not confirmed (impossible to confirm anything in this war) but here’s the info:
“Rumors that the 137th Marines Battalion of the Ukrainian army is negotiating a surrender with Russian forces & as a sign of good faith has sent over a whole bunch of maps, journals and other stuff. No idea if this is true or propaganda but there’s photos of the documents”
I have immediate access to Russian and Western sites through Yandex, including The Saker. Lightening speeds without latency or hesitation … and Yandex has an excellent translation capacity from Russian to English. Am I missing something?
The delegation of the Russian Federation headed by Assistant to the President of Russia Vladimir Medinsky remains in Minsk and is ready to wait until 15.00 (2 hours) Belarusian time for the Ukrainian side to confirm its readiness to take part in the negotiations in Gomel. It was Kyiv that initiated them.
In the event of another refusal and new excuses, the entire responsibility for the further development of events will lie with the current government of Ukraine.
“We were about to leave, but literally around 15:00 we received information from the Ukrainian side about the interest and confirmation of the negotiations”: Medinsky said that Ukraine agreed to talks in Gomel.
Kadyrov turned to Putin with a request to give permission “to start a large-scale operation in all directions and on the territory of Ukraine”:
“I ask the leadership of the country, the Supreme Commander of the Russian Armed Forces Vladimir Putin, to give all special forces the appropriate order so that they can finish with the Nazis and, of course, with the terrorists who killed our women, old people and children in the Chechen Republic.”
Putin meets with Russian Defense Minister Shoigu and Gerasimov.
Putin ordered the Ministry of Defense to transfer the Russian deterrence forces to a special mode of combat duty.
Apparently a destroyed Russian column very close to Kiev… Can anyone elaborate on what weapon system can cause such a carnage? That looks like an aerial attack of some sort, but really? from the Ukrainians???
it was most likely a direct artillery, otherwise Mi-24.
Cassad states that in Kharkov nearly 500 “ПВОшников” surrounded.
I have seen some faces, they seems to be young boys.
So Kharkov Op is a total failure at least for now.
“Can anyone elaborate on what weapon system can cause such a carnage?”
What I see here is several intact vehicles with ‘V’ written on them that could be part of the Russian column, there appears to be some soldiers in the very early opening segment but at a long distance. The rest of the vehicles are so badly damaged by fire it’s impossible to tell what side they were on.
Alternate explanation: Destroyed Ukrainian convoy with a couple of Russian vehicles that were either broken down and left or where the servicemen were not visible in the video.
The overseas Ukrainian nationalists are in overdrive right now trying to paint a picture of the brave Ukrainian forces fighting to the last bullet before their final last act of defiance. Sit back and enjoy the propaganda, avoid emotion and process on visible and tangible facts, not opinion. Opinion comes after facts.
Hopefully, one of the other posters who has a better knowledge of the burned out hulks provenance will parse the video later.
That’s been taken out by fast air.
destroyed by Russians, the guy says
I’m amazed that the woke West allowed his “colourful language”, if they could understand, it would’ve burnt their ears!
“Desperate to deter the Russian offensive, Ukraine’s army has been massively using phosphorus munitions in areas close to Kiev and near Gostomel Airport. They are using 122 mm D30 howitzers and rockets for BM-21 “Grad” systems made in the Soviet Union,” official spokesman for the MoD, Igor Konashenkov, said. ”
I think this is it.
Some more detailed news here:
Putin responds to NATO warmongering by putting his nukes on high alert.
Wow. The guy follows through what he threatens.
I’m finding the Western propaganda hilarious this time around. I can’t tell where the Ukie bullshit starts and ends in it all, they seem to have perfect bullshit synchronized with their NATO “allies” Between faked Jets being shot down and 13 brave defenders of a golf course sized island which turns out to be 82 captured without injuries defenders. Defenders of what?
Going by the comments from a swarm of similarly mushroom addled trolls, Russians are deserting in huge numbers, joining their Ukie brothers to defend and losing armor and planes faster than they can find pilots. Also there’s a large force of Ukrainian crack troops surrounding Moscow which is expected to surrender up Putin or face destruction.
I am not even making any of that up. it is surreal even in a world which switched to surreal and never turned back already two years ago.
Your analysis has been pretty spot on., I was just re-reading earlier posts from just prior to the fireworks and you nailed it. I don’t doubt we are still not even seeing the best bit. Inshallah the best is yet to come. I’m a retired pyro and love a big finale so I hope Russia gives us a good show. Just maybe slightly short of a full nuclear exchange though I am not sure there’s much downside to that anymore either.
Nazis with Nukes:
Here is the Zelensky speech on the Munich “Security Conference” 2022
in which he announces that Ukraine will cease to abide by the Budapest Memorandum, i.e. that Ukraine may aquire nukes in the future:
Here is an article regarding that speech:
President Zelensky suggests Ukraine may pursue nuclear weapons to blunt Russian ambitions
‘If Ukraine acquires weapons of mass destruction, the situation in the world and in Europe will drastically change, especially for us, for Russia,’ Putin said.
Feb 23, 2022
How was the one how thought that the USA will be at least 10 Years away from Hypersonic Missiles?
Seems he was wrong. And this gives the whole Ukraine thing a whole different meaning. Guess the Ukraine will not be the last thing Russia will get rid of. As far as i think the Rumenia launch side is also capable of starting such missiles…also the baltics will be VERY CLOSE, even for SEVERAL NETWORKED S500 Systems in Moskau.
Ukrop nazi’s are executing civilians in broad daylight. Warning *Graphic*
—-Top officials at Brookings Institute call for “Regime Change” in Russia
—-“#BP said on Sunday it had decided to exit its 19.75 % stake in Russian oil giant #Rosneft after #Russia’s invasion of #Ukraine
(But will Rosneft pay them – and how?)”
—-⚡️Council of the Federation: #Russia will be delivering precision strikes on individuals on #Ukraine’s territory who transport arms to #Kiev
—–Turkey to implement pact limiting Russian warships to Black Sea
(read the specific details in this article before you cry hysterically, it’s very specific)
In the one country after the other what was unthinkable yesterday becomes necessary today. 🇸🇪 now announces sending also 5.000 AT4 antitank weapons to 🇺🇦. That’s substantial. It’s an effective weapon highly regarded by also the US Army.
European Union to immediately fund weapons for Ukraine
RT / Sputnik and several other Russian channels banned in all of EU.
Google and Youtube both announced the complete demonetization of said channels, they will not be able to get $$$ from any Adsense money anymore. Wouldn’t be surprised if ban in U.S. is to follow as it’s already spotty accessing RT for several days in a row.
I know many here are faint of heart and are scared/worried about all these rapidly evolving escalations. But personally I am so glad it is all happening. The reason is, all of these actions, which have come so swiftly from our “partners” in EU and elsewhere, are to me the equivalent of–you know when you get into an argument with someone who’s been holding some secret grievances against you, and they use that argument to fully unload all the dirt and slag they’ve been saving up, all the insults and backstabs and “truths” they’ve been meaning to tell you about yourself?
The sheer swiftness and lack of any resistance in the apparatus of the western world order in enacting all these various escalations against Russia similarly shows that these are all things they were just DYING to do anyway and were looking for any excuse to do them. And of course we know this is true because every single one of these things were already in talks for a long time, with internal pressures constantly pushing them to find any excuse possible to enact these things on Russia.
For example the SWIFT thing has been in talks for years, the closures of airspace and flight bans and various sanctions/embargoes have been in action and talks for years, the banning of RT and Russian media has been a slowly increasing thing for years ever since they started massively cracking down on it after the presidential election where they claimed ‘Russia interfered in the election’. That’s when they already started demonetizing everything Russian related, and putting flags on all Russian media that says “State Sponsored Media” and little disclaimers and “fact checks” everywhere.
Similarly, escalations like the Bosphorous/Montreaux situation has been in talks for years to the extent that NATO has even been pushing Turkey to build a new canal next to the bosphorous which would be exempt from any past treaties.
Every single one of these things are weapons that were sitting in the holster, that the west has been just ITCHING to use and look for any excuse. So, as an accelerationist, I say this is the perfect time to rip off all bandaids, and just let it all out. Every sling and arrow that the corrupt, dying western establishment meant to launch at Russia, let them launch them all at once so we can finally see the true face of the globalist West and they can be exposed for what they truly are.
I don’t know what the outcome of all this will be, but I’m so glad it’s happening because finally EVERYTHING will be laid on the table, all truths revealed, and we will see who is the last one left standing.
Agree. I haven’t felt this good in 30 years. Feels like justice arrived.
OMG! LOOK WHO’S BACK!!!
Erdogan’s favorite “refugee child” from Idlib, Bana Alabed has been activated by CIA narrative writers. She’s now proselytizing for Ukraine
Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko’s response when asked by AP’s @FrancescaEbel
if there are plans to evacuate civilians from the city
… after a few seconds silence….
“We can’t do that, because all ways are blocked,” he finally said. “Right now we are encircled.”
^^^ The reason Klitschko was almost unable to answer is because when he says “all ways are blocked” he means Ukrop forces destroyed every civilian bridge leading out of the city. Obviously Russian troops would gladly PREFER to let civilians escape and evacuate and would not only let them, but would facilitate their evacuation. But Klitshcko doesn’t want to say the truth which is that Ukrop forces are destroying civilian infrastructure to try to slow down and hamper Russia’s advance.
The OFFICIAL TWITTER ACCOUNT of Ukrainian National Guard has posted a video of the nazi Azov battalion greasing their bullets with pig fat / pork to use against “Kadyrov’s Chechen ORCS”. Not only is this a racist outrage against Muslims worldwide but it has exposed the utter hypocrisy of Twitter which has allowed a national official account to post this. How will the billions of muslims worldwide react to this? How about the ones who stand with Ukraine and are against Russia? How can this be allowed on Twitter from the Zio-controllers under Jack Dorsey?
I’m sure that does wonders for the lands and grooves in a rifle. Effing idiots! The involuntary consumption of pork is NOT haram!
Major update re: casualties.
Russian MOD for the first time officially acknowledged that there are casualties but stated they are no where near the casualty numbers of Ukrop forces. Konashenkov also stated that a small amount of Russian troops have been captured and are being tortured by Ukrainians “in the manner of Nazi’s in WW2”.
Then there is a report from an unofficial source who claims to have a contact in Russian MOD who says that casualties appear to be in 250-300 range but this INCLUDES DNR/LNR and may or may not include POW’s as often those are blanketly counted in ‘casualty’ statistics. So if you deduce from that, let’s just say split evenly between Russian / DNR/LNR there may be anywhere in range of 125-150 Russian losses so far. You can argue maybe even less like 50 if the much less trained DNR/LNR forces are suffering more losses, or you can argue Russia has more losses due to the fact that they’re doing most of the fighting/attacking. Impossible to say. With that said, if they ARE counting captures/POW’s in that unofficial ‘casualty’ statement then actual KIA losses for Russia alone may be as little as 50-100 with another few dozen captures, etc. This is roughly in line with what I’ve been estimating myself. But of course this is all just pure speculation and that unofficial report is completely unconfirmed and will never be confirmed so take with grain of salt. With that said, if the numbers are in general ballpark accurate, then I’d estimate Ukrop losses at probably at least 500-1000 so far, maybe more.
Remember the Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020 between Armenia / Azerbaijan lasted from 27 September to 10 November. In that span of about 45 days there was officially 3,000 and 4,000 losses on each side.
Btw I wanted to mention that U.S. cleverly disguises their own casualties/losses with the following trick: they use “combat losses” in every major theatre and the trick is: any soldier who is wounded then dies even in a medivac helicopter, cannot be qualified under “combat loss” because he did not die in combat. The vast majority of troop deaths don’t die instantly inside the combat but in such circumstances as hospitals and in transit after suffering blood loss/unsurvivable wounds etc. So the vast majority of U.S. losses are not counted and listed in “combat losses”. Neat trick!
Are you crazy? Read the Ukrainian news if you can. Are the Ukrainian journalists also giving misinformation?
Read le Monde, journalistes in Kiev, thé Guardian, the New Yorker, all very serious papers with intelligent journalism. I’m not talking about the sun or daily mail.
I think you’re sick.