Yet another superb analysis by Andrei Martyanov!
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Headlines of Import for August 19 (Andrei Martyanov)
Yet another superb analysis by Andrei Martyanov!
The NATO/EU – and even to a more extensive extent – US politicians and ”thinktank” seem like middlemen for a company or corporation. Politicians usually make logical sense, these people they do not.
«US politicians and ”thinktank” seem like middlemen for a company or corporation.»
Not quite that new a thing:
Political scientists call it “managed democracy”.
Andrei, elections in the US are fictional. Power passes from the left hand to the right hand, both of which are puppets for various oligarchies: military, energy, finance, and “health” (really insurance, an arm of finance). Voters interests remain completely ignored by government.
Notice that Russia, China, and Ukraine do not even appear on the list.
In regard to Europe, it has been well-demonstrated – especially in the last few months – that the EU consists of a nothing but series of US puppet states. US intelligence agencies have been entrenched in Europe since WWII and have a long, documented history of election interference and manipulation.
So laying this on the heads of voters (‘they voted for this’) is a bit disingenuous. The choices they are allowed to make are preapproved by various interests. In the cases where they are not no effort is spared to neutralize them and remove them from power.
This. I’m close to quitting following him because of it as well as his notion that American people generally are not Russophobes unlike Europeans. You make a good point about US intelligence, manipulation, etc. in post-WWII Europe as a major contributing factor.
Andrei is an amazing source of intelligent commentary. His experince and deep knowledge of military matters provides an acute view of what’s going on now. That he occasionally misses the mark on other issues does not reduce in any way the value of his work. Nobody is right 100% of the time – but Andrei is close.
The Saker is another amazing source. His strengths are more in the geopolitical area as his recent summary shows. Between the two of them it’s a very clear view. Now add Doug MacGregor and Ray McGovern (who’s recent interview with Michael Wong is eye-opening, to say the least).
I’m don’t agree with all of them on everything but these are some very sharp guys.
«elections in the US are fictional. Power passes from the left hand to the right hand, both of which are puppets for various oligarchies»
They still have consequences as to details of domestic policy, even if Gore Vidal, of the Gore oligarch/political family wrote:
“There is only one party in the United States, the Property Party […] and it has two right wings: Republican and Democrat. Republicans are a bit stupider, more rigid, more doctrinaire in their laissez-faire capitalism than the Democrats, who are cuter, prettier, a bit more corrupt — until recently […] and more willing than the Republicans to make small adjustments when the poor, the black, the anti-imperialists get out of hand. But, essentially, there is no difference between the two parties.”
«the EU consists of a nothing but series of US puppet states.»
It is quite as bad as that: the USA decide foreign and military affairs and leave domestic affairs to the locals, as long as they are anti-communist, an arrangement knows as “suzerainty”. European political scientists call it “managed democracy” and “limited sovereignty”. It comes with advantages such as the ability to export to the USA and trade with other USA-controlled states. The USA oligarchs deal with resource-rich countries (“banana republics/sultanates”) both more strictly and more brutally.
«US intelligence agencies have been entrenched in Europe since WWII and have a long, documented history of election interference and manipulation»
It is not not even the security services, and it is usually just “dark money” bribery: the ambassador with large black funds to give to “sponsored” politicians and parties, plus various NGOs “help” and compromise the careers of rising politicians, intellectuals, journalists with grants and contracts and bursaries.
I meant to write: «It is [not] quite as bad as that: the USA decide foreign and military affairs and leave domestic affairs to the locals, as long as they are anti-communist, an arrangement knows as “suzerainty”.»
Because the level of control of the USA on european nations is not indeed as brutal as with resource-rich countries.
Also the european elites are rightly very afraid of USA sanctions and USA regime change operations if they ever tried to be too independent, as they were much depends on USA-controlled suppliers for energy and much other stuff.
But you need to think it through from start to finish.
Russia sees 38% increase in Rubles from exports.
But Russia issues the Ruble can create as many Rubles as it wants and never run out. Only constraint on ruble issuing are human and real resources and Russia’s productive capacity.
So the 38% increase in Rubles from exports doesn’t give Russia more Rubles to spend. They issue the Ruble and can increase Rubles by 38% whenever they want using an index finger and a computer keyboard.
Where did the foreigners buying the exports get their rubles from lol.
Oh, that’s right those foreigners that bought exports with rubles got their rubles from the issuer of rubles They got them from Russia.
So Russia is just collecting back the rubles they issued. As soon as the exporters pay their taxes on their profits. Russia takes them back and takes them out of circulation and destroys them to control inflation.
So Russia exporters have increased their Rubles by 38%. A very small section of the Russian people.
What are they going to do with them?
«Where did the foreigners buying the exports get their rubles from lol.»
Your question is tricky / misleading. The right question is what the foreigners had to give in exchange to get those Rubles, and what Russia did with what they received to give back Rubles. Then what is the incidence on the real value of the Ruble the requests for it and the increase in capital. It has nothing to do with increasing the amount of money in circulation. It has to do with robustness of finances, so with the robustness of financial initiatives in support of the real economy.
«What are they going to do with them?»
Buy back when the prices go down? :)
“the robustness of financial initiatives in support of the economy”??? There is a reason why finance has such a bad reputation :-D.
@ Tommy Jensen
«There is a reason why finance has such a bad reputation :-D.»
Which finance you are talking about? I was talking about the finances of the Russian Federation.
How Russian Gas Is Paid For
But still doesn’t give Russia more rubles to spend.
The Russian government still does not need to earn rubles they issue the Damn thing.
When people in the West say Russia exports are funding the war it is complete nonsense. They don’t know what they are talking about.
Some exporters are doing really well and that’s it.
«But still doesn’t give Russia more rubles to spend.»
That is to see [in detail]. Anyway they are buying gold — so they have reserves, to “spend at need”, while others have debts to “pay at need”. And it it a quite complex dynamics (or game – if one prefers).
«The Russian government still does not need to earn rubles they issue the Damn thing.»
Are you saying, by this one of yours, that Swaziland could get rich issuing more “South African Rand equals” instead of selling gas [which it has not]? :)
«Some exporters are doing really well and that’s it.»
This one contradicts what you said about issuing Rubles at will of government. How can they do well if that money, as you said, is not worth? Please get a clue before continuing this discussion (and take it, please, as a gentle advice — for a better world where the discussions are useful because well articulated).
You clearly do not understand how the scheme works. You fail to comprehend high-powered money or how the banking system functions with international trade. Nor do you see the object is to avoid confiscation of trade export revenues. You are totally off-base and fail to understand difference between trade surplus and trade deficit in a non-convertible currency
Anyone else notice the RF MOD daily clobber list has had a significant numerical boost. Every sentence is hundreds of destroyed men not dozens as before
It has been that way for six weeks. The pace and intensity of artillery since Severdonetsk especially has increased the clusters of 200s and 300s.
The Ukies are trapped in their trenches and fortified boxes. They have no maneuverability. Their counter-battery is not strong. They are classic cannon fodder.
The US and Brits who designed the Ukies’ defenses and who command them at key locations are getting everyone in the grinder, mercs, recruits, vets, et al.
Russian Intel is fast from the battlefield. Groupings get hit before they can move to new positions. So hundreds are eliminated in several places each day, easily totaling a thousand or two on nearly every report.
This was the intention of the SMO, to demilitarize Ukraine. That meant to kill many and to destroy their weapons.
Billy… what’s wrong with extra M1 money supply if it is not feeding a FIRE casino-type economy anyway?
My understanding is that in an economy where extra currency abounds, including from a current account surplus, and when it is being used in the real economy to produce real goods and to provide for future wealth, then there is virtually zero inflationary influence anyway.
Russia has many advantages including by far the strongest balance sheet of any of the main economies on the globe. Now is the time for them to really push ahead with initiatives like what the US undertook post-depression.
Russia’s total interest payments on Govt debt, both internal and external, is so low it is a joke. This is how the country survived with interest rates not so long ago around 20%. Western countries wouldn’t last five minutes with those sorts of rates.
I did an essay on this subject a week or two ago and these were some of the numbers that came to light…
ZONE A [The Natostan Club] these are clearly all basically zombie economies at these debt levels
ZONE B [BRIICS+] as a comparison
By comparison, the US’s Govt debt is ~94% of GDP. But the real problem for their economy is the staggering liability per citizen which last time I looked at the debt clock was $511,000 per citizen. And from memory ~$800,000 per tax-payer. This figure of course includes social security liability, medicare, and unfunded liabilities.
NZ sits at a relatively modest figure of 46% GD:GDP. However, our internal debt is absolutely crippling going forward now with a combination of rising inflation, interest rates, and massive increases in all essential living expenses.
I can’t find the figure for Chinese debt per person including internal debt but if you look at their per capita national debt it is 15x lower than Japan’s and 11x lower than the US.
The top 10 countries ranked by national debt per person are all part of the Natostan club with Japan and the US filling the two highest positions [ 2 of the top 3 countries by GDP in the world] and all of the other positions except for Canada and UK are filled by EU members.
The EU is in total disarray already and with its number one economy Germany basically being instructed to commit financial hare-Kari by its occupier, it will be the EU that will be the biggest cot case in this impending systemic meltdown.
The grim reality here is that 5 of the 7 of these nations ranked by national debt per person are ranked in the top GDP countries of the world… the exceptions of course being China and India. Add to this the fact that the total global debt of the world is 353% of GDP [ at ~$300 trillion] and the collective global economy is a complete train wreck.
In terms of PPP* GDP China actually overtook the US GDP back in 2014 and now stands at ~$30 trillion compared to the US at $20 trillion. Of course, no one wants to admit that… least of all the UN, the IMF or the IMF that make up all manner of whopping lies on which they can’t even agree between themselves.
*[Purchasing Power Parity]
And how about some good news then just to finish off with? Well, actually it just so happens that there is a rescue model right under our noses. It involves kicking the global kleptocratic private banking cabal into touch along with the FED, BOJ, BOE, BIS, IMF and the WB.
It is a replacement system where money is not created out of thin air as debt, but instead where currencies are created that are backed by a multitude of tangible assets, and where the financial kleptocrats of the world are once and for all rendered completely irrelevant.
This system already has around 90% of the world population clamouring to join it. However, this is a big story and requires an extensive article to even begin to outline its potential to completely reinvent an exciting new global financial reality.
Also Billy, how on earth do you think China increased its GDP something like 27x with no significant inflation? It’s all about the banking models and not feeding the private banking cartels and currency not created as debt.
Once the ruble and the other currencies moving into the Zone B system come off fiat entirely and are backed by around 20 different commodities these countries will absolutely thrive.
The immediate hurdle for these previously non-aligned countries is that they have borrowed in US dollar-denominated loans and because of the current strength of the US principal payments will be very high.
I would hope that before too long they all as a group will get together and tell these western racketeers to take a running jump because these predatory loans were completely out of order in the first place.
Good post! But our GDP is well over 100% now. Especially our entitlement programs such as social security and medicare.
Col, I expect you’re the 1st name on all your neighbours dinner party guest lists. lol
Well you’d be near the top of mine as I love a cold hard dose of reality with starters, making the later courses more digestible.
If Russia forces the West to pay for their commodity imports from Russia in rubles. The West has to sell USD or Euros to buy rubles. That decreases the demand for western currencies and their value over time. That will also increase the global demand for rubles, strengthening the ruble and allow Russian banks to create ruble credit and lend it to the West. So Russian banks can earn ruble interest from the West. It’s win win for Russia and lose lose for the West.
Russian military on verge on breaking through defense of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. This may be the last stand of the Ukrainians in DPR; and Ukraine combat ability in general. The nuclear power plant is west’s last gamble to stall out the war, but this war is ending. I doubt Ukraine will last the winter.
Russia leads the Western elitists to humble pie but can’t make them eat it.
Once you’ve locked yourself in an ivory tower for a lengthy period and battened down the hatches, you’re as good as living in a demented state in an asylum.
The British & American Intelligence & Security Services have failed to protect the interests of their citizens/country, instead, are hell bent in pandering to the wishes of Private Corporate interests, treasonable acts.
Having lost the war/plot, their way, rather than admit defeat they are determined to carry on regardless spewing lies and disinformation to their browbeaten sheeples. If both US & uk were horses, a vet would as an act of mercy, place a bullet through their heads.
Gazprom will stop all gas flows to Europe via the Nord Stream pipeline from August 31 until September 2, Russia’s gas giant Gazprom announced on Friday. It’s a question of just 3 days but gas prices in European markets rose immediately 8,3%. Just think about if Gazprom had stopped flow for one month.
1 hour ago:
“High-precision weapons of the Russian Aerospace Forces have hit combat positions of Kraken nationalist formation and a unit of foreign mercenaries near Andreevka, Kharkov Region, killing over 100 militants, including up to 20 US mercenaries.” – Ru MOD
Wars are not for winning they are for creating debt to support a failing debt based financial system. Exponential debt needs to be created or the system collapses and protracted wars without resolution are the most efficient means of debt creation as well pandemics used to print trillions to covertly recapitollize the too big to fail banks.
“Wars are not for winning they are for creating debt to support a failing debt based financial system.”
Economics 101 Master Class
Note that deindustrialization is a Globalist policy. We saw it in the covid crisis, the attack on energy producers, and the rigging of markets especially commodities. We see this in the face of a major monetary crisis in the face of a growing inflationary trend, a trend that has been going on for decades. This is an end to a monetary system and Globalists correctly call it a ‘reset’.
“a trend that has been going on for decades” Correct.
It was set down in the 1970’s Lima Agreement to de-industrialize the ‘collective West’
Most important part of this video, for changing American minds, is the part from 21:50 to 22:10 where Andrei describes what happened to Russia in the immediate aftermath of the break up of the USSR. One can tell something horrific happened simply by looking at the decrease in population from the mid-Nineties all the way to 2010. Russia went from 148 million to 142 million, and as far as I know, has yet to fully recover. By way of comparison, the only year the US had a decrease in population was in 1918, in the aftermath of a flu epidemic which took the lives of 675K people and a war that claimed 55K KIA in 5 months
I had always thought the main cause was an epidemic of men drinking themselves to death, but apparently there was starvation and drug use and mob violence as well. WOW! … And of course, Russians can justifiably point the finger at the US for all of this. And yet we continued to paint Russia as the 800 lb gorilla who had to be hemmed in at all costs
And the VAST majority of Americans buy into this, because maybe one in 1000 understood what happened in the 90’s and that this was perhaps the worst living situation of the past 30 years. But I would say more and more Americans are beginning to understand. I know I can use Andrei’s video to help change minds
Why is it always 6 million? “Russia went from 148 to 142……….”. The sound of zyclone nazi gaschambers is dramatically ringing in the ears.
So I checked out the vid. of the forum My Martianov has made a reference to.
The organization is named Forum for Democracy and some of it`s visual material can be found here:
Valuable stuff compacted in half hour segments. Refreshing, that there is intelligence left in Holland. Impressed by the Young man in charge.
The particular address Mr M. mentions starts off like this:
Ladies and germs, Ukraine is a fiction.
Bosnia is a fiction.
Kosovo is a fiction
Covid is a fiction
The EU is a fiction
Everywhere You look in the major policy decisions made by the ALL the western governments, you find fiction…
It is a worthy treatise…
You know what all those decisions are based upon?
An other piece of fiction…created by the winners of the WWII and the Nuremberg trials.
Montenegrin gov been dismissed…by vote of no confidence. Germans are warned of highest inflation for decades..
.Swiss police warn of serious civil strife..
Swiss people may revolt and resort to looting if the Alpine nation is hit by a severe energy crunch this winter, the police chief of one of its cantons told local media on Saturday.
Fredy Fassler, the head of the Security and Justice Department in the canton of St. Gallen, told German-language daily Blick that a blackout would have “far-reaching consequences.”
“Imagine, you can no longer withdraw money at the ATM, you can no longer pay with the card in the store or refuel your tank at the gas station. Heating stops working. It’s cold. Streets go dark. It is conceivable that the population would rebel or that there would be looting,” he said, adding that the country’s authorities should take measures to prepare for such extreme scenarios.
.Moldova even though it owes 700m debt for gas in previous contract and seems to struggling to find excuses not to pay and a kinda recalculation by supplier and user has been set up- already has said cannot pay July and August.
just how bad could it get….
Swedish authorities have slashed the country’s economic growth outlook for next year citing rising inflation, Finance Minister Mikael Damberg said on Thursday. via rt com
Orban gets extra gas but says
The deadly conflict in Ukraine has the potential to “demonstratively” put an end to Western hegemony globally, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has claimed.
In an interview with German online magazine Tichys Einblick, published on Thursday, Orban said he expects the European Union to emerge weaker in the global arena once the fighting in Ukraine is over.
The Hungarian leader argued that the West is incapable of winning the conflict militarily, and that the sanctions it has imposed on Moscow have failed to destabilize Russia. To make matters worse, the punitive measures have spectacularly backfired on the EU, he said.
via rt com.
«the head of the Security and Justice Department in the canton of St. Gallen, told German-language daily Blick that a blackout would have “far-reaching consequences.”»
If that would be in the rich canton if St. Gallen in rich Switzerland, try to imagine what will happen to central Ukraine this winter, as essentially all ukrainian supplies of fuels used to come from the Russian Federation, some major electrical power stations are now under RF/LPR/DPR control. Currently some oil and gas supplies are sent from Poland and Germany to the Ukraine, I wonder whether this will continue this winter when Germany and Poland won’t have enough for internal consumption.
In the meantime USA energy corporation are doing fabulously well with booming sales and profits.
Col…’the farmer from NZ’,
Hope you are well.
1. when it is being used in the real economy to produce real goods and to provide for future wealth, then there is virtually zero inflationary influence anyway.
Why I asked what are Russian exporters going to spend it on more homes and boats and Rolex’s or creating jobs within Russia ?
There will be a massive inflationary influence of there are not human and real resources to absorb the spending.
Bank lending , tax cuts, government spending any spending that increases demand will cause inflation if there is not enough
b) Real resources
To absorb the increased demand. Engineers, Joiners, plumbers, doctors, nurses take years to train. You need the real resources also.
2. Russia’s total interest payments on Govt debt, both internal and external, is so low it is a joke.
Don’t confuse government debt with household debt or business debt government is the Issuer of the currency households and businesses are users of the currency.
The government budget deficit = the private sector surplus
The national debt is just that surplus moved into government bonds in our pensions and to balance risk in household savings portfolios.
Japan has ran huge deficits with debt to GDP at 260% with very low interest rates combined with very low inflation rates. Bankrupted many an investor who thought Japan was going to default. The trade was called the widow maker.
It’s just an asset swap a reserve balance to a bond and interest payments on government bonds are a fiscal stimulus for the economy. Last week interest payments on US treasuries was nearly $ 80 billion that went into the US economy as interest payments.
3. The top 10 countries ranked by national debt per person
Wrong way to look at it as it is national savings per person. Households and businesses earn interest income a government bond is an asset of the private sector not a liability.
The national debt clock should be renamed to the national asset clock. Assets held by the private sector.
4. how on earth do you think China increased its GDP something like 27x with no significant inflation
Easy they skilled up huge amounts of human resources and moved both human resources and real resources around the Chinese economy to where they were needed and made sure they had enough of both to absorb the massive fiscal support provided by an index finger and computer keyboard at the Chinese Treasury.
Col…’the farmer from NZ’,
Watch this excellent video and you’ll get it and understand it fully.
Russia NEVER needs to earn Rubles they issue the Damn thing.
Russian households and Russian businesses need to earn Rubles and the Russian government provides them. By running government budget deficits that is spending more rubles than they tax back. Allows households and businesses to save in rubles.
Michael Hudson will confirm everything I have just said as a government accounting fact.
Please Try this at home guys.
Take a bank note out of your pocket and read it. Read what it says on the bank note.
In the UK Once you read a bank note you fully understand HM Treasury gives you the £’s you then use to pay your taxes. Gives you the £’s to buy government bonds.
Not Starbucks or Macdonalds or your employer.
HM Treasury gives you the £’s you then use to then pay taxes. They issue the Damn thing. Read the bank note in your pocket.
Take a bank note out of a till from any business. HM Treasury provided that note.
It is written in clear simple English on the front of the bank note in any UK business till.
Start a new country and issue your own currency.
You would NEVER ask your citizens for their currency.They don’t have any currency it has not been issued it.
You need to spend the currency first so that your citizens can get their hands on it. Then take it off them and destroy it to control inflation.
The British Public think NI payments fund the NHS and the state pension. Potty trained from the age of 5 to believe this BS . Told by their TV and radio every day it works this way.
Read a bank note it is in very simple English. HM Treasury gives you the £’s you then pass on as NI payment. The government just take back what they give you to control inflation
Or do some very simple geometric progression.Private sector spending is somebody else’s income less tax.
government spend first then collect it. Like a cloakroom token, concert ticket, football ticket.
They NEVER collect then spend as if they need to find £’s. They issue the Damn thing.
If you follow your taxes through the UK monetary system. The account your taxes end up in gets zeroed every night of the week. Gone never to be seen again.
No accounting exists to allow tax revenues to be respent back into the economy.
Government spending creates currency taxes destroys currency to take our spending power away to leave fiscal space in the economy for other types of spending. Taxes are also used to free up both human and real resources so they can be used elsewhere in the economy. To tax bad behaviour like polluting or smoking etc.
Never used to find the funds to fund things.
It is ridiculous to think the issuer needs your currency. The currency it have you that you then use to pay your taxes.
Read a bank note and think it through.
This video explains the actual accounting that takes place beautifully. Shows what government borrowing actually is and how the national debt is created.
We were the first in the world to show how Russian gas is paid for
We were the first in the world to show The Russian Rouble Get Out Clause
We were the first in the world to show The Russian Fiscal Toketa
MMT’rs understand and understood it because we fully understand the actual accounting that takes place.
Over time we have been proven right when at the very beginning zero hedge and all the rest of them had no idea what was going on. It was all guess work.
It is incorrect to say
a) The Russian government has to earn Rubles to give it more Rubles to spend
b) The western media that says Russian exports are funding this war. So let’s stop Russian exports to win this war.
It is absurd the issuer of the ruble is funding this war. Will continue to find this war. Why Russia will win.
Norway’s sovereign Wealth fund
Does not give Norway more of its own currency to spend and it is absurd to think it does.
Neither will a Russian oil fund.
So I hope these posts have helped to clear up some things in the discussion and from an accounting perspective with assets and liabilities on the government balance sheets. Michael Hudson will confirm
everything I have posted is indeed correct.
The shelling of the Zaporizhia nuclear plant is part of the disinformation in my view.
The west is really run by oil and gas money, and nuclear energy is the only real low carbon energy competitor for fossil fuels, so this discredits the safety of nuclear energy in a climate crisis driven by rising GHGs from fossil fuel use.
NATO is dealing with a public that will believe any fear mongering from western media, and any NATO propaganda, so the fear of nuclear energy is leveraged, because people believe it’s inherently unsafe, especially in Ukraine. They want to discredit Russia and nuclear energy.
Certainly few administrations would be more incompetent to deal with it than NATO’s present Ukraine proxy, who probably see it as a potential giant dirty bomb, that they can trigger, if they can’t have nuclear weapons.
In all their desperation, they are finally likely to burn it as a dirty bomb, like Saddam burned his oil wells when his defence of Iraq was over.
It’s like Putin said, Germany could go back to nuclear and get independence from Russian energy.
“I don’t get why Germans don’t like nuclear energy. I don’t want to comment on it, but… I don’t understand how you’re going to keep warm. You don’t want gas, and you don’t want to develop nuclear energy, so what are you going to do, burn firewood? Of course, though, you’d have to get the wood from Siberia…”
a)when have humans been able to plan, maintain in good shape, and monitor a process (the storage of nuclear waste)that plays out over many thousands of years ?
b) the earth wrinkles as it is prone to do or a hurricane hits the right place, or humans get careless or fall prey to a pandemic and you have a Chernobyl or Fukushima.
c) a war leads to a dirty bomb
d) the presence of nuclear tech and nuclear weapons tempts a fool into nuclear war
e) the continued flow of energy leads to the continuation of toxic mining, consumerism, deforestation, and the destruction of habitat for a healthy biosphere already facing the devastation of fossil fuels being exported and used everywhere
f) the promises of fusion, safe thorium reactors, and cheap energy have all failed to materialize.
Le Penn won the recent 2022 French Presidential election but it was stolen from her by Macron via vote rigging and counting fraud and irregularities.
Putin knows that, thats why he treats the moron Macron as he does.
One solution to the whole political situation in the West is to create a 3rd and 4th additional main political parties to remove the current 2 party (in reality 1 party with 2 faces) state that exists in most places – US UK FR GR etc….. Ordinary people long for it.
Perhaps Russia could help fund that needed reform ?
And provide media outlets for them.
Do what Soros has been doing – fight fire with fire.
But the EU countries are bit more complex with many tribes and issues and factions.