[this analysis was written for the Unz Review]
Just a few weeks ago I wrote a column entitled “The Ukraine’s Many Ticking Time Bombs” in which I listed a number of developments presenting a major threat to the Ukraine and, in fact, to all the countries of the region. In this short time the situation has deteriorated rather dramatically. I will therefore begin with a short recap of what is happening.
First, the Ukrainian government and parliament have, for all practical purposes, declared the Minsk Agreements as dead. Truth be told, these agreements were stillborn, but as long as everybody pretended that there was still a chance for some kind of negotiated solution, they served as a “war retardant”. Now that this retardant has been removed, the situation becomes far more explosive than before.
[Sidebar: the issue of the Minsk Agreements brought to the fore the truly breathtaking hypocrisy of the West: even though Russia never was a party of these agreements (Russia signed them as a guarantor, not as a party), the West chose to blame Russia for “not implementing” these agreements, that in spite of the fact that everybody knew that it was the Ukraine which, for fear of the various Neonazi movements, simply could not implement these agreements. This kind of “in your face” hypocrisy by the West had a tremendous impact on the internal Russian political scene which, in turn, greatly strengthened the position of those in Russia who never believed that a negotiated solution was possible in the first place. In that sense, these agreements represented a major victory for the Kremlin as it forced the West to show the full depth of its moral depravity.]
Second, it is pretty obvious that the “Biden” administration is a who’s who of all the worst russophobes of the Obama era: Nuland, Psaki, and the rest of them are openly saying that they want to increase the confrontation with Russia. Even the newcomers, say like Ned Price, are clearly rabid russophobes. The folks in Kiev immediately understood that their bad old masters were back in the White House and they are now also adapting their language to this new (well, not really) reality.
Finally, and most ominously, there are clear signs that the Ukrainian military is moving heavy forces towards the line of contact. Here is an example of a video taken in the city of Mariupol:
Besides tanks, there are many reports of other heavy military equipment, including MLRS and tactical ballistic missiles, being moved east towards the line of contact. Needless to say, the Russian General Staff is tracking all these movements very carefully, as are the intelligence services of the LDNR.
This is all happening while Zelenskii’s popularity is in free fall. Actually, not only his. Think of it: Biden stole the election in the USA and has to deal with 70 million “deplorables” while the EU leaders are all facing many extremely severe crises (immigration, crime, COVID lockdowns, Woke ideology, etc.). The truth is that they all desperately need some kind of “distraction” to keep their public opinion from focusing on the real issues facing the western societies.
What could such a “distraction” look like?
Phase one: the trigger
The Ukraine is unlikely to simply attack the Donbass. Kiev needs to stick to the “we are the victim of the aggressor-country” narrative. However, if past behavior is one of the best predictors of future behavior, we can immediately see what is likely to happen.
Remember how three Ukrainian Navy vessels tried to force their way under the Crimean bridge? What about the Ukrainian terrorist groups which Kiev tried to infiltrate into Crimea? And, finally, there are the many terrorist attacks executed by Ukrainian special forces inside Novorussia. The truth is that the Ukrainian special services (SBU and military) have been conducting reconnaissance diversionary operations in the Donbass, in Crimea and even in Russia.
Right now, both sides (Kiev and the LDNR) have officially declared that they have given the authorization to their forces to respond to any provocations or incoming fire. Just imagine how easy it is for either side to organize some kind of provocation, then claim to be under attack and to declare that “we had to defend ourselves against the aggressor”.
Therefore, the most likely scenario is some kind of Ukrainian provocation followed by a “defensive counter-attack” by the Ukrainian military.
Phase two: the attack
Over the past years, the Ukrainian military has received a great deal of assistance from the West, both in terms of equipment/money and in terms of training. Furthermore, in numerical terms, the Ukrainian military is much bigger than the combined forces of the LDNR. However, it would be a mistake to assume that the LDNR forces were just sitting on their laurels and not working really hard to achieve a qualitative jump in their capabilities.
The Ukrainian government is working on yet another mobilization (there were many such waves of mobilization in the past, none of them really successful), and considering the chaos in the country, it is unlikely to go better than the previous ones. If we want to do some “bean counting”, we can say that Kiev could theoretically mobilize about 300’000 soldiers while the standing LDNR forces number approximately 30’000 soldiers (these are standing forces before mobilization). However, we must take into account that the Ukrainian forces are mostly conscripts whereas the LDNR forces are 100% professional volunteers fighting for their own land and in defense of their own families and friends. This makes a huge difference!
Besides, like all “bean counting”, this purely numerical comparison completely misses the point. That point is that the LDNR forces are much better trained, equipped, commanded and motivated. Furthermore, the LDNR forces have had years to prepare for an Ukronazi attack, In fact, both sides of the line of contact are now heavily fortified. Yet, and in spite of all this, the LDNR suffers from a huge weakness: no strategic (or even operational) depth. Worse, the city of Donetsk is quite literally on the front line.
Could the Ukrainian forces “punch through” the LDNR defenses? I would say that this is not impossible, and “not impossible” is serious enough to warrant a lot of preparations by the Russian armed forces to quickly intervene and stop any such breakthrough by the Ukrainian forces. Does the Russian military have the means to stop such an attack?
Yes, absolutely. First, all of the LDNR is literally right across the Russian border, which means that pretty much any Russian weapons system can “reach” not only into the LDNR, but even throughout the Ukrainian tactical, operational and even strategic depth. Russia can also deploy a classical Anti Access/Area Denial (A2/AD) “cupola” over the LDNR using a mix of air defense and electronic warfare systems. Russian rockets and artillery systems can be used not only as counter-battery fire, but also to destroy attacking Ukrainian subunits. Finally, the Russian forces in Crimea and the Black Sea Fleet can also be engaged if needed. As for Russian coastal defense systems (Bal and Bastion), they can “lock” the entire Black Sea.
The biggest problem for Russia is that she cannot do any of that without triggering a huge political crisis in Europe; just visualize what the likes of Antony Blinken, Ned Price or Jen Psaki would have to say about such a Russian intervention! Remember, these are the folks who immediately accused Russia of attacking Georgia, not the other way around. We are now all living in the “post-truth” era of “highly likely”, not of facts.
I have said that for years now the real point of a Ukrainian attack on the Donbass would not be to reconquer the region, but to force Russia to openly and, therefore, undeniably intervene. This has been a Neocon wet dream since 2014 and it is still their ultimate objective in the Ukraine. So what would a Russian counter-attack look like?
Phase three: the Russian intervention
First, let me ask you this: did you know that about 400’000 residents of the LDNR already have Russian passports? Is that a lot? Well, the total population of the LDNR is about 3.7 million people, so more than 10% of the population. This is crucial for two reasons: first, you can think of these Russian citizens as a kind of tripwire: if enough of them get killed, Putin has no other choice than to intervene to protect them and, in fact, Putin has made it clear many times that Russia will never allow the Ukraine to seize Novorussia by force or to massacre its population. Second, there are many precedents of countries (mostly western ones) using military force to protect their citizens. Examples include the USA in both Grenada and Panama, the Turks in Cyprus and Syria or the French in many African countries.
Next, in purely military terms, Russia has plenty of standoff weapons which could be used to disrupt and stop any Ukranian attack even without sending in a ground force. Not only that, but the Russian response does not have to be limited to the front lines – Russia could easily strike the Ukraine even in its strategic depth and there is really nothing the Ukrainians could do to prevent that. Still, I do not believe that the Russian counter-attack would be limited to standoff weapons, mainly because of the need to relieve the LDNR forces on the front line which will be exhausted by difficult defensive operations. In other words, this time around Russia won’t even bother to deny her involvement; at this point in time, this would be futile and counter productive.
The West loves concepts such as the “responsibility to protect” (R2P)? Good! Then Russia can use it too.
Of course, I am not naive to the point of believing that anybody in the West will be suaded by notions such as fairness or precedent. But the Kremlin will use this argument to further educate the Russian people in the true intentions of the West. This is especially helpful for Putin during an election year (which 2021 is for Russia), and this will only further weaken both the pro-western opposition (for obvious reasons) and even the anti-western “patriotic” opposition which will have no choice but to fully support a military intervention to save the Donbass.
Phase four: the Empire’s response
I don’t believe for one second that anybody in the West will volunteer for suicide and advocate for a military intervention in the Ukraine or against Russia. NATO is a “pretend” military alliance. In reality, it is a US instrument to control Europe. Yes, historically the pretext for NATO was the supposed threat from Soviet Union and, now, from Russia, but the true reason for NATO has always been to control the European continent. Nobody in the West believes that it is worth risking a full scale war against Russia just over a (relatively minor) Russian military intervention in the eastern Ukraine. However, once it becomes undeniable that Russia has intervened (the Kremlin won’t even bother denying this!), the trans-national imperial Nomenklatura which runs the Empire will see this as a truly historical opportunity to create a major crisis which will weaken Russian positions in Europe and immensely strengthen the US control over the continent.
We have all seen how the western politicians and presstitutes have invented a (totally fake) Russian intervention in the Donbass and how they said they would “punish” Russia for “not implementing the Minsk Agreements”. We can only imagine how strident and hysterical these Russia-hating screams will become once Russia actually does intervene, quite openly. Again, if past behavior is the best predictor of future behavior, then we can rest assured that western politicians will do what they always do: exacerbate and prolong the conflict as long as possible, but without directly attacking Russia. That is the purpose of the Ukrainian military, to provide the cannon fodder for the AngloZionists.
Phase four prime: possible Ukronazi responses
Take it to the bank: “Ze” and the rest of the clowns in the Rada are no military leaders. Even Ukrainian military commanders are truly of the 3rd class type (all the good ones are either gone or fired). The first concern of the folks in Kiev will be to safely evacuate the western “advisors” from the area of operations and then to hide themselves and their money. For all the running around in battle fatigue and for all the hot air about super weapons, the Ukrainian military won’t continue to exist as an organized fighting force for longer than 48 hours. As I mentioned above, Russia can easily impose a no-fly zone, not only over the LDNR, but even over the entire eastern Ukraine. Russia can also basically switch off the power in the entire country. There is a very good reason why Putin declared in 2018 that any Ukrainian serious attack or provocation “will have very serious consequences for the Ukrainian statehood as a whole”.
Yet it would be extremely dangerous to simply dismiss the Ukronazi potential for creating some real headaches for Moscow. How?
For example, I would not put it past the Ukrainians to threaten an attack against the Operational Group of Russian Forces (OGRF) in Transnistria. This is a small force, far away from Russia, surrounded by hostile neighbors. Keep in mind that Tiraspol is about 600km west from Donetsk! Not only that, but if Moldova is not a member of NATO, Romania is. As for the current President of Moldova, Maia Sandu, she is both Romanian and deeply anti-Russian. But while all this is true, I think that it is also important to keep another factoid in mind: Chisinau, the capital of Moldova, is only about 300km away from the Crimean Peninsula. This places all of Moldova well within reach of Russian standoff weapons and rapid reaction mobile forces. For the Moldovans, any notion of attacking the OGRF in Transnistria would be really crazy, but for a desperate Ukronazi regime in Kiev this might be preferable to a defeat against Russia.
Of course, the Ukronazi regime in Kiev really has no agency, ever since the “revolution of dignity”. All the decisions about the Ukraine are made by Uncle Shmuel and his minions in Kiev. So the question we should be asking would be: would anybody put it past the Neocon crazies in the White House to egg on the Ukronazi regime in Kiev to further widen the conflict and force Russia to also intervene in Transnistria?
Some commentators in the West, and a few in Russia, have suggested that the “Biden” plan (assuming there is such a thing) would be to trigger simultaneous crises in different locations all around Russia: the Donbass, but also the Black Sea and/or Sea of Azov, Georgia, Belarus, Transnistria, Armenia, etc. The Empire might also decide to come back to Hillary Clinton’s plan to place a no-fly zone over Russian forces in Syria. I am not so sure that this is the major threat for Russia right now. For example, there is a good reason why Russia is split into military districts: in case of war, each military district becomes an independent front which can fight autonomously, support other fronts and be supported by the strategic capabilities of the Russian military. In other words, the Russian military can handle several major and simultaneous crises or even conflicts in her neighboring states. As for Hillary’s no fly zone over Syria, considering the undeniable reality that all of CENTCOM bases are under a double crosshair (the one from Iran and the one from Russia), it is unlikely that the US would try such a dangerous move.
[Sidebar: I am acutely aware of the fact that the anti-Putin propagandists are trying to convince us that Russia and Israel are in cahoots or that Putin is Netanyahu’s best buddy. I already addressed this nonsense several times (see here, here, here, here and here) so I won’t repeat it all here. I will just say that a) Russian air defenses in Syria are tasked with the defense of the Russian task force in Syria, not the Syrian air space b) Syrian air defenses are doing a superb job shooting down Israeli missiles. These Syrian air defenses are forcing the Israelis to attack less defended and, therefore, also less valuable targets (say like a border post between Syria and Iran) c) there are now numerous reported instances of Russian Aerospace Forces driving Israeli aircraft out of the Syrian air space and, last but not least, d) the Israeli strikes are undeniably good for Israeli morale and propaganda purposes (the “invincible” IDF!), but the point is that they make absolutely no difference on the ground. In the near future, I hope to write an analysis showing that these rumors about Russia being sold out to Israel are part of a US PSYOP campaign to weaken Putin at home. Stay tuned.]
For these reasons, I believe that the Empire will push the Ukraine towards an open confrontation with Russia, all the while making sure that US/NATO forces remain far away from the action. In fact, from a US/NATO point of view, once Russia officially admits that Russian forces did intervene to stop the Ukrainian assault, the main objective of the attack will have been reached: All of Europe will unanimously blame Russia and Putin for everything. That, in turn, will result in a dramatic deterioration of the security situation in the Ukraine and the rest of eastern Europe. A new “Cold War” (with hot overtones) will become the determining factors in east-west relations. As for NATO, it will reheat the old principle of “to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down”.
Phase five: the situation after the end of the war
Again, if past behavior is the best predictor of future behavior, we can expect the Russians to do many things like they did in the 5 day war (really 3 day only) against NATO-backed Georgia in 08.08.08. For example, irrespective of where exactly the Russian military actually decides to stop (could be along the current line of contact, or it could include a complete liberation of the Donbass from the occupying Ukronazi forces), this will be a short war (long wars are mostly things of the past anyway). The Ukrainian military will be comprehensively destroyed but the Russian forces will not occupy major Ukrainian cities (just as they stopped short of taking Tbilisi in 08). As one LDNR officer declared in an interview 2015 “the further west we go, the less we are seen as liberators and the more we are seen as occupiers”. He is right, but there is something much more important here too: Russia simply cannot afford to rebuild the quasi totally deindustrialized Ukraine. The propaganda from their curators notwithstanding, the Ukraine is already a failed state, has been one for years already. And there is exactly nothing that Russia needs from this failed state. Absolutely nothing. The absolutely LAST thing Russia needs today is to get bogged down in a simultaneous effort to restore the Ukrainian state and economy while fighting all sorts of Neonazi nationalist insurgencies.
If they try to join the fight, then both Ukrainian Black Sea Fleet and the Ukrainian Air Force will simply vanish, but Russia will not launch any amphibious assaults on the Ukrainian coastline.
There are those who, on moral and historical grounds, want Russia to liberate at the very least the Ukrainian east and the Ukrainian south (the area from Mariupol to Odessa). I categorically disagree. It is all very fine and cute to say “Putin come and restore order”, but the people of the Ukraine must liberate themselves and not expect Russia to liberate them. Opinion polls in Russia show that most Russians are categorically opposed to a war (or a protracted occupation) and I see no signs that the people of the southern Ukraine are desperate to be liberated by the Russian military. This entire notion of Russia disinfecting the Ukraine from the Nazi rot is an ideological construct with no base in reality. Those who still dream of Russian tanks in Kiev or Dnepropetrovsk will be sorely disappointed: it won’t happen.
Thus, I fully expect the Ukrainian state to still exist at the end of this war, albeit a much weaker one. Furthermore, it is quasi certain that should the Ukrainian military attack Novorussia, then Russia would again repeat what she did in 08 and recognize the LDNR republics along with some kind of long term integration program. Civil unrest and even uprisings are likely, not only in the east, but also in the south and west of the Ukraine. Needless to say, the EU and NATO will go absolutely crazy and yet another “curtain” (maybe a “salo curtain”) will yet again split the European continent, much to the delight of the entire Anglosphere. At the end of that process, the Banderastan-like Ukraine will simply break apart into more manageable chunks which will all come under the influence of their more powerful and better organized neighbors.
As for Russia, she will mostly turn away from the West, in total disgust, and continue to develop a multi-polar world with China and the other countries of Zone B.
Conclusion: back from the brink, again?
In truth, all of the above are just my speculations, nobody really knows whether this war will really happen and, if it does, how it will play out. Wars are amongst the most unpredictable events, hence the number of wars lost by the party which initiated them. What I presented above is one possible scenario amongst many more. The last time when a Ukrainian attack appeared to be imminent, all it took was Putin’s words about “very serious consequences for the Ukrainian statehood as a whole” to stop the escalation and convince Kiev not to attack. This time around, the Russians are making no such threats, but that is only because Russians don’t believe in repeating threats anyway.
At this time of writing, there are serious clashes between the VSU (Ukrainian) forces and the LDNR defenders. Both sides are using small arms, grenade launchers and artillery systems. According to one well informed blogger, his sources in Kiev are telling him that:
“A while ago, an order came from the office of the old senile Biden to prepare the VSU for an offensive in the Donbass, but wait for the final go-ahead from the White House. At the same time, this source also said that similar military operations will be conducted in other countries where there are Russian interests, in order to deflect the public attention from the Donbass and weaken any support for the Donbass”.
There are many more such posts on Telegram, including pro-Ukrainian commentators spreading rumors about Russian mercenaries seen near the frontline east of Mariupol. We can already say that the informational battle has begun. Only time will tell whether this battle will turn kinetic or not. But right now it looks like we are “all systems go”.
It seems almost inevitable now. But the U.S.-and-allied ‘news’-media are keeping their publics unaware of this war, which seems almost inevitable to the audiences at the few honest websites in The West — all of which few are small and independent such as here.
Yes, the Western media is keeping silent about preparations for another war in the Donbass. This is intentionally done, for dramatic purposes. Once the war begins, Russia will, of course, once again be accused of “aggression” and attention will be focused away from the West and it’s many problems and concentrated on Russia.
The Saker has stated “For these reasons, I believe that the Empire will push the Ukraine towards an open confrontation with Russia, all the while making sure that US/NATO forces remain far away from the action”.
This is debatable. Back in 2014 you had FBI and CIA agents captured by the Donbass Russians and exchanged for captives. NATO officers stood in the background, issuing advice to the Ukrainian forces. I think they will do this again, and I also think that in the initial stages of the attack against the Donbass. NATO will probably use some of their elite units to insure Ukraine penetrates the defensive positions, although I am not sure such a thing can be done easily. One has to take into consideration that in Georgia NATO did use it’s special forces to attack Russian peace keepers.
Will Ukraine really attack ? The answer is most probably ‘yes’, although this cannot be guaranteed. The problem for Ukraine is not only that Zelensky is losing popularity and authority, but that the internal social and economic situation is deteriorating by the year. On top of that you have the unsolved Donbass question. Worse for Ukraine, it is virtually controlled by the US and EU, where the US has more internal problems than the EU, the chief one being that an unelected senile old man has been placed in the White House with half the country disputing his election victory. On top of that you have secessionist movements, and their popularity is slowly rising. Both the US and EU have financial and economic problems, the chief ones being huge debts and the fact that the dollar and euro are printed backed by nothing. A distraction is needed, and that distraction will almost certainly be Russia and the Donbass, with the neocons parroting yet again about Russian “aggression” and NATO having an excuse for it’s existence.
However, as I wrote two days ago, any military offensive by Ukraine will have huge domestic repercussions, as there is no mood for war in a country looted by oligarchs and foreign entities. The population is bound to react in one way or another. And the conscripts in the Ukrainian Army ? Will they fight ? A few years back, when Poroshenko was making threats against the Donbass, Ukrainian conscripts went on the Internet, openly stating that they will either run away or surrender to the Russians if they are sent to war. One thing is certain: you cannot expect too much from them.
Finally, what conclusion can be reached ? In November of 2020 we had a soft coup d’etat in the United States, where Trump was removed from Office and a neocon puppet placed in the White House. This obviously had to be done. Time is not working for the neocons. Their empire is collapsing, while the US is looking into huge financial and political problems. A distraction is required, and that is war in some place, this being the Donbass. The American population needs to be reminded once again of the Russian “threat”. The fact that Ukraine will be sacrificed is of no importance to the neocons. The Saker is correct that Ukraine will not dissolve immediately after the termination of hostilities. However, it will dissolve in a time period after the termination of hostilities, as Kiev, led by that comedian, will lose authority, leading to the breakup of the country, as anticipated by analysts since 2017.
It is interesting looking at some of the articles from the Tass news agency yesterday and today:
“Kiev forces shell Lugansk republic — militia. Ukrainian forces shelled Zolotoye-5, firing five grenades from a rocket-propelled grenade launcher and also using small arms.”
This is an interesting paragraph at the end of this article – “…..On July 27, 2020, additional ceasefire control measures came into effect in Donbass after being approved by the Contact Group seeking peace for eastern Ukraine. The measures ban any offensive, intelligence or sabotage activities, the use of all types of aircraft, any shooting, and the deployment of heavy weapons to inhabited localities. One of the key provisions of the agreement stipulates disciplinary measures for ceasefire violations, whereas in case of offensive operations, return fire is allowed only after a direct order from the command.”
This is followed up by two further articles:
“DPR soldier killed, another wounded in shelling by Ukrainian army. On Wednesday night Ukrainian forces opened fire at the DPR using mortars and automatic grenade launchers.”
The Russian envoy at the UN brings up the violations – “West should stop turning a blind eye to Kiev’s human rights violations — Polyanskiy called on the “Western sponsors” to “work with their proteges so that they deal with current issues of resuming dialogue with residents of east Ukraine”
“…….Before accusing us of anything look in the mirror and stop turning a blind eye to brazen violations of human rights, freedom of speech and media as well as cases of glorification of Nazi criminals and their accomplices not only in the post-Maidan Ukraine but also in the Baltic States, particularly in Estonia,” the UN diplomat stressed.”
And today there are already two further articles:
Ukraine trying to make out its doing something in the Normandy four format – we all know this is just fake and propaganda for the masses….
“Russia to convene informal UN Security Council meeting on Crimea next week — diplomat. Earlier, Western nations announced an Arria formula meeting devoted to Crimea, to be held at the UN Security Council on Friday, March 12………Russia will convene an informal UN Security Council meeting on Crimea on March 17, Russia’s first deputy envoy to the UN, Dmitry Polyanskiy, said in his Telegram channel.
So Ukraine and the West are planning a meeting on Crimea tomorrow and Russia has batted back with a meeting the following week including – “….. After a lengthy pause, our colleagues predictably refused, without even explaining their reasons. They have absolutely no interest in a true account of the situation on the peninsula,” he said. “That is why, without any delays we announced our own Arria meeting on Crimea on March 17. Residents of the peninsula selected great delegates, representing the Crimean society, for taking part in it.
In his words, Russia expects its Western partners to attend the meeting”.
From an International Law perspective and information perspective – Russia is preparing for these provocations and ensuring the truth is out there. Utilising the UN too is so important.
International law means nothing unless all countries abide by it when you have some countries who do then you have the countries who abide by the law of the jungle who believe in nothing except their own desires, their own wants that benefits only them.!!!
in this age when people have found out that the internet is the one place to find honest facts or reporting, every entity interested in the information sphere has placed its pawns, foot soldiers, or troll factories in the popular websites, there arre many young people, travel bloggers, unsatisfied citizens, etc. that become willing or unwitting informers(few are the last ones).
In Russia there are plenty of bloggers that cheer for the pindos. And then there are the specialists, the ones who are in the mercenary information armies of theee West.
One who is curiously active, and has a record of being in the right place at the right time in several conflict areas and deserves watching, has ben in ukraine latly. He is a bad omen that smthng not nice is brewing.
You would know his name ? So we can follow up too.
I agree with you Saker. Russia stoping believing innthe West is the best that can happen, as it lets the NATO vasalls in a bubble. Also it sets more measures and actions free for Russia. I don‘t worry much for Russia in Ukraine, as the Russians will win the Donbas war and the war around Ukraine, they don‘t need an occupation of the country. But i worry for the people in Donbas.
I thank you for the detailed, clear analysis of the current situation. You are making sense.
1. It will break out to full combat. North Wind will join LDNR and destroy the assault, perhaps gain some ground within the two oblasts.
2. It will be “war”, and Russia will have to enter to save lives. They will destroy the Ukie military and fracture the Kiev government.
3. Russian special forces will capture Ukie commanders and a war crimes trial will be a huge international event.
Some combination of the above.
Right now, it is all unknowable what the Ukies will or will not do, what Putin has planned, or what circumstances offer or demand.
The last thing will be Russian forces into Ukraine.
The one certain thing is the Information War will shape into a major effort to brand Russia as aggressor.
Thus, I think very few Russian boots will be on the ground. I think the Russians will use long range artillery and stand-off air power firing missiles. UAVs and missiles will determine the battlefield results.
FYI: there was no 4. Just a typo from the software.
#4 is easy, once fighting starts (still winter there?) a few, misguided missiles accidently land on some gas recompression stations and brrr, gonna be cold in the Ukraine. Accidents do happen in war.
It´s gonna be cold in this by a little ethnic criminal group controlled Europe, too!
It also goes without saying that after Ukraine is throughly defeated again the usual suspects will portray it as actually being a big victory against millions of invading Russians. The narrative will be that Russia invaded Ukraine with the intention of not stopping until they reached the Atlantic coast line in Spain and the brave Ukrainians stopped the whole Russian army cold.
If the US does indeed trigger this war it might also imply that they are close to retiring the color revolution model of regime change for awhile. Ukraine being crushed again military on top of all its other problems combined with Armenia just paying a very steep price for choosing the globohomo is going to make it hard for the target populations to take Western promises of solidarity seriously. If it happens it will be basically be putting the official stamp on Russia and the West formally parting ways until the US no longer exists in its current format. The process started quite awhile ago but round 2 in Ukraine will make the whole thing permanent. I really, really hope that the Russian government uses this as an opportunity to throughly purge Russia of all American big tech like China has done.
Saker, what effect will killer drones have on the battle field that Turkey have been supplying to Ukraine.(Turkey Supply of drones https://www.intellinews.com/ukraine-strikes-deal-with-turkey-to-produce-killer-drones-instrumental-in-karabakh-conflict-197481/) I suppose this war will be great opportunity for NATO to gather Russian combat info.
Drone of any kind ( tactical, survey or suicide ones ) can be real problem indeed for Novorossia army which is not geared to deal with the large scale use drone as they were successfully deployed against the Armenian forces in Nagorno Karabach.
If it comes to this scenario there would be only two choices for the Novorossia army
1) get the Russians involved to use large scale electronic warfare and Tor 2 systems against them.
2) “hug the enemy” lines at very close range ( less than 300m)… that takes a lot courage. However , if there is one thing Russian have in ample supply is the courage to fight in close combat situations.
I too think that some hot heads in the Ukrainian leadership thing there is now a good window of opportunity to attack Donbass/Luhansk before Russia acquires a significant number of combat drones.They will try to replicate the Azeri success in NK. The Ukrainians are likely to use the same combo of Israeli and Turkish drones.
“Hugging” ukrainian forces won’t be of any help. The drone operators will simply kill both Ukies and Dpr soldiers. It’s not like they consider the lives of Ukrainian soldiers to have any value whatsoever anyway.
They need to be ready to send outfitted Pantsir units, or failing that, some kind of anti-air weapons like manpads, that have been previously used by dpr to devastating effect, to the frontline immediately.
The only thing I miss is the fact that I don’t see what the current political power in the ukraine will win in case of a new war in the donbass. Especially if it means they will face russia for real this time.
It s actually the opposite they will lose big.
So my question is simple will the maniacs in power in the ukraine follow the US neocons agenda even if their own survival is at risk? They may like being US slaves but how far are they ready to go to please their masters in DC?
Right. We shouldn’t just assume that Ze and Ukraine others are strictly blindly following orders or crazy/stupid enough to think the US/UK and NATO will intervene (though I suppose Saakashvili was). We should assume that they expect an advantage or a compensation for the act. For instance, this might manifest in a full-blown worldwide campaign for the end of NS-2, which would benefit Ukraine (assuming Russia would still transit gas through them after something like this). Maybe they’d expect some type of debt relief or new debt terms or possibly NATO induction. Whatever it is, we should assume there’s some type of motivation other than suicide.
Ukraine bought it from Joe Bob. Now the machine can run unimpeded. The machine likes to make tanks and such. Lots of employees busy fulfilling their destiny. In the up side down world, everyone is talking on the party line at the same time. I don’t care if you hate Johnny Depp, that was good.
If a war is the one thing that will surely keep Russian gas flowing directly into Germany then there will be a war. Biden & the neo-con crooks shipon money directly out of Ukraine transit fees & EU dependence on Russian will in the long-term destroy the dollar. Once NordStream2 is canceled the Russians might as well annex the Donbass because it won’t make a difference anyways.
Russia was insured to about $11 billion if NS II was not completed IIRC, Several of the insurers are now dropping out due to US sanctions according to the linked article below. It is unclear if remaining insurers will continue to insure the project.
The next move will be to stage a military event in Ukraine to provide a pretext to force Germany to end the project. The timing is all about NS II’s pending completion.
The Western political system is now probably beyond repair, and its leaders are uniformly despicable, so in my opinion Russia should just go ahead and shut off all its Western pipelines, and then go for a long lunch.
The People’s Republics have highly motivated 30,000 soldiers.
What’s to stop Russia from giving them state-of-the-art weapons, training them, occupying Kiev and not labelling Russia as the aggressor?
Taking a city, in warfare, requires 3x at minimum, the forces of the city.
Unless, you want to destroy the city like the US does and did with Mosul and Raqqa.
30,000 is not enough by a long shot.
Noticing an uptick in “Crimea is Ukraine clay” on sites like 4chan.
Why. To prepare the ground for what’s coming.
4chan while reviled, is the artesian source for formenting opinion.
The site has been purged of longstanding posters and newbies and paid posters now rule.
Few frequenting the site now know anything of Donbas, the reunification of Crimea or why Russia is in Syria.
The intell agencies that use 4chan to seed and reap narrative are hard at work.
The patriotic and genuine opposition, and its supporters like me, would welcome Russia crushing the Nazi cancer. Because that’s what the invasion would have to do, destroy the Ukranazi coup regime. We wanted Russia to intervene in 2014.
I seem to remember only a few months ago being told that the Nagorno Karabakh army was strong enough to defeat the Ottoman Azerbaijan Headchopper Alliance because of better training, morale, equipment and terrain on top of that. How did that turn out? The same argument was then repeated about the TPLF in Ethiopia, which also had numbers (an alleged 250000 troops, including senior officers in the Ethiopian army). How did that turn out too? Therefore, without overt and decisive Russian help, I’m not enthusiastic about the prospects of Novorossiyan forces, no matter how well trained and motivated, to fight the Ukranazis to a standstill, let alone defeat them.
The Ukranazis are faced with flat plains and any number of invasion routes they want to use. They can concentrate forces on one point and when that doesn’t work switch troops to another flank. The defenders have to defend everywhere. They have no natural chokepoints where they can funnel the Ukranazis to destroy them. With only 100 kilometres between the Ukranazi de facto border and Russia any failure means they risk being cut in two.
Of course the Amerikastani agenda is to make the Ukranazis attack the Donbass and put the Putinist regime in the position of making this choice:
1. See the Ukranazis roll over the Donbass and a corresponding refugee flood into Russia, quite likely of columns of destitute civilians on foot, with a corresponding massive strengthening of the Ukranazi coup regime and Ukranazistan rushing to join a delighted and emboldened NATO or
2. Intervene to destroy the Ukranazi coup regime and take the hysterical and furious reactions that will follow. If you look at the likes of professional anti Russian warmonger propagandist Jihadi Julian Röpcke of Bild, every bullet fired by the Donbass armies in reaction to Ukranazi shelling is an intolerable provocation personally ordered by Putin. It’s not as though such people aren’t already laying the ground for the hysterical reaction.
The former course of action will also all but doom Putin in the elections, while the latter will automatically and finally close down NordStream and hand over the Europeanistani gas market to Amerikastani LPG.
The Amerikastanis – as many Ukrainians have said – are no allies of Ukraine, just predators. They have no regard for Ukranazistan, which they’ve already looted of most of what can be looted. They’ll sacrifice it without hesitation, because there isn’t much left to steal anyway.
Therefore an Ukranazi attack is all but certain. A Russian intervention, if Putin wants to retain power, is likely, but only because of the reaction of Russian people. I believe that if left to his own devices Putin would sacrifice the Donbass without a shot, and that’s why he has neither admitted the Lugansk and Donetsk People’s Republics or even recognised them. Whether he will if the Ukranazis attack is an open question.
Again, an intervention by Russia does not mean an occupation by Russia. Russian tanks may well have to go to Kiev, but only to make sure that the Ukranazi coup regime is destroyed. That does not mean that they’ll have to stay in Kiev. Go in, do the job, get out. That’s the technique favoured by any intelligent military (a term that obviously excludes Amerikastan) in the 21st century.
I agree with your assessment. Plus, I see none discussing about Russian having the potential to use plausible deniability be equipping the Novorossia army with all the gears they need and even sending recon, special mission troops dressed in Novorossia uniforms. Who can tell the difference between a Don bass/Luhansk fighter and one from across the border in Rostov on the Don or from Krasnodar region?
And if the west uses the upcoming conflict to close down Nordstream 2, why would Russia still be concerned with economic implications and sanctions? Haven’t they been sanctioned for the past 6 year? What difference would it make? They should just go in , help the Novorossia army claim as much territory as they can hold, and then leave in their hands a buffer zone for a few years. I think the entire Donetsk oblast and the territory that goes from Melitopol through Kherson should be reclaimed.
Armenia is totally different from dpr/lpr. First of all, they had corrupt leadership in the pocket of Soros. Neither did they receive any kind of military assistance from Russia. Novorussia has neither the Sorosite leadership and it also has direct access to military supplies from Russia. They will get whatever assistance they need. Also these are battle-hardened men, unlike the Armenian defenders. I don’t think they’ll be able to crack their defenses, but we’ll see.
Given the single-minded objective by the US to stop Nord Stream II (NS II), it would be reasonable to conclude that a serious Ukrainian provocation will be launched at the behest of the US, regardless of all that may go wrong, just to accomplish the foregoing. As explained by the Saker, Western Europe would/must fall in line with the new political reality imposed by the US.
Stopping NS II and achieving total capitulation of sovereignty in western Europe are the prizes with Ukraine just a pawn to be sacrificed. The flip side is that if NS II continues after the dust settles in Ukraine, then the US has suffered a strategic defeat.
The link to the well informed blogger on telegram has been deleted.
Good article, good analysis!
It is difficult for me personally to understand what the neo cons in dc and the neonazis in kiev hope to gain from this insanity:
-Certainly, we are observing the delusional neo cons in dc who are clearly psychopathic, e.g. nuland, rice, power, sullivan, blinken who are involved with these mindless provocations; they do tend to double down as in the past on absolute mindless stupidity and they do move on and survive from horrendous disasters but to what end do they expect to gain anything now.
-then we have the neonazis, or just plain nazis, in kiev who must surely expect to suffer heavy losses but say what the hell, we have the cannon fodder; but how long can they expect the cannon fodder to continue.
I saw a number of 27% approval from a poll for support among the rank and file for the obvious suicidal conflict. 27% is not a figure that can provide any vestige of confidence to the “leadership” but again, the ‘leaders’ must believe that they themselves will survive. But again, where is the gain?
As saker points out, the Russians do not do threats over and over but maybe, just maybe, it might be effective for Putin to step out and state once again clearly and unambiguously that the bull shit is over, we see all that has occurred and is occurring, we are not going to allow cyber strikes without response, we are through accepting the sanctions without response, we are not going to allow the Russian population to be destroyed, we through f____ng around trying to get agreements that the dc cretins have no intention of honoring. Finally, we are through talking to the lap dogs in europe because it has no positive reason for constructive results.
Of course, this would prompt screeches of manufactured outrage, the presstitutes would lose their hysterical minds, but again what is the negative-that is been going on now for years if not decades.
It might, just might, set these clowns back a tad. Naïve, yes, hopeful, no, but what the hell is lost in trying to deal with these clowns-their script is repetitive, historically failed, but it is impossible to deal with rabid anti-Russian hatred. History has proven that in spades.
I would think that anyone would agree that to try to conduct a reasonable discussion with a nuland, a kagan, a power, a rice, or even a hillary, would have long since decided that other avenues might be more fruitful. As someone once said, never try to convince one of their error of thinking when their paycheck (or net worth) depends on the erroneous conclusions (or words to that effect).
The dc blob does very well with this anti-Russian insanity. Prob cannot say the same for the cannon fodder who just might be forced to carry out this insanity.
Taras 77; I respect your logic. It certainly makes sense on a rational level. But this situation reminds me of a saying “war is the health of the State.” The entire hierarchical, dominator, exploitive, social model we are trapped inside depends for its stability on constant pressure being imposed upon the mass psyche of the governed. So even if no rational justification for fear, propaganda and aggression can be found those who dominate the state apparatus can do none other than manufacture justification for insane and potentially self defeating policies. For to not do so creates a system wide relaxation of tension which would threaten the very existence of the top down dominator model of the entire social structure. The system itself demands the constant manufacture of fear and tension just to hold its unnatural fabric in any semblance of stability. Because, structurally, war is the health of this state, it makes the absence of fear and war the disease of the state. The system itself is a structural pathology and it needs its psychopaths and sociopaths to always be as busy as beavers manufacturing this tension and stress simply in order to keep the state “healthy.”
Excellent brief analysis that perfectly encapsulates the inter-connected fibers of psychopathy, fear, war and domination that make up the fabric of Capitalism.
But this situation reminds me of a saying “war is the health of the State.” The entire hierarchical, dominator, exploitive, social model we are trapped inside depends for its stability on constant pressure being imposed upon the mass psyche of the governed. So even if no rational justification for fear, propaganda and aggression can be found those who dominate the state apparatus can do none other than manufacture justification for insane and potentially self defeating policies. For to not do so creates a system wide relaxation of tension which would threaten the very existence of the top down dominator model of the entire social structure. The system itself demands the constant manufacture of fear and tension just to hold its unnatural fabric in any semblance of stability. Because, structurally, war is the health of this state, it makes the absence of fear and war the disease of the state. The system itself is a structural pathology and it needs its psychopaths and sociopaths to always be as busy as beavers manufacturing this tension and stress simply in order to keep the state “healthy.”
This is a good comment that deserves to be highlighted as it explains the mass psychological state that is deliberately cultivated as a system of control.
That is, the masses need to be kept in a constant of unease, tension, anxiety–if not fear itself–in order to maintain the cohesion of the capitalist system.
Even at a simply everyday level one can see this psychology in terms of the “news” media with their breathless reporting on whatever is the Hot Button/Fear Issue of the moment. This so-called news media attempts to cultivate in its audience this sense of anxiety or tension as way to render them psychologically vulnerable to control.
And the ultimate means of instilling this Fear Factor in the masses is through War–or threats of War–both Hot and Cold.
The War on Terrorism and Cold War–including the current New Cold War–are the preeminent examples of this Machiavellian tactic.
This is why the supposed Free Press is increasingly relying upon its Orwellian Two Minutes of Hate campaigns against whomever is the self-styled Free World’s Enemy Du Jour such as Islam (War on Terrorism) or Russia/China (New Cold War).
Once again ok to defend Donbass(which is very small), but untill the nazis stay in power in Kiev, there is no
solution.The remaining of ukrainistan will enter Nato.This is unacceptable for Russia.Though a special
operation to eliminate all of them is mandatory.No need for occupation.These nazis are not so many.Rf must
destroy them once and for all.This will make other candidates nearby advised of what could happen to them in
the future if they dare to repeat.It will not change anything as we are already at highest level, there is nothing
else to sanction anymore.NS2 is gone, it will be Germany problem.Cut the gas through Ukraine as well.The
time necessary.European have no options left.Even buying US shale(reserves of shale will start to end in 2025)
will not be possible before years(need to build the terminal).This will cost a lot of money to EU vassals.Their
people will not be happy to pay much more for their bills.The US is not in war with Russia only but with the real
target, occupied Germany.Their goal is to destroy Germany(not by bombing it)economicaly.Merkel will leave
power in oct 2021.Elections for the PR in France in 2022.The Brits already left the EU titanic because they are
the real actor behind this scenario.Much of the White helmets, Skripal, Navalnygate etc are more MI6 psyops
than US one(cia).
Today the US kindergarten made a cyber attack against state websites in the RF.It can be seen as an act of
Next they will close swift and prohibit anyone to buy russian t bonds.
A US carrier and his fleet is arriving near Syria(one french also).Expect the following:
-false flag in Syria(fake chem attack as usual, staged by MI6 W Helmets).
-then a missile attack by the US(could try to bomb Assad palace this time)
-They could also false flag Iran, it is Net and yahoo wet dream.
-then invade Donbass
-color rev 2.0 in Belarus and Russia(at least try to)
-then a no fly zone in Syria
-a lot of fearmongering, special meetings of NATO etc…blablabla
-perfect to reset the financial market which are all in buble mode and will collapse
-the oil will skyrocket well above 100 dollars BRENT/WTI
-they will have their excuse,it is Putin fault of course
-don’t forget that the entire EU countries economies will collapse when they will stop the lockdown as for the
moment the states are paying the salaries and giving billions to employees and small companies.
When the bailout will stop, it will be a hell of bankrupties and millions will loose their job.
Perfect for Macron(as Merkel is leaving)to try to show he is ‘the boss’ in the EU(which is not difficult).
Or as usual..nothing will happen, read this breaking:
What a surprise,and during the years before where have they been?
If the republics are attacked, the Russian response will need to be swift and overwhelming. The Russian troops, yes boots on the ground, must secure the aquifers that feed Krym as well as capturing ALL boundaries of the Donetsk and Lugansk oblasts. Anything less is a waste of blood and treasure. Once secure, recognize the republics.
All the blame and vitriol from the “West” will come over like an avalanche. The thing is, Russia already endured the said blame game. Only this time not only does Russia secure the western flank but it sends a clear unambiguous message that one can only poke the bear so much before it reacts and inflicts pain on you.
Russia holds all the cards this time.
We have the casus belli now, it is not only about Ukraine or Syria but about the dollar and the collapsing ponzi of dozens of trillions of debts in the western world, they need a war to reset.
“Pure International Cybercrime”: Putin Warns Against US ‘Retaliation’ For SolarWinds Hack
“I’m doing this because in this wartime effort, we need maximum flexibility,” Biden said Wednesday
To head off a Ukie attack on the Donbass, what would be so terrible about VVP getting on the front foot and calling a roundtable conference of Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, Romania (with France & Germany invited on the basis of observer status) and an agreement reached where parts of Ukraine which were historically belonged to the attendees – be handed back to them (see link below)
If an agreement could be reached – and we would have to expect RC Poland (following instructions from The Vatican & the City of London), to play its historical role of ‘spoiler’ – it would leave a rump Ukraine (bright green).
While this initiative isn’t a silver bullet, it would certainly go along way to sit the Ukies back on their heels – and make the greatly appreciative Hungary, Slovakia & Romania instant fans of the RF
I’m drawing on the historical perspective either of the Zhirinovsky Plan or the Interwar Restoration Plan as opposed to the geographic perspective, i.e. the Carpathian Border option. We need to be pragmatic
Eight hypothetical solutions/endings to the war in Ukraine
Even in just the calling of such an international roundtable could circumvent the nefarious plans of the Anglo-American-Zionist empire
To be successful, the respective partitions would all have to be achieved via referenda of course to quash any Neo-con suggestion of “Russian aggression”
You are assuming the invitees are free to act on their own interests. None are. The US would have to disappear for that group to meet about anything of consequence. They ask permission to fart much less act like nation-states with sovereignty. That ceased in 1945. The Hegemon rules most harshly over its vassals (some call them allies).
The Kremlin has had four years of relatively light pressure from the Trump administration, so now we shall see what the plans are for Syria and the Ukraine, and perhaps other regions as well. Maybe more should have been done in places like Idlib, but perhaps waiting was the best policy. Hoping Germany and France would see the light is exceedingly optimistic, as they only feel the heat.
On the bright side, aggressive actions by the Biden administration will force Russia to make some decisions, and enable different groups inside Russia to make whatever tough decisions they need to make.
This situation was to be expected, at least since things stabilized in the Ukraine. The Ukraine is too good of a tool for the US to let go to waste.
I hope not. I really hope not. I know that people are tired of war. The only hope is that when push comes to shove, there will be massive desertions, and soldiers turn against their commanders. I pray for such an outcome.
This morning in the village of Zolotoe there was a fierce fight. The demarcation line runs through the village. At roughly 04:30 the orcs attacked, using automats, heavy machine guns, mortars and RPG’s. Casualties are specified. At this time, 08:40 local time, the fighting has lessened but not stopped.
In the last thread I forgot to clarify: with the support of the Russian Airforce, would Malorossia have enough infantry (both locally & from the former Soviet Union) to liberate all territories up to the Dniper River? Do you get the sense the Russian military would support deployment in such an operation? My guess is the average Russian soldier feels more passionately about fighting for Malorossia than in Syria, so please correct me if I’m wrong.
Another war will happen because this situation cannot go forever
USA and West desperately need war in Ukraine.
Only question is what will Russia do.
I do not believe in the might of Ukrainian military.
I think Russia should help LDNR forces to liberate those entire regions.
Then to recognise them and after positive referendum to take them into Russian Federation.
Only then will be peace in East Ukraine.
After that Russia is supposed to make strategy for the other Novorussia regions.
Reasons why Russia should issue an immediate and public warning to the Ukranazi coup regime against any attack on the Donbass:
1. To push to the attention of the Amerikastani and Europeanistani public that the Ukranazis are massing forces for an attack. Otherwise the Ameriganda will act as though “Russia attacked Ukraine for no reason.”
2. To establish a firm legal footing for Russian intervention, at least under Russian law.
3. To make sure the Amerikastani and slave populations are made aware that their regimes are creating a situation that may potentially lead to WWIII.
4. To make the Ukrainian people, including conscripts with little incentive to fight, realise that if their regime attacks the Donbass it will lead to massive casualties among their own children and brothers, so that they had better protest while they can.
5. To make the Ukranazi coup regime understand that if it attacks its Amerikastani owners will not be able to protect it.
Reasons why Russia should NOT issue an immediate and public warning to the Ukranazi coup regime against any attack on the Donbass:
Wouldn’t Putin try to delay this at least until NS2 is completed?
And aren’t the actions of Ukraine aimed at exactly that, to prevent NS2 from being completed, incl. by provoking a war (after which the Europeans would no longer be able to resist the US pressure on NS2)? Since they realise that this may be their last opportunity to stop NS2 and keep some leverage over Russia through its gas pipelines…
Read an article from Paul Antonopoulos. Seems Azerbijan is also gearing up for something along with ukraine. Behind all of it seems to be turkey and the west. Here’s the link:
While Paul is an old friend, I disagree with his contention that the Ottomans are behind the Ukranazi moves. Not even Erdoğan can possibly imagine that Russia will be sufficiently overwhelmed by Azeri and Ukranazi attacks to capitulate. Of course, Erdo will try to take advantage of the situation, but that doesn’t mean he engineered it; especially as Russia could finally retaliate against Ottoman forces in Syria. It’s infinitely more likely that it is the Amerikastani Empire that is pushing Ukranazistan.
Once again, though, we see the result of the Russian failure to intervene to save Nagorno Karabakh. Pashinyan is still in power, the Ottoman Empire
has now influence than ever in Azerbaijan, and Aliyev’s appetite for territory has only been whetted. That’s where “restraint ” gets you once it becomes pathological.
“Once again, though, we see the result of the Russian failure to intervene to save Nagorno Karabakh”
Think about it: VVP & the RF are playing the long game
No need for a trigger, i am expecting a worldwide coordinated attack against all proxies of Russia wherever in the world.
I think it would be a great opportunity to demonstrate the real capacity of hypersonic non nuclear weapons. Just find where the command center for ukronazis with their natostan friends is, and cristalize it with one of those new russian fireballs.
That should stop any attack on its tracks, and give food for thought for anyone involved no?
I agree. That would save many lives
Agreed. We’re on the brink of the first *real* war for a long while. Due to a stolen US election and the demons who stole it! This one will involve new and surprising weapons. Micro-assassin drone swarms with AI facial recognition. Long range cruise torpedos. Hypersonic missiles. Unmanned AI-driven heavy battle armor. Stealthed micro-nukes. Space to ground energy weapons. Automated takedowns of civil power and coms infrastructure.
I don’t think the neanderthal neocon warmongers and their Globalist Elite-owned US fraud-administration morons with their meat-puppet-Biden have any understanding of what they are unleashing. The era is over, when murderous ‘leaders’ could sit in comfort and safety, while ordering the citizen masses off to die in Banker’s wars. This time the stupid ‘leaders’ are going to die. Much to their surprise.
Davos, DC, Vatican, City of London… How much finer a place the world would be without these parasites.
Ukros will attack sooner or later because the boss in Washington needs a war.
But war is deadly risky for Kiev regime, because that regime could not survive one more embarassing defeat like 6 years ago.
With Russian help to the LDPR the Kiev regime will implode and certain regions will breakaway. The Galician Banderastan will be completely alone as it has zero friends, as all their neighbors want to occupy parts of it. s
Maia Sandu isn’t a rumanian, her last name is atypical, as it’s usually used as a boy’s name diminutive for Alexandru. A giveaway is that many khazars have chosen a surname which is usually used as given name, when “naturalized”. A very large number of new “rumanian” citizens after WW1 were immigrated ashkenazis, probably as reward for the support at Versailles for the creation of Great Rumania.
Her evolution is telling: from early on involved with the World Bank, including as adviser to the executive director.
She’s a Soros/Redshield shill, systematically associating herself with other well known ones (Dacian Cioloș, Monica Macovei, Laura Codruța Kovesi, Dan Barna, etc.), and the usual globalist jewish mafia puppets (Băsescu, Iohannis, Merkel, Manfred Weber, Tusk, and so on).
Also, the first name of her “new” NGO/party being „În /pas/ cu Maia Sandu” (“In step with Maia Sandu”, later becoming PAS “Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate” (“Party of Action and Solidarity” – “en marche” rings a bell?
Donetsk News Agency (DAN):
DPR reminds Kravchuk of his task to reinstall peace, not fuel another war – 03.10.2021
DPR Foreign Ministry views missile strike at Donetsk as Kiev’s wish to start fighting in region – 03.04.2021
DPR says Kiev’s sanctions against independent media is preparation of military actions – 02.26.2021
I do not believe the US is going to war in the Donbass to:
1) kill NS2
2) win some propaganda narrative in the dumbed down west
I believe the US, its financial system and its goal to rule the world need some bigger things to happen, and time is not on their side.
I live in Europe and expect to be in WW3 in the middle of this year. What US people can expect I let you use your imagination.
I agree with you, but….
if the conflict is limited to the Donbass than it’s just about the pipeline, because that would be a sufficient action to stop it while still not triggering a wider war. For a wider war to take place US troops have to die, under no other conditions will the American even notice. The bigger fight would probably start in the Middle East (Syria), with a fight in the Ukraine coming first as a way of isolating the Russians beforehand.
Don’t agree with you on the “liberate Ukraine” part. There are no “Ukrainians”. There are “Malorussians” though. The Dnieper is a good physical internal border and Kiev a much too important symbolic city. There is no cuteness involved in this viewpoint. The (historic) base of Nazism and Banderastan are located around “Galicia”. It’s no use to overestimate the numbers of the real “Naziki”. The internal border and a off-the-chain FSB (incl. all other competent Russian services) should do the job on a physical level in the East of the Dnieper. Much of the other parts of the country are in disarray. They are ready to fall of the wagon, once the power center is dealt with. The border to the West has to be secured for geopolitical and defensive reasons. Western parts of Ukraine can govern themselves as long as they good citizens.
I can only agree with the notion that Russia should not attack first. BTW, I haven’t seen any recent polls on the Ukr conflict in Russia, Russians had that position in the beginning, but now no one wants even to have to deal with this trash construct of “Ukraine” – but polls are a form of manipulation anyway – almost everyone just wants to forget about Ukrland in Russia. Putin already declared, that an attack will have serious consequences for Ukraine’s statehood. What does that mean? Try another large scale attack and Ukraine is done – from East to West type of done. It’s illusory to think anything is to be gained from staying away this time.
The only reason why Ukrland still something half-alive, is the Putler in power. He has done a tremendous job of stopping Russia from collective suicide, but his half measure are becoming more and more of a detriment. Many patriots in Russia (from the sane left aka reds to the right aka whites patriots) are absolutely for restoring the Empire in a modern form. The Russian Empire has never been a type of Western empire. I think you know it, and everybody else who knows a bit about Russia knows it.
Lastly, the patriots see a possible large scale conflict as an opportunity to rid Russia of its parasites, if not the oligarch bunch on the “Rublyovka” than at least in politics and the cultural sphere. Russia’s elites are a very strange chimeric breed, half former gangsta, half former “good” communist and good liberals – what a joke. Analysts like Владимир Лепехин (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X6sLfjEorlM) lay it all out for you, but I think you know it very well for yourself.
Sooner or later Russia will reunify with its historic lands (Belorus, Malorus, Baltics and some other nice places…), from A follows B etc. or cease to exist as civilizational phenomenon, as Russian liberals so desperately to achieve by snuffing out the Ruski out of Russia.
Thank you. I wonder if Russia would do just enough in defensive proactions to protect Donbass to bring back EU and Ukraine to some kind of senses..possibly UN to reinforce resolutions to comply with Minsk with complete insistence on EU France and Germany to implement(which could point out the uselessness of that)…might Russia give one final ultimatum that eg unless Ukr forces retreat 100 k and Russia install extensive detection systems ..Donbass will become some kind of protectorate with a permanent AFR pesence on borders minefields and any AFU presence within 50k will be targeted …….and that 50k kinda become a neutral zone of some sort…
or might Russia really take solid hammering over the top action to really really make the EU understand they have failed…are duplicitous….making huge mistakes with defective polticians….and scare the **** out of them to the new reality .
One wonders .
I would of thought that more people in the LDR’s would of obtained Russian citizenship.
“The number of residents of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics (DPR and LPR) who received Russian passports has exceeded 600 thousand. This is reported by”Interfax” with reference to the head of the main Directorate of the Ministry of internal Affairs of Russia in the Rostov region Oleg Agarkov.
“According to him, by February 18, 639,000 applicants from Donbas had received a simplified passport of a Russian citizen. It is noted that in January 2021, this number did not exceed 400 thousand.
“Earlier, the head of the DPRDenis Pushilin reportedthat the queue of those wishing to obtain Russian citizenship in the Republic “stretched for more than one year.” He called this situation wrong and promised to take measures to speed up this procedure.”
Many residents of Donbass need Ukie passports for work and/or benefits like their pensions. They fear giving up Ukie passports for security reasons.
“They fear giving up Ukie passports for security reasons.”
that means they have no trust in Putin.
Putin is “the best grandchessmaster ever” only in internet comments,
reality is a bit different tho, those who experience hardship know best
The Donbass people had to initially pay for the Russian passport, now it’s free, but that’s only one part of it.
To get one, they have to apply in their own Republic, and there aren’t enough officials to process them (fast enough, hence a long backlog)… The Republics, while in principle supporting their citizens getting Russian passports, know that once they have got them, it is very tempting simply to move to Russia with its higher pay (and benefits). So they are increasing the pay to match the neighbouring Rostov region, and hope to match it by next year, if it continues to go according to plan.
fleet of at least four NATO warships has docked in the Ukrainian port of Odessa on the shores of the Black Sea, Dumskaya.net online media outlet reported. The ships arrived around 9 am GMT on 10 March, according to the media. The commanders of the fleet are reportedly expected to meet with the leadership of the Ukrainian Navy during the visit to Odessa.
The arriving NATO fleet includes Turkish training ship A577 TCG Sokullu Mehmet Paşa and three minehunters: Turkish M267 TCG Ayvalik, Spanish TSPS Tajo (M36) and Romanian ROS Lt Lupu Dinescu.
Could just serve the function of a *ship shield* to ensure that Russian will not approach what little remains of
Ukrainian navy, undermanned and probably not operational.
No way do Spaniards or Romanians want to be directly involved in this potential kerfuffle!!!
Exclude Ukranian cruise missiles !!! and or Drones (Turkish flavour)..
Plus to neutralise the newest US coastal patrol boats, intended to deliver Special Forces and elite PMC*s towards Crimea.
Again 2 Turkish ships, in spite of OR because of, VVP & Erdogan signing a 4 reactor nuke construction deal on Med. coast and apparently joint manufacture of S-400 – seems slightly far-fetched (Sputniknews..)
As reported here, Pasha Erdogan is apparently stirring things around Azerbaijan/Armenia to finally achieve his dream of a direct link to Caspian.
Brain-dead sleepy Joe Biden has only been in office (or at home/Cerebral IC unit..) for a month, so for local US Sheeple consumption it is quite normal for a grandiose testosterone chest-thumping show.
Also for Wall Street…
100% sure that VVP has got these waylaid ´castrato´ sheeple sussed out!!!
The prevailing opinion is that when NATO attacks with proxies, Russia will only retaliate against the proxies. Is it possible that Russia will just skip the proxies and bring the fight directly to NATO?
No, Russia is a rational actor.
the majority of Americans are ignorant of non-US history, geography, and politics.
Russia can use that ignorance to their advantage or detriment.
Detriment: in the event of war in Donbass, “Pearl Harboring” US/Nato assets in Europe…that is literally the one way for DC to get widespread public support for action in Ukraine.
Advantage: let the US throw good money after bad by propping up Ukraine while the US proxies fall like pawns. US public will be indifferent/nominally against sending Americans die for other people, even if they are white, lol. (even less so now as America is more diverse than ever)
There are times when acting rational is irrational. It’s dangerous to escalate when facing a crazy enemy, but it’s also dangerous to assure your enemy that you will not counter-escalate past a certain point.
I think that the Empire might provoke a conflict between the nazi junta in Kiev and Russia, not with the aim of retaking the Donbass, that will be impossible, but to blame the Russians as aggressors, impose new and tougher sanctions and draw a wedge between Russia and Western Europe
Some people mentioned that the goal might be stopping NS2, so Ukies can collect the transport fee and pass it to uncle Shmuel. Do we really believe natural gas would continue to flow to Europe through Ukraine in such case? Even if Kremlin decides to continue self harming treatment of ukies, somebody from DPR/LPR could blow a pipe or two, there are lots of volunteers in Donbass, they do not need and do not heed orders from Russia, I suppose…
Ukrainians are well used to depravities and suffering, so no gas is not to hit them so hard – they have no gas anyways. Europe, it is a different story. Maybe they plan to hook-up to Germany’s solar electric grid (ROFL).
Nothing is going to happen. US will not attack, will not collapse, not much will change, including serving at home life sentences for the populations…
If Ukronazis attack it will show whole Biden Administration is crazy. Pentagon generals live in a delusional fantasy world these days. US military not only breaks Intl law but seems to unaware there is such a thing. This blaming Russia for solar Winds hack shows Team Biden is really out to lunch. Announcing in the NYT your ‘surprise” attack? Russians are justified in whatever decision they make about Ukraine.
How many Ukrainians can Kiev depend on? What are the chances of a backslash in Banderastan?
I cannot follow the logic of “The biggest problem for Russia is that she cannot do any of that without triggering a huge political crisis in Europe.” The Russian response to a politcal/military crisis triggered by Ukraine et al is not the same as the political/military crisis that started it,… is it?
”This entire notion of Russia disinfecting the Ukraine from the Nazi rot is an ideological construct with no base in reality.”
Not to be provocative or anything, but the one place in the world where, guaranteed, the populace would support their forces doing anything to destroy Euro-Nazi rot is Germany, isn’t it? If a Bundeswehr peacekeeper stationed in Kiev was approached by a rabid neo-Nazi, and reacted by breaking the NN’s jaw with the butt-end of his or her rifle, would anyone at all in Germany (except those on Uncle Sam’s payroll), say anything in protest? What about in France?
No parent in West Virginia or El Paso or Baltimore is going to want to send their kid to fight/bleed/die for Ukraine.
So good luck to everyone in Europe and the Beltway who wants to poke the sleeping bear, ordinary Americans are not going to volunteer their kids to die for your war.
Unfortunately it does not matter what ordinary people want! Americans, according to the polls do not want wars, and wars continue, despite opposition. I remember the protests against Iraq War back in 2003 (Where I live, I remember how in March 2003, downtown was filled with people, protesting an attack on Iraq) and war went ahead anyway.
Official Washington requires wars or threats of wars to survive the balance of power struggles within the USA. It is irrelevant within Washington whether the war meets any standard of success–if it uses up ordinance, promotes those that favor war in the government and the media then any war is a success. Now that the powers-that-be in the State apparatus have successfully gotten rid of Trump they now will be fighting among themselves for primacy. Usually these struggles are determined by which side can summon allies from outside–the War Party, has a limited time to assert itself so it will try to bring the US and it’s European vassals into some kid of unity by amplifying the “threat” of Russia by forcing Russia into a military response to a Ukraine attack on the LDNR forces and perhaps the Crimea. Whether Ukrainian forces are easily defeated or not once a shooting war begins there is plenty for Washington to feast on. The media will have something to focus on now that Trump is gone and if they can get Russia to attack any US personnel within Ukraine then the US public will be aroused to a war hysteria (or at least that is what Washington believes and counts on) against Russia which will “unify” the country and defuse and create strong pressure to crack down on dissident forces which is already happening anyway.
There’s nothing anyone can do about this–the only restraint on all this is that other centers of power like the international finance oligarchs and the uniformed military may not like the idea of risking everything so that Washington can establish dominance within the globalist power-game over other forces. This may be the last chance for the Washington War Party to be firmly in control of the Empire.
Russia may not expand its territory on the expense of Ukraine, but Novorossia can do it. I would not exclude a scenario whereby Novorossia, ( rather than Russia) can reclaim Mariupol, Kramatorsk , Sloviansk and the whole Donetsk oblast for that matter. We shall see. Make sense? Especiallly appealing to the Russians would be the idea of restoring the water supply to Crimea by taking the south eastern part of Ukraine all the way to the Don river. Of course, that would be the Novorussia rather than Russia proper.
Aren’t we clear of any war until defrosted ground dries and the mud permits vehicles to operate off roads?
Isn’t this all about forcing Germany to abandon Nord Stream 2?
Somehow I don’t see an artillery/tank war like in WWII. Mobile forces, quick reaction… yes, all with the air space over Donbass being instantly secured for sure. Of course there could be a red herring thrown into the mix with some drama of US “contractors” surrounded by the Russian army and needing rescue etc. etc.
However, the US military is not the only one that can do war gaming exercises and I am sure that Russia is prepared. Those in the Donbass also do not want another long slog to regain the airport so perhaps the eventually of a repeat has been ruled out by military planners in some way. Super mobile, elite forces used defensively, creatively? in the sense of the best defense is a sudden center offense? with supporting fall back positions/artillery? Just asking.
Also there is another issue of Cutting off the water for Crimea Isn’t that like a genocidal act? What if Turkey should cut off water for the Euphrates? One would think that comes under the rubric of “crime against humanity”.
Most of my former friends could not be convinced that the Russian army had not taken over Donbass 6 years ago so I don’t think the American people can be moved by old news from a galaxy far, far away. Maybe to the utterance of:
” What??? They are back again? Dang..!!! Well, hope there are no more passenger planes flying over that area.”
This is the last chance for the empire(at least for a while)to defeat(they think) Russia, because in sept Russians will vote for the new Duma(operation Navalny was a fiasco, same for Belarus colour revolution which also failled).Then presidential election in 2024 and due to the change in the constitution Putin will most probably be reelected if he chooses to be candidate(otherwise he will stay in the shadow of the new PR).Though game over for Biden(if he is still alive, not so sure)and for the dems(they will loose the midterms and then who knows Trump will maybe come back with revenge for a MAGA 2.0)? No more russiagate etc will be possible as nobody this time will buy this fake anymore(even stupid yankees).Till then China will consolidate and lead the world.EU(US vassals) will be forced to switch alliance otherwise they will have to forget the Chinese market(+ Russia and maybe India and other asian states nearby+ Iran).Nobody will care about the US anymore.It will become a secondary market with a weak currency and a mountain of debts without shale energy after 2025.
It is now or never.
Dear Saker, this is probably one of your best analyses so far with different case scenarios laid out very clearly. Scientific and systematic, two things sadly lacking in today’s world.
According to Sheik Imran Hosein, events in Ukraine are all part of the Armaggeddon prophecy. Crimea re-uniting with Russia has given Russia primacy over the Black Sea.
According to the prophecy, this sets the stage for the re-conquest of Constantinople which lies on the other side of the Black Sea…
This is discussed from 40 min onwards:
Dear Saker, I’m sure you’ll be interested by this article:
“In an open letter to Jens Stoltenberg, Secretary General of NATO, several senior military officers grouped within the Cercle de Réflexion Interarmées (Interarmy Think Tank) protest against the NATO 2030 project, which they believe weakens France’s sovereignty. We reproduce it here.”
Excerpt (Translation: DeepL ) “So yes, Mr. Secretary General, at the end of these twenty years of sustained efforts on the part of NATO to recreate the “Russian enemy”, which is indispensable to the survival of an organization that is theoretically purely defensive, yes, Russia has finally stiffened and sought the cooperation in the East that the West refused it.”
Please do read in full, and take in Andrei Martyanov here: http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2021/03/they-may-try-again.html
Specifically and I quote:
“1. Western Europe wants to “unload” this shithole of a country it created on Russia. Russians do not want to pay for this banana locality, so the only way to “coerce” Russians is make sure they defeat Ukraine. ”
“So, whatever Russia will do, ranging from behind the scene support for LDNR to the outright annihilation of Kiev regime, she has options and escalation dominance, Kiev does not. ”
“Those European nations, who would want to join any major Eurasian economic and science projects–they will be welcomed and the selection process already started. ”
“It is so easy to live when you don’t owe anything to anyone and you don’t need anything from anyone.”
Also, for those agitating for Putin to take Donbass immediately, why would Putin take moral and historical responsibility for breaking apart the Ukraine when such a break-up is imminent anyways?
Much better to swoop in, when the whole thing collapses, take the bits you want and leave the EU to pick up the rest.
Btw how Martyanov writes in his point 2:
…”United States which increasingly reminds of Ukraine” lol!
Moscow warns Kiev today (again).
https://tass.com/politics/1265245against using force in Donbass:
“……I would like to warn the Kiev regime and the hotheads that are serving it or manipulating it against further de-escalation and attempts to implement a forceful scenario in Donbass,” she said, commenting on the statement of head of the Ukrainian delegation to the Contact Group for settlement in Donbass Leonid Kravchuk on some “radical steps” of Kiev if Russia refuses to recognize itself as a conflict side in eastern Ukraine.
The rhetoric of Ukrainian officials “gives reason to think about the true intentions of Kiev in this historical period,” Zakharova pointed out. “Once again, we call on the Ukrainian government to stop coming up with some new agreements, new documents, and to finally start duly adhering to its obligations under the Minsk Agreements……..”
Kiev will have a very hard time finding any soldiers who are willing to fight for their crazy government. Already in the first war there was about a million men of fighting age fleeing to Russia. Those left don’t want to fight and will do everything they can to avoid conscription.
Interestingly, as I read this article, I was glancing at a NATO article discussing the very things The Saker discusses. What really struck me as I went along is how utterly confused and unfounded NATO doctrine is, based almost exclusively on cliches and propaganda, and completely unable to postulate any reasonable scenario that could possibly happen that doesn’t require the alliance to “shake the tree” to get something they can “defensively react to”. Because of the weapon system standoff and area/access denial parameters that accompany the geopolitical situation in Ukraine, the NATO “response” is inevitably offensive in nature. However, in the Ukrainian operational area, this offensive reaction must dissipate into empty, “friendly” land for hundreds of kilometers as Russian area denial attacks degrade the offensive force, and all before it encounters any LDNR forces. The Russians have therefore very skillfully prepared this battlefield.
Maybe just a bit of satire by col cassad during a time of serious concern about impending war:
At the Vasilkov military airfield, a drunken captain of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (a certain Sh., Born in 1974), acting according to NATO standards, shouting “Glory to Ukraine” and “Forward to the aggressor!” at full speed made a combat turn in a Volkswagen and rammed a towed MiG-29.
The tail of the car caught fire, but was quickly extinguished. The kamikaze patriot escaped with bruises on his face and chest. The brain, as they say, is not hurt, which once again proves the qualitative growth of the mental capabilities of the officers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine after the revolution of guiding.
The MiG-29 has once again proved that it is a high-quality machine, which, despite its venerable age, is capable of withstanding ram attacks by drunk Ukrainian officers, although the designers hardly considered such an option when designing the aircraft.
Southfront.org claims this incident actually happened and that the MiG 29 will probably be written off since it caught fire in the incident.
a) Any comments and speculation regarding the off-loading of approximately 40-50 US military helicopters at Dunkirk, France from March 11. Apparently, latest attack helicopters and twin rotor heavy lift transport models. Of course all part of normal/long-planned excercises etc.,!!
Also a ´large exercise´ by numerous US military helicopters based in German flying towards Rotterdam over next few days!!!
b) are they any/many US-French-German built helicopters operating in Ukraine by military or PMC or civilian contractors ie., crop spraying of Cargill´s, John Deere´s etc., huge acreage of worlds most fertile soils…
At least they should restore water to Crimea and advance till that point or include it in a peace treaty
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) – The US military has established a new $7.5 million Center of Excellence in Networked Configurable Command, Control and Communications for Rapid Situational Awareness (COE-NC4), the Department of Defense announced in a news release. “The Department of Defense through the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering (OUSD (R&E)), launched a $7.5 million Center of Excellence in Networked Configurable Command, Control and Communications for Rapid Situational Awareness at the University of California, Riverside, the release said on Friday.
Plus Germany buys USA spyplanes 1.7 billion to patrol borders……
Wunderbar, ein Grosse Danke fur Angie!!!
My shares, mate!!!
Amerikanski/Amis Spy Planes to keep out die VildSchweine (infected with African Swine Fever plus COVID-19 bis xyzzy..) from those Eastern borders.
Yupp, these Polish piggies/boars are steadily fleeing the influx of 4 million Ukranian refugees and 5,000 SeScha GRUNTS oik-oik ..Perhaps a few Czechis grunts too.
But can those Huawei sensors suss out whether said grunts (4-legged variety) are wearing masks or not!!!
Wheww!! 1,7 billion… is Hilary Clinton the accountant!!!
Hasn’t she ever heard of fencing !!(tested Gaza Strip model…)
Proud to add that we Danes constructed a 60km 1,5m high fence along the Danish/Deutschland border 2 years ago.. but pigs do fly – with the result that our 12 million Minks (for fur clad Chinese damsels) were recently slaughtered due to concerns over COVID-STD allergies etc.,
However, we have increased our Rapid Situational Awareness along our Greenland borders (approx. 5000 km) by sending up 20 methane powered kayaks and 10 hot air balloons..
Furthermore, Donaldo Trumpetissimo is yet again making another bid for Greenland… for 10 x18 hole golf courses with unemployed Eski…..whoops Inuits as caddies (preferably speaking Chinese or Russian)!!!,
Here is the document on Rapid Situational Awareness, basically cultural understanding for troops of the population in the country they are occupying.
Turkish Cypriots were not citizens of turkey but citizens of the Republic.of cyprus.
Any analysis of international affairs incognizant of Talmudists world rulers agenda is simply irrelevant and misleading.
If Putin reiterated a very clear statement that Russia will not allow Donbass to be overrun, it would decrease the moral of the Ukrainian forces, if nothing else.
Geroman and I knew each other on Twitter over multiple accounts before I got sick of being banned and quit all social media.
According to his map the Donbass defence lines will be swamped from the flanks even if they eliminate every single direct attack.
Some of you know that I successfully predicted the course of the wars in Nagorno Karabakh and Ethiopia.
I don’t think there is any way the Donbass armies can fight off the Ukranazis without active and open Russian involvement.
If that happens I have no idea how far it will go either. Ideally Russia should capture Kiev, but at least Slovyansk and Mariupol must be restored to Novorossiya.
Looks like the very name and mention of the Old Bolshevik Mykola Skrypnyk, his policies in Ukraine and what happened to him and to them is much taboo on this blog.
A previous post and commentary about him and a theory of why we have such a phenomenon as “UkroNazis” today has been censored, namely, never allowed to be posted here.
Also, a proposed post about the truth of who the Donbass rebels today really are [descendants of] and about
mysterious involvement of Western bankers and power circles in the great famine in Ukraine in early 1930’s,
the Holodomor, has also been not allowed,—censored!
There is no reason to obfuscate. Say it like it is!
I don’t think this analysis is correct. Ukraine is hit hard by COVID-19 and this “mobilization” is just a charade to hide how many people died from COVID-19 over there.
At this point I would say, that most Ukrainians would like to be part of Russia than being treated like shit by their own government! This “Bandera-Experiment” is going to end soon!
Stay Healthy & Safe
Saker has regularly been predicting the resumption of war in the Donbass, but it never happens.
I suggest that a search be made for records of shipments of second pairs of pants to frontline Ukie troops, as these will be needed shortly after they receive orders of any offensive.
Why is it not constantly reminded that (((Nuland))) installed (((Yats))), (((Poroshenko))) and (((Zelensky))).
Were it not for Russia, the east of Ukraine would be experiencing Holodomor 2.0. These people LOVE killing christians!
This is quite unreal and the resolution will be awesome!
If only 1 russian soldier is attacked, or russian territory is included in terms of aggression, then Putin should retaliate not only in the Ukraine, but on the territory of the so called “BRD”, where American Air Force bases like Ramstein are situated, that support Ukrainian military, and on the territory of the United States, that is behind all that satanic aggression. And by “retaliation” I mean retaliation with nukes and sophisticated cruise missiles, that go a long way! Remember the surprise in the West, when Putin sent some “Kalibr” cruise missiles from the Baikal Sea(!) to war criminals in Syria! This “Kalibr” hit the target +/- 5 Meters! And furthermore, Putin has some sophisticated weapons of electronic warfare. `member the Black Sea incident, when a Russian flanker “attacked” a US ship. The flanker didn´t shoot, but after its flyby the electronic systems of the US ship didn´t operate any longer! Nothing did function! The ship was helpless! Then the ship managed to reach the nearest harbour and the marines of that ship were so frightened, that most of them quitted their job!
Moreover, in the meantime Russian capabilities have improved a lot!
If that Western little ethnic group, that is responsible for almost any satanic crime in human history, wants a defeat, – go and get it!