NATO at war and other statistical marvels

NATO at war and other statistical marvels

by Scott Humor

NATO Parliamentary Assembly Spring Session, Tbilisi, 26-29 May 2017

“The capital of Georgia, Tbilisi is a historic and a strategic place in the Caucasus region, which gave the country an opportunity to be a connecting hub between the West and the East

Unfortunately, our progress is not a pleasant development in the region for some, like the Russian Federation. Moscow has militarily violated Georgia’s territorial sovereignty and has illegally occupied the Georgian regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Russian military aggression and its provocations in various forms towards its neighbours have become routine by the Kremlin. Economic sanctions by the European Union and its partners are imperative to slow down this aggression, but more needs to be done. Therefore, it is crucial that we have a visible progress on both the practical and political side of Georgia’s EU and NATO membership process.

Furthermore, we highly value the Allies’ commitment to ensure effective implementation of the Substantial NATO-Georgia Package, as well as new initiatives of practical cooperation. We welcome the decision made at the Warsaw Summit to increase NATO’s presence in the Black Sea region and at the same time to further strengthen cooperation with Georgia.

Georgia’s relationship with the Alliance contains all the practical tools to prepare our country for eventual membership. As the Bucharest Summit Declaration states: Georgia will become a member of NATO.”

It’s truly haunting how NATO uses a blunt lie going on record, even so we can just take one look at the online records of the UN Security Council and read that it Georgia initiated the war on 08.08.08.

Security Council hears conflicting Russian, Georgian views of worsening crisis as members seek end to violence in day’s second meeting on South Ossetia

VITALY CHURKIN ( Russian Federation) said Georgia continued its treacherous attack on South Ossetia, despite the Russian leadership’s appeal for an immediate ceasefire, an end to the fratricidal conflict and the resumption of talks.  The Russian Federation abhorred the connivance of a number of Security Council members, who last night had blocked passage of the Russian assessment of the situation.  The aggression being perpetrated was in violation of the United Nations Charter on the non-use of force, the 1996 agreement signed by Georgia, the South Ossetia parties and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), and the 1992 basic agreement between the Russian Federation and Georgia on the principles for settlement of the Georgian-Ossetian conflict.  That agreement obliged the belligerents to undertake measures to halt military confrontation, to cease fire and to withdraw armed units.  A demilitarized zone had been created under the accord and the 1996 memorandum of understanding, compelling parties to the conflict to renounce the use or threat of use of force, had been signed by the High Representative of Georgia and the OSCE representative.  More here

United Nations Security Council Resolution 896 of 1994

 

On April 1st this year, William Lahue, NATO liaison officer in South Caucasus stated that NATO will not fight with Russia over Abkhazia and South Ossetia, if Georgia joins the alliance.

This statement is bizarre and deceiving considering that right now NATO is in active state of war with Russia according to its website:

NATO – Topic: Collective defence – Article 5

www.nato.int/cps/cn/natohq/topics_110496.htm

Mar 22, 2017

  • NATO has taken collective defence measures on several occasions, for instance in response to the situation in Syria and in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine crisis.
  • NATO has standing forces on active duty

So, NATO has already invoked the Article 5 Collective defense treaty and is in a state of active war on Russia.

This current land grab is similar to what the fascist Europe was doing right before they started a war on the Soviet Russia in 1941.

Needless to say that Georgia joining NATO is against NATO’s own rules pertinent to  countries with territorial disputes. Since NATO is ready to deploy its army to Georgian territory, it means that the NATO has suspended its rules, which is another indicator that the NATO members are currently in active state of war against Russia.

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For those our readers who collect psi-ops and false flag attacks, here is the strategy that is been used repeatedly to draw Russia into the armed conflict on its borders.

A government of one  of the republics starts terribly abusing a part of population living under its rule. This population rebels and demands autonomy, propelling the government’s brutally attacks by punitive forces. The population under the attack fighting back and holds a referendum for independence. The government uses the regular army to attack the population, which asks Russia for help.

Thus in November 2006, a popular referendum was held in South Ossetia to reaffirm its independence from Georgia.  Ninety-nine percent of voters supported the referendum. After two years of punitive actions, Saakashvili, the US appointed puppet, initiated the war by attacking civilian population and the Russian peacekeepers. Putin as a prime minister was away visiting China, so President Medevedev and its liberal parliament respond with the use of the military force.

In 2914, when NATO members played the same situation in Ukraine like a piano, an “international community” fully expected Russia to do as she did in 2008. But with Putin as a president it didn’t work out for them.

————-

A country with 77% of its population with missing teeth is looking for financial support.

Latvian MP and a former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Jānis Jurkāns gave an interview to the newspaper Neatkarīgā on May 15 of this year. He said that a war on Russia is expected to start any minute, and that’s why Latvian government doesn’t invest anything into the country’s development. It’s all going to be destroyed any way.  “What’s not stolen, will be crashed by the Russian tanks.”

Reportedly he also said that soon Russia will be completely destroyed, and only then a real economic revival in Latvia will take place.

In conclusion he said, that when, in the future, Russia will be crushed into pieces, they as victims will receive huge amount of money to build the brand new Latvia. That is why they are removing what’s left of the country’s wealth and creating in Ireland a base for a government in exile.

——

What actually are the Trump’s deals with the Saudi Arabia?

Looking at the list of deals that the US managed to achieve with the SA, most of them being just pledges and promises.

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed by Lockheed Martin, Raytheon express a desire to establish Raytheon Arabia sometime in the future. General Dynamics will do some design, and support some of its vehicles locally. Let me guess, the locals will be allowed to design and manufacture some stickers in Arabic. General Electrics signed MoU, Honeywell International signed a MoU, McDermott International also signed an MoU. Boeing and SaudiGulf Airlines promised to start negotiations of jet purchases. Saudi Aramco updates MoU. Jacobs Engineering Group, Rowan, Saudi Aramco, Nabors, Weatherford International all signed MOUs.

Similar to a contract, a memorandum of understanding is an agreement between two or more parties. Unlike a contract, however, an MoU need not contain legally enforceable promises. While the parties to a contract must intend to create a legally binding agreement, the parties to an MOU may intend otherwise

Not one actually legally binding contract was signed.

==============

In April, industrial production in Ukraine decreased by 6.1 percent compared to the same period last year.

From January to April of 2017 industrial production fell by 2%.

Industrial production is falling for the third month in a row. The main factor of the collapse of metallurgical industry that in April 2017 has reduced steel production by 28.6% compared to April of 2016, to 1,572 million tons.

The export of steel is the main source of foreign income for the country.

With the disappearance of metallurgy, Ukraine will finally become an agricultural powerhouse producing only wheat and corn; since the value added in agriculture is not high and considering the dependency on foreign (Russian) fertilizers, the country won’t be able to sustain its population for much longer.

Despite this, GDP is growing. The gross domestic product of Ukraine for the first quarter increased by 3 percent according to the national Bank of Ukraine.

Industrial production fell, exports fell. The GDP is growing

The explanation is simple.

The price of steel has risen over the past year with $220 per ton of steel to $320, and even it has already dropped to $275; still the Ukraine is in the black, especially compared with the middle of 2016, when steel cost $115 per ton.

====================================

Green Spring of 2017

Russia’s economy grew in April 2017 compared to the same period of 2016.

Most the basic economic and social indicators went up with GDP rising to 100.5% of last year’s value.

Total agricultural output grew 100.6%. Industrial Production Index grew 102.3%. The volume of transported cargo grew by 109.4%. Retail trade numbers have not changed at 100% of April 2016. Combined foreign trade grew by 129.8%, with the export growing by 135.2% and import growing by 121.8%. Capital investments grew by 102.3%. Absolute income and real-wage growth grew by 106.7%, however real income fell to 92.4%. Since the inflation went down, this could be a result of the drop in real estate and rental prices. Unemployment rate fell to 5.3%. Officially registered as unemployed are 0.9 million people. In total 4 million people are unemployed.

With unemployment going down, wages grew +3.2% by March of 2017 year to year.

Real wages in Russia

Real Income In Russia

With all major indexes in green, the only unexplained drop is in real income which is down for March by significant -7.6%. Considering that at the beginning of the year the same indicator grew almost 7%, this number will probably be revised. However, it still might remain negative.

On May 14, during the meeting with President of the Czech Republic Milos Zeman, the following was said:

Vladimir Putin: In the economic sector, despite the previous years’ recession, trade turnover growth of over 44 percent was observed in the beginning of this year. This is a good sign and a good trend we have to preserve.

Milos Zeman: The number of tourists is growing – this is very positive.

Vladimir Putin: This is connected to the gradual restoration of personal incomes, which shrank during the crisis in our country. Today, actual earnings of our citizens have started to gradually increase, and tourist activity is increasing as well.

It’s also interesting how the government handled the crisis of 2008-2009 and crisis of 2014-2016. During the first crisis, the minimum wage went up, but unemployment and bankruptcies also grew. It took two years to recover to the pre-crisis level. In December 18, 2014, president Putin said that the crisis in Russia will last for two years in the worst case. Understanding that this might be the long-term situation, the government did everything to preserve the workplaces by letting wages to drop. Putin has managed to save work places, industries and manufacturers from repeating a terrible collapse of 2009 that Medvedev’s government allowed. Considering that everything stayed and worked, the recovery is ongoing, and it won’t need two years.

In February of this year, an aftershock contributor posted his overview of the economy using other indicators than unreliable GPD and came to the conclusion that Russia’s economy is number 4 in the world.

He started with asking a simple question: how can Russia afford the space exploration and nuclear energy, that are out of reach for the majority of developed and rich countries? In addition to the enormous infrastructure costs, these industries require a high level of development of education, basic science, applied science and multiple industries. When we witness another successful launch of missiles “YARS” and the start of commercial operation of the BN nuclear reactors, a sodium-cooled fast breeder reactor, most people don’t understand that these facts are only the visible tip of the iceberg of a great country.

—–

In November 2016 one of UK’s  fake news sources called The Telegraph reporting on the alcohol consumption in the world and lied about Russia being number four of the alcohol dependent countries, and the Britain being 25th overall. “On average we each consume 11.6 litres of pure alcohol a year.”

Now let’s look at real numbers presented by the Russia’s Health Ministry.

Alcohol consumption in Russia in liters of pure spirit in 2016 was 10.3 liters per person. However, this is actual numbers of official sales and doesn’t include homemade wines traditionally enjoyed in the South of the country. I couldn’t find a reliable statistic of alcohol consumption based on gender, race, and age, but as an anecdotal evidence of generational differences, my parents have some wine or cognac for dinner almost every day, although they don’t drink vodka or beer. On average, I consume one glass of wine per year. I just don’t understand an appeal of alcohol.

 

============

Links to report of the Russia’s Health ministry statistic will take you to a downloadable PDF file with multiple fascinating charts:

In 2016 the death rate in Russia has been at its lowest since 1995 12.9 per 1000 of population.

Life expectancy has been also the highest since 1995 and reaches 77.1 for women, 66.5 for men, with an average 71.9 for both genders.

In 2016 Maternal Mortality Rate was 8.3 per 100,000 live births. It actually dropped 48.8% compared to 2011, and 17.8% compared to 2015.

In 2012 Russia adopted the international standards for Infant Mortality Rate statistic starting with 500g or 22 weeks. In 2012 there were 6 infant death per 1000 live birth.

Cardio related death rate dropped down to 42.2 per 100,000 population, which is 7.3% less than in 2011.

Stroke and high-blood pressure related death dropped down to 85.6 per 100,000 population, which is 34.2% lower than in 2011.

Stroke death could be avoided simply by cutting down the consumption of large amounts of salt and sugar typically found in a traditional Russian diet. For years I have been trying to make my parents to eat healthier and to stop cooking with these additives, which proved to me that some battles I just can’t win.

Motor vehicle related deaths also went down to 10.8 per 100,000 population, which is a drop of 11.5% compared with 2015.

================

Demographic losses of Germany in World War II

Thought provoking material related to estimation of the losses of German population in WWII.

Before the war against the Soviet Union, Germany was actively absorbing new territories with their population. Therefore, many demographic curves that are being used to estimate the German losses are not correct.

 

The population of Germany itself in 1939 was about 69,4 million.

To this we have to add +

Saarland (0.8 million people),

Austria ( 6,76 million)

The Sudetenland ( 3,64 million)

Total 80,6 million

Also in June 1941 Germany added

Danzig and Memel (0,54 million)

Poznan and Upper Silesia (9,63 million)

Luxembourg, Lorraine and Alsace ( 2.2 million people)

Also severed from Yugoslavia southern Carinthia. (0.2 million people)

PLus the natural population growth over these 2 years per 80 million peoples

Total in June 1941 Germany began the war with  94 million people.

The author estimates that in May of 1945, Germany had less than 60 million people left.

On October 29, 1946, the Command of the Western Military group estimated the population of Germany, all three of its parts with the Western Berlin, was 65,931,000. It means that in 16 months 6 million in population increase was due to the migrants coming from the Sudetenland, Poland, and Kalingrad, and also POWs returned from captivity on the Western front. From the Easter front and the Soviet Union the last POWs had returned to Germany in 1949, which also contributed to the population growth. Let’s say that in the middle of 1046, Germany had 66 million people. At the beginning of 1941 Germany had 94 million people. This means that the demographic losses in Germany amounted to 28 million+ 2-3 million that would constitute the natural population growth during this time if the war didn’t take place.

A total loss of population was 30-31 million, or 30% of the population.

Demographic losses of the Soviet population was 40 million, or 20% of the entire population.

 

The biggest comparative losses of WWII were sustained by Poland

From 1939 to 1945, the population of Poland shrank from 35 million to 23.9 million plus 3 million of natural growth. If the WWII didn’t happen Poland would have in 1945 larger population than it has now.

However, most of those people who died weren’t ethnically Polish. In 1939, on the territory that Poland claimed as its own in 1945 lived 24.6 million people including Jews, Germans, Lithuanians, Byelorussians and Ukrainians. Under the guise of war, those territories were ethnically cleansed by the Poles to achieve 98% of ethnic purity. The Poles themselves lost three million people due to the war.

At the same time, Britain did not suffer any significant demographic losses. By facilitating and financing the WWII, Britain bled Germany (30 m), Poland (15), and the Soviet Union (40m) and together with other European countries (15m), reduced the population of continental Europe by 100 million people. Same time Britain bled India (2.1m) in Bengal famine of 1943 and China (80m).

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Finland has reached its demographic cross.

In 2016, a total of 53,923 persons died, which is the largest number since 1944. The previous record year after the 1940s was 2015, from which the number of deaths now grew by another 1,431. Altogether, 501 more women and 930 more men died than in 2015.

According to Statistics Finland’s data on population changes, 52,814 children were born in 2016. The number of births has now decreased for the sixth year in succession. The number of births was 2,658 children, i.e. 4.8 per cent fewer than in 2015. This yearly decrease is the highest since the beginning of the 1970s, when measured in relative terms.

With 5.5 million population, even

Even 329,219 emigrants are not able to change this. Finland will never have a natural growth of its population.

 

======================

In 2016 Ukraine had the least number of vaccinated children at 23%.

 

­Scott Humor
The Essential Saker II: Civilizational Choices and Geopolitics / The Russian challenge to the hegemony of the AngloZionist Empire
The Essential Saker: from the trenches of the emerging multipolar world

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27 Comments

  1. Thank you for the information posted here. “Statistical marvels”–ha!–that is one way of putting it. I wonder what percentage of the people of Georgia really want their country to join NATO? As for the marvelous comments by the talented Mr Jurkans of Latvia, he sounds a bit like a “hopeful nihilist”, with his talk of war with Russia “expected to start any minute” (heavens, God forbid this war should start a minute too late)– and crashing tanks, and then a real economic revival in Latvia will occur. Now there is a flying leap of faith if I ever saw one. The devil is in the details, pal. Running towards Armageddon with open arms– but no worries, mate, it will all get rebuilt better than ever, never mind the massive death toll and off- the charts radioactivity— a statistical horror no one wants to address. Have people in positions of wealth and power all been assured that somehow, they will survive? “NATO is in an active state of war with Russia” as Mr. Trump (the ultimate off-beat dancing man) sword dances with the Saudis, and puts his hand on the Glowing Orb……hang on, friends. It already has become a very bumpy ride.

  2. “In 2016 Ukraine had the least number of vaccinated children at 23%.”

    I consider this very positive news.
    Unvaccinated children are healthier and more intelligent.
    Looks like despite all tragedy, there is a future for the Ukraine. :-)

    • Vaccines are not the problem, but multiple vaccines with incompatible preservatives given at the same time.

      Us old geezers were vaccinated and were usually given 5-6 vaccines but with months or even years between them, never all at once. With later boosters, it all comes to less than a dozen (12) by age 18. Apparently Murican kids cop anywhere up to 76 before they are 8 years old. I might be mistaken, but that’s my understanding of the dangers: not the vaccine itself, but a combination of multiple shots at once with incompatible preservatives or simply nearly out of date.

      • Today’s vaccine schedule boosts the revenues of big pharma, not the health of children. In three points: too many; too early; cheap but sickening extras (adjuvents and conservatives).

    • Well said, _smr. And, to +Mikie, I’m afraid that any vaccine is a problem, whether combined, given further apart or whatever else. Yes – what an irony – Ukrainian populace will become one of the least damaged in the world owing to the reduced vaccination rate.

  3. Madhushree Mukerjee;Churchill’s secret war. India lost 3 million people in the Great Bengal famine.
    these are researched official figures. Knowing official figures …..

    good, better not vaccinate

  4. “Most the basic economic and social indicators went up with GDP growing 100.5% compared to April of 2016”.

    Quite wrong, and at best very misleading. Either:

    1. “GDP growing by 0.5%”

    or

    2. GDP rising to 100.5% of last year’s value”.

    The first option is the only proper one, as it is simple and easily understood.

    To say that GDP has grown 100.5% suggests it has doubled, which is obviously untrue. It’s ironic to come across such a misleading statement in an article that pokes fun at statistical deception.

    • Tom Welsh,

      I used the format “100.5%” exactly as it’s being used on the Russia’s Health Ministry’s charts, hoping that this will make it easier to locate numbers on the chart for those who can’t read Russian.

      Cheers

  5. “Now let’s look at real numbers presented by the Russia’s Health Ministry”.

    While the numbers look fine, the accompanying graph embodies one of the classic ways of misleading. It is based at 10 litres per person per year, rather than zero. Thus the graph makes it seem, to the casual reader, that Russians have almost completely stopped drinking alcohol.

  6. A genocide is being perpetrated by the Brussels and Washington all over South-Eastern Europe i.e. banana-republics of the former Yugoslavia (once prosperous and self sufficient), Bulgaria, Greece, probably Romania… The whole region is being cleansed of its peoples. I am a Serb so for us the situation is well beyond any repair. We will be finished in 50-60 years. There are 30,000 people less every year just in Serbia. And the shortfall is increasing exponentially.

    This is the result of a 25-year long war the West is waging against us including economic sanctions, military aggressions including the use of depleted uranium and most tragically the betrayal by the so-called political elites (bought and paid by the West) which peddle eugenics and propagate gender fluidity and destruction of family as the foundation upon the country is built.

  7. “In conclusion he said, that when, in the future, Russia will be crushed into pieces, they as victims will receive huge amount of money to build the brand new Latvia. That is why they are removing what’s left of the country’s wealth and creating in Ireland a base for a government in exile.”

    Haha, you just have to love the Honorary Euro-trash and its, shall we say, somewhat romantic notions of “international solidarity”. On second thought, Western neoliberalism — not least the leading banks of Sweden — has seen to it that Latvia has become all but depopulated with a substantial diaspora emerging in Britain and Ireland. On this basis, the envisaged “government in exile” in Ireland isn’t that far-fetched, however deluded.

    Let it be known that I, for one, firmly believe Latvia’s former Minister of Foreign Affairs, now honourable MP, has got all his teeth neatly in place. It’s his brain we gotta find, mind you.

    • “Creating in Ireland a base for a Government in exile” Ireland has a traditional policy of military neutrality. There is absolutely no popular support in Ireland for engaging in geo-strategic intrigue. Ireland has no historical, political, cultural or other links with Latvia, a country most Irish were blissfully unaware of until Latvia entered the EU back in 2004. Apart from large numbers of migrants coming from not just Latvia, but also Lithuania and Poland to feed the so-called Celtic Tiger economy, Ireland knew virtually nothing about there countries, any more than we did about central and eastern European countries generally. Ireland’s focus has historically always been towards the UK, US, Canada Australia and NZ, principally because we are part of the Anglophone and common law world and we have not, at least until relatively recent years, been well motivated to learn continental languages.

      I have heard nothing in Irish political discourse which would suggest any such involvement in Ireland hosting a government in exile, nor do I believe that such a development would be welcomed here by the majority of the population. There is still a residual anti-imperialism here in Ireland as a result of our own experience of being a colony of a former super power, one we fought to shake off for many centuries. As it is, there is a small, but growing unease and discomfort with the more and more neo-con and neo-liberal EU. As I read somewhere recently in a number of articles by different authors, there is a growing sentiment, including I believe in Ireland, for a return to sovereignty and a move away from globalism. I believe this will only grow more and more in the coming years as the EU increasingly shows its irrelevance to the common citizens and centrifugal forces within the EU gather force.

  8. “A country with 77% of its population with missing teeth is looking for financial support.”

    Looks like Latvia is giving the British a run for their money!

    Who says that these Eastern European nations are not adopting Western-style democracy!?!

  9. Scott, salt is good, not bad. The modern human brain is shrinking per generation because of a lack of salt in the modern diet due to food production changes related to a fall away in the use of salt for food preservation.

    Your ability to carry salt is related to the chemical gradient required to keep your brain sufficiently ‘watered’.

    Don’t believe the old wives tales about salt and high blood pressure…it is total crap except in perverse physical circumstances.

    There are salt mines in Africa which have been quarried for tens of thousands of years by elephants for elephants with no human direction at any stage…and before them mammoths…because big brained folks like elephants and humans need salt to force water uptake by the brain….osmotic pressure equals a big head…basically.

  10. “I just don’t understand an appeal of alcohol.”

    Me. either. While in the US Army in Vietnam back in the ’60’s, I was on a Shell Oil tanker out of Denmark in Vun Ro Bay, Vietnam, where I was offered a bottle of Danish beer. It tasted just like that old Vicks alcohol cough syrup your mother would give you for a cold.,

    After getting out of the Army, I was offered a glass of red wine at the late naturalist Ivan Sanderson’s place in New Jersey.

    It tasted exactly the same. :-)

    Never had a drop of alcohol since then.

  11. Concerning Finland reaching its demographic cross.

    This will be interesting. The 1% tell everybody that population must grow if an economy is to grow, and that increasing personal prosperity and living standards can only happen if the economy keeps growing (along with the population . . . chicken and egg)

    The Japanese have been proving them wrong for decades now.

    Japan’s population has been unchanged since 1990, and has experienced small, probably insignificant, declines in the last couple of years. The Japanese people are doing great! Your average Joe is doing just fine economically, thank-you-very-much. The healthcare system is still good. Japan is a first-world place to live still.

    One of the reasons Japan is still doing great economically, and is almost crime-free is that allows almost no immigration. Only people from overseas Japanese cultural backgrounds, such as the Brazilian Japanese and Hawaiian Japanese; and highly educated people from first world countries with a skill that a Japanese organization says it needs and can’t obtain within Japan are allowed to immigrate and gain citizenship.

    The one-percenters and their academic servants in neoliberal economics departments have been lying to us all along.

    It’s the one-percenters who need population growth if they’re going to expand the reach of their megacorporations and float financial products that are basically ponzi schemes requiring an expanding supply of suckers to buy them.

    The Finns are also doing fine, thank-you-very-much.

  12. From what I can see from a map of Georgia, it is worthy of membership into the NATO since it is on the Atlantic like the countries in that organization. I have visited Savannah and it has beautiful views of the Atlantic.

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