The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation
We, President of the Republic of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev, Prime Minister of the Republic of Armenia Nikol Pashinyan and President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin, hereby declare the following:
1. A complete ceasefire and the termination of hostilities in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone will become effective as of midnight, Moscow time, on November 10, 2020. The Republic of Azerbaijan and the Republic of Armenia, hereinafter referred to as the Parties, shall remain in their current positions.
2. The Agdam District shall be returned to the Republic of Azerbaijan before November 20, 2020.
3. A peacekeeping force of the Russian Federation comprising 1,960 military personnel with light weapons, 90 armoured personnel carriers and 380 military and special vehicles shall be deployed along the contact line in Nagorno-Karabakh and along the Lachin Corridor.
4. The deployment of the Russian peacekeeping force shall proceed simultaneously with the withdrawal of Armenian troops. The peacekeeping force will be deployed for the duration of five years, to be tacitly extended for subsequent five-year periods unless either party announces its intention to terminate this provision six months before expiry.
5. A peacekeeping ceasefire verification centre shall be established to enhance the monitoring of the compliance with the agreements by the Parties to the conflict.
6. The Republic of Armenia shall cede the Kalbajar District to the Republic of Azerbaijan before November 15, 2020, and the Lachin District before December 1, 2020. The five-kilometre wide Lachin Corridor, which will ensure connection between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia but will not include the city of Shusha, shall be controlled by the peacekeeping force of the Russian Federation.
By agreement of the Parties, a plan shall be coordinated in the next three years for the construction of a new route in the Lachin Corridor to connect Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia, with the subsequent redeployment of the Russian peacekeeping force to protect the new route.
The Republic of Azerbaijan shall guarantee the safe movement of people, vehicles and cargo along the Lachin Corridor in both directions.
7. The internally displaced persons and refugees shall return to Nagorno-Karabakh and the adjacent regions under the supervision of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees.
8. The parties shall exchange prisoners of war, hostages, other detainees and the dead.
9. The blockade of all economic and transport ties in the region shall be lifted. The Republic of Armenia shall guarantee the safety of transport between the western regions of the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic with the aim of facilitating the free movement of people, vehicles and cargo in both directions. The oversight of transport communications shall be ensured with the involvement of the agencies of Russia’s FSB Border Guard Service.
By agreement of the Parties, the construction of new transport communications shall be launched to connect the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic with the western regions of Azerbaijan.
I’d be very interested in reading your feedback on my latest analysis, which cites my 36 prior ones by name and in chronological order to hopefully help make sense of what happened for everyone who might still be very confused:
“The end of the Nagorno-Karabakh War that was brought about by Armenia’s sudden Russian-facilitated surrender following its total defeat on the battlefield is the perfect time for reviewing why so many folks in the Alt-Media Community got it all wrong, clarifying the state of affairs as they exist after this conflict’s conclusion, and forecasting what might come next for the South Caucasus.”
The website, OneWorld, was banned by Twitter over the summer and by Facebook the day after the election but you can still indirectly share it on those platforms with others who might be interested through the VK URL here which isn’t yet banned from those sites:
I’m eagerly looking forward to everyone’s feedback even if I don’t have time to respond much. Thank you!
After reading the article linked and a few of the other previous articles linked there it’s obvious you’re not taking a neutral stance. It even appears hostile towards the Armenians. The reason for that is what I’m curious about. Is it because you’re fond of the Turks and/or the Turkish position? Speaking, perhaps, from a Russian perspective and feel the Armenians deserve their circumstances for turning away from Russia? Or do you consider their position unjust and feel the urge to “correct” how others view this conflict?
It’s interesting, anyway, to read other points of view. It can help “paint” the bigger picture.
Read your linked piece, Andrew.
Turkish military peacekeepers? Any sign of that?
I don’t think that is actually in the cards. The Russians made the agreement with not a word of Turk inclusion.
“The third phase relates to Armenia’s use of de-facto human shields such as its recruitment of child soldiers, the holding of military meetings inside of schools, and the suffering that it’s purposely putting the people of Nagorno-Karabakh through in a misguided attempt to generate international sympathy for its cause. Armenia is also recruiting mercenaries from its Mideast diaspora and even Kurdish PKK terrorists to replenish its lost ranks, which is creating a terrorist hotbed in the South Caucasus with serious security implications for all stakeholders.”
Like reading a Zionist script about Palestinians, and PKK = Hezbollah.
Korybko hustling to get any clicks and reads.
add to that:
– “Greater Armenian” Project
– Genocide by the Armenians
– No “Syrian” mercenaries on the side of the Azeris
Consider this constructive criticism:
For your article to claim that this is “victory” for Azerbaijan and “defeat” for Armenia is not really correct, since both sides have made territorial concessions:
NK will remain under Armenian control and will have a corridor linking it to Armenia proper. Azerbaijan will gain some territory previously under Armenian control, but not all of it.
Of course both sides will spin it as “victory” for their side, but not sure why a journalistic article, like yours, needs to do so?
Where did you get the info that this can deal can be terminated wiithin 6 months when the statement clearly refers to 3 year construction period?
Where did you get the info that Russian peacekeeping troops would be accompanied by Turkish ones?
Above all this is a huge diplomatic breakthrough brokered by Russia. Well done Lavrov!
Hi Serbian Girl,
To your points:
1. Azerbaijan reclaimed its territorial integrity, albeit through at least a five-year deployment of Russian peacekeepers to assist in the transition. No land was ceded by Azerbaijan, but to the contrary, armed Armenians will now leave and be replaced by Russian peacekeepers around the reduced region’s perimeter.
2. To clarify, I’m not a journalist, I’m an analyst. A journalist reports facts, while an analyst interprets then. Sometimes they overlap, but not always, and there is a difference. I elaborated more on media literacy here:
3. Point four of the statement clearly says the following:
“ The peacekeeping force will be deployed for the duration of five years, to be tacitly extended for subsequent five-year periods unless either party announces its intention to terminate this provision six months before expiry.”
4. It was reported by President Aliyev:
Thanks for your clarification. Regarding point 1, we agree that the area under Armenian control is reduced but what happens to NK?
Because it does not appear as if NK will revert to Azerbaijan. Russia will control it for 5 years. During that time, there will be a 3 year construction program for a new route to be built inside the Lachin corridor (between NK and Armenia) thus creating a contiguous Armenian area..is this how you read it too?
Btw I agree with point 3..6 months from expiry which I originally misread, so sorry.
Sorry I just saw Pashinyan claiming this is “not a victory”.
He was facing Artsakh being completely overrun…they will now be protected by Russians and will get a corridor between Artsakh and Armenia.
Pashinyan is clearly not very sharp is he?
This interesting article describes deal in detail:
– Battlefield victory for Azerbaijan
-Diplomatic victory for Russia
-Avoidance of catastrophic defeat for Armenia as NK status unresolved and to remain under control of local Armenians
“The agreement ensures that Azerbaijan will regain all of its territory apart from the northern part of Nagorno-Karabakh.”
“Its only connection with Armenia will be a road through what is called the ‘Lachin corridor’. This will be controlled by Russian peacekeepers, who will also monitor the front lines.”
“The Nagorno-Karabakh peace deal amounts to a triumph of Russian diplomacy, miraculously turning a lose-lose mess into win-win. “
Major goals achieved by NATO:
*Turkish outposts in and near the Republic of Artsakh, complementing bases in Libya, Syria, and Iraq
*“Sunni NATO” revived: joint Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani alliance against Russian and Iranian influence(s)
*U.S.-Taliban deal: turning Afghanistan into a base for Sunni terrorism against Iran, Russia, and China
*Armenia, under Pashinyan, de facto joins NATO’s Georgian-Ukrainian-Polish “trident” against Russia
*Zionist control of the Muslim world solidified, used to marshal Sunni forces vs. Orthodoxy and Shiism
*Muslim Brotherhood, under Turkish influence, swings toward merger with ISIS, al-Qaida, and Taliban
*India’s Modi aligns with Zionist-Saudi axis, accepts rôle of Sunni terrorism vs. China (Uighur, Xinjiang)
*Convergence of Pakistani and Indian interests on the role of Sunni jihadism vs. Iran, Russia, China…
*Ongoing preparations by NATO-run Ukrainian Neo-Nazi Army for invasion of Crimea later this fall…?
*Greece humbled by Turkish expansionism, aligns with pro-Turkish NATO, Israel + occupied Germany
*Massive alliance: Nazi, Zionist, Latinate Christian (Catholic + Protestant), Sunni/Wahhabi–Salafi, Hindutva/BJP/RSS vs. Orthodox, Shiite, Buddhist, and Confucian spheres of influence → stage set for nuclear and biochemical war vs. Iran, Russia, and China under President-Elect Biden
*Modi’s illegal seizure of Jammu and Kashmir, support for Pakistan-brokered U.S.-Taliban deal, Indian territorial aggression + joint Indian–American naval drills vs. China → sets stage for possible India–Pakistan conflict, thereby cutting off CPEC/BRI from the Indian Ocean, completing isolation of China
*Biden will revive the Clinton-Obama “pivot to Asia,” already massively accelerated by Trump, and is currently mulling the “genocide” label for China’s alleged “persecution” of “innocent” ISIS- and al-Qaida-linked Uighur “dissidents” in Xinjiang + continuing to pressure China over Hong Kong and Taiwan
Your dump of bait is so irrelevant, inaccurate and ridiculous to link to NATO of all sources.
But nothing is more delusional than this: “*Ongoing preparations by NATO-run Ukrainian Neo-Nazi Army for invasion of Crimea later this fall…?”
You have no understanding of what a military thrust toward Crimea would unleash on such an “army”.
Putin in his own words and the Russian Military in subsequent comments have warned that any attack upon Russian territory would cause the utter destruction of the entire “army” attacking but the “decision headquarters” that planned and enabled the attack. Thus, your heroic NATO would no longer exist as Belgium headquarters and all field command posts would be obliterated.
Crimea may be the heaviest armed and protected locations on the planet.
As for the rest of the stuff you posted, none of it has anything to do with NATO. It qualifies as a masturbatory fantasy by someone.
“but the “decision headquarters” that planned and enabled the attack.”, would be hardly located in Brussels, but in the very Pentagon, I fear.
Planned and enabled, he meant..
I would like to hear more from Daniel! I don’t know if he’s just an amateur analyst working alone, or if he represents a particular organization or school of thought, but it’s a grim worst-case scenario that I would like to know more about.
He, Putin, the master of win-win in a no-win situation did it again!
The isolated area of Azerbaijan is now connected and the FSB border service involved in road security along it with no time limits on their involvement. Most likely they will be keeping an eye on any traffic of militants from Turkey along it.
And Artsakh will have its connect to its heartland, too, along with the lesson learned to play nice with big brother Russia, and will have to receive any incoming refugees ( somehow I doubt there will be very many) from the last war. Live and let live. There will be no bleeding Kashmir-like entity created due to the Russian army keeping a firm eye on the line of ( potential) conflict.
And the Turks were stopped at the gate. No wiggle room for the CIA. There is always something in the world of The Great Game.
Here’s one for you. Imagine the Russians equip and train Syrian forces (or anybody else) to attack parts of Libya claimed by Saraj and the Turks. The Syrians join Haftar and bolstered by Russian technology grab 20-30% of the Turk-claimed territory. Saraj capitulates and the Turks are compelled to accept a fait accompli claiming that they are a neutral arbiter. They are allowed to patrol what’s left of the rump statelet and a Turkish geopolitical expert starts lauding a wonderful Turkish-Russian victory for Eurasianism. Or not.
Looks like Putin gave enough rope to Armenia and Pashinyan so that they hung themselves. They lost massive equipment, men, and virtually all the turf they were holding for years. A massive defeat.
Now, they will have to resolve their national leadership problems, tuck themselves closer to Russia for economic and security issues, and get on with a future without dreaming of winning wars they cannot win.
Pashinyan misjudged the US, whose only goal was to draw Armenia away from Russia or to draw Russia into a conflict. Putin skillfully allowed the disaster which was predictable to unfold. Sadly, it cost the lives of two Russian helo pilots who were accidentally shot down by the Azeris.
Now Russia will control the region with peacekeeping forces and UN authorities.
A clear win for Moscow. A clear loss for Armenia. Another failure for the US attempts to light fire around Russia. And Turkey who grew closer to Azerbijan has gotten itself tagged with more US sanctions affecting its MIC.
The outcome benefits Iran, also. Though Iran gains nothing tangible, and become slightly more dependent on Russia’s power and influence in the region.
Putin, master of the chessboard, master of the goban, Weiqi (Go), and most trusted world leader by all nations outside the West takes control of the region from Turkey and the United States.
Assalaamu alaykum w w.
Yes Russia played it cool and let the armenian people learn a valuable lesson. But i don’t think the Trks will stop here.
When they started to use Hagia Sophia as a mosque again I believed they did that to send a massage to the ortodox world that they are coming again for their blood, women and children.
May God almighty destroy them and curse them with eternal punishment.
In 2018 German DGAP and London-based IISS released a study about how EU battle groups could occupy the Caucasus in 2020 after a war between Armenia and Azerbaijan:
“The resulting Dubai Treaty provided for an immediate ceasefire, restoration of ter-
ritory to the status quo ante bellum and a military annex modelled on that of the 1995 Dayton peace agreement.
The assumed maxi-
mum EUFOR–SC footprint in AO is approximately 60,000 EU troops. To cover the critical period D-3 to D+30, a quick-reaction amphibious battlegroup is required, to be based in the Black Sea.
Requirement for 250 sorties a day, of which 80–100 could provide close-air support. A minimum of 150 multi-role combat aircraft are required. This total could include armed uninhabited aerial vehicles (UAVs) if available, as well as one or two squadrons of attack helicopters”
“For example, since the middle of the first decade of this millenium, the Bundeswehr has dispatched soldiers, as advisors, to Armenia and invited Armenian military personnel for advanced training and maneuvers to Germany.”
This is really important. The German Reich is infiltrating Armenia (there was an Armenian SS legion in WWII – but also five top USSR Marshals were Armenian). It seems that the Armenians need careful handling and that Saker’s assessment of a slap from Russia has more merit than I’d given it. Nevertheless, Armenians bad does not imply Turks good.
What you’re being told in the media is for mass consumption of the public and for everyone to save face but the way things unfolded in reality is a little different, if you read between the lines.
Russia finally got fed up with all this nonsense in the Caucuses and decided to make its move without telling anybody anything or asking anything of anyone, by the way a move it had long planned, to roll into NK. A trigger happy commander shot down a Russian helicopter while still in Armenian air space late in the afternoon of 9th November and then everybody started sh*itting in their pants getting on the line to the Kremlin. Putin took his time answering the calls, having them all sweating, and then after midnight picked up the phone and stopped the war (if he dropped a couple of Kalibrs on Azerbaijan in the meantime in retaliation for the downed helicopter we may never know). There were no negotiations – the terms of the agreement are what Putin dictated and it was all “Yes Sir” thereon. Little green men appeared on the front line introducing themselves as peacekeepers with many more being flown in. Iran had also amassed troops on the border just in case Russians needed a helping hand but of course they could deal with these hot heads themselves. Armenians are not happy because they lost some territory in NK but then civilians and troops were making their getaway to Armenia and without Russian intervention they would have lost it all. Azeris have to be satisfied with the gains they made but it falls short of their objective to recover the entire enclave. That’s all folks. War is over.
And that’s how it’s done. Nikol and his Soros gang thought they were clever. They will now face the families of the dead.
The “take” on this from a Russian poster on FB:
It turns out that Armenia was an ally of Russia in World War II (! ) and fought for her (for Russia (! ) with weapons in their hands despite the fact that Armenia itself did not interest Hitler.
This is despite the fact that in the event of Hitler’s victory, the land of Armenia was guaranteed to leave Turkey! And Armenians would go under the knife. We only had to give up Stalingrad (3 shooter divisions formed in the Armenian USSR were fighting in Stalingrad) and Turkey would immediately navigate, reject its neutrality and enter the war on the side of Germany!
Where would the Armenians be then? Who did the Soviet Union fight for? For whom did the Armenians of the Soviet Union fight with the Germans?
It is necessary to shit the memory of half a million Armenians who fought in the Great Patriotic War and the memory of those who died! 100 heroes of the Soviet Union, 70000 awarded, hundreds of Soviet generals!
Well, there are no words from such directness!